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FIU

Florida International 34 at Charlotte 15

CLT
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:02 · Daton Montiel punt for 46 yds , Grant DuBose returns for no gain CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) to the Charl 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Home team on offense−52.5Score differential−39.5Pregame prior+5.5Garbage-time factor−18.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:48: Grayson James run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +3.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:02: Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +16.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:04: Lexington Joseph run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel PAT BLOCKED) — FIU win probability +12.7 pts (now 60%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:40: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 12 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST down — FIU win probability +11.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:54: Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 5 yds for a TD CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Bryson Whitehead) declined, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +2.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 6FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:19CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19FIU 4th & 1 at CLT 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.0%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    19.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:48CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    77.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:35CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:04FIU 4th & 4 at CLT 4, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.3%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−4.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:49CLT 4th & 11 at FIU 37, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    25.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:40FIU 4th & 5 at CLT 25, up 27
    Close callWent for it · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−4.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:17FIU 4th & 1 at CLT 1, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−8.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:31CLT 4th & 9 at FIU 9, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−5.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:49FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 48, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:02FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 47, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:01CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 49, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:32FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 43, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 0 of 2FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:31FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:48FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:02FIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:04FIU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:54FIU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:10CLT Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:20CLT Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:1886% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
85.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-7
85.5%
Chris Reynolds sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:1115% → 15%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
85.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 9 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 1
OPP 19
0
85.4%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:42
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+7
85.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the Charl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
84.8%
Grayson James run for 12 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 2:1285% → 84%
Q1 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
84.9%
ChaVon McEachern run for no gain to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-1
84.9%
Henry Rutledge run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 16Similar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 11
OWN 16
+5
84.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for 5 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
83.6%
Bailey Rice punt for 8 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:3117% → 20%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
83.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 5 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+3
83.5%
Grayson James run for 3 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+1
83.5%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+2
83.6%
Grayson James run for 2 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
83.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 9 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+9
80.1%
Grayson James run for 9 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 5:1381% → 76%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
80.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 6 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
81.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 6 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
81.0%
Henry Rutledge run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+1
80.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 1 yd to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 14
OWN 31
+12
80.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 12 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+2
81.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
81.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-9
81.3%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Jeramy Passmore for a loss of 9 yards to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 16
OWN 39
0
80.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 16
OWN 39
0
75.7%
Bailey Rice punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyrese Chambers at the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6TD
15 plays · 78 yds · 6:3324% → 46%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
75.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 6 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+10
75.4%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
75.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 19 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
75.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (Jacob Peace) to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 3:35
1ST & 15
OPP 48
-1
75.2%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 16
OPP 49
+3
75.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 3 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+15
75.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul (Darion Smith) to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
70.6%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
70.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 1 yd to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+10
70.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 10 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
70.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 7 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+8
70.6%
Grayson James run for 8 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
70.5%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the Charl 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
70.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q2 12:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:1859% → 58%
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
58.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+10
58.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jake Clemons for 10 yds Jake Clemons fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Alex NoblesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 41 yds · 1:4046% → 60%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
53.6%
Grayson James run for 1 yd to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+18
53.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 18 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
53.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 7 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+15
40.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:1842% → 38%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
41.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
41.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
37.9%
Chris Reynolds pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10MISSED FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:4260% → 67%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+21
39.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 21 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
39.1%
Kejon Owens run for 6 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+4
38.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 4 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+24
38.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 24 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
38.4%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
37.2%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 4Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
39.4%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
33.3%
Chase Gabriel 21 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 2:1530% → 25%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
29.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
29.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 13 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
30.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 13 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
31.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 18 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
32.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
32.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 9
OPP 35
-2
25.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 2:49
4TH & 11
OPP 37
-7
24.8%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Shaun Peterson Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 2:0975% → 78%
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+16
25.3%
Lexington Joseph run for 16 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
25.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+3
23.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
18.4%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-2
16.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+5
17.8%
Grayson James pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 5 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 5
OPP 25
0
22.4%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13INT
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:4011% → 10%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
11.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 12 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
11.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 8 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
10.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+9
10.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for 9 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
12.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
9.5%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14INT
10 plays · 74 yds · 4:4382% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
17.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 18 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
17.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
17.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 4 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+11
17.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 11 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
16.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offsides (Amir Siddiq) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
16.3%
Grayson James run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 6Similar
Q3 11:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
7.0%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q3 11:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
7.0%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q3 10:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
8.3%
Grayson James pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 71 yds · 3:468% → 6%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
7.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 14 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
7.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
7.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+14
7.2%
ChaVon McEachern run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
8.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
8.0%
ChaVon McEachern run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+9
8.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+18
8.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 18 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
9.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
9.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
8.7%
Victor Tucker run for no gain to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q3 6:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
0
6.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 91 yds · 3:3796% → 98%
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
4.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 5 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+17
4.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 17 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
4.0%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+33
3.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 33 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
3.7%
Grayson James run for 17 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
3.6%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:31
2ND & 10
OPP 20
-3
3.7%
JAMES, Grayson pass up the middle complete for -3 yards to FAIRWEATHER, Rivaldo caught at the CLT25 and advanced to the CLT23 (JONES, Wayne). PENALTY CLT Personal Foul on JONES, Wayne enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the CLT16 to the CLT8 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
3.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 3 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 5 yds for a TD CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Bryson Whitehead) declined, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:303% → 1%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
2.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 2:54
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+4
2.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
1.3%
Chris Reynolds pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:3599% → 99%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
1.5%
Grayson James pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 9 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
1.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
1.4%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
1.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 5 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-5
1.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (John Bock II) to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
1.2%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
1.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Grant DuBose at the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
6 plays · 90 yds · 2:391% → 1%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
0.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 4 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
0.8%
Johnny Martin III run for 4 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+17
0.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 17 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
0.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 40 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+23
1.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 23 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 4:0899% → 100%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.8%
Grayson James run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+14
0.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 14 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
0.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 3
OWN 47
0
0.7%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 3
OWN 47
0
0.8%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
0.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 46 yds , Grant DuBose returns for no gain CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) to the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 4:010% → 0%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
0.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 12 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
0.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 13 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
0.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Eugene Minter Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+3
0.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Johnny Martin III for 3 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-7
0.4%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Shaun Peterson Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 19
OWN 26
+15
0.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Shaun Peterson Jr.) to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
0.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive Holding (Jeramy Passmore) to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
0.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-4
0.4%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Alex Nobles for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 4:09
3RD & 13
OWN 49
0
0.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 13
OWN 49
+11
0.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Johnny Martin III for 11 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
0.2%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-5
0.2%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+2
0.2%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 2:39
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+4
0.1%
Haden Carlson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
0.2%
punt blocked by Reid Williford blocked by Reid WillifordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 1:120% → 2%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
50
+28
0.1%
James Foster pass complete to Grant DuBose for 28 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
0.1%
James Foster run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 1
OPP 13
0
0.1%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+3
0.1%
Johnny Martin III run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
0.1%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
0.1%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
1.9%
James Foster pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 5 yds for a TD, (James Foster pass to Taylor Thompson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 1:2099% → 99%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by FIU at CLT47 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
0.7%
[NHSG] Kneel down by FIU at CLT48 (team loss of 1).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 48
0
0.6%
[NHSG] Kneel down by FIU at CLT49 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:02
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q2 10:04
Lexington Joseph run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel PAT BLOCKED)
-12.7
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:40
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 12 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST down
-11.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com