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FAU

Florida Atlantic 26 at Purdue 28

PUR
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Ross-Ade Stadium
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Win probability · PUR
modelPUR aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playPUR scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 7:35 · Riley Thompson punt for 58 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 4 yds to the Prdue 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+33.9Home team on offense+1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:18: Charlie Jones 12 Yd pass from Austin Burton (Mitchell Fineran Kick) — PUR win probability +11.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:49: Dylan Downing run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +8.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:35: N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 16 yds for a TD, (Morgan Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +12.0 pts (now 30%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:01: Austin Burton pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK) — PUR win probability +16.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PUR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:21: LaJohntay Wester 5 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — FAU win probability +24.8 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PUR made the numbers' call on 3 of 6FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 7:35FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:17FAU 4th & 11 at PUR 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:42PUR 4th & 4 at PUR 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:51FAU 4th & 2 at PUR 9, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.1%−0.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:14PUR 4th & 3 at PUR 29, up 4
    Close callPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:05FAU 4th & 1 at PUR 19, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.8%−1.0
    77% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:42PUR 4th & 1 at FAU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%−2.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:23FAU 4th & 4 at PUR 21, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.0%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    26.2%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:27FAU 4th & 3 at FAU 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:29FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 30, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:55PUR 4th & 7 at FAU 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−8.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:13PUR 4th & 7 at FAU 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    66.7%−2.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:07PUR 4th & 2 at PUR 46, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.1 ptsPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.2%−6.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:46FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 46, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.2%−12.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PUR made the numbers' call on 4 of 4FAU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:48PUR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:46FAU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:18PUR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:49PUR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:35FAU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:01PUR Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.9
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:21FAU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    31.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    31.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PURDrive 1TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 5:0888% → 87%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
87.5%
Dylan Downing run for 3 yds to the Prdue 26Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+30
87.5%
Dylan Downing run for 30 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
87.5%
Austin Burton pass complete to Charlie Jones for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
87.5%
Austin Burton pass complete to Charlie Jones for 3 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+8
87.5%
Austin Burton run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
87.5%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+13
87.5%
Austin Burton pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 13 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
87.5%
Austin Burton pass complete to Charlie Jones for 2 yds to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
87.5%
Austin Burton pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 4 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
87.1%
Austin Burton pass complete to Charlie Jones for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1313% → 13%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.8%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
86.8%
LaJohntay Wester run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
86.8%
Larry McCammon run for no gain to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
86.7%
Riley Thompson punt for 58 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 4 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:1587% → 87%
Q1 7:35
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+18
86.5%
Austin Burton pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 18 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
86.6%
Austin Burton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
86.6%
Devin Mockobee run for 2 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
86.6%
Austin Burton pass complete to Charlie Jones for no gain fumbled, forced by Romain Mungin, recovered by FlAtl Romain MunginSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0314% → 14%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
85.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
85.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-1
86.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 34Similar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 11
OPP 34
0
86.4%
Riley Thompson punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Charlie Jones at the Prdue 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 29 yds · 1:3586% → 86%
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+23
86.4%
Dylan Downing run for 23 yds to the Prdue 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
86.4%
Austin Burton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
86.4%
Austin Burton run for 6 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
86.5%
Austin Burton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+7
86.0%
Jack Ansell punt for 45 yds , LaJohntay Wester returns for 7 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:5114% → 17%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
86.1%
Zuberi Mobley run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+5
85.9%
Zuberi Mobley run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
85.9%
PURDUE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Branson Deen) to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
85.6%
Zuberi Mobley run for 6 yds to the Prdue 48Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+2
