Try the model
CLT

Charlotte 20 at South Carolina 56

SC
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Williams-Brice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SC
modelSC aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playSC scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:11 · Bailey Rice punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 47 , Josh Vann returns for 6 yds to the SCaro 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Pregame prior+3.3Home team on offense+35.9Score differential+31.5Blowout margin+18.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.7Garbage-time factor+9.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:48: Jake Clemons 2 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Antonio Zita Kick) — CLT win probability +3.5 pts (now 12%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:43: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 14 yds for a TD — CLT win probability +4.7 pts (now 17%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:29: Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +4.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:25: MarShawn Lloyd run for 14 yds for a TD, (T. Kenion Run For Two-point Conversion) — SC win probability +5.4 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:34: MarShawn Lloyd run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK) — SC win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: SC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:54SC 4th & 7 at CLT 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q2 6:29SC 4th & 1 at CLT 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    80.1%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    76.3%−5.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 1:29CLT 4th & 8 at SC 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q3 12:32CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  5. Q4 10:01CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  6. Q4 3:11CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 9, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 2:48CLT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:52SC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:29SC Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:25SC Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:34SC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:14SC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:20SC Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SCDrive 1FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:0193% → 92%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
93.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 9 yds to the SCaro 30Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+5
93.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 5 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
93.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 38Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+34
93.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 34 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
93.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 7 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
93.3%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+4
93.3%
Juju McDowell run for 4 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
93.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 11 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
93.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 2 yds to the Charl 2Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
92.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the Charl 2Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
92.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Nate AdkinsSimilar
Q1 9:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
92.3%
Mitch Jeter 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
14 plays · 90 yds · 7:008% → 12%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+10
92.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 10 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
92.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 11 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
92.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 4 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+5
92.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+14
92.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 14 yds to the SCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Grant DuBoseSimilar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
92.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Taylor ThompsonSimilar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+17
92.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to ChaVon McEachern for 17 yds to the SCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
92.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 6 yds to the SCaro 23Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
92.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+17
92.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Nolan Groulx for 17 yds to the SCaro 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
92.0%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 3Similar
Q1 2:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
88.5%
Jake Clemons 2 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Antonio Zita Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5689% → 90%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.6%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 6 yds to the SCaro 31Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+22
88.9%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 22 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
89.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Josh VannSimilar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+15
89.2%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul (Prince Bemah) to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
89.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 6 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
88.3%
MarShawn Lloyd run for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+25
89.8%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 25 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4TD
15 plays · 81 yds · 5:0211% → 17%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
89.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 5 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+4
89.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 4 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+4
89.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 4 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
89.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to ChaVon McEachernSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
89.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+7
88.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 7 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
88.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Jake Clemons for 1 yd to the SCaro 39Similar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
88.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 32Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+18
88.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 18 yds to the SCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
88.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to ChaVon McEachernSimilar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
88.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+14
83.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 14 yds for a TDSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
83.4%
Laros,Aidan kickoff 65 yards to the S. Car00 Legette,Xavier return 23 yards to the S. Car23 fumbled by Legette,Xavier at S. Car23 forced by Turner,B.J. recovered by S. Car Westmoreland,Donovan at S. Car23, End Of Play PENALTY Char Offside (Robinson,Tank) 5 yards from Char35 to Char30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 5TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 2:5886% → 88%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
85.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 11 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
86.0%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 16 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
86.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 12 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
86.4%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+4
86.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the Charl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
86.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 7 yds to the Charl 3Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
86.4%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Jalen BrooksSimilar
Q2 9:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
85.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jaheim Bell for 2 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 4:5312% → 14%
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
87.7%
ChaVon McEachern run for 10 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
87.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Henry RutledgeSimilar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
87.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+12
88.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Eugene Minter Jr. for 12 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
