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UAB

UAB 24 at Rice 28

RICE
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:34 · Kyle Greenwell punt for 60 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior−25.1Home team on offense+2.2Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:21: DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +6.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:01: Ari Broussard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +14.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 7:43: Treshawn Chamberlain 4 Yd Fumble Return (Christian VanSickle Kick) — RICE win probability +18.7 pts (now 51%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:36: Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 28 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +15.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:02: TJ McMahon pass complete to Dean Connors for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK) — RICE win probability +30.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:06RICE 4th & 1 at UAB 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    28.6%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−1.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:34RICE 4th & 26 at RICE 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:34UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:00RICE 4th & 25 at RICE 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:23UAB 4th & 10 at RICE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:06RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:20RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:03UAB 4th & 27 at RICE 46, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−2.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    74.0%−1.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:46UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 14, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−1.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:56RICE 4th & 1 at UAB 2, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.2%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−20.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:26UAB 4th & 14 at RICE 15, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 9.6 ptsWent for it · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%−9.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    29.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−16.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:07RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 15, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−5.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:06RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:21UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:58UAB Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:01RICE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:43RICE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:36UAB Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:02RICE Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:5420% → 25%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
20.1%
Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
20.1%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 10 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
20.1%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 28 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
20.1%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
20.1%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Boden GroenSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+12
20.1%
TJ McMahon run for 12 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
20.1%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+15
20.1%
PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Thomas V,Starling) 15 yards from UAB20 to UAB05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
20.1%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
20.1%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 1 yd to the UAB 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
20.1%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
24.9%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2INT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:2975% → 74%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
24.7%
PENALTY UAB Holding (Trehern,Matthew) 10 yards from UAB25 to UAB15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+5
24.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 5 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+14
24.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+7
24.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
26.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 2:0328% → 28%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
27.6%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 9
OPP 37
0
27.5%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-10
27.3%
PENALTY Rice Holding (Servin,Clay) 10 yards from UAB37 to UAB47. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 19
OPP 47
-7
26.9%
TJ McMahon sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 26
OWN 46
0
28.2%
Conor Hunt punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 3:0071% → 69%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
28.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 13 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
28.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
28.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 37Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
28.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+6
27.9%
Dylan Hopkins run for 6 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
31.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
31.3%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 3 Ari Broussard fumbled, recovered by UAB Kelle SandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 1:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
25.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 1:2127% → 27%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
27.4%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
27.3%
TJ McMahon sacked by Drew Tuazama for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 1:21
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
26.8%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-10
26.5%
PENALTY Rice Holding (Broussard,Ari) 10 yards from Rice20 to Rice10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 25
OWN 10
0
27.2%
Conor Hunt punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the Rice 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:3774% → 73%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
26.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 21 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
25.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-3
25.7%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Trey Schuman for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
26.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for no gain to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 12:23
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
27.0%
Matt Quinn 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 3:1128% → 28%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
27.5%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 3 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+6
27.6%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Cameron Montgomery for 6 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
27.9%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
27.7%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Bradley RoznerSimilar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
27.6%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 9 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 1
OWN 44
-4
28.6%
TJ McMahon sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
28.3%
Conor Hunt punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10TD
11 plays · 97 yds · 4:0871% → 79%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
28.6%
PENALTY UAB False Start (McDonald,Terrell) 1 yard from UAB03 to UAB02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 11
OWN 2
+2
28.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
28.8%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 4Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 9
OWN 4
-2
29.4%
PENALTY UAB Delay Of Game 2 yards from UAB04 to UAB02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+71
29.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 71 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
26.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 6
OPP 23
0
26.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to DeWayne McBrideSimilar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+11
26.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
26.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+1
26.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 1 yd to the Rice 8Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
20.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 8 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3122% → 21%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
