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WKU

Western Kentucky 30 at Indiana 33

IU
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
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Win probability · IU
modelIU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playIU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:27 · Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi Corley
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 32Pregame prior+19.2Home team on offense+0.6Garbage-time factor+0.2Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q4 11:33: Brayden Narveson 20 Yd Field Goal — WKU win probability +12.8 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 7:00: Charles Campbell 32 Yd Field Goal — IU win probability +10.9 pts (now 36%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 3:46: Brayden Narveson 24 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +9.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:47: Cam Camper 4 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Connor Bazelak Pass to for Two-Point Conversion) — IU win probability +42.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
  5. FG · OT 0:00: Charles Campbell 51 Yd Field Goal — WKU win probability +11.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: IU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IU made the numbers' call on 9 of 13WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 13 at WKU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:52WKU 4th & 13 at WKU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:36IU 4th & 10 at WKU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    67.6%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:27WKU 4th & 5 at IU 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:27WKU 4th & 5 at IU 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:27IU 4th & 2 at WKU 49, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:50IU 4th & 2 at WKU 49, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    70.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:04IU 4th & 3 at WKU 39, up 6
    Close callPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    70.6%−0.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 2, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 14:06WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 2, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:01WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 36, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:34WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 36, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q2 5:34IU 4th & 1 at IU 13, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q2 4:23IU 4th & 1 at IU 13, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 57.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%−1.1
    average punt
  15. Q2 0:47WKU 4th & 16 at IU 16, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−2.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−7.2
    average punt
  16. Q2 0:04IU 4th & 16 at WKU 40, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 2.1 ptsWent for it · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%−2.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%−1.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    47.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 12:17IU 4th & 10 at WKU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    36.4%−11.1
    average punt
  18. Q3 7:37IU 4th & 8 at IU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  19. Q3 6:12IU 4th & 8 at IU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:33WKU 4th & 2 at IU 2, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.5%−4.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−21.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:27IU 4th & 1 at IU 35, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.4%−3.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 9:13IU 4th & 9 at IU 37, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  23. Q4 7:00IU 4th & 8 at WKU 14, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−4.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    9.2%−12.9
    average punt
  24. Q4 3:46WKU 4th & 2 at IU 6, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%−3.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    63.2%−17.1
    average punt
  25. Q4 0:00WKU 4th & 5 at IU 26, down 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 8.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%−8.8
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−8.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:02WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 0:47IU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    21.2%−8.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    30.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:0827% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 7 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
73.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 2 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
73.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 3 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
73.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 5 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
73.1%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 1 yd to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
-9
73.1%
Austin Reed sacked by Dasan McCullough for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
73.1%
Tom Ellard punt for 31 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews Jr. at the Ind 35Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
72.7%
Tom Ellard punt for 31 yds, fair catch by D.J. Matthews Jr. at the Ind 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 2FG
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:1673% → 73%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
72.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Shaun ShiversSimilar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
72.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+13
72.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 13 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
73.0%
D.J. Matthews Jr. run for no gain to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
73.0%
Connor Bazelak run for 4 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+10
73.0%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 10 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
73.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+2
73.0%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 10
OPP 16
0
72.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q1 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
73.0%
PENALTY IND UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting WKU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:36
4TH & 10
OPP 16
+34
72.5%
Charles Campbell 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3DOWNS
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:0928% → 27%
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
72.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 2 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+21
72.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 21 yds to the Ind 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
72.0%
Kye Robichaux run for 8 yds to the Ind 41Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+3
71.9%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the Ind 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
72.7%
Malachi Corley run for 38 yds WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Block (Gunner Britton) to the Ind 40Similar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 12
OPP 40
+4
72.7%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 4 yds to the Ind 44Similar
Q1 8:36
2ND & 16
OPP 44
+11
73.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 11 yds to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 8:36
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
72.7%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Daewood DavisSimilar
Q1 4:27
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
72.9%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi CorleySimilar
Q1 4:27
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
72.9%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Malachi CorleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 4DOWNS
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3774% → 74%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
73.9%
Shaun Shivers run for no gain to the Ind 33Similar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+10
73.8%
Connor Bazelak run for 10 yds to the Ind 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
74.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q1 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
74.2%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the Ind 47Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+4
74.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 4 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 4:27
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+2
73.8%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q1 2:50
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+2
73.9%
Shaun Shivers run for 2 yds to the Ind 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:1328% → 29%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
72.1%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the Ind 45Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+18
72.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 18 yds to the Ind 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
71.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the Ind 26Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 9
OPP 26
+26
71.3%
A. Reed pass,to J. Beljan for 26 yds for a TD, (B. Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:2674% → 75%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+48
73.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 48 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
