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UTSA

UTSA 30 at Florida International 10

FIU
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 14, 2022 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:35 · Daton Montiel punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the TexSA 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior−47.5Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 13:01: Jared Sackett 44 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +0.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:41: Frank Harris pass complete to Dan Dishman for 42 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +1.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:30: Kevorian Barnes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:14: Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — UTSA win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:46: Kejon Owens run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK) — FIU win probability +0.9 pts (now 1%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 13UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 8:52FIU 4th & 7 at UTSA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.3%
    68% to make
    Punt
    3.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:52UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:13UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:35FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:38FIU 4th & 20 at UTSA 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:01UTSA 4th & 20 at FIU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:33FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 29, down 3
    Close callPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:27FIU 4th & 6 at UTSA 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:37FIU 4th & 13 at UTSA 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.0%
    68% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:52FIU 4th & 23 at FIU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:30UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%−0.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:09FIU 4th & 5 at UTSA 39, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%
    36% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:37UTSA 4th & 3 at FIU 24, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%−0.3
    68% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:44FIU 4th & 7 at UTSA 7, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−2.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:19UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 13, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:40FIU 4th & 11 at UTSA 41, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    2.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:24FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 46, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:56UTSA 4th & 3 at FIU 30, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:46FIU 4th & 19 at FIU 39, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:00UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 22, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:00FIU 4th & 6 at UTSA 42, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 9:27UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:41UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:30UTSA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:14UTSA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:46FIU Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1MISSED FG
15 plays · 57 yds · 6:012% → 3%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
2.2%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Josiah MiamenSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+7
2.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 7 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+5
2.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 5 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
2.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
2.2%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
2.2%
Grayson James run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
2.2%
Grayson James sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+17
2.2%
Grayson James run for 17 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
2.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 9 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+9
2.3%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 9 yds to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
2.3%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
2.3%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
2.3%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
3.4%
Chase Gabriel 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:3997% → 96%
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
3.4%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-5
3.4%
PENALTY UTSA False Start (Martinez,Frankie) 5 yards from UTSA27 to UTSA22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+10
3.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 10 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
3.3%
Brenden Brady run for 1 yd to the TexSA 33Similar
Q1 8:52
4TH & 1
OWN 33
+2
3.4%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
3.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q1 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
3.4%
Brenden Brady run for 9 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
3.3%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 5:13
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
4.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FlaIn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:384% → 4%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
4.3%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
4.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 1 yd to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
4.2%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Rivaldo FairweatherSimilar
Q1 4:35
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
4.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the TexSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:4996% → 96%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
4.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 5 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+14
4.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 14 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
4.5%
Frank Harris sacked by Jamal Potts for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 41 Frank Harris fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Davon Strickland , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:085% → 5%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+23
4.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Dean Patterson for 23 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-7
5.0%
Grayson James sacked by Nick Booker-Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 43Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 17
OPP 43
+3
4.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 3 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 20
OPP 46
0
4.7%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 20
OPP 46
0
5.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the TexSA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:3795% → 94%
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
5.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 8 yds to the TexSA 16Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+7
5.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 7 yds to the TexSA 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
5.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Frank pass incomplete short middle to Clark,De'Corian, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FIU Pass Interference (Cole,Adrian) 12 yards from UTSA23 to UTSA35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
5.2%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
5.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 6 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+9
5.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+31
5.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 31 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
5.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
5.4%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
-12
5.5%
Frank Harris sacked by Jordan Guerad for a loss of 12 yards to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 20
OPP 27
+44
6.4%
Jared Sackett 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:216% → 7%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
6.3%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 11
OWN 20
0
6.3%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Jacolby HewittSimilar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+9
6.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Dean Patterson for 9 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 11:33
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
6.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the TexSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 2:0693% → 95%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
6.6%
PENALTY FIU Delay Of Game 5 yards from UTSA30 to UTSA35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+4
6.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+6
6.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
6.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+15
6.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Harris,Frank pass incomplete short middle to Cardenas,Oscar PENALTY FIU Pass Interference (Hall,Dorian) 15 yards from FIU47 to FIU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
6.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 14 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
6.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Karch GardinerSimilar
Q2 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+13
6.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Kevorian Barnes for 13 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
5.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 5 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:505% → 7%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
5.4%
Lexington Joseph run for 35 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
5.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+6
5.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 1
OPP 31
-5
5.8%
PENALTY FIU False Start (Bock II,John) 5 yards from UTSA31 to UTSA36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
5.8%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+15
5.5%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 15 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
6.0%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
6.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 3 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 5:46
3RD & 13
OPP 24
0
6.4%
Grayson James pass incomplete to EJ Wilson Jr.Similar
Q2 5:37
4TH & 13
OPP 24
+41
6.8%
