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FAU

Florida Atlantic 21 at UTEP 24

UTEP
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:21 · Morgan Suarez 52 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Pregame prior−3.8Home team on offense−4.4Garbage-time factor−0.3Score differential−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2Blowout margin+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:22: Teja Young 72 Yd Interception Return (Morgan Suarez Kick) — FAU win probability +19.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:57: Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Hardison pass to Trent Thompson for Two-Point Conversion) — UTEP win probability +32.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:11: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +24.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:36: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Austin Evans for 17 yds for a TD, (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +38.5 pts (now 61%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Gavin Baechle 27 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +31.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 7FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 11:21UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:33FAU 4th & 3 at UTEP 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    55.0%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    54.4%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:54UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:31FAU 4th & 15 at FAU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:55UTEP 4th & 3 at FAU 12, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.9%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    46.1%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:41UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 43, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30UTEP 4th & 4 at FAU 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.0
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:44FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:40UTEP 4th & 24 at UTEP 17, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−5.0
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:21FAU 4th & 15 at UTEP 34, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:54FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:36FAU 4th & 15 at FAU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−4.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:09UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−3.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 2FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 2:33FAU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:22FAU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:57UTEP Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    47.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:11UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:36FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:3940% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
40.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
40.2%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for FLORES, Reynaldo broken up by ANTOINE, Michal at the FAU35. PENALTY FAU Offsides enforced 5 yards from the TEP28 to the TEP33 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
40.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 5 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
40.2%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 33
0
40.2%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+2
40.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 35
+10
40.2%
Gavin Hardison run for 10 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 11:21
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
41.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 11 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:4859% → 58%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
41.1%
Larry McCammon run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+6
41.1%
Larry McCammon run for 6 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
41.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 12 yds fumbled, forced by Latrez Shelton, recovered by FlAtl for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
40.9%
LaJohntay Wester run for 7 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
40.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 3
OPP 27
0
41.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:33
4TH & 3
OPP 27
0
41.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, turnover on downs, . PENALTY Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:3942% → 43%
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
42.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 8 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+9
42.4%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
42.5%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-5
42.6%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Tyrin thrown to the FAU13. PENALTY TEP Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BYERS, Jeremiah enforced 5 yards from the TEP48 to the TEP43 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
42.3%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 9:33
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+6
42.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 6 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
43.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 40 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:2357% → 56%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+9
42.9%
Larry McCammon run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 1
OWN 20
+2
42.6%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
42.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 2 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+7
42.9%
Larry McCammon run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+3
42.5%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
42.5%
Larry McCammon run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 6
OWN 38
0
42.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-9
43.2%
N'Kosi Perry sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 2:31
4TH & 15
OWN 29
0
44.4%
Riley Thompson punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 5:3645% → 48%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
44.7%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+6
45.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 6 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
45.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 9 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 1
OPP 43
0
45.7%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+1
46.5%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
46.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+20
46.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 20 yds to the FlAtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
47.2%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+4
47.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+2
46.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 2 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+29
47.9%
Gavin Baechle 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6FUMBLE
9 plays · 67 yds · 3:4752% → 53%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
47.5%
Johnny Ford run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
47.3%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+20
46.8%
Zuberi Mobley run for 20 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
46.0%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 42 N'Kosi Perry fumbled, recovered by FlAtl N'Kosi PerrySimilar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+36
46.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 36 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
45.0%
Johnny Ford run for 1 yd to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
45.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
47.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 34 N'Kosi Perry fumbled, recovered by UTEP Ty'Reke James fumbled, recovered by FlAtlSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:2750% → 52%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
50.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-7
50.5%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Michal Antoine Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+14
50.0%
Gavin Hardison run for 14 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 5:41
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
51.8%
Joshua Sloan punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:0850% → 64%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
50.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
49.4%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
50.3%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
49.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 11 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