75.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Donaven McCulley for 5 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
75.2%
Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 1:10
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
74.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
74.6%
James Evans punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:5825% → 25%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
74.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the WKent 1Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
74.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 1 yd to the WKent 1Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 1
0
74.7%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Daewood DavisSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 1
+1
75.1%
Austin Reed run for 1 yd to the WKent 2Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+4
75.4%
Tom Ellard punt for 43 yds , D.J. Matthews Jr. returns for 4 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 10
OWN 2
+4
75.5%
Tom Ellard punt for 43 yds , D.J. Matthews Jr. returns for 4 yds to the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:2276% → 73%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
75.5%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 7 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+13
75.7%
Josh Henderson run for 13 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
75.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 7 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+5
75.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to James Bomba for 5 yds to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
75.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 4 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
73.2%
C. Bazelak pass,to A. Coby for 5 yds for a TD, (C. Campbell KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:4229% → 36%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
71.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 6 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+15
70.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 15 yds to the Ind 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
64.3%
A. Reed pass,to D. Davis for 44 yds for a TD, (B. Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 10FUMBLE
11 plays · 61 yds · 2:5666% → 68%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
66.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 1 yd to the Ind 24Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+32
66.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Josh Henderson for 32 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
68.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Javon Swinton for 9 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+1
69.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
69.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Javon Swinton for 8 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+4
69.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 4 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
69.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+6
69.1%
Shaun Shivers run for 6 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
68.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 5 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
67.5%
Connor Bazelak run for 5 yds to the WKent 16 Connor Bazelak fumbled, recovered by WKent B.J. WagnerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:2736% → 38%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
63.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 11 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
63.4%
PENALTY WKU False Start (Britton,Gunner) 5 yards from WKU27 to WKU22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+4
64.0%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 4 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 26
+9
63.9%
Austin Reed run for 9 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+1
62.9%
Austin Reed run for 1 yd to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 8:01
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
63.5%
Tom Ellard punt for 60 ydsSimilar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
62.1%
Tom Ellard punt for 60 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1162% → 61%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
62.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 6 yds to the Ind 10Similar
Q2 5:34
2ND & 4
OWN 10
0
62.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+3
61.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to AJ Barner for 3 yds to the Ind 13Similar
Q2 5:34
4TH & 1
OWN 13
+1
61.3%
James Evans punt for 50 yds , Upton Stout returns for 1 yd to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 4:23
4TH & 1
OWN 13
+1
60.7%
James Evans punt for 50 yds , Upton Stout returns for 1 yd to the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:3640% → 50%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
60.1%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+13
59.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Dalvin Smith for 13 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+26
59.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 26 yds to the Ind 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
58.9%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Michael MathisonSimilar
Q2 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
59.1%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 7 yds to the Ind 14Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+11
59.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 11 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
59.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Austin pass complete short right to Corley,Malachi for 3 yards to the IND00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY WKU Holding (Davis,Daewood) 10 yards from IND03 to IND13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
59.0%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q2 4:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
59.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 2 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
59.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Davion Ervin-Poindexter for 5 yds to the Ind 16Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+34
50.2%
Brayden Narveson 34 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 35 yds · 0:4352% → 55%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
51.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 26 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
55.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+15
54.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 15 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
57.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-6
57.4%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Kahlef Hailassie for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 16
OPP 40
0
56.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Shaun ShiversSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
54.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0454% → 54%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
46.2%
Austin Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
46.2%
Austin Reed run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 2:4352% → 50%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
51.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 3 yds to the Ind 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
52.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+32
50.6%
Shaun Shivers run for 32 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
55.3%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Shaun Shivers for 15 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
56.6%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 9 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
-5
56.6%
PENALTY IND False Start (Camper,Cam) 5 yards from WKU16 to WKU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
56.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+8
55.1%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 8 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
56.6%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
56.6%
Josh Henderson run for no gain to the WKent 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
55.0%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q3 12:17
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+32
50.2%
Charles Campbell 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:3653% → 61%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
47.4%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 7 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
46.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+5
46.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
45.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 3 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-10
45.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Austin pass complete short middle to Davis,Daewood for 8 yards to the IND47 (McCullough,Dasan) PENALTY WKU Holding (Goode,Mark) 10 yards from WKU45 to WKU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 17
OWN 35
+24
48.5%
Austin Reed pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 24 yds to the Ind 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
44.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 16 yds to the Ind 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
44.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to Kye Robichaux for 1 yd to the Ind 24Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+23
44.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to Joshua Simon for 23 yds to the Ind 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
38.7%
A. Reed run for 1 yd for a TD, (B. Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:2546% → 43%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
45.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 12 yds to the Ind 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
