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CLT

Charlotte 20 at UAB 34

UAB
2022 · Week 7 · Oct 15, 2022 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+1.8UAB 98.6%Dylan Hopkins run for 61 yds for a TD,(Matt Quinn KICK)AWAY 20 - HOME 34 · Q4 1:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:01 · Dylan Hopkins run for 61 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 150Pregame prior+1.0Home team on offense+29.7Garbage-time factor+15.4Score differential+13.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.4Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:36: Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK) — CLT win probability +3.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:31: Matt Quinn 20 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +2.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:15: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 9 yds for a TD CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul (Wayne Jones) to the Charl 0, (Two-Point Conversion failed) — UAB win probability +7.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:56: Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CLT win probability +20.6 pts (now 43%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:24: DeWayne McBride 13 Yd Run (Trea Shropshire Pass to Dylan Hopkins for Two-Point Conversion) — UAB win probability +19.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 8:10CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:46UAB 4th & 17 at CLT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:16UAB 4th & 1 at CLT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.8%−0.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:44UAB 4th & 1 at CLT 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    80.2%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:11CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:00UAB 4th & 1 at CLT 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    72.1%−2.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    66.9%−7.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:31UAB 4th & 3 at CLT 3, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.1%−1.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    64.8%−7.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:12CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:51UAB 4th & 7 at CLT 12, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.9%−7.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:51CLT 4th & 1 at midfield, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.1%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:08UAB 4th & 3 at CLT 26, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−1.0
    64% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−8.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:19CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:24UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−3.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:49CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:41CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 1 of 4CLT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 13:57CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:56UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:36CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:15UAB Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    81.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:56CLT Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    39.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:24UAB Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:01UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
3 plays · 67 yds · 0:568% → 8%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
92.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
92.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Grant DuBoseSimilar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+60
92.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 60 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0192% → 92%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
92.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+64
92.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 64 yds to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
92.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
92.2%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Charl 1Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:468% → 10%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Henry Rutledge for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
91.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 2 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
91.7%
ChaVon McEachern run for 3 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
91.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Grant DuBoseSimilar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
91.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 2 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+11
91.7%
Henry Rutledge run for 11 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
90.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5MISSED FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:2491% → 90%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
90.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+17
90.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 17 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
90.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
90.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Terrell McDonaldSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 11
OPP 25
-6
90.8%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Amir Siddiq for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 5:46
4TH & 17
OPP 31
+48
89.7%
Matt Quinn 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:1010% → 14%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
89.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 6 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+16
89.6%
ChaVon McEachern run for 16 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+26
89.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 26 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
89.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 1 yd to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 9
OPP 20
-10
89.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Byrd,Shadrick rush left for 4 yards gain to the UAB16 (Cash,Grayson) PENALTY CLT Holding (King,Jonny) 10 yards from UAB20 to UAB30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 19
OPP 30
+28
89.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 28 yds to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7DOWNS
19 plays · 70 yds · 6:4787% → 82%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
86.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
86.6%
PENALTY UAB False Start (McGee,Quincy) 5 yards from UAB25 to UAB20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
86.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the UAB 30 UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding (Samario Rudolph) to the UAB 18Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+1
86.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 1 yd to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+13
86.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 13 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
85.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 11 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
85.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 22 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
86.1%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Charl 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
86.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Samario RudolphSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+9
84.7%
Dylan Hopkins run for 9 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+5
84.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
85.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+14
85.4%
Dylan Hopkins run for 9 yds to the Charl 10 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul (Prince Bemah) to the Charl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
85.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Terrell McDonaldSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
85.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Charl 1Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+9
82.1%
Dylan Hopkins run for 9 yds to the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:3319% → 21%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
81.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 12Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 8
OWN 12
0
81.3%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the Charl 12Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+3
81.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 3 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
79.0%
Bailey Rice punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9FG
17 plays · 50 yds · 6:4080% → 76%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
79.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 5 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+8
78.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Bryce Damous for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 7
50
+9
79.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 9 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
80.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
80.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
80.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+15
79.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 15 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
80.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+5
80.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
80.0%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Charl 6Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+4
74.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.4%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Charl 2Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
76.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Charl 3Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
74.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Terrell McDonaldSimilar
Q2 1:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
76.4%
Matt Quinn 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 1:1925% → 25%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
74.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 8 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-8
73.8%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Drew Tuazama for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.6%
ChaVon McEachern run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
75.2%
Bailey Rice punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
74.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 6 yds to the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
73.4%
Chris Reynolds pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:5676% → 77%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+35
76.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 35 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
78.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 8 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+4
78.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
78.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
78.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+1
77.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Charl 12Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
77.1%
Matt Quinn 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14FUMBLE
9 plays · 48 yds · 4:4325% → 33%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.8%
ChaVon McEachern run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
74.3%
ChaVon McEachern run for 12 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
73.1%
ChaVon McEachern run for 6 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
72.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for no gain to the Charl 47Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+3
73.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 1
50
+5
74.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
72.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+12
67.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 12 yds Elijah Spencer fumbled, recovered by UAB Will BolerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5373% → 84%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+26
72.5%
Dylan Hopkins run for 26 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
75.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 8 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+6
75.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
76.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
76.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+6
75.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 7:08
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+5
73.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 5 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+13
76.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 13 yds to the Charl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
76.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Charl 9Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
84.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 9 yds for a TD CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul (Wayne Jones) to the Charl 0, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1917% → 43%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
82.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
82.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Henry Rutledge for 19 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+18
80.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 18 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
77.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 24 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
57.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
8 plays · 81 yds · 2:2566% → 92%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+23
65.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 23 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
69.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 15 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
70.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+5
70.5%
PENALTY CLT Offside (Morgan,Dez) 5 yards from CLT40 to CLT35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+3
72.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+19
72.5%
Dylan Hopkins run for 5 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul (Nolan Groulx) to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
92.2%
DeWayne McBride 13 Yd Run (Trea Shropshire Pass to Dylan Hopkins for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0513% → 11%
Q4 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Henry RutledgeSimilar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.4%
ChaVon McEachern run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
87.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+9
88.6%
Bailey Rice punt for 55 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 9 yds to the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:5590% → 91%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
90.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 20 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
91.3%
Dylan Hopkins run for 13 yds to the UAB 32 Dylan Hopkins fumbled, recovered by UAB Dylan HopkinsSimilar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 23
OWN 32
+10
89.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 10 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 8:24
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
90.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Grant DuBose at the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 3:3513% → 9%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
87.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
86.5%
ChaVon McEachern run for 5 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
86.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for 3 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
86.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Eugene Minter Jr.Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+6
86.5%
ChaVon McEachern run for 6 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 4
OWN 38
-5
85.9%
PENALTY CLT Delay Of Game (Reynolds,Chris) 5 yards from CLT38 to CLT33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
87.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Shadrick ByrdSimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
90.6%
Bailey Rice punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:4893% → 99%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
92.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+2
92.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
92.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
92.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 4:49
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+3
93.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
93.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+61
98.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for 61 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:202% → 2%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.7%
Chris Reynolds run for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
97.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Shadrick ByrdSimilar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Grant DuBoseSimilar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
97.7%
Chris Reynolds pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
98.7%
Kneel down by UAB at UAB43 for loss of 1 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:56
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-20.6
TD · Q4 12:24
DeWayne McBride 13 Yd Run (Trea Shropshire Pass to Dylan Hopkins for Two-Point Conversion)
+19.6
TD · Q3 2:15
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 9 yds for a TD CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul (Wayne Jones) to the Charl 0, (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com