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UTSA

UTSA 20 at Texas 41

TEX
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of GameTD+8.3TEX 97.8%B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for41 yards. B.Robinson for 41 yards,TOUCHDOWN.AWAY 20 - HOME 38 · Q4 9:46
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:46 · B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for 41 yards. B.Robinson for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Pregame prior+6.1Home team on offense+27.7Score differential+13.9Garbage-time factor+13.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:11: B.Brady rushed to TEX End Zone for 2 yards. B.Brady for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UTSA win probability +4.7 pts (now 28%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:46: B.Brady pass complete to TEX 35. Catch made by Z.Franklin at TEX 35. Gain of 35 yards. Z.Franklin for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UTSA win probability +6.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:25: B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for 3 yards. B.Robinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TEX win probability +8.7 pts (now 74%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q3 12:09: B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for 78 yards. B.Robinson for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TEX win probability +9.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:46: B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for 41 yards. B.Robinson for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TEX win probability +8.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 14:00TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    80.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:03TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:32UTSA 4th & 6 at TEX 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    21.3%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:24UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:17TEX 4th & 7 at UTSA 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.4%−1.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    62.6%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:43UTSA 4th & 9 at TEX 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:15UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:08TEX 4th & 15 at UTSA 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    80.6%−0.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:25UTSA 4th & 12 at TEX 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.8%
    86% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−8.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:00TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:50UTSA 4th & 1 at TEX 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−2.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.6%−7.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:05TEX 4th & 8 at UTSA 8, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−1.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:16UTSA 4th & 11 at TEX 19, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 4UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:12TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:11UTSA Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:46UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:25TEX Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:09TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:46TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    96.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:5783% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.2%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by T.Harmanson at TEX 30.Similar
Q1 14:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
83.1%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 32 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Matterson at TEX 32.Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
83.0%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 34 for 2 yards. Tackled by B.Matterson; B.Brown at TEX 34.Similar
Q1 14:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
82.9%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 37 for 3 yards. Tackled by R.Wisdom at TEX 37.Similar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
82.8%
H.Card pass complete to TEX 37. Catch made by K.Robinson at TEX 37. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by C.Mayfield at TEX 47.Similar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
82.8%
PENALTY on TEX-H.Conner, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 15
OWN 42
0
82.6%
H.Card steps back to pass. H.Card pass incomplete intended for X.Worthy (C.Mayfield).Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 15
OWN 42
0
82.6%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 42 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Ligon at TEX 42.Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 15
OWN 42
0
82.4%
H.Card steps back to pass. H.Card pass incomplete intended for X.Worthy.Similar
Q1 12:03
4TH & 15
OWN 42
+58
82.3%
D.Trejo punts 58 yards to UTSA End Zone, Center-Z.Edwards. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2FG
24 plays · 74 yds · 8:2318% → 21%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.3%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for D.Clark.Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
82.3%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 20. Catch made by O.Cardenas at UTSA 20. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by D.Overshown at UTSA 31.Similar
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
82.2%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Ford at UTSA 34.Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
82.0%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for F.Harris. PENALTY on TEX-D.Overshown, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 2
OWN 39
-2
81.9%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 37 for -2 yards. Tackled by D.Overshown; J.Ford at UTSA 37.Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+7
81.9%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 37. Catch made by O.Cardenas at UTSA 37. Gain of 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Thompson at UTSA 44.Similar
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
81.7%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 45 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Sweat; J.Barron at UTSA 45.Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+10
81.6%
F.Harris rushed to TEX 45 for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Thompson at TEX 45.Similar
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
81.3%
F.Harris pass complete to TEX 45. Catch made by J.Cephus at TEX 45. Gain of yards. J.Cephus for yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on UTSA-UTSA, Illegal Shift, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 15
OPP 0
+1
81.1%
