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TXSO

Texas Southern 24 at UTSA 52

UTSA
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadTXSO aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreTXSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:52 · Richard Garcia III punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Pregame prior+5.1Home team on offense+36.5Score differential+31.2Garbage-time factor+12.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.7Blowout margin+17.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:29: Andrew Body run for 4 yds for a TD, (Richard Garcia III KICK) — TXSO win probability +1.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TXSO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:13: Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 69 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +2.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:37: Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 23 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:25: Andrew Body pass complete to Jacorey Howard for 33 yds for a TD, (Richard Garcia III KICK) — TXSO win probability +3.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: TXSO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:49: Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 35 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +3.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7TXSO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:15TXSO 4th & 10 at UTSA 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:15UTSA 4th & 1 at TXSO 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.2%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:25TXSO 4th & 14 at TXSO 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:46TXSO 4th & 3 at TXSO 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:15TXSO 4th & 6 at TXSO 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:56UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:38UTSA 4th & 4 at TXSO 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:42TXSO 4th & 11 at TXSO 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:07UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, up 7
    Close callPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:45TXSO 4th & 2 at UTSA 26, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−0.3
    64% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:25TXSO 4th & 15 at UTSA 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:00UTSA 4th & 10 at TXSO 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:20TXSO 4th & 6 at TXSO 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:52TXSO 4th & 1 at TXSO 38, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:31UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TXSO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:06UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:31TXSO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:25UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:29TXSO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 14:13UTSA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:37UTSA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:25TXSO Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:49UTSA Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:51UTSA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSODrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:411% → 1%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+39
99.0%
LaDarius Owens run for 39 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.0%
LaDarius Owens run for 3 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 13
OPP 42
0
99.0%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to AJ BennettSimilar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 13
OPP 42
+3
99.0%
Andrew Body run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
98.9%
Richard Garcia III punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Joshua Cephus at the TexSA 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2TD
10 plays · 87 yds · 3:0999% → 99%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
98.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 7 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+8
98.9%
Brenden Brady run for 8 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+29
98.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 29 yds to the TexSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
98.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 13 yds to the TexSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
98.9%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSo 27Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+6
98.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSo 21Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
98.9%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the TexSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.7%
Frank Harris run for 19 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 2:411% → 2%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
98.7%
Andrew Body pass complete to Tavaris Achane for 13 yds to the TexSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.7%
Andrew Body run for 3 yds to the TexSo 41Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+9
98.7%
Andrew Body run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.7%
LaDarius Owens run for 1 yd to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
98.7%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Derek MortonSimilar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+5
98.7%
LaDarius Owens run for 5 yds to the TexSo 46Similar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 14
OWN 46
0
98.5%
Richard Garcia III punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4FUMBLE
3 plays · 20 yds · 1:0499% → 98%
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
98.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 10 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
98.5%
Kevorian Barnes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+6
98.4%
Kevorian Barnes run for 6 yds to the TexSA 32 Kevorian Barnes fumbled, recovered by TexSo Isaiah HamiltonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 5TD
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:502% → 2%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
98.3%
Andrew Body pass complete to Tavaris Achane for 3 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
98.3%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to AJ BennettSimilar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+10
98.4%
Trenton Leary run for 10 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
98.3%
Jacorey Howard run for 15 yds to the TexSA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.3%
Jacorey Howard run for no gain to the TexSA 4Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.3%
Jacorey Howard run for no gain to the TexSA 4Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.7%
Andrew Body run for 4 yds for a TD, (Richard Garcia III KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:322% → 2%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
Andrew Body run for 6 yds to the TexSo 31Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
98.1%
LaDarius Owens run for 1 yd to the TexSo 30Similar
Q1 3:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
98.1%
Andrew Body run for 2 yds to the TexSo 32Similar
Q1 1:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+53
98.0%
Richard Garcia III punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTSA 30 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Trey Moore) to the TexSA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4698% → 98%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
97.9%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+2
97.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to Brenden Brady for 2 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q1 1:46
