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UTEP

UTEP 31 at Louisiana Tech 41

LT
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameTD-19.5LT 69.4%Gavin Hardison pass complete to TrentThompson for 44 yds for a TD, (GavinBaechle KICK)AWAY 24 - HOME 30 · Q4 10:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:18 · Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 44 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime remaining
+32.0+16.00−16.0−32.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Home team on offense+4.7Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Garbage-time factor+2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4Time remaining+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:59: Deion Hankins run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +12.3 pts (now 35%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:33: Myles Brooks 44 Yd Interception Return (Jacob Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +15.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:20: Reynaldo Flores run for 3 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +11.7 pts (now 15%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:18: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 44 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +19.5 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:54: Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for 15 yds for a TD, (Parker McNeil pass to Tre Harris for Two-Point Conversion) — LT win probability +13.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 11
  1. Q1 9:47LT 4th & 1 at UTEP 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    57.7%−0.5
    38% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:36UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.9%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:00UTEP 4th & 8 at LT 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    31.6%−4.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:27UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:53LT 4th & 6 at UTEP 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−5.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:30UTEP 4th & 7 at LT 31, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:47UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 34, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.2%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:59UTEP 4th & 7 at LT 9, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−6.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:46LT 4th & 5 at LT 14, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:46UTEP 4th & 9 at LT 43, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    5.1%−0.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    5.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:40UTEP 4th & 11 at LT 14, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.8%−3.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:34LT 4th & 12 at LT 12, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:12LT 4th & 21 at LT 11, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−4.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:31UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:31LT 4th & 1 at UTEP 23, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%−1.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−4.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:28LT 4th & 16 at UTEP 35, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:28UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 33, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:50UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 42, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 13:26LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:47LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:02LT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:59UTEP Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:33LT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:20UTEP Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.3%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:18UTEP Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.1%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:54LT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:08UTEP Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.6%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:2752% → 53%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
51.8%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for 9 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
51.8%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 5 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
51.8%
UTEP Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Kobe Hylton) to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
51.8%
Parker McNeil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+15
51.8%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tre Harris for 15 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
52.8%
Tahj Magee 8 Yd pass from Parker McNeil (Jacob Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 2:0447% → 47%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
52.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 9 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
52.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
52.5%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
53.5%
Gavin Hardison pass intercepted UTEP Penalty, Illegal Formation (TEAM) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:3554% → 57%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
54.1%
Marquis Crosby run for 8 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+1
54.1%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
54.8%
Marquis Crosby run for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 9:47
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+38
56.5%
Tre Harris 38 Yd pass from Parker McNeil (Jacob Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 5:3944% → 40%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
56.1%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for AKHARAIYI, Kelly thrown to the UTE39. PENALTY LAT Pass Interference on ROBERTS, Willie enforced 15 yards to the UTE38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
55.9%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
55.8%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
58.3%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+21
58.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Luke Soto for 21 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
57.8%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 7:36
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+8
57.6%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the LaTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
59.8%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 17Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+3
59.9%
Gavin Hardison run for 3 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 8
OPP 14
0
60.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+31
59.9%
Gavin Baechle 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:5860% → 72%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
59.7%
Parker McNeil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.7%
Greg Garner run for 7 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
59.6%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 8 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
60.3%
Parker McNeil pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
60.0%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tre Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+11
60.1%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 11 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
60.5%
Julien Lewis run for 8 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+17
60.6%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 17 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
60.7%
Marquis Crosby run for 5 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+5
60.7%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 5 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
71.9%
Smoke Harris 9 Yd pass from Parker McNeil (Jacob Barnes PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3331% → 29%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
68.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-5
68.7%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Reynaldo Flores) to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 29
0
69.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+6
69.6%
Gavin Hardison run for 6 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 8
OWN 35
+12
70.9%
Joshua Sloan punt for 43 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 12 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:5774% → 77%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
73.5%
Parker McNeil pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+13
73.5%
Marquis Crosby run for 13 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
74.2%
Parker McNeil run for 2 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
74.2%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 3 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q2 11:42
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+12
76.1%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for 12 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
76.7%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tre Harris for 4 yds Tre Harris fumbled, recovered by UTEP Keenan StewartSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:3128% → 35%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
71.9%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+4
70.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+6
71.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 6 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
70.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Zach Fryar for 15 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
70.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+10
70.4%
Deion Hankins run for 10 yds to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
73.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+15
76.0%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Tyrin thrown to the LAT30. PENALTY LAT Pass Interference on ROBERTS, Willie enforced 15 yards to the LAT45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
77.0%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
64.7%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9FG
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:5968% → 77%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
67.5%
Marquis Crosby run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+28
67.1%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 28 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
68.7%
UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Kobe Hylton) to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
