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BOIS

Boise State 10 at UTEP 27

UTEP
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 23, 2022 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:59 · Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Latrell Caples, broken up by Dennis Barnes
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior−2.3Home team on offense+27.9Garbage-time factor+7.5Score differential+11.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:57: Jonah Dalmas 24 yd FG GOOD — BOIS win probability +38.5 pts (now 84%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: — UTEP win probability +18.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:01: Stefan Cobbs 15 Yd pass from Hank Bachmeier (Jonah Dalmas Kick) — BOIS win probability +15.8 pts (now 74%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 3:01: Gavin Baechle 25 Yd Field Goal — UTEP win probability +7.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:25: Reynaldo Flores run for 3 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK) — UTEP win probability +15.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 5BOIS made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:50UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:57BOIS 4th & 7 at UTEP 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:35UTEP 4th & 3 at BOIS 18, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.1%−0.2
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.7%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:08UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:10BOIS 4th & 12 at BOIS 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:00BOIS 4th & 13 at BOIS 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−2.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:14BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:20UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−1.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:39BOIS 4th & 7 at BOIS 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−1.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:01UTEP 4th & 4 at BOIS 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.6%−0.9
    90% to make
    Punt
    31.7%−12.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:01BOIS 4th & 19 at BOIS 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−7.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:35BOIS 4th & 15 at UTEP 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:59BOIS 4th & 15 at BOIS 46, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BOIS made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 13:01BOIS Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 4:25UTEP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 8 yds · 12:5014% → 20%
Q1 12:50
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
13.7%
Joshua Sloan punt for 7 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.7%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
20.7%
Ronald Awatt run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+7
20.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 7 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 2FG
11 plays · 33 yds · 6:5784% → 82%
Q1 6:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
16.1%
Jonah Dalmas 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
18.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Tyneil Hopper for 11 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
17.8%
George Holani run for 1 yd to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+2
17.9%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+7
18.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Billy Bowens for 7 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
17.8%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
17.8%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+3
18.1%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
17.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Matt Lauter for 2 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
17.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Davis Koetter, broken up by Latrez SheltonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
18.1%
pass incomplete to Latrell CaplesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 1:2519% → 22%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
19.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
19.9%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
18.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 8 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
19.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+11
20.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 11 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
20.3%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
20.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 6 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+8
20.2%
Gavin Hardison run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
20.7%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+9
20.7%
Gavin Hardison run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
20.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+4
20.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 17
-1
20.2%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
22.0%
Gavin Baechle 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
6 plays · 72 yds · 11:1023% → 43%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
23.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+5
23.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
23.9%
Gavin Hardison run for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-5
25.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores UTEP Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+7
24.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 7 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
43.4%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:5036% → 43%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
35.8%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
36.0%
Gavin Hardison run for 4 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+4
36.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
37.2%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
37.4%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
36.6%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
37.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+42
42.8%
Jeremiah Ballard 42 Yd pass from Gavin Hardison (Gavin Baechle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:0643% → 41%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
43.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Marcus Bellon for 8 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 2
OPP 49
-15
44.0%
Gavin Hardison sacked for a loss of 15 yards to the BOISEST 36 UTEP Penalty, intentional grounding (Gavin Hardison) to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 17
OWN 36
0
40.6%
Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 17
OWN 36
0
40.8%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 11:1071% → 57%
Q2 11:10
4TH & 12
OWN 37
+10
28.9%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 45 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for 10 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs, broken up by Ilijah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
42.2%
George Holani run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
40.6%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-1
41.4%
George Holani run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 37Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
42.8%
pass incomplete to Cole WrightSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 6:0064% → 57%
Q2 6:00
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
36.3%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 48 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
42.2%
George Holani run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
41.8%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 24
0
42.5%
pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 24
0
43.4%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to George Holani, broken up by Cal WallerstedtSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1457% → 57%