48.4%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
48.2%
Johnny Ford run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+21
48.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 21 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
35.9%
Larry McCammon run for 32 yds for a TD, (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 2:0340% → 49%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
40.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 20 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
42.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+34
40.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 34 yds to the FlAtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
45.2%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
45.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+5
43.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 5 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
48.8%
Gavin Baechle 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:3055% → 57%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
45.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
43.1%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 2:1656% → 55%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
43.8%
LaJohntay Wester run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
42.6%
Larry McCammon run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
42.8%
MCCAMMON, Larry rush up the middle for a gain of 7 yards to the FAU43 (HYLTON, Kobe). PENALTY Before the snap, TEP Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the FAU36 to the FAU41. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+2
41.5%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-1
41.6%
Larry McCammon run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
42.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:44
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
44.8%
Riley Thompson punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 1 yds · 2:0446% → 43%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
46.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+15
45.6%
Tyrin Smith run for 15 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
46.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-9
46.2%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Jaylen Wester for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 19
OWN 22
-5
44.5%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 24
OWN 17
0
43.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 24
OWN 17
+24
43.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 51 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 24 yds to the UTEP 41 UTEP Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13MISSED FG
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:1962% → 54%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
38.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 5
OPP 24
-5
38.5%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
39.1%
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 9
OPP 28
-6
40.7%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Bryton Thompson and Cal Wallerstedt for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 15
OPP 34
+52
46.0%
Morgan Suarez 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14INT TD
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:5947% → 31%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
46.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 3
OWN 41
-2
50.1%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+9
48.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
50.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 8
50
-72
30.8%
Teja Young 72 Yd Interception Return (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 1:1825% → 58%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
25.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+72
25.0%
Deion Hankins run for 72 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
57.6%
Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Hardison pass to Trent Thompson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0353% → 51%
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
47.5%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
46.9%
Johnny Ford run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 3:57
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
47.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Tony Johnson for 1 yd to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
48.6%
Riley Thompson punt for 30 yds, downed at the UTEP 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:4354% → 84%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
53.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-5
55.0%
UTEP Penalty, Illegal Snap on MEYER, Andrew enforced (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+6
51.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+19
53.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 19 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
58.1%
Gavin Hardison run for no gain to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
57.8%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+27
57.5%
Deion Hankins run for 27 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
59.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 4 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
83.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 4 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:2824% → 20%
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
76.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
77.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+6
76.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 6 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
75.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-4
75.9%
N'Kosi Perry sacked by Jadrian Taylor for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 15
OWN 33
0
78.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 15
OWN 33
+3
80.1%
Riley Thompson punt for 39 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for 3 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:2783% → 85%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
83.2%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+10
82.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 10 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
84.4%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 43
-5
83.5%
UTEP Penalty, Illegal Substitution (TEAM) to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 14
OWN 38
0
82.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:09
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
85.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 51 yds, fair catch by LaJohntay Wester at the FlAtl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 2:3317% → 61%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+16
83.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 16 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
82.0%
Johnny Ford run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 1
OWN 36
-15
79.3%
FORD, Johnny rush to the left for a gain of 5 yards to the FAU41 (SHELTON, Latrez). PENALTY FAU Personal Foul on HINTON, Dorian enforced 15 yards from the FAU36 to the FAU21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 16
OWN 21
+18
83.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 18 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
79.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+25
80.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 25 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
77.5%
N'Kosi Perry run for 9 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive Holding (Latrez Shelton) to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
38.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Austin Evans for 17 yds for a TD, (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 4:3656% → 96%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
54.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
53.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 16 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
60.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 1
OPP 46
0
61.1%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q4 2:05
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
59.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
61.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+13
63.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
66.9%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+7
66.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
66.8%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+6
67.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+27
95.8%
Gavin Baechle 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:36
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Austin Evans for 17 yds for a TD, (Morgan Suarez KICK)
-38.5
TD · Q3 3:57
Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Hardison pass to Trent Thompson for Two-Point Conversion)
+32.6
FG · Q4 0:00
Gavin Baechle 27 yd FG GOOD
+31.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com