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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 14 at UAB 41

UAB
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:20 · Kyle Ulbrich punt for 55 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.1Pregame prior+26.6Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:48: Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +1.9 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:44: DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +3.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:54: Matt Quinn 19 yd FG GOOD — UAB win probability +3.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:43: DeWayne McBride run for 27 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +6.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:41: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 68 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +4.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 12:20MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:54UAB 4th & 2 at MTSU 2, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.4%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−6.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:01MTSU 4th & 10 at UAB 35, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:43UAB 4th & 3 at MTSU 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    86.5%−0.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−5.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:37MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 37, down 24
    Close callPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:30MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 39, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:15MTSU 4th & 5 at MTSU 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:07UAB 4th & 24 at MTSU 30, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:15UAB 4th & 9 at MTSU 49, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00MTSU 4th & 16 at MTSU 44, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    -0.0%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:04MTSU 4th & 4 at UAB 27, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.6%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:17UAB 4th & 18 at MTSU 24, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:17MTSU 4th & 7 at UAB 43, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:38MTSU 4th & 2 at UAB 7, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.4
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:06UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 12, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:18UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:48UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:41MTSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:44UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:43UAB Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 2:41UAB Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:18MTSU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:3678% → 78%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+46
77.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 46 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
77.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 10 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
77.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 5Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
78.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5822% → 22%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
77.8%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
77.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Yusuf AliSimilar
Q1 12:20
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
77.8%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 3:3278% → 80%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
77.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 14Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+7
77.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 7 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+10
77.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 10 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
77.9%
Dylan Hopkins run for 9 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+30
78.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 30 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
78.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Bryce Damous for 6 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+24
80.0%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 24 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:0121% → 22%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
79.3%
Joe Ervin run for 20 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
79.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Joe Ervin for 5 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
79.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 4 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
79.0%
Frank Peasant run for 3 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
79.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Quaterrius Tolbert for 7 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+9
78.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 9 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
78.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cunningham,Chase pass incomplete short left to Tolbert,Bud, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Thomas V,Starling) 15 yards from UAB24 to UAB09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
78.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Elijah MetcalfSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
78.8%
DJ Riles run for 6 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q1 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
77.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 15 yds for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:5078% → 82%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+45
78.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 45 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
78.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 2 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 12
OPP 22
0
78.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Dexter BoykinSimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 12
OPP 22
+13
78.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Bryce Damous for 13 yds to the MTnSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
78.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
78.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
82.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:5019% → 19%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
81.1%
Yusuf Ali run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+10
81.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 10 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
80.7%
Chase Cunningham pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7FG
17 plays · 72 yds · 5:5582% → 86%
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
82.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete short left to Shropshire,Trea PENALTY MTS Holding (Patterson,Decorian) 10 yards from UAB26 to UAB36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
82.3%
A.J. Gates run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
82.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+11
81.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 11 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
82.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
83.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 12 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
83.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
83.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Bryce DamousSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+12
82.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Fred Farrier II for 12 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
83.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
83.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+14
82.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds to the MTnSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Bryce DamousSimilar
Q2 13:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
83.1%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
82.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Bryce Damous for 4 yds to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q2 10:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
86.4%
Matt Quinn 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 2:5315% → 15%
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.2%
Frank Peasant run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
85.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Joe Ervin for 4 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+14
85.5%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 14 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
84.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 4 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+10
84.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
50
+15
84.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Frank Peasant for 15 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
83.6%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to DJ RilesSimilar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
83.7%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Andrew PaigeSimilar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
84.6%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Quaterrius TolbertSimilar
Q2 8:01
4TH & 10
OPP 35
-8
85.2%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Fish McWilliams for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 2:1887% → 93%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
87.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 23 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
87.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+2
87.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+1
87.0%
Jacob Zeno run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+27
93.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 27 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:019% → 8%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
91.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 1 yd to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+9
91.6%
Chase Cunningham run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
91.2%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
91.6%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:5693% → 98%
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+12
