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LT

Louisiana Tech 14 at South Alabama 38

USA
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Hancock Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · USA
modelUSA aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUSA scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:30 · Austin McCready punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+12.9Home team on offense+23.0Score differential+15.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.2Garbage-time factor+4.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:02: Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for 52 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +3.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:54: Diego Guajardo 24 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +1.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: Lead backed by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q2 8:54: Timeout SOUTH ALABAMA, clock 08:54 — LT win probability +2.0 pts (now 16%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:02: Yam Banks 24 Yd Interception Return (Diego Guajardo Kick) — USA win probability +7.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:06: Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 19 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +5.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:10LT 4th & 10 at LT 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:48LT 4th & 7 at USA 18, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    17.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    16.0%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:29USA 4th & 19 at LT 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:54USA 4th & 5 at LT 5, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.2%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:54LT 4th & 4 at USA 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−0.9
    32% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:58USA 4th & 5 at USA 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:30LT 4th & 9 at USA 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:39USA 4th & 6 at USA 25, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:28LT 4th & 17 at LT 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:59LT 4th & 4 at USA 4, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:04USA 4th & 28 at USA 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:22LT 4th & 16 at LT 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:46USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:02LT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:02USA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:06USA Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:51USA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:59LT Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:0182% → 82%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
81.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 19 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
81.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 18 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+25
81.7%
La'Damian Webb run for 25 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
81.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+13
81.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jacob Hopper for 13 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
81.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 3 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:3018% → 18%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
81.7%
Marquis Crosby run for 3 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 15
-3
81.7%
Parker McNeil sacked by CJ Rias for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 12Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 10
OWN 12
0
81.7%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Tre HarrisSimilar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 10
OWN 12
+57
82.4%
Austin McCready punt for 45 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 57 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:2217% → 17%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
82.6%
Smoke Harris run for 9 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
82.5%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+36
82.6%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for 36 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
82.4%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 12 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
82.3%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Tahj MageeSimilar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+3
82.4%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Charvis Thornton for 3 yds to the SAlab 18Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 7
OPP 18
0
82.3%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Kyle MaxwellSimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 7
OPP 18
0
82.9%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:1184% → 84%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
84.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 7 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+3
84.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
84.2%
Carter Bradley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5INT
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
83.2%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
83.3%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 4:1485% → 85%
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
84.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
84.7%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Devin VoisinSimilar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+8
84.6%
Braylon McReynolds run for 8 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
84.9%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 16 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+1
85.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 5:43
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+2
84.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 5:43
3RD & 22
OPP 42
+8
84.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 8 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 19
OPP 39
0
84.6%
Jack Brooks punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
9 plays · 96 yds · 3:2716% → 21%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+13
83.7%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tre Harris for 13 yds to the LaTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+12
83.9%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 12 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+12
83.9%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 12 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
83.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the LaTch 17Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
83.4%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
50
+2
83.0%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+52
79.5%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for 52 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8FG
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:0383% → 86%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
83.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 11Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+21
83.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 21 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
84.4%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Braylon McReynoldsSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+34
84.3%
Braylon McReynolds run for 34 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
83.9%
Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the LaTch 3Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
83.9%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the LaTch 3Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
83.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+24
85.5%
Diego Guajardo 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9INT
14 plays · 41 yds · 6:0716% → 15%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.6%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
83.7%
Greg Garner run for 12 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
83.2%
Greg Garner run for 2 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
83.1%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+12
83.2%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 12 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
82.5%
Smoke Harris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 13
50
0
83.1%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Tahj MageeSimilar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 13
50
+4
83.5%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 4 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 8:54
