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2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:42 · Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds, downed at the WKent 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 19Pregame prior+43.5Home team on offense−0.5Score differential−0.6Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:16: Malachi Corley 76 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Brayden Narveson Kick) — WKU win probability +0.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: Austin Reed pass complete to Joey Beljan for 9 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +0.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:36: Malachi Corley 19 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Brayden Narveson Kick) — WKU win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:23: Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +0.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:01: Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 19 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4FIU made the numbers' call on 12 of 14
  1. Q1 13:19FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:30WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:42FIU 4th & 4 at WKU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    4.9%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:14FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:02FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:23FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:55FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:24FIU 4th & 1 at WKU 49, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:19FIU 4th & 19 at FIU 16, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:22WKU 4th & 7 at FIU 12, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:40FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 28, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:31FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 34, down 60
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:01FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 41, down 60
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:25WKU 4th & 12 at WKU 20, up 60
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:30FIU 4th & 5 at WKU 49, down 67
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:21FIU 4th & 6 at midfield, down 67
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:39WKU 4th & 17 at FIU 22, up 67
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:04FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 36, down 67
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 5:16WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:36WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:23WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:01WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:26WKU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:30WKU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:31WKU Touchdown, up 58 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:03WKU Touchdown, up 66 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:20WKU Touchdown, up 73 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:373% → 4%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
96.7%
Grayson James run for no gain to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+4
96.7%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
96.7%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
96.4%
Daton Montiel punt for 51 yds, downed at the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4996% → 96%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
96.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+2
96.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 2 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+6
96.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 6 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q1 11:30
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
96.1%
Tom Ellard punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:484% → 5%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
96.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 2 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+1
96.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 1 yd to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+14
96.1%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 14 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
96.1%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+10
96.1%
Grayson James run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:32
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
95.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 4 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 7:32
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+2
95.1%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q1 6:42
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
95.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 40 yds, downed at the WKent 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 94 yds · 1:2695% → 96%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
95.1%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 7
OWN 9
0
95.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 7
OWN 9
+9
95.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 9 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
95.1%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+76
95.6%
Malachi Corley 76 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:025% → 5%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.4%
Grayson James run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
95.4%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
95.4%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
95.1%
Daton Montiel punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Talique Allen at the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 84 yds · 3:1495% → 96%
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
95.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 17 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
95.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 6 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+5
95.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 5 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+28
95.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 28 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
95.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
95.5%
Kye Robichaux run for no gain to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Joey Beljan for 9 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 14:564% → 5%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
95.8%
Grayson James run for no gain to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-8
95.8%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 14 Lexington Joseph fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Grayson JamesSimilar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 18
OWN 14
+2
95.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q2 13:02
4TH & 16
OWN 16
0
95.7%
Daton Montiel punt for 50 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
95.1%
Q2 0:00
3RD & 18
OWN 14
+2
95.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2696% → 98%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
96.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 1 yd to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+27
96.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Joshua Simon for 27 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.1%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+15
96.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Personal Foul (Dorian Hall) to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
96.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
96.2%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:02
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-5
96.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 15
OPP 21
+19
97.6%
Malachi Corley 19 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:183% → 3%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.5%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Dean Patterson for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
97.4%
Haden Carlson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:4998% → 98%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+29
97.7%
Jaylen Hall run for 29 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
97.7%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 10:12
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
97.7%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
98.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 3:281% → 1%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.8%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
98.8%
Haden Carlson run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.8%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.2%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
99.2%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Kris Mitchell for no gain to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 4:55
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
99.3%
Daton Montiel punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 10 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 2 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+49
99.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 49 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
99.3%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 19 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:320% → 1%