B.Brady rushed to TEX 49 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Overshown; O.Oghoufo at TEX 49.Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+11
81.4%
F.Harris pass complete to TEX 49. Catch made by B.Brady at TEX 49. Gain of 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Barron at TEX 38.Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+10
80.9%
F.Harris pass complete to TEX 38. Catch made by Z.Franklin at TEX 38. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by J.Guilbeau at TEX 28.Similar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
80.6%
B.Brady rushed to TEX 23 for 5 yards. Tackled by O.Oghoufo at TEX 23.Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+3
80.4%
F.Harris rushed to TEX 20 for 3 yards. Tackled by O.Oghoufo; B.Sorrell at TEX 20.Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+2
80.2%
O.Cardenas rushed to TEX 18 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Guilbeau; K.Coburn at TEX 18.Similar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
79.9%
B.Brady rushed to TEX 16 for 2 yards. Tackled by O.Oghoufo; K.Coburn at TEX 16.Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+1
79.6%
F.Harris rushed to TEX 15 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Collins at TEX 15.Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+7
79.5%
F.Harris pass complete to TEX 15. Catch made by Z.Franklin at TEX 15. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by O.Oghoufo at TEX 8.Similar
Q1 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
79.1%
B.Brady rushed to TEX 6 for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Ojomo; D.Overshown at TEX 6.Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
78.7%
F.Harris pass complete to TEX 6. Catch made by J.Cephus at TEX 6. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by A.Cook; J.Ford at TEX 1.Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
78.7%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for Z.Franklin (D.Jamison).Similar
Q1 3:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+5
79.1%
PENALTY on UTSA-UTSA, False Start, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 3:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
78.6%
J.Sackett 24 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-C.Collenback, Holder-L.Dean.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:1679% → 81%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
78.5%
H.Card pass complete to TEX 25. Catch made by X.Worthy at TEX 25. Gain of 19 yards. ran out of bounds.Similar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
79.2%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 47 for 3 yards. Tackled by C.Mayfield at TEX 47.Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+4
79.1%
B.Robinson rushed to UTSA 49 for 4 yards. Tackled by T.Harmanson; B.Matterson at UTSA 49.Similar
Q1 1:54
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+7
78.7%
R.Johnson rushed to UTSA 42 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Chattman; J.Robinson at UTSA 42. PENALTY on UTSA-UTSA, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
78.9%
R.Johnson rushed to UTSA 38 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Robinson; P.Cage at UTSA 38.Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
78.7%
H.Card steps back to pass. H.Card pass incomplete intended for X.Worthy.Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+5
78.5%
PENALTY on UTSA-J.Robinson, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 1:09
3RD & 1
OPP 33
-3
78.5%
B.Robinson rushed to UTSA 36 for -3 yards. Tackled by C.Clayton; A.Morris at UTSA 36.Similar
Q1 0:34
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+5
77.8%
PENALTY on UTSA-C.Mayfield, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
78.8%
H.Card pass complete to UTSA 31. Catch made by J.Whittington at UTSA 31. Gain of 11 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Chattman at UTSA 20.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
78.6%
H.Card steps back to pass. H.Card pass incomplete intended for J.Whittington. PENALTY on TEX-J.Sanders, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 20
OPP 30
+19
78.4%
H.Card pass complete to UTSA 30. Catch made by R.Johnson at UTSA 30. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by C.Mayfield at UTSA 11.Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
80.7%
H.Card pass complete to UTSA 11. Catch made by R.Johnson at UTSA 11. Gain of 11 yards. R.Johnson for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:5221% → 28%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
79.2%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 45 for 10 yards. Tackled by J.Guilbeau at UTSA 45.Similar
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
78.6%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 45. Catch made by D.Clark at UTSA 45. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson at TEX 48.Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+11
78.1%
F.Harris rushed to TEX 37 for 11 yards. Tackled by J.Ford at TEX 37.Similar
Q2 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
78.1%
F.Harris pass complete to TEX 37. Catch made by J.Cephus at TEX 37. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by J.Thompson at TEX 27.Similar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+9
77.5%
F.Harris pass complete to TEX 27. Catch made by J.Cephus at TEX 27. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by A.Cook at TEX 18.Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 1
OPP 18
-1
77.4%
B.Brady rushed to TEX 19 for -1 yards. Tackled by B.Murphy; D.Tucker-Dorsey at TEX 19.Similar
Q2 12:22
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+8
77.7%
B.Brady rushed to TEX 11 for 8 yards. Tackled by R.Watts; A.Cook at TEX 11.Similar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
76.6%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for Z.Franklin.Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+1
76.6%
K.Barnes rushed to TEX 10 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Overshown; O.Oghoufo at TEX 10.Similar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
76.9%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for Z.Franklin. PENALTY on TEX-R.Watts, Defensive Pass Interference, 8 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 10:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
72.2%
B.Brady rushed to TEX End Zone for 2 yards. B.Brady for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:2127% → 33%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
73.0%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 48. Catch made by J.Cephus at UTSA 48. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by J.Barron at TEX 35.Similar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
66.9%
B.Brady pass complete to TEX 35. Catch made by Z.Franklin at TEX 35. Gain of 35 yards. Z.Franklin for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:0367% → 74%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
66.6%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 37 for 4 yards. Tackled by J.Dabon at TEX 37.Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
