Try the model
UAB

UAB 17 at Western Kentucky 20

WKU
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 21, 2022 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of GameFG-1.4WKU 38.7%Brayden Narveson 47 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 10 · Q2 1:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:41 · Brayden Narveson 47 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Home team on offense−5.0Garbage-time factor−2.3Pregame prior−2.2Score differential−2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:05: Austin Reed run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +5.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:59: Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +7.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 5:03: Brayden Narveson 44 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +7.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:51: Austin Reed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +20.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:41: Timeout WESTRN KENTUCKY, clock 01:41 — WKU win probability +12.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 12:59WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:50WKU 4th & 13 at UAB 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:34WKU 4th & 17 at UAB 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.8%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−0.3
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:42UAB 4th & 19 at WKU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:28WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:47UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 24, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−1.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:41WKU 4th & 21 at UAB 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:27UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 61.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:41UAB 4th & 15 at UAB 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−3.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:41WKU 4th & 2 at UAB 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    38.2%−4.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    39.7%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:03WKU 4th & 7 at UAB 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.0%
    64% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−10.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:34UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:44WKU 4th & 7 at UAB 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−2.0
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:09UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:22WKU 4th & 22 at UAB 37, up 3
    Close callPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−5.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:35UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:05WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:59UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:51WKU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0146% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.9%
Austin Reed run for 1 yd to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
45.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for no gain to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-1
45.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
46.2%
Tom Ellard punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:2454% → 55%
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
46.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 12:59
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
46.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 4 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+59
45.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 59 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:4546% → 45%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
45.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
45.6%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 8 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
45.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 21 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
45.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 7 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+5
46.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 5 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
46.0%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+2
45.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 13
OPP 31
0
45.9%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:35
3RD & 13
OPP 31
0
45.6%
Austin Reed run for no gain to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 13
OPP 31
+49
44.6%
Brayden Narveson 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4356% → 56%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
44.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 1
OWN 40
-3
43.7%
Dylan Hopkins sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3346% → 44%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
45.6%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
45.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 9
OPP 36
-8
45.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 44Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 17
OPP 44
0
44.1%
Tom Ellard punt for 39 yds, downed at the UAB 5Similar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
44.3%
UAB Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the UAB 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6FUMBLE
8 plays · 42 yds · 4:2756% → 58%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 12
OWN 3
+4
44.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+3
44.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 5
OWN 10
+5
44.5%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
44.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 13 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
43.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+2
43.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+5
43.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
41.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 47 DeWayne McBride fumbled, recovered by WKent Kahlef HailassieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 2:0245% → 51%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
44.8%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 19 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
45.4%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+6
45.4%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q2 14:05
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+20
51.2%
Austin Reed run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:1651% → 52%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
48.6%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
48.6%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+64
49.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 64 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
46.3%
UAB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 15Similar
Q2 13:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+4
46.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
46.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-8
47.7%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Jaden Hunter for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 10:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 19
+36
47.9%
Matt Quinn 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the WKent 27 Davion Ervin-Poindexter fumbled, recovered by UAB Fish McWilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10TD
4 plays · 27 yds · 1:3555% → 62%
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
44.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+7
45.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+5
45.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (Dareon Goodrum) to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
37.7%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3139% → 37%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.5%
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
38.7%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
38.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
36.8%
Tom Ellard punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 27Similar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-10
36.5%
BROWN JR., Jermaine rush up the middle for a gain of 12 yards to the UAB39 (ALLEN, Talique). PENALTY UAB Holding on TELFORT, Kadeem enforced 10 yards from the UAB27 to the UAB17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 2:4163% → 63%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+9
36.9%
Jacob Zeno run for 9 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+4
36.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-6
36.8%
Jacob Zeno sacked by Derrick Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 4:47
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
36.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FG