86.8%
ChaVon McEachern run for 8 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+3
86.2%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the SCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
86.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 13
OPP 48
0
85.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
84.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Grant DuBoseSimilar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
85.6%
Bailey Rice punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 7FG
12 plays · 85 yds · 1:2786% → 89%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
86.3%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+11
86.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 11 yds to the SCaro 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+10
86.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 10 yds to the SCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+26
86.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 26 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-8
87.7%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Amir Siddiq for a loss of 8 yards to the SCaro 45Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+40
86.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 40 yds to the Charl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
87.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+6
87.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 6 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+27
89.4%
Mitch Jeter 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 2:2814% → 13%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.2%
ChaVon McEachern run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-9
86.0%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Gilber Edmond for a loss of 9 yards to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
86.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
86.6%
Bailey Rice punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Josh Vann at the SCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 9TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 2:0787% → 93%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+35
86.7%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Personal Foul (Dez Morgan) to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
88.2%
Jaheim Bell run for 8 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+15
87.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jalen Brooks for 15 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 12:04
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+12
88.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 12 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
88.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Xavier Legette for 4 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+14
93.4%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 14 yds for a TD, (T. Kenion Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:338% → 9%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
92.1%
ChaVon McEachern run for 2 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+11
92.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Henry Rutledge for 11 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.5%
Chris Reynolds pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 11TD
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:1193% → 98%
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Antwane Wells Jr.Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.2%
MarShawn Lloyd run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:163% → 3%
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.4%
Chris Reynolds pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 13TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 2:0498% → 100%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
98.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 2 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+6
98.1%
Spencer Rattler run for 6 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+27
98.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 27 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the Charl 1Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14INT
8 plays · 26 yds · 4:150% → 0%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
ChaVon McEachern run for 5 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
99.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 5 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q3 6:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
Xavier Williams run for 6 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
99.7%
Henry Rutledge run for 5 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.7%
Henry Rutledge run for 5 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Xavier Williams pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 15TD
10 plays · 54 yds · 4:39100% → 100%
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 3 yds to the SCaro 49Similar
Q3 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+17
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 17 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Antwane Wells Jr. for 16 yds to the Charl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
99.8%
Juju McDowell run for 7 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+2
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 2 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+1
99.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Juju McDowell for 1 yd to the Charl 12Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+6
99.9%
Shotgun Rattler,Spencer sacked for loss of 1 yard to the Char13 (Siddiq,Amir) PENALTY Char Horse Collar Tackle (Siddiq,Amir) 6 yards from Char12 to Char06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Juju McDowell 4 Yd Run (Alex Herrera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Victor Tucker for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.9%
Xavier Williams run for 2 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+75
99.9%
Bailey Rice punt for 45 yds , Josh Vann returns for 75 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 17INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:39100% → 100%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.9%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 15Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 12
OWN 15
+11
99.9%
Luke Doty pass complete to Juju McDowell for 11 yds to the SCaro 26Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+5
99.9%
Juju McDowell run for 5 yds to the SCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Luke Doty pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Henry Rutledge run for 2 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 8:22
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
James Foster run for no gain to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 8:22
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+25
99.9%
James Foster pass complete to Grant DuBose for 25 yds to the SCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.9%
James Foster pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 35 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
99.9%
Luke Doty run for 17 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Dante Miller run for 2 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+15
99.9%
Luke Doty run for 15 yds to the Charl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
100.0%
Rashad Amos run for 9 yds to the Charl 3 Rashad Amos fumbled, recovered by Charl Jordan AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
100.0%
PENALTY Char False Start (Brown,Jordan) 1 yard from Char03 to Char02. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 11
OWN 2
0
100.0%
Henry Rutledge run for no gain to the Charl 2Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+2
100.0%
Henry Rutledge run for 2 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 4
OWN 9
0
100.0%
James Foster pass incomplete to Calvin CampSimilar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 4
OWN 9
+6
100.0%
Bailey Rice punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SCaro 47 , Josh Vann returns for 6 yds to the SCaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SCDrive 21TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
100.0%
Juju McDowell run for 1 yd to the SCaro 46Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Juju McDowell run for 2 yds to the SCaro 48Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+52
100.0%
Corey Rucker 52 Yd pass from Luke Doty (Alex Herrera Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Henry Rutledge run for no gain to the Charl 27 Henry Rutledge fumbled, recovered by Charl Sean Brown , return for 2 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
100.0%
James Foster pass complete to Sean Brown for 9 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
100.0%
James Foster run for 1 yd to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
100.0%
James Foster pass incomplete to Jack ReynoldsSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+2
100.0%
Henry Rutledge run for 2 yds to the Charl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:25
MarShawn Lloyd run for 14 yds for a TD, (T. Kenion Run For Two-point Conversion)
+5.4
TD · Q3 8:34
MarShawn Lloyd run for 7 yds for a TD, (Mitch Jeter KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 9:43
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 14 yds for a TD
-4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com