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UTEP

UTEP 41 at Charlotte 35

CLT
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:46 · Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Home team on offense−37.0Score differential−21.2Garbage-time factor−13.4Pregame prior−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:33: Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 26 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +14.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:03: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 2 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK) — CLT win probability +17.3 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 13:46: Jadrian Taylor 100 Yd Fumble Return (Gavin Baechle Kick) — UTEP win probability +16.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:27: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK) — CLT win probability +13.9 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:11: Shadrick Byrd run for 13 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK) — CLT win probability +25.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 2 at UTEP 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:24UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.6%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:24UTEP 4th & 1 at CLT 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.8%−0.4
    79% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:38CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:27UTEP 4th & 1 at CLT 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.7%−1.0
    86% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−4.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:03UTEP 4th & 3 at CLT 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:28CLT 4th & 24 at CLT 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−2.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:38UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−0.6
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:45CLT 4th & 20 at CLT 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−3.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:36UTEP 4th & 10 at CLT 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−10.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:46CLT 4th & 4 at UTEP 29, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:19UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 44, up 13
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:26UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 22, up 6
    Close callPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.8%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:48CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:01UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:33UTEP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:20UTEP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:37CLT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:03CLT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:34UTEP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:46UTEP Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:27CLT Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:11CLT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:1243% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
43.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 9 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+15
43.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 15 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
43.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (Jaxon Hughes) to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
43.4%
ChaVon McEachern run for no gain to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+7
43.4%
Henry Rutledge run for 7 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+6
43.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Eugene Minter Jr. for 6 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+12
43.4%
Henry Rutledge run for 12 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
43.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 4 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
43.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+23
47.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 23 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:4753% → 55%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
46.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 10 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
46.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
46.4%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+6
48.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 6 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+2
48.2%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
47.8%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 11
OWN 45
0
48.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+15
48.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 15 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
47.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+8
47.2%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
47.2%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
47.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q1 7:24
3RD & 1
OPP 18
0
47.6%
Ronald Awatt run for no gain to the Charl 18Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+1
48.0%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
44.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 17 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:1748% → 45%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
47.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+3
47.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
47.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:55
4TH & 7
OWN 19
-5
46.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, False Start (Geo Howard) to the Charl 14Similar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 12
OWN 14
+1
47.0%
Bailey Rice punt for 39 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
45.4%
AWATT, Ronald rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the CLT49 (BOYKINS, Derek;JACKSON, Miguel). PENALTY CLT Offsides on SMITH, Darion enforced 5 yards from the TEP48 to the CLT47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 6:5755% → 56%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 5
OPP 47
+2
45.3%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+13
45.3%
Deion Hankins run for 13 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
45.2%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+8
45.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 8 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
45.1%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 22Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+10
45.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 10 yds to the Charl 12Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 1
OPP 12
0
45.7%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the Charl 12Similar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 1
OPP 12
+1
46.5%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the Charl 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
45.1%
AWATT, Ronald rush to the right for no gain to the CLT11 (BOYKINS, Derek). PENALTY TEP Holding on MEYER, Andrew enforced 10 yards from the CLT11 to the CLT21 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 20
OPP 21
+11
45.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 11 yds to the Charl 10Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+6
45.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 6 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
45.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+22
43.9%
Gavin Baechle 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 13 yds · 4:3546% → 46%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
46.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 9 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
47.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
46.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
46.4%
ChaVon McEachern run for 3 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 31
OWN 14
+38
45.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Henry Rutledge for 38 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-10
47.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Victor Tucker) to the Charl 7Similar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
48.6%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the right complete for 6 yards to MCEACHERN, ChaVon caught at the CLT46 and advanced to the TEP42; QB hurried by JAMES, TyReke (KNIGHT, Tyrice). PENALTY CLT Personal Foul on TUCKER, Victor enforced 15 yards from the TEP48 to the CLT37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 25
OWN 37
-6
46.2%
ChaVon McEachern run for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 31
OWN 31
+7
45.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 24
OWN 38
0
45.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:28
4TH & 24
OWN 38
0
45.5%
Bailey Rice punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 2:5554% → 71%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
45.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 12 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
45.0%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+11
44.3%
Gavin Hardison run for 11 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
43.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
43.6%
Gavin Hardison run for 6 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+8
43.0%
Gavin Hardison run for 8 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
42.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-15