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
97.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Joshua CephusSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+5
97.6%
Lucas Dean punt for 67 yds , Derek Morton returns for 5 yds to the TexSo 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:452% → 3%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
97.7%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Eyan MeansSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
97.7%
Andrew Body pass complete to Derek Morton for 6 yds to the TexSo 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+10
97.7%
Andrew Body pass complete to LaDarius Owens for 10 yds to the TexSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
97.7%
LaDarius Owens run for 6 yds to the TexSo 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
97.6%
Andrew Body pass complete to Tavaris Achane for 2 yds to the TexSo 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-4
97.6%
Andrew Body sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSo 39Similar
Q2 12:15
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
97.4%
Richard Garcia III punt for 44 yds , Joshua Cephus returns for no gain to the TexSA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1997% → 97%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+14
97.4%
Brenden Brady run for 24 yds to the TexSA 41 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Gavin Sharp) to the TexSA 11Similar
Q2 12:15
1ST & 16
OWN 11
0
97.4%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 16
OWN 11
+8
97.4%
Frank Harris run for 8 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
97.3%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 10:56
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
97.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Derek Morton at the TexSo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 10INT
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:593% → 4%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+52
97.1%
Jacorey Howard run for 52 yds to the TexSA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
96.8%
Jacorey Howard run for 1 yd to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+4
96.8%
Jacorey Howard run for 4 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
96.5%
Andrew Body pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:1997% → 97%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
96.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 14 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
96.9%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 19 yds to the TexSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
97.1%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the TexSo 41Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
97.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
97.1%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Brenden BradySimilar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
96.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:564% → 3%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
96.5%
Daveon Ford run for 1 yd to the TexSo 40Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
96.6%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Derek MortonSimilar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
96.7%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Tavaris AchaneSimilar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 11
OWN 40
+3
96.6%
Richard Garcia III punt for 34 yds , Joshua Cephus returns for 3 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:1797% → 98%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
96.7%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 6:42
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+28
96.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 28 yds to the TexSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
96.9%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the TexSo 31Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+31
97.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 31 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 14TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:473% → 4%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
97.1%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Personal Foul (Trumane Bell II) to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+16
97.0%
Andrew Body pass complete to AJ Bennett for 16 yds to the TexSA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.3%
Andrew Body run for 4 yds for a TD, (Richard Garcia III KICK)Similar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
96.0%
PENALTY UTSA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Booker-Brown,Nick) 15 yards from TSU35 to TSU50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2296% → 96%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.2%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
96.4%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
96.2%
Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.7%
Lucas Dean punt for 52 yds , Isaiah Hamilton returns for no gain to the TexSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 16FG
11 plays · 83 yds · 3:074% → 7%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+35
95.8%
Andrew Body pass complete to Derek Morton for 35 yds to the TexSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
95.3%
Jacorey Howard run for 4 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+3
95.3%
LaDarius Owens run for 3 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+3
95.0%
Dominic Franklin run for 3 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
94.9%
Andrew Body run for 7 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+4
94.6%
Andrew Body pass complete to Savion Sims for 4 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.6%
Andrew Body pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+27
94.6%
Andrew Body pass complete to Chaunzavia Lewis for 27 yds to the TexSA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
93.3%
Richard Garcia III 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4094% → 96%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.7%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
93.9%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+69
96.3%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 69 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 18DOWNS
17 plays · 48 yds · 4:284% → 5%
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.2%
LaDarius Owens run for 6 yds to the TexSo 31Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
96.1%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Tavaris AchaneSimilar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
96.3%
PENALTY TSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TSU31 to TSU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
96.4%
Andrew Body run for 11 yds to the TexSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.1%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to AJ BennettSimilar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
96.1%
LaDarius Owens run for 5 yds to the TexSo 42Similar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+6
96.1%
Jacorey Howard run for 6 yds to the TexSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.9%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to AJ BennettSimilar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
96.0%
Jacorey Howard run for no gain to the TexSo 48Similar
Q3 14:13
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+18
96.1%
Andrew Body pass complete to Derek Morton for 18 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
95.6%
Jacorey Howard run for 5 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+3
94.4%
Daveon Ford run for 3 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 2
OPP 26
0
