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UNT

North Texas 27 at UTSA 31

UTSA
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · F. Harris takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:06: Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 19 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +22.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 9:35: Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 44 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +33.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 2:36: Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +38.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:38: Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 1 yd for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +60.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:15: Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 10 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +61.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:11UNT 4th & 15 at UTSA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:33UTSA 4th & 8 at UNT 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    73.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:21UNT 4th & 12 at UNT 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:54UTSA 4th & 15 at UNT 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    68.4%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:08UNT 4th & 11 at UTSA 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    27.0%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:32UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 43, down 6
    Close callPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:55UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:55UTSA 4th & 1 at UNT 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    63.3%−1.8
    62% to make
    Punt
    59.0%−6.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:21UTSA 4th & 8 at UNT 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−6.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:23UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:21UTSA 4th & 29 at UTSA 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%−5.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:32UNT 4th & 12 at UNT 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.5%−4.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:30UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:27UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−3.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:38UTSA 4th & 2 at UNT 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.0%−6.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−12.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q3 9:26UTSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:06UNT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:09UTSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:35UNT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−1.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:36UTSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−1.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:38UNT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−3.6
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 0:15UTSA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.7 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.1%−1.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:4978% → 78%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
78.1%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
78.1%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSA 35Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
77.9%
Frank Harris pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2FG
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:0022% → 22%
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
77.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Aune,Austin pass incomplete short middle to Gumms,Var'Keyes PENALTY UTSA Personal Foul (Brown,Brandon) 15 yards from UTSA42 to UTSA27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
77.9%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
77.9%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-5
77.8%
Austin Aune sacked by Dadrian Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 15
OPP 32
+49
77.7%
Ethan Mooney 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 37 yds · 4:3878% → 76%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
77.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 2 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
77.6%
Frank Harris sacked by Mazin Richards for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 21Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+17
77.6%
Frank Harris run for 17 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
77.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+4
77.7%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+4
77.7%
Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
77.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Frank pass incomplete short left to Clark,De'Corian QB hurried by Richards,Mazin PENALTY UNT Holding (Crosby,Keelan) 10 yards from UNT49 to UNT39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
77.8%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+1
77.8%
Trelon Smith run for 1 yd to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
77.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 8
OPP 37
-1
76.3%
Frank Harris sacked by Enoch Jackson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:1224% → 24%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
75.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+2
75.8%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 6
OWN 42
-6
75.8%
Austin Aune sacked by Trumane Bell II for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
75.7%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the TexSA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:2775% → 73%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
75.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+7
75.7%
Kevorian Barnes run for 7 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
75.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 8 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
76.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexSA 48Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+12
75.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 12 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+25
76.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 25 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
76.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-7
76.4%
Frank Harris sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 15
OPP 20
0
75.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q1 1:54
4TH & 15
OPP 20
+36
73.3%
Jared Sackett 36 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 1:4627% → 30%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Var'Keyes GummsSimilar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
73.5%
Kaylon Horton run for no gain to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+58
73.8%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 58 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
72.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the TexSA 23Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 11
OPP 23
0
72.2%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Roderic BurnsSimilar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 11
OPP 23
0
72.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ethan Mooney) declinedSimilar
Q1 0:08
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+40
70.2%
Ethan Mooney 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:2871% → 70%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
71.2%
Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
71.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 3 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
71.1%
Shotgun Harris,Frank pass incomplete short left to Clark,De'Corian PENALTY UNT Offside (Vailea,Fatafehi) 5 yards from UTSA32 to UTSA37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
71.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
71.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
71.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
70.1%
Lucas Dean punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 4:3730% → 34%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
69.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jordan Smart for 6 yds to the NoTex 9Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+1
69.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the NoTex 10Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 10
-1
69.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 7 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Manase Mose) to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
69.6%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+3
69.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jordan Smart for 3 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+5
67.1%
Austin Aune run for 5 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Kaylon HortonSimilar
Q2 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
66.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 2 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q2 10:34
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
67.1%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+2
66.2%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 48 yds , Joshua Cephus returns for 2 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 5:3465% → 66%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
65.4%
Joshua Cephus run for 9 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+12
66.9%
Brenden Brady run for 12 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
67.3%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+8
67.4%
Brenden Brady run for 8 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
67.4%
Trelon Smith run for 4 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+4
68.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
67.2%
Frank Harris run for 1 yd to the NoTex 27 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by NoTex Frank HarrisSimilar
Q2 8:55
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+10
66.4%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
68.2%
Trelon Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+3
68.2%
Trelon Smith run for 3 yds to the NoTex 15Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
67.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Trelon SmithSimilar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
66.3%