40.0%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the left complete for 18 yards to FLORES, Reynaldo caught at the CLT22 and advanced to the CLT22 (GROULX, Nolan). PENALTY TEP Personal Foul on MEYER, Andrew enforced 15 yards from the CLT40 to the TEP45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 25
OWN 45
-5
43.2%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 30
OWN 40
+34
43.1%
Deion Hankins run for 34 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
28.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Trent Thompson for 26 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · -14 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
22.8%
Tyrice Knight 13 Yd Fumble Return (Gavin Baechle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
22.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:1679% → 80%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
20.9%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
20.9%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+4
21.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Deion Hankins for 4 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
20.3%
Joshua Sloan punt for 49 yds , Grant DuBose returns for no gain to the Charl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10TD
3 plays · 70 yds · 1:0121% → 34%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
20.5%
ChaVon McEachern run for 11 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+36
21.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 36 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
33.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 23 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · 19 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
30.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 19 yds to the UTEP 40 Ronald Awatt fumbled, recovered by Charl Davondre RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12TD
2 plays · 40 yds · 0:2332% → 50%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+38
32.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Eugene Minter Jr. for 38 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
49.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 2 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:2356% → 72%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
43.6%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
42.8%
Deion Hankins run for 9 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
41.8%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 3
OWN 45
-3
41.2%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 42 fumbled, recovered by UTEP Ronald AwattSimilar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+58
27.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 58 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:4328% → 25%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
28.3%
Victor Tucker run for 11 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
28.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+6
28.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 4
OWN 34
+6
28.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
29.8%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-3
29.4%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Jadrian Taylor for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 37Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-7
27.4%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Jadrian Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 4:45
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
23.2%
Bailey Rice punt for 40 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
24.6%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Elijah Klein) to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 4:0975% → 86%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+23
25.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 23 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
22.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 11 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+29
22.7%
Gavin Hardison run for 29 yds to the Charl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
21.1%
HARDISON, Gavin pass up the middle complete for 12 yards to FLORES, Reynaldo caught at the CLT0 and advanced to the CLT0, TOUCHDOWN TEP, score nullified by penalty, clock 02:50. PENALTY TEP Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on KLEIN, Elijah enforced 5 yards from the CLT12 to the CLT17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+3
21.2%
Reynaldo Flores run for 3 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+6
21.3%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-4
21.8%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Markees Watts for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 12Similar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
13.7%
Gavin Baechle 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16FUMBLE RETURN TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5019% → 6%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
19.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 11 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
19.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 23 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
21.4%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the right incomplete intended for TUCKER, Victor thrown to the TEP15. PENALTY TEP Pass Interference on BARNES, Dennis enforced 15 yards to the TEP26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
23.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+19
22.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 19 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
23.1%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass to the right incomplete intended for SPENCER, Elijah thrown to the TEP0; QB hurried by KNIGHT, Tyrice. PENALTY TEP Pass Interference on BARNES, Dennis enforced 5 yards to the TEP2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
23.1%
James Foster pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+100
6.4%
Jadrian Taylor 100 Yd Fumble Return (Gavin Baechle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:194% → 18%
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
3.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
3.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for no gain to the Charl 25 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jonny King) to the Charl 15Similar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+38
3.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 38 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
4.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
4.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 12 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
4.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+6
4.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+7
4.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
4.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
4.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+16
4.4%
Henry Rutledge run for 16 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
18.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 3:0892% → 94%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
7.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 11 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
7.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
7.2%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+1
7.7%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 6:19
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+11
6.0%
Joshua Sloan punt for 47 yds , Grant DuBose returns for 11 yds to the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:089% → 32%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
8.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for 13 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
9.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+14
9.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 14 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
10.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+16
10.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 16 yds to the CHARLOTTE 37 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive Holding (Dennis Barnes) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
11.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+1
10.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
13.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 9
OPP 10
-9
7.8%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Tyrice Knight for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 18
OPP 19
-7
5.8%
James Foster sacked by Bryton Thompson for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 26Similar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
31.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 13 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4188% → 93%
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
12.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+6
10.2%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+2
6.5%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
6.6%
Joshua Sloan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Grant DuBose at the Charl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
13.2%
Chris Reynolds pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:11
Shadrick Byrd run for 13 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)
+25.7
TD · Q3 11:03
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 2 yds for a TD, (Antonio Zita KICK)
+17.3
TD · Q4 13:46
Jadrian Taylor 100 Yd Fumble Return (Gavin Baechle Kick)
-16.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com