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:0637% → 39%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
37.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 12 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
38.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 8
50
0
38.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 8
50
+22
37.4%
L.T. Sanders run for 22 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
39.8%
L.T. Sanders run for 10 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-15
40.1%
SANDERS, L.T. rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the UAB17 (CASH, Grayson;MCWILLIAMS, Mac). PENALTY WKU Face mask on LESLIE, Quantavious enforced 15 yards from the UAB18 to the UAB33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 25
OPP 33
0
39.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 25
OPP 33
+4
37.6%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
40.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 21
OPP 29
+47
38.7%
Brayden Narveson 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:0664% → 65%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
36.0%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive Holding (Darius Shipp) to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
34.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
33.8%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+1
33.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
34.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15END OF HALF
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:2037% → 35%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+9
37.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 1
OWN 19
+23
37.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 23 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
38.9%
Austin Reed run for 5 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
39.6%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
35.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offsides (Tre Shaw) to the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:1966% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+3
34.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
34.4%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+14
34.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 14 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
33.5%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
34.2%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 11
OWN 46
-4
35.0%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to TJ Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 15
OWN 42
0
36.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 6:3837% → 46%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
37.1%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-5
37.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Vincent Murphy) to the WKent 18Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+18
36.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 18 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
38.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 9 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+4
40.3%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
40.2%
L.T. Sanders run for 4 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
41.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 1 yd to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+3
40.5%
L.T. Sanders run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+3
39.6%
Austin Reed run for 3 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
41.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 11 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
42.9%
Malachi Corley run for 1 yd to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-4
42.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 13
OPP 32
+6
38.9%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 5:03
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+44
46.2%
Brayden Narveson 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:2359% → 63%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
41.4%
Jacob Zeno run for 12 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
37.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 6 DeWayne McBride fumbled, recovered by WKent JaQues EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4548% → 68%
Q3 3:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
48.4%
Jaylen Hall run for 5 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.4%
Austin Reed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:1737% → 35%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
61.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
62.8%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Will Rykard) to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 2:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
64.2%
Jacob Zeno run for 5 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
65.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaylen Hall at the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:1665% → 70%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
64.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 6 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+25
65.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 25 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
68.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
67.8%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+2
66.7%
L.T. Sanders run for 2 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 12:44
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
69.6%
Tom Ellard punt for 31 yds, downed at the UAB 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3532% → 27%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
67.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+2
70.6%
Jacob Zeno run for 2 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
71.9%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 5
OWN 14
+26
73.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 54 yds , Jaylen Hall returns for 26 yds to the UAB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:4775% → 72%
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
75.0%
L.T. Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+18
74.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 18 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
76.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Wes Dorsey) to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 11:09
1ST & 15
OPP 30
-8
75.9%
Austin Reed sacked by Kelle Sanders for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 23
OPP 38
+1
73.2%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 11:09
3RD & 22
OPP 37
0
72.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:22
4TH & 22
OPP 37
0
72.0%
Tom Ellard punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24INT
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:1628% → 32%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+23
71.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 23 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
70.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+6
66.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
50
0
65.6%
Jacob Zeno pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 10
50
+28
67.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Face mask (28 yards) (Talique Allen) to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
63.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
63.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
68.3%
Jacob Zeno pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25END OF GAME
13 plays · 55 yds · 5:0676% → 96%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
75.6%
L.T. Sanders run for 10 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+32
76.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 32 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
79.6%
L.T. Sanders run for 10 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
79.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Daewood Davis) to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 5:06
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+12
78.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 12 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
91.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+1
91.7%
Austin Reed run for 1 yd to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
93.7%
[NH] Kneel down by WKU at UAB29 (team loss of 3).Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 13
OPP 29
0
93.3%
[NH] Kneel down by WKU at UAB31 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OPP 31
0
96.2%
[NH] Kneel down by WKU at UAB33 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:51
Austin Reed run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
+20.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:41
Timeout WESTRN KENTUCKY, clock 01:41
+12.1
TD · Q2 8:59
Jacob Zeno pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 14 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com