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+21
83.1%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 21 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
81.8%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for 4 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 8:54
2ND & 14
OPP 24
0
82.3%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 24
OPP 34
0
85.0%
Parker McNeil pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:4988% → 87%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
87.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+10
87.4%
La'Damian Webb run for 10 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
87.8%
Carter Bradley run for 1 yd to the SAlab 36Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
87.5%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+6
87.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 6 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
86.9%
Jack Brooks punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:3713% → 14%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
87.1%
Greg Garner run for 8 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+10
86.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 10 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
86.7%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 8 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 2
OWN 41
0
85.8%
Parker McNeil pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:2187% → 86%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
87.1%
Carter Bradley run for 8 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+6
86.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 6 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
87.2%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Lincoln SefcikSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-2
86.3%
Carter Bradley sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13INT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4717% → 10%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
82.8%
Charvis Thornton run for 4 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 6
OWN 25
-24
90.2%
Yam Banks 24 Yd Interception Return (Diego Guajardo Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:4710% → 10%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.7%
Marquis Crosby run for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
88.6%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-14
89.8%
Matthew Downing sacked by Jamie Sheriff for a loss of 14 yards to the LaTch 21 Matthew Downing fumbled, recovered by LaTch Yam Banks , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:0991% → 97%
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
91.0%
DJ Thomas-Jones run for no gain to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
91.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 2 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+19
96.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 19 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 3:364% → 4%
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.7%
Greg Garner run for 6 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+21
95.5%
Greg Garner run for 21 yds to the SAlab 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
95.3%
Charvis Thornton run for 6 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+2
95.0%
Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q3 11:06
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+2
95.3%
Matthew Downing run for 2 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q3 7:30
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
96.1%
Austin McCready punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:5198% → 98%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
97.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for 1 yd to the SAlab 10Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+9
97.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for 9 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+2
97.6%
Marco Lee run for 2 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
97.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 4 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to DJ Thomas-JonesSimilar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Carter Bradley pass incomplete to Lincoln SefcikSimilar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+22
98.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 46 , Smoke Harris returns for 22 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:113% → 2%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.1%
Matthew Downing run for 3 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
97.0%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 9
OWN 47
-8
97.1%
Matthew Downing sacked by Trey Kiser for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
97.7%
Austin McCready punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:3799% → 100%
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
99.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 15 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 2:28
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+15
99.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 15 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
99.3%
Braylon McReynolds run for no gain to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+28
99.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 28 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:430% → 2%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.8%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tre Harris for 9 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+43
99.8%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tre Harris for 43 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.7%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Greg Garner run for no gain to the SAlab 28Similar
Q4 14:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.8%
Greg Garner run for 2 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.7%
Charvis Thornton run for 1 yd to the SAlab 4Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Tre HarrisSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.5%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 4 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 4:55100% → 100%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.6%
Omni Wells run for 2 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
99.6%
Omni Wells run for 5 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+30
99.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jay'juan Townsend for 30 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 20
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Omni Wells run for no gain to the SAlab 47Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 20
OWN 47
+1
99.6%
Desmond Trotter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 48Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 19
OWN 48
+9
99.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Omni Wells for 9 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q4 6:04
4TH & 28
OWN 39
0
99.6%
Jack Brooks punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 2:421% → 0%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
99.4%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tre Harris for 8 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+9
99.5%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tre Harris for 9 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.4%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tre Harris for 4 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-10
99.5%
Parker McNeil sacked by Carlos Johnson Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 3:22
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+20
99.6%
Austin McCready punt for 40 yds , Jamaal Pritchett returns for 20 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 39 yds · 3:22100% → 100%
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.8%
Marco Lee run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+7
99.8%
Marco Lee run for 7 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
Marco Lee run for 3 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+8
99.8%
Desmond Trotter run for 8 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jay'juan TownsendSimilar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
99.8%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Todd Justice for 15 yds to the LaTch 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+12
99.8%
Omni Wells run for 12 yds to the LaTch 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:02
Yam Banks 24 Yd Interception Return (Diego Guajardo Kick)
+7.4
TD · Q3 11:06
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 19 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)
+5.7
TD · Q2 13:02
Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for 52 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com