46.7%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 38Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
46.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+1
45.7%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 1 yd to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+9
44.2%
James Evans punt for 44 yds , Upton Stout returns for 9 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+9
43.0%
James Evans punt for 44 yds , Upton Stout returns for 9 yds to the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19INT
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:2559% → 67%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
40.9%
Jakairi Moses run for 2 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+29
41.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 29 yds to the Ind 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
37.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Malachi Corley for 8 yds to the Ind 39Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+19
37.7%
Jakairi Moses run for 19 yds to the Ind 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
37.2%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 9 yds to the Ind 11Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+2
37.2%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for 2 yds to the Ind 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
33.0%
Austin Reed pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 90 yds · 2:5641% → 51%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+30
41.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Emery Simmons for 30 yds to the Ind 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
44.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Javon Swinton for 11 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
46.4%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the Ind 49Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+5
43.7%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+12
45.4%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 12 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
48.5%
Josh Henderson run for 5 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+10
48.6%
Josh Henderson run for 10 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+10
44.3%
Josh Henderson run for 10 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
44.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Emery SimmonsSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
50.8%
J. Henderson run for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:1861% → 77%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
39.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 1 yd to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
39.4%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Dalvin SmithSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
40.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Austin pass incomplete short left to Hall,Jaylen PENALTY IND Holding (Williams,Jaylin) 10 yards from WKU26 to WKU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
37.9%
Austin Reed pass complete to Michael Mathison for 2 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+59
36.8%
Kye Robichaux run for 59 yds to the Ind 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
33.8%
Austin Reed run for 1 yd to the Ind 2Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
33.8%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Joshua SimonSimilar
Q4 14:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.5%
Davion Ervin-Poindexter run for no gain to the Ind 2Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
22.7%
Brayden Narveson 20 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:1427% → 23%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
27.0%
Connor Bazelak sacked by Derrick Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Ind 21Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
26.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+14
24.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Aaron Steinfeldt for 14 yds to the Ind 35Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 1
OWN 35
+1
25.9%
Connor Bazelak run for 1 yd to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
27.7%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Cam CamperSimilar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
27.3%
Shaun Shivers run for 1 yd to the Ind 37Similar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
26.2%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Javon SwintonSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
22.5%
James Evans punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:4080% → 80%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
20.5%
Kye Robichaux run for 4 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+6
20.3%
Austin Reed pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds Joshua Simon fumbled, recovered by Ind Myles JacksonSimilar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+6
19.6%
Austin Reed pass complete to Joshua Simon for 6 yds Joshua Simon fumbled, recovered by Ind Myles JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 24FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3331% → 36%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
30.8%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 4 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-15
30.8%
Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete deep left to Henderson,Josh for 12 yards to the WKU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:00 PENALTY IND Pass Interference (McCulley,Donaven) 15 yards from WKU12 to WKU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 21
OPP 27
0
27.9%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to D.J. Matthews Jr.Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 21
OPP 27
+13
25.2%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to D.J. Matthews Jr. for 13 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 8
OPP 14
+32
36.1%
Charles Campbell 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25FG
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:1473% → 91%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
26.8%
Austin Reed pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
25.6%
Kye Robichaux run for 5 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+50
25.3%
Kye Robichaux run for 36 yds to the INDIANA 28 for a 1ST down INDIANA Penalty, Face Mask (14 yards) (Jaylin Williams) to the Ind 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
21.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 2 yds to the Ind 12Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
21.4%
Kye Robichaux run for 3 yds to the Ind 9Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+3
17.2%
Austin Reed run for 3 yds to the Ind 6Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+24
9.1%
Brayden Narveson 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 26TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:5914% → 64%
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
14.2%
Josh Henderson run for 7 yds to the Ind 32Similar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
16.3%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the Ind 34Similar
Q4 3:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
15.5%
Josh Henderson run for 2 yds to the Ind 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
15.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short left to Coby,Andison PENALTY WKU Holding (Stout,Upton) 10 yards from IND36 to IND46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
17.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short left to Coby,Andison PENALTY WKU Pass Interference (Stout,Upton) 15 yards from IND46 to WKU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
18.9%
Connor Bazelak pass complete to Cam Camper for 16 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
21.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Andison CobySimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+8
20.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Face Mask (8 yards) (Mike Allen) to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
21.4%
Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to AJ BarnerSimilar
Q4 3:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
21.4%
Josh Henderson run for 4 yds to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
63.8%
Cam Camper 4 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Connor Bazelak Pass to for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27MISSED FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:4713% → 16%
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.3%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Daewood DavisSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
87.8%
Austin Reed pass incomplete to Daewood DavisSimilar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+19
89.2%
Austin Reed run for 19 yds to the Ind 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
83.7%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+15
84.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Reed,Austin pass incomplete short right to Davis,Daewood PENALTY IND Pass Interference (Williams,Jaylin) 15 yards from IND46 to IND31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
80.0%
Austin Reed pass complete to Daewood Davis for 7 yds to the Ind 24Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+2
78.4%
Austin Reed run for 2 yds to the Ind 26Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 5
OPP 26
0
81.3%
Austin Reed pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+44
84.5%
Brayden Narveson 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IUDrive 28FG
1 play · -8 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
OT 0:00
4TH & 18
OPP 29
+51
72.7%
Charles Campbell 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:47
Cam Camper 4 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Connor Bazelak Pass to for Two-Point Conversion)
+42.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+27.3
FG · Q4 11:33
Brayden Narveson 20 Yd Field Goal
-12.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com