Chase Gabriel 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5693% → 95%
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
6.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 14 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
6.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+7
6.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 7 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q2 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
6.2%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
6.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
6.1%
Frank Harris run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+42
4.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Dan Dishman for 42 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 20 yds · 1:435% → 5%
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
5.1%
Grayson James run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+18
5.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 18 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
5.4%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Jacolby HewittSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
5.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Dean Patterson for 11 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
5.6%
Grayson James pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 2 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
5.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Intentional Grounding Face Mask ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 25
OWN 36
+2
5.2%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 23
OWN 38
0
5.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the TexSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:2295% → 95%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
4.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 4 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
4.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
5.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
5.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:216% → 6%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
6.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for no gain to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
6.0%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+5
5.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 5 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
5.8%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0996% → 96%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
4.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
0
4.3%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:2395% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
5.4%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the TexSA 27Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 8
OWN 27
0
5.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Brenden BradySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
5.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+25
5.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 25 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
5.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 17 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
4.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+7
4.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 7 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
0
5.0%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
5.6%
Jared Sackett 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 1:056% → 6%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
5.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
6.1%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Josiah MiamenSimilar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
5.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 11
OWN 36
0
5.9%
Grayson James pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:0295% → 98%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
5.1%
Kevorian Barnes run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+5
5.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
5.1%
Frank Harris pass complete to Oscar Cardenas for 9 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+12
5.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 12 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
1.9%
Kevorian Barnes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 73 yds · 3:393% → 3%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
3.3%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
3.5%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+55
3.3%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 55 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
4.0%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSA 8Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
4.0%
Jalen Bracey run for 4 yds to the TexSA 12 Jalen Bracey fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Jalen BraceySimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
3.8%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 5 yds to the TexSA 7Similar
Q3 5:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
0
2.6%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2598% → 98%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
1.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 5 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+1
1.6%
Kevorian Barnes run for 1 yd to the TexSA 13Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
1.6%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q3 4:19
4TH & 4
OWN 13
0
1.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:392% → 2%
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
2.4%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+11
2.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 11 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
2.5%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the TexSA 41Similar
Q3 4:19
2ND & 11
OPP 41
0
2.5%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Josiah MiamenSimilar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
2.5%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Josiah MiamenSimilar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
2.3%
Grayson James run for no gain to the TexSA 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:2699% → 100%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+12
1.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
1.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Dan Dishman for 7 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+17
1.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 17 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
1.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+14
1.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 14 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
1.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
1.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:501% → 0%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
1.2%
Kejon Owens run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
1.3%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+3
1.2%
Kejon Owens run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
1.2%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q4 12:24
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
0.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23FUMBLE
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:28100% → 100%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
0.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 23 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
0.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Chris CarpenterSimilar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+4
0.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+12
0.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Chris CarpenterSimilar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Isaiah DavisSimilar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+7
0.3%
Kevorian Barnes run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+18
0.3%
Eddie Lee Marburger run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 48 Eddie Lee Marburger fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Chance ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 2:100% → 0%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
0.3%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 9:56
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+2
0.3%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 9:56
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-10
0.3%
Haden Carlson sacked by Trey Moore for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 19
OWN 39
0
0.2%
Daton Montiel punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Chris Carpenter at the TexSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
0.2%
Jaylon Lott run for 3 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 18
0
0.2%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass incomplete to Chris CarpenterSimilar
Q4 7:46
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+4
0.2%
Eddie Lee Marburger run for 4 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
0.2%
Lucas Dean punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Dean Patterson at the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26TD
13 plays · 70 yds · 5:140% → 1%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
0.2%
Ross Fournet run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+1
0.2%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
0.2%
Kejon Owens run for 14 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
0.2%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Ross Fournet for 5 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+1
0.2%
Haden Carlson run for 1 yd to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
0.2%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Artez HookerSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
0.2%
Haden Carlson pass incomplete to Nate JeffersonSimilar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+15
0.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Carlson,Haden pass incomplete short left to Jefferson,Nate PENALTY UTSA Pass Interference (Frazier,Zah) 15 yards from UTSA42 to UTSA27, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
0.2%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Artez Hooker for 7 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+5
0.2%
Haden Carlson run for 5 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
1.1%
Kejon Owens run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chase Gabriel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
0.5%
Kneel down by UTSA at UTSA26 for loss of 4 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 26
-4
0.5%
Kneel down by UTSA at UTSA22 for loss of 4 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:30
Kevorian Barnes run for 9 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
-3.1
TD · Q2 2:41
Frank Harris pass complete to Dan Dishman for 42 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
-1.3
TD · Q4 14:14
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com