85.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 2 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
85.5%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the Prdue 45Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+10
85.8%
PERRY, N'Kosi pass to the right incomplete intended for WESTER, LaJohntay thrown to the PUR30. PENALTY PUR Holding on BROWN, Jamari enforced 10 yards from the PUR45 to the PUR35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
85.2%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+16
85.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 16 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
84.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the Prdue 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+6
84.0%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 9
0
84.5%
Johnny Ford run for no gain to the Prdue 9Similar
Q2 13:51
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+27
82.7%
Morgan Suarez 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3283% → 82%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
83.2%
Michael Alaimo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+7
83.2%
Michael Alaimo run for 7 yds to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
83.0%
Michael Alaimo pass complete to Payne Durham for no gain to the Prdue 29Similar
Q2 12:14
4TH & 3
OWN 29
0
82.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 67 yds, downed at the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 96 yds · 6:2817% → 28%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
83.0%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OWN 5
0
83.1%
Larry McCammon run for no gain to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+10
83.5%
Larry McCammon run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
82.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+4
83.0%
Larry McCammon run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+24
83.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Austin Evans for 24 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
81.9%
Larry McCammon run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+24
81.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 24 yds to the Prdue 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
81.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Tony Johnson for 3 yds to the Prdue 25Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
81.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 1 yd to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+5
81.6%
Larry McCammon run for 5 yds to the Prdue 19Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+2
80.4%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
79.0%
Larry McCammon run for 4 yds to the Prdue 13Similar
Q2 5:46
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
72.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 13 yds for a TD, (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5677% → 75%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
76.6%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 47Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+6
76.7%
Dylan Downing run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 2
OPP 47
+1
76.7%
Austin Burton run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
74.9%
Dylan Downing run for no gain to the FlAtl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:1928% → 36%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
71.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Johnny Ford for 14 yds to the Prdue 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
71.3%
Johnny Ford run for 6 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+7
70.5%
Johnny Ford run for 7 yds to the Prdue 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
70.5%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the Prdue 24Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+3
70.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 3 yds to the Prdue 21Similar
Q2 3:42
3RD & 4
OPP 21
0
71.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+39
64.0%
Morgan Suarez 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 11TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 0:5968% → 81%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
67.5%
Austin Burton pass complete to Payne Durham for 8 yds to the Prdue 33Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
69.5%
Austin Burton pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 11 yds to the Prdue 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+28
69.7%
Austin Burton pass complete to Devin Mockobee for 28 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
72.3%
Austin Burton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+13
72.0%
Austin Burton pass complete to Charlie Jones for 13 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
70.0%
Austin Burton pass complete to Charlie Jones for 3 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+12
81.2%
Charlie Jones 12 Yd pass from Austin Burton (Mitchell Fineran Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
77.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3322% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
77.8%
N'Kosi Perry run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
76.6%
N'Kosi Perry run for no gain to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
77.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+40
78.4%
Riley Thompson punt for 46 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 40 yds to the PURDUE 28 PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul Holding enforced ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 14TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:3880% → 88%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
80.3%
Dylan Downing run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+15
80.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Dwight Toombs) to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
80.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Roughing the Passer on MUNGIN, Romain enforced half the distance from the goal (Romain Mungin) to the FlAtl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
80.8%
Austin Burton pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q3 13:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-3
80.8%
Austin Burton run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q3 13:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+12
78.9%
BURTON, Austin pass up the middle incomplete intended for DURHAM, Payne thrown to the FAU0. PENALTY FAU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Eddie enforced 12 yards to the FAU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
87.6%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2015% → 14%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
85.0%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
85.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Tony Johnson for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
85.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
86.0%
Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds , Charlie Jones returns for 5 yds to the Prdue 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 16INT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:1586% → 88%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
86.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 7 yds to the Prdue 39Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+12
87.1%
Devin Mockobee run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+27
87.3%