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.6%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.6%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Jalen Bracey for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+10
99.6%
CARLSON, Haden pass to the left incomplete intended for CHAMBERS, Tyrese thrown to the FIU42. PENALTY WKU Pass Interference on STOUT, Upton enforced 10 yards to the FIU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.6%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 3:56
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 8
OWN 44
-10
99.6%
QB Keeper CARLSON, Haden rush to the left for a gain of 3 yards to the FIU47 (SIMPKINS, Kendrick). PENALTY FIU Holding on PETERSON, Reggie enforced 10 yards from the FIU44 to the FIU34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+17
99.7%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 17 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-3
99.5%
Haden Carlson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 0:5899% → 100%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 9 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+3
99.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 5 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+6
99.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 6 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
99.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 3 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+4
99.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 4 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
99.5%
REED, Austin pass to the right incomplete intended for DAVIS, Daewood thrown to the FIU0. PENALTY FIU Pass Interference on COLE, Adrian enforced half the distance from the goal, 14 yards to the FIU4 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:30100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+31
99.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 31 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 5 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+8
99.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 8 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+13
99.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Joshua Simon for 13 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.7%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 7 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.8%
BRACEY, Jalen rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the FIU26 (SHAW, Tre). PENALTY FIU Holding on FAIRWEATHER, Rivaldo enforced 10 yards from the FIU25 to the FIU15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+1
99.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 19
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
99.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Malachi Corley at the WKent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:57100% → 100%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.7%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+8
99.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 8 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
99.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.7%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+15
99.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 15 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
99.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 7 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+1
99.7%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 2
OPP 7
-5
99.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
99.8%
Brayden Narveson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q3 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Lexington Joseph run for no gain to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 6:16
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:40
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Daton Montiel punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Malachi Corley at the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 51 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
Jakairi Moses run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+4
99.8%
Jakairi Moses run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+44
99.9%
D. Ocean pass,to E. Messer for 44 yds for a TD, (B. Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Kris Mitchell for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+12
99.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Ross Fournet for 12 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:31
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for no gain to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:31
4TH & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (Nate Jefferson) to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 2:01
4TH & 15
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Daton Montiel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Malachi Corley at the WKent 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Darius Ocean run for 2 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Darius Ocean pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 3 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 27
-2
99.9%
Darius Ocean sacked by Latarie Kinsler for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the WKent 20Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Tom Ellard punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tyrese Chambers at the FlaIn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23FUMBLE RETURN TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+8
100.0%
Haden Carlson pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 8 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+50
100.0%
Aaron Key 50 Yd Fumble Return (Brayden Narveson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:300% → 0%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
100.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 2 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+9
100.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 9 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
100.0%
Lexington Joseph run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
100.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 3 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+12
100.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Dean Patterson for 12 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 5 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:30
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Malachi Corley at the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:14100% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Darius Ocean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Darius Ocean pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
100.0%
Kejon Owens run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Haden Carlson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+7
100.0%
Haden Carlson pass complete to Percy Courtney Jr. for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:21
4TH & 6
50
+1
100.0%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
99.9%
L.T. Sanders run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+25
100.0%
Darius Ocean pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 25 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-15
100.0%
Darius Ocean run for a loss of 15 yards to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q4 7:18
2ND & 25
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Darius Ocean pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:18
3RD & 25
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Darius Ocean run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 17
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Darius Ocean run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
100.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Nate Jefferson for 10 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
100.0%
Grayson James pass complete to Kejon Owens for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
Kejon Owens run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Grayson James pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 29TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:44100% → 100%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
100.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 15 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+13
100.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 13 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
100.0%
L.T. Sanders run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
100.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 9 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
100.0%
Caden Veltkamp pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 3 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
100.0%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+35
100.0%
L. Sanders run for 35 yds for a TD, (B. Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 30END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · 2 yds · 1:200% → 0%
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Kejon Owens run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Kejon Owens run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:36
Malachi Corley 19 Yd pass from Austin Reed (Brayden Narveson Kick)
+1.5
TD · Q1 0:00
Austin Reed pass complete to Joey Beljan for 9 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 8:23
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Brayden Narveson KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com