Jared Sackett 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:5836% → 35%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
64.5%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 16 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
63.0%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
63.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
63.3%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Var'Keyes GummsSimilar
Q2 3:21
4TH & 6
OWN 47
-5
65.2%
PENALTY UNT Delay Of Game 5 yards from UNT47 to UNT42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:23
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
65.4%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the TexSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11END OF HALF
12 plays · 50 yds · 2:2364% → 61%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
63.8%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+3
64.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 3 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+11
63.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 11 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
64.4%
Frank Harris run for 11 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.7%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
65.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 6
50
+9
65.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
66.4%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Frank Harris) to the TexSA 45Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 24
OWN 45
+20
60.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 20 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:1238% → 37%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
62.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the NoTex 12Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+5
62.4%
Oscar Adaway III run for 5 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
62.6%
Austin Aune pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13TD
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:1466% → 77%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
66.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
66.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 4 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+5
65.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
67.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Barnes,Kevorian rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UNT23 (Wood,Kevin; Davis,KD) PENALTY UTSA Holding (Maka,Ahofitu) 10 yards from UNT27 to UNT37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+10
64.6%
Frank Harris run for 10 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
67.2%
Zakhari Franklin pass incomplete to Brenden BradySimilar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+15
65.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 15 yds to the NoTex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
67.3%
Brenden Brady run for 7 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+2
67.3%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
77.4%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:2026% → 48%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
73.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+54
74.2%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 54 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
52.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 19 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 2:4559% → 55%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
59.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
60.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 4 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
62.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 8 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
62.6%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the TexSA 27Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 31
OWN 27
0
58.5%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 31
OWN 27
+2
57.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 29
OWN 29
+1
54.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 20 , Roderic Burns returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:4945% → 45%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
55.0%
Shotgun Aune,Austin pass complete short middle to Horton,Kaylon for 2 yards to the UNT22 (Chattman,Clifford) PENALTY UNT Holding (Alberding,Asher) 10 yards from UNT20 to UNT10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+20
55.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 20 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
54.5%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+4
54.1%
Austin Aune run for 4 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 12
OWN 28
0
56.6%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q3 2:32
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
55.5%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the TexSA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:2356% → 79%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
55.8%
Brenden Brady run for 7 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
58.3%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
57.6%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
58.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Dan Dishman for 18 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
60.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+14
60.2%
Brenden Brady run for 14 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
61.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 2 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+10
61.3%
Brenden Brady run for 10 yds to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
61.2%
Brenden Brady run for 4 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+7
61.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 7 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
61.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 4 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.0%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:2828% → 63%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
72.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
71.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 1 yd to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+17
73.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 17 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
69.7%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jyaire ShorterSimilar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
70.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jake RobertsSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 10
OWN 42
-5
75.0%
PENALTY UNT False Start 5 yards from UNT42 to UNT37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+15
76.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 15 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
70.7%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
70.8%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jake RobertsSimilar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+44
37.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 44 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:0548% → 43%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.1%
Brenden Brady run for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
49.0%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
50.0%
PENALTY UTSA False Start (Almaraz,Ernesto) 5 yards from UTSA38 to UTSA33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
47.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+3
47.7%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 12
OWN 36
+4
46.4%
Frank Harris run for 4 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
43.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0365% → 65%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
35.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
34.5%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Var'Keyes GummsSimilar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
36.4%
Austin Aune pass incomplete to Jake RobertsSimilar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+23
34.9%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt blocked by Avery Morris blocked by Avery MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21TD
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:5146% → 91%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
46.4%
Joshua Cephus run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 5
50
+17
47.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 17 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
51.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+22
51.3%
Brenden Brady run for 22 yds to the NoTex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
51.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 3 yds to the NoTex 8Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+2
51.5%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 5
OPP 6
+6
90.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 0:5021% → 89%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
79.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
50
+46
75.1%
Austin Aune pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 46 yds to the TexSA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
68.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for 3 yds to the TexSA 1Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.2%
Oscar Adaway III run for no gain to the TexSA 1Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 1 yd for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:2328% → 96%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
27.5%
Frank Harris run for 22 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
32.1%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 7
50
+5
33.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
34.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+2
30.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 2 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+33
34.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 33 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
95.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 10 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
96.5%
F. Harris takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:15
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 10 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
+61.2
TD · Q4 1:38
Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 1 yd for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-60
TD · Q4 2:36
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
+38.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com