69.2%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the UTEP 14Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+7
69.2%
Greg Garner run for 7 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+1
68.5%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the UTEP 6Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 1
OPP 6
-5
67.7%
MCNEIL, Parker pass up the middle complete for 6 yards to HARRIS, Smoke caught at the UTE3 and advanced to the UTE0, TOUCHDOWN LAT, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY Before the snap, LAT Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the UTE6 to the UTE11. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:53
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
76.8%
Jacob Barnes 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:2025% → 9%
Q2 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-44
91.1%
Myles Brooks 44 Yd Interception Return (Jacob Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11FUMBLE
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:139% → 10%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
90.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Deion Hankins for 16 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
90.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 15 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
89.9%
Gavin Hardison run for 2 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
90.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+8
90.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 8 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
88.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+13
90.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 13 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
89.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+3
90.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 3 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
89.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 18 yds Kelly Akharaiyi fumbled, recovered by LaTch Reginald Johnson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.8%
[NH] Kneel down by LAT at LAT19 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13DOWNS
17 plays · 84 yds · 3:488% → 6%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
91.7%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+13
91.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 13 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.4%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
91.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
91.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 8 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 11:47
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+14
91.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 14 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
90.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 8
50
+11
90.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 11 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
90.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 9 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+6
89.7%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
89.7%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+5
89.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+4
90.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 4 yds to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
89.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
89.7%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
90.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 7
OPP 9
0
93.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1395% → 95%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
94.5%
Parker McNeil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+1
94.5%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 9
OWN 10
+4
94.5%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
94.8%
Austin McCready punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 44 yds · 5:066% → 3%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
94.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+14
94.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 14 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
94.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jostein Clarke for 1 yd to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
94.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
94.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 9
OPP 43
+10
94.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 10 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
93.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
93.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+19
94.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 19 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
93.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-11
93.3%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Jaiden Cole for a loss of 11 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 20
OPP 23
+9
94.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 9 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q3 1:40
4TH & 11
OPP 14
0
96.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:0696% → 97%
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
95.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Carson Bruno) to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 15
OWN 9
+2
95.6%
Greg Garner run for 2 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+1
95.6%
Greg Garner run for 1 yd to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 12
OWN 12
0
95.6%
Parker McNeil pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 12
OWN 12
0
97.0%
Austin McCready punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 1:403% → 15%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
97.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 15 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+6
97.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jostein Clarke for 6 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+6
97.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 6 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
96.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+19
97.0%
Reynaldo Flores run for 19 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.3%
Reynaldo Flores run for 3 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 2:0292% → 92%
Q4 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-10
92.0%
Parker McNeil sacked by Jadrian Taylor for a loss of 10 yards to the LaTch 12Similar
Q4 13:14
2ND & 20
OWN 12
+5
91.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 5 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 15
OWN 17
-6
91.6%
Parker McNeil sacked by Bryton Thompson for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 11Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 21
OWN 11
0
91.5%
Austin McCready punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the LaTch 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:5411% → 31%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
88.9%
Gavin Hardison run for 4 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+44
69.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 44 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 1:2482% → 95%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
82.3%
Parker McNeil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+8
82.1%
Marquis Crosby run for 8 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+64
81.7%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tre Harris for 64 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
95.4%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for 15 yds for a TD, (Parker McNeil pass to Tre Harris for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:238% → 8%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
91.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
92.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 25 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22FUMBLE
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:2896% → 97%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
50
0
95.6%
Parker McNeil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 10
50
+18
95.5%
Charvis Thornton run for 18 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
95.6%
Greg Garner run for 5 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 8:31
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+4
95.7%
Greg Garner run for 4 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 8:31
3RD & 1
OPP 23
0
95.5%
Charvis Thornton run for no gain to the UTEP 23Similar
Q4 8:31
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+40
95.2%
Jacob Barnes 40 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
95.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Ray Kelly) to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 15
OPP 18
-2
97.4%
Greg Garner run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 17
OPP 20
+7
97.4%
Marquis Crosby run for 7 yds to the UTEP 17 Marquis Crosby fumbled, recovered by UTEP Ronald AwattSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
95.9%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24FG
7 plays · -6 yds · 0:2298% → 99%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
97.9%
Charvis Thornton run for 1 yd to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-7
98.0%
Greg Garner run for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 16
OPP 35
0
98.8%
Parker McNeil pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 16
OPP 35
+52
99.3%
Buck Buchanan 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:201% → 3%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jostein Clarke for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:28
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+9
99.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
99.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
99.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.3%
Gavin Hardison run for 11 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.2%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+52
96.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 52 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · 10 yds · 2:0897% → 98%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
96.8%
Charvis Thornton run for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+7
96.9%
Charvis Thornton run for 7 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.7%
Kneel down by LAT at UTE35 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:18
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 44 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
-19.5
TD · Q2 2:33
Myles Brooks 44 Yd Interception Return (Jacob Barnes Kick)
+15.8
TD · Q4 8:54
Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for 15 yds for a TD, (Parker McNeil pass to Tre Harris for Two-Point Conversion)
+13.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com