BURTON, Austin pass to the left complete for 27 yards to DURHAM, Payne caught at the FAU35 and advanced to the FAU35 (YOUNG, Teja), 1ST DOWN. PENALTY PUR Holding on MBOW, Marcus FAU Holding on YOUNG, Teja , Offsetting penalties [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
87.3%
Kobe Lewis run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+8
87.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
87.4%
Kobe Lewis run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
87.6%
Austin Burton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
88.3%
Austin Burton pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:3916% → 30%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
84.5%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+43
84.4%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 43 yds to the Prdue 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
81.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
82.0%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the Prdue 16Similar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 9
OPP 16
+16
70.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 16 yds for a TD, (Morgan Suarez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:3474% → 73%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
74.0%
Dylan Downing run for 5 yds to the Prdue 34Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+16
75.2%
Dylan Downing run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
50
+1
76.9%
Dylan Downing run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
76.8%
Austin Burton pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+7
74.9%
Austin Burton pass complete to Payne Durham for 7 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+10
75.0%
BURTON, Austin pass to the right complete for 3 yards to TRACY JR., Tyrone caught at the FAU40 and advanced to the FAU39 (YOUNG, Teja). PENALTY FAU Holding on YOUNG, Teja enforced 10 yards from the FAU42 to the FAU32 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
77.9%
Kobe Lewis run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 7
OPP 29
-6
77.9%
Austin Burton sacked by Latrell Jean for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+6
73.1%
Austin Burton pass complete to Tyrone Tracy for 6 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
72.9%
Mitchell Fineran 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19INT
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:4230% → 25%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
70.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
67.6%
N'Kosi Perry run for 21 yds to the Prdue 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
65.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+22
65.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 22 yds to the Prdue 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
64.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 6 yds to the Prdue 7Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+3
64.7%
Johnny Ford run for 3 yds to the Prdue 4Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
66.3%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the Prdue 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
64.7%
Zuberi Mobley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Prdue 3Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
64.7%
PERRY, N'Kosi pass to the right complete for 3 yards to BURTON, Je'Quan caught at the PUR0 and advanced to the PUR0, TOUCHDOWN FAU, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY FAU Personal Foul on PASLEY, Jacob enforced 15 yards from the PUR3 to the PUR18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
0
66.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
0
65.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
75.5%
MOCKOBEE, Devin rush to the left for a gain of 2 yards to the FAU33 (MUNGIN, Romain). PENALTY PUR Holding on MBOW, Marcus enforced 10 yards from the FAU35 to the FAU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 20TD
7 plays · 35 yds · 3:1273% → 92%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 20
OPP 45
0
72.5%
Austin Burton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+3
72.2%
Austin Burton run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 17
OPP 42
0
70.7%
PURDUE Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+14
70.8%
Austin Burton pass complete to Charlie Jones for 14 yds to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
75.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
75.4%
Devin Mockobee run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 4Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
92.3%
Austin Burton pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4011% → 41%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
89.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 28 N'Kosi Perry fumbled, recovered by FlAtl N'Kosi PerrySimilar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
88.2%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
88.7%
PURDUE Penalty, Personal Foul (OC Brothers) to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+39
86.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 39 yds to the Prdue 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
84.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Zuberi Mobley for 4 yds to the Prdue 12Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+7
84.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for 7 yds to the Prdue 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
59.3%
LaJohntay Wester 5 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 3:1475% → 77%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
74.5%
Dylan Downing run for 13 yds to the Prdue 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
76.2%
Dylan Downing run for 4 yds to the Prdue 42Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
79.6%
Dylan Downing run for 2 yds to the Prdue 44Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
78.3%
Austin Burton pass complete to Payne Durham for 2 yds to the Prdue 46Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
77.1%
Jack Ansell punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 1 yds · 1:2131% → 30%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
68.8%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
69.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+15
71.1%
N'Kosi Perry run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
65.7%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 6 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
62.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
68.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Tony Johnson for 3 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q4 0:46
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+4
70.3%
N'Kosi Perry run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 21 N'Kosi Perry fumbled, recovered by Prdue Sanoussi KaneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PURDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 27
-4
95.3%
Austin Burton run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 31 Austin Burton fumbled, recovered by Prdue Austin BurtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:21
LaJohntay Wester 5 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-24.8
TD · Q4 8:01
Austin Burton pass complete to TJ Sheffield for 4 yds for a TD, (Mitchell Fineran KICK)
+16.9
TD · Q3 4:35
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 16 yds for a TD, (Morgan Suarez KICK)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com