93.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 12 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
93.3%
A.J. Gates run for 2 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 4:37
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+9
93.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 9 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
97.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 68 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:112% → 1%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
97.6%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Elijah Metcalf for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
97.2%
Joe Ervin run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
97.5%
Chase Cunningham run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+1
97.1%
Joe Ervin run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-5
97.2%
Chase Cunningham sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
98.6%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
98.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 7 yds to the UAB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:392% → 1%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.3%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
98.3%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Quaterrius Tolbert for 5 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
98.2%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q3 14:15
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+7
98.8%
Kyle Ulbrich punt for 47 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 7 yds to the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15FG
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:0899% → 99%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
98.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+45
98.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 45 yds to the MTnSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Maleak BryantSimilar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+10
98.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 10 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.6%
Dylan Hopkins run for no gain to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-15
98.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hopkins,Dylan pass complete short middle to Bryant,Maleak for 1 yard to the MTS15 (Fluellen,Tra; Rayam,Jalen) PENALTY UAB Face Mask (Trehern,Matthew) 15 yards from MTS16 to MTS31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 25
OPP 31
0
98.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q3 14:15
3RD & 25
OPP 31
+6
98.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q3 14:15
4TH & 19
OPP 25
-5
98.5%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Telfort,Kadeem) 5 yards from MTS25 to MTS30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:07
4TH & 24
OPP 30
+47
99.2%
Matt Quinn 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:491% → 1%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Darius Bracy run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.2%
Darius Bracy run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.1%
Darius Bracy run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
99.2%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Darius Bracy for 7 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
99.1%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+6
99.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 6 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Frank Peasant run for no gain to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+9
99.1%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Frank Peasant for 9 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q3 10:07
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
99.1%
Frank Peasant run for 2 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.1%
Frank Peasant run for 5 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+15
99.0%
PENALTY UAB UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Bynum,Devodric) 15 yards from UAB33 to UAB18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
99.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cunningham,Chase pass incomplete short right to Toney,A.J., 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Thomas V,Starling) 15 yards from UAB18 to UAB03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
98.7%
Chase Cunningham run for 1 yd to the UAB 2Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.7%
Chase Cunningham run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd for a TD, (Zeke Rankin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:56100% → 100%
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+12
99.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:11
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+3
99.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 3 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-5
99.6%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Wells,Sidney) 5 yards from MTS44 to MTS49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18DOWNS
15 plays · 53 yds · 3:110% → 0%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to DJ Riles for 1 yd to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to AJ ToneySimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+9
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cunningham,Chase pass incomplete short middle to Gathings,Izaiah, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Swoopes,Keondre) 9 yards from MTS21 to MTS30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Quaterrius TolbertSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+10
99.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 10 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
99.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cunningham,Chase pass incomplete short right to Ali,Yusuf PENALTY UAB Holding (Thomas V,Starling) 10 yards from MTS40 to MTS50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
50
-6
99.8%
Chase Cunningham sacked by Nikia Eason Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 16
OWN 44
-10
99.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 23
OWN 37
+7
99.8%
Joe Ervin run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 44
+23
99.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Andrew Paige for 23 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Andrew PaigeSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.8%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Yusuf Ali for 6 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Izaiah GathingsSimilar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 4
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Quaterrius TolbertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 5:47100% → 100%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+34
99.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 34 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.8%
A.J. Gates run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+5
99.8%
A.J. Gates run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
99.8%
A.J. Gates run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+6
99.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.8%
A.J. Gates run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 13
OPP 19
0
99.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 13
OPP 19
+5
99.8%
A.J. Gates run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 18
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
Matt Quinn 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20DOWNS
15 plays · 70 yds · 3:390% → 0%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 2 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+20
99.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Izaiah Gathings for 20 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.9%
Darius Bracy run for 12 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
99.9%
Darius Bracy run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to Jaylin LaneSimilar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Chase Cunningham pass incomplete to AJ ToneySimilar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 7
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Jaylin Lane for 7 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
99.9%
Frank Peasant run for 7 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Chase Cunningham run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+12
99.9%
Frank Peasant run for 12 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Frank Peasant run for 5 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-5
99.9%
PENALTY MTS False Start (Falley,Seth) 5 yards from UAB10 to UAB15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Chase Cunningham pass complete to Quaterrius Tolbert for 5 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+3
99.9%
Darius Bracy run for 3 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+1
99.9%
Darius Bracy run for 1 yd to the UAB 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:32100% → 100%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
99.9%
Taven Curry run for 3 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+1
99.9%
Taven Curry run for 1 yd to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 6
OWN 10
-5
99.9%
PENALTY UAB False Start (Trehern,Matthew) 5 yards from UAB10 to UAB05. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 11
OWN 5
+5
99.9%
PENALTY MTS Offside (Smith,Damonte) 5 yards from UAB05 to UAB10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 6
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
A.J. Gates run for 2 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 4
OWN 12
+14
99.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 47 yds , Jaylin Lane returns for 14 yds to the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
100.0%
DJ Riles run for 16 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
DJ Riles run for 1 yd to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Joe Ervin run for no gain to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+15
100.0%
Joe Ervin run for 15 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.9%
Joe Ervin run for 3 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-15
99.9%
PENALTY MTS UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tinsley,Marquel) 15 yards from UAB10 to UAB25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 22
OPP 25
+2
100.0%
DJ Riles run for 2 yds to the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:43
DeWayne McBride run for 27 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q2 2:41
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 68 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
+4.4
FG · Q2 10:54
Matt Quinn 19 yd FG GOOD
+3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com