Q2 1:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
42.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 32 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Latrell CaplesSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
42.2%
pass incomplete to Latrell CaplesSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
43.2%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Davis Koetter, broken up by Dennis BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
42.0%
Hank Bachmeier run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 13:0174% → 66%
Q3 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
26.2%
Stefan Cobbs 15 Yd pass from Hank Bachmeier (Jonah Dalmas Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
40.0%
Hank Bachmeier run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 33Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
37.5%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
37.9%
pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
38.1%
pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+28
40.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Latrell Caples for 28 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
34.2%
George Holani run for 9 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+10
33.7%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Billy Bowens for 10 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 11:2032% → 42%
Q3 11:20
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
32.1%
Joshua Sloan punt for 57 yds , George Holani returns for no gain to the BoiSt 13Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.0%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.6%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
42.0%
pass incomplete to Reynaldo FloresSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 10:3965% → 58%
Q3 10:39
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
34.6%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 57 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
40.3%
pass incomplete to Billy BowensSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
40.7%
Ashton Jeanty run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 16Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
42.2%
pass incomplete to Stefan CobbsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:0150% → 75%
Q3 3:01
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
49.7%
Gavin Baechle 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
73.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
73.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 9 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
74.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 9 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+5
75.4%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
75.5%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+14
75.6%
Reynaldo Flores run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
75.9%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
75.8%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+12
74.6%
Deion Hankins run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
75.8%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 11Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
75.8%
Reynaldo Flores run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+1
74.6%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15TD
5 plays · 93 yds · 3:0131% → 25%
Q3 3:01
2ND & 13
OWN 7
-3
68.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive holding (Roger Carreon) to the BoiSt 4Similar
Q3 3:01
2ND & 16
OWN 4
-3
68.9%
George Holani run for a loss of 3 yards to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 19
OWN 1
0
73.3%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Latrell Caples, broken up by Ilijah JohnsonSimilar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 19
OWN 1
+47
74.4%
Marcus Bellon 47 Yd Punt Return (Gavin Baechle Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 11
OWN 9
-2
75.5%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Latrell Caples for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 1:2527% → 23%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
73.4%
George Holani run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
72.7%
George Holani run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+2
72.2%
George Holani run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
72.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive holding (Ilijah Johnson) to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
70.4%
George Holani run for 9 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+6
69.8%
George Holani run for 6 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
69.0%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Stefan Cobbs, broken up by Ilijah JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-5
69.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Roger Carreon) to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
71.9%
pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 38
0
74.1%
pass incomplete to Tyneil HopperSimilar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 15
OPP 38
0
77.5%
James Ferguson-Reynolds punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 9:1077% → 98%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
76.6%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Steven Hubbard) to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+2
76.4%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+7
76.1%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+16
78.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 16 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
80.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+12
81.2%
Deion Hankins run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
81.5%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
81.5%
Reynaldo Flores run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 38Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+9
80.7%
Reynaldo Flores run for 9 yds to the BoiSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
81.7%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+4
81.7%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+13
80.7%
Gavin Hardison run for 13 yds to the BoiSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
81.7%
Reynaldo Flores run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.7%
Reynaldo Flores run for 3 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 2:592% → 2%
Q4 2:59
4TH & 15
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Hank Bachmeier pass incomplete to Latrell Caples, broken up by Dennis BarnesSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
pass incomplete to Stefan CobbsSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 12 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
98.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Stefan Cobbs for 8 yds to the BoiSt 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+6
98.1%
Hank Bachmeier pass complete to Latrell Caples for 6 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
98.1%
BOISE ST Penalty, false start (Stefan Cobbs) to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
0
98.3%
pass incomplete to George HolaniSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
98.3%
pass incomplete to Cole WrightSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 46
0
98.3%
pass incomplete to Davis KoetterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19Uncategorized
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:4998% → 99%
Q4 2:49
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+8
98.1%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
98.1%
Deion Hankins run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+2
98.1%
Reynaldo Flores run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+4
98.1%
Reynaldo Flores run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.8%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q1 6:57
Jonah Dalmas 24 yd FG GOOD
-38.5
TD · Q2 0:00
+18.5
TD · Q4 4:25
Reynaldo Flores run for 3 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)
+15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com