21.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+1
21.7%
TJ McMahon run for 1 yd to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
21.0%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q2 3:20
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
20.6%
Conor Hunt punt for 49 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for no gain to the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
16 plays · 34 yds · 3:1778% → 79%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+29
22.0%
TJ Jones run for 14 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, Personal Foul (Gabe Taylor) to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
20.8%
Jacob Zeno pass complete to TJ Jones for 7 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
20.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+9
21.1%
PENALTY Rice Pass Interference (Fresch,Sean) 9 yards from Rice49 to Rice40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
20.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 2
OPP 32
0
20.5%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+3
21.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
19.7%
Jacob Zeno pass incomplete to DeWayne McBrideSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
19.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 11
OPP 30
-10
19.7%
PENALTY UAB Holding (McGee,Quincy) 10 yards from Rice30 to Rice40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 21
OPP 40
-10
19.9%
PENALTY UAB Holding (Wells,Sidney) 10 yards from Rice40 to Rice50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 31
50
+4
20.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 27
OPP 46
0
20.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
20.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for 6 yds to the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 2:1479% → 78%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
21.2%
PENALTY UAB Personal Foul (Collier,Reise) 12 yards from UAB25 to UAB13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
21.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-1
21.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding (Matthew Trehern) to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+1
21.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
22.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 12:46
4TH & 9
OWN 14
+8
22.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 8 yds to the UAB 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15TD
8 plays · 48 yds · 4:4523% → 38%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 8
OPP 48
+3
22.6%
Uriah West run for 3 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+20
22.6%
TJ McMahon run for 20 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
23.6%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
23.6%
TJ McMahon run for no gain to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+11
22.3%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 11 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
23.6%
Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
23.6%
TJ McMahon run for 4 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
37.9%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · -21 yds · 0:1868% → 49%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.9%
Treshawn Chamberlain 4 Yd Fumble Return (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:0049% → 71%
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
50.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+5
49.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
49.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
47.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 11 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
46.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+6
44.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
44.5%
PENALTY UAB Holding (McGee,Quincy) 10 yards from Rice28 to Rice38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+10
48.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 10 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+8
45.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 8 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 2
OPP 20
-3
46.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 12 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (DeWayne McBride) to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:36
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+5
46.0%
PENALTY Rice Delay Of Game (Schuman,Trey) 5 yards from Rice23 to Rice18, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-10
44.5%
PENALTY UAB Holding (McGee,Quincy) 10 yards from Rice18 to Rice28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:36
1ST & 20
OPP 28
+28
29.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 28 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
20 plays · 82 yds · 8:3036% → 72%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
36.3%
Uriah West run for 4 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+6
36.6%
Luke McCaffrey run for 6 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
36.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 7 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+3
40.6%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
38.9%
PENALTY Rice False Start (Klarkowski,Issac) 5 yards from Rice39 to Rice34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+17
37.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 17 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+21
42.2%
Cameron Montgomery run for 21 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
44.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-5
44.9%
PENALTY Rice Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Phillippi,Trey) 5 yards from UAB24 to UAB29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+2
44.8%
Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+6
42.1%
UAB Penalty, Roughing The Passer (6 Yards) to the UAB 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
44.9%
Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
44.9%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
40.2%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+1
37.0%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 9:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
42.4%
PENALTY Rice False Start (Groen,Boden) 5 yards from UAB01 to UAB06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
72.4%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Dean Connors for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19DOWNS
15 plays · 60 yds · 5:3634% → 19%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
65.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 23 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
61.1%
Dylan Hopkins run for 8 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
58.9%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+4
59.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
59.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+1
69.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Rice 38Similar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+13
69.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 13 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
66.2%
RICE Penalty, Personal Foul (3 Yards) to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
66.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 14
OPP 15
0
68.8%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q4 5:58
3RD & 14
OPP 15
0
72.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q4 3:26
4TH & 14
OPP 15
0
81.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:1987% → 92%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
86.5%
Uriah West run for no gain to the Rice 15Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
86.1%
Uriah West run for 3 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q4 3:26
3RD & 7
OWN 18
-3
85.3%
TJ McMahon sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 15Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
91.9%
Conor Hunt punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21END OF GAME
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0717% → 14%
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
83.4%
Dylan Hopkins run for 9 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+17
80.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 17 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-6
76.5%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Trey Schuman for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 16
OPP 41
+3
82.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 3 yds to the Rice 44 Dylan Hopkins fumbled, recovered by UAB DeWayne McBrideSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 19
OPP 44
-8
86.2%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Josh Pearcy for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:02
TJ McMahon pass complete to Dean Connors for 6 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)
+30
TD · Q3 7:43
Treshawn Chamberlain 4 Yd Fumble Return (Christian VanSickle Kick)
+18.7
TD · Q3 2:36
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 28 yds for a TD, (Matt Quinn KICK)
-15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com