95.2%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Derek MortonSimilar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+1
95.5%
Dominic Franklin run for 1 yd to the TexSA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:4196% → 96%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
95.9%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+11
95.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 11 yds Joshua Cephus fumbled, recovered by TexSo Tarik CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 20MISSED FG
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:395% → 4%
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-15
94.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Body,Andrew pass complete deep right to Achane,Tavaris for 20 yards to the UTSA07 (Taylor,Donyai) PENALTY TSU Personal Foul (Torrence,Mehdi) 15 yards from UTSA27 to UTSA42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 25
OPP 42
+4
95.4%
Andrew Body run for 4 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 29
OPP 46
+14
95.5%
Andrew Body pass complete to Tavaris Achane for 14 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 15
OPP 32
0
95.6%
LaDarius Owens run for no gain to the TexSA 32Similar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 15
OPP 32
+49
95.6%
Richard Garcia III 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 0:4895% → 98%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
95.4%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+42
95.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 42 yds to the TexSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
98.4%
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 23 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 22TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 4:062% → 6%
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
97.9%
Andrew Body pass complete to Eyan Means for 4 yds to the TexSo 17Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
97.9%
Jacorey Howard run for no gain to the TexSo 17Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 6
OWN 17
+9
97.9%
Andrew Body pass complete to Derek Morton for 9 yds to the TexSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
97.9%
Andrew Body pass complete to Jacorey Howard for 11 yds to the TexSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
97.7%
Jacorey Howard run for 3 yds to the TexSo 40Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-15
97.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun Owens,LaDarius rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TSU39 (Robinson,Jimmori) PENALTY TSU Personal Foul (Brown, III,Thomas) 15 yards from TSU40 to TSU25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:31
2ND & 22
OWN 25
+21
97.9%
Andrew Body pass complete to LaDarius Owens for 21 yds to the TexSo 46Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
97.7%
LaDarius Owens run for 6 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
97.7%
LaDarius Owens run for 15 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
97.3%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to Tavaris AchaneSimilar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+33
93.7%
Andrew Body pass complete to Jacorey Howard for 33 yds for a TD, (Richard Garcia III KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3695% → 99%
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
95.0%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 24 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
95.5%
Frank Harris pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 9 yds to the TexSo 42Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+5
95.5%
Brenden Brady run for 5 yds to the TexSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
95.6%
Frank Harris run for 2 yds to the TexSo 35Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+35
98.6%
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 35 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 24INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:532% → 2%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.8%
Andrew Body pass incomplete to AJ BennettSimilar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
97.9%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the TexSo 43Similar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
98.0%
Andrew Body pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25FG
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:4899% → 100%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
98.8%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the TexSo 33Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+8
98.8%
Frank Harris pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 8 yds to the TexSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
98.8%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSo 25Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
98.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to De'Corian ClarkSimilar
Q4 13:48
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
98.8%
Frank Harris pass incomplete to Zakhari FranklinSimilar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+43
99.5%
Jared Sackett 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:401% → 1%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Andrew Body run for 4 yds to the TexSo 29Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
99.3%
Dominic Franklin run for 7 yds to the TexSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.3%
Andrew Body pass complete to Kerien Charlo for 3 yds to the TexSo 39Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
99.3%
Chaunzavia Lewis run for 1 yd to the TexSo 40Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Daveon Ford run for no gain to the TexSo 40Similar
Q4 8:20
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+11
99.3%
Richard Garcia III punt for 38 yds , Joshua Cephus returns for 11 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:29100% → 100%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.6%
Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+9
99.6%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 9 yds to the TexSA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+33
99.6%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 33 yds to the TexSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
99.6%
Tye Edwards run for 10 yds to the TexSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
99.6%
Tye Edwards run for 7 yds to the TexSo 7Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 3
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Eddie Lee Marburger pass complete to De'Corian Clark for 7 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:590% → 0%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
99.9%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the TexSo 30Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Kevin Harris run for 1 yd to the TexSo 31Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+7
100.0%
Chaunzavia Lewis run for 7 yds to the TexSo 38Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Richard Garcia III punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
100.0%
Cam Peters run for 2 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
100.0%
Kevorian Barnes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Cam Peters run for 1 yd to the TexSA 24Similar
Q4 0:31
4TH & 7
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Lucas Dean punt for 76 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
100.0%
Daveon Ford run for 2 yds to the TexSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:25
Andrew Body pass complete to Jacorey Howard for 33 yds for a TD, (Richard Garcia III KICK)
-3.6
TD · Q3 5:37
Frank Harris pass complete to Joshua Cephus for 23 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
+3
TD · Q4 14:49
Frank Harris pass complete to Zakhari Franklin for 35 yds for a TD, (Jared Sackett KICK)
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com