66.5%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 41 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Wilkins; M.French at TEX 41.Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
65.9%
R.Johnson rushed to TEX 44 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Morris; B.Matterson at TEX 44.Similar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
65.6%
H.Card pass complete to TEX 44. Catch made by J.Whittington at TEX 44. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by UTSA at TEX 48.Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+12
65.6%
H.Card pass complete to TEX 48. Catch made by X.Worthy at TEX 48. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by UTSA at UTSA 40.Similar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
65.3%
H.Card pass complete to UTSA 40. Catch made by J.Whittington at UTSA 40. Gain of 15 yards. Pushed out of bounds by D.Taylor at UTSA 25.Similar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
65.8%
H.Card steps back to pass. H.Card pass incomplete intended for J.Sanders.Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+7
65.6%
B.Robinson rushed to UTSA 18 for 7 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Chattman at UTSA 18.Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+16
64.5%
R.Johnson rushed to UTSA 2 for 16 yards. Tackled by J.Ligon at UTSA 2.Similar
Q2 6:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
65.2%
R.Johnson rushed to UTSA 3 for -1 yards. Tackled by T.Moore; B.Brown at UTSA 3.Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
73.9%
B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for 3 yards. B.Robinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:5030% → 31%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
70.1%
PENALTY on UTSA-F.Martinez, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+2
70.3%
K.Barnes rushed to UTSA 14 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Barron; B.Sorrell at UTSA 14.Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 13
OWN 14
+17
70.2%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 14. Catch made by J.Cephus at UTSA 14. Gain of 17 yards. Pushed out of bounds by A.Cook at UTSA 31.Similar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
69.4%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by J.Ford; T.Sweat at UTSA 33.Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+1
69.0%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 34 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Ford; J.Barron at UTSA 34.Similar
Q2 3:28
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
69.4%
PENALTY on UTSA-J.Cephus, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+4
69.8%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 29. Catch made by B.Brady at UTSA 29. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by A.Cook; D.Overshown at UTSA 33.Similar
Q2 2:24
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+55
69.5%
L.Dean punts 55 yards to TEX 12, Center-C.Collenback. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 1:5869% → 74%
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
68.5%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 16 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Chattman at TEX 16.Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+5
68.3%
H.Card pass complete to TEX 16. Catch made by J.Sanders at TEX 16. Gain of 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by C.Chattman at TEX 21.Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+15
67.5%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 36 for 15 yards. Tackled by D.Taylor; C.Chattman at TEX 36.Similar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
69.1%
H.Card steps back to pass. H.Card pass incomplete intended for J.Whittington.Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+19
68.6%
H.Card pass complete to TEX 36. Catch made by B.Robinson at TEX 36. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by J.Ligon at UTSA 45.Similar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
71.1%
H.Card pass complete to UTSA 45. Catch made by C.Cain at UTSA 45. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by P.Cage at UTSA 38.Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+9
71.0%
R.Johnson rushed to UTSA 29 for 9 yards. Tackled by R.Wisdom; J.Ligon at UTSA 29.Similar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
72.0%
R.Johnson rushed to UTSA 29 for 0 yards. Tackled by N.Booker-Brown; T.Moore at UTSA 29.Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
71.9%
PENALTY on TEX-J.Majors, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+8
70.2%
H.Card pass complete to UTSA 34. Catch made by X.Worthy at UTSA 34. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by UTSA at UTSA 26.Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 7
OPP 26
0
70.4%
H.Card steps back to pass. H.Card pass incomplete intended for J.Sanders. PENALTY on TEX-TEX, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, declined.Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 7
OPP 26
0
73.5%
B.Auburn 44 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-Z.Edwards, Holder-H.Card.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:1730% → 31%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.8%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 25. Catch made by Z.Franklin at UTSA 25. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by D.Overshown at UTSA 29.Similar
Q3 14:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
69.1%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 32 for 3 yards. Tackled by B.Sorrell at UTSA 32.Similar
Q3 14:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
69.4%
F.Harris rushed to UTSA 35 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Ford at UTSA 35.Similar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
68.5%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for D.Clark. PENALTY on TEX-B.Sorrell, Roughing the Passer, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+2
65.1%
B.Brady rushed to TEX 48 for 2 yards. Tackled by O.Oghoufo; B.Murphy at TEX 48.Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
66.0%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for D.Clark.Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
66.8%
PENALTY on UTSA-F.Harris, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 12:52
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+4
68.9%
F.Harris rushed to TEX 49 for 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Ford at TEX 49.Similar
Q3 12:43
4TH & 9
OPP 49
+49
69.2%
L.Dean punts 49 yards to TEX End Zone, Center-C.Collenback. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:2772% → 81%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
71.6%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 22 for 2 yards. Tackled by R.Wisdom at TEX 22.Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+78
81.4%
B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for 78 yards. B.Robinson for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4119% → 18%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.7%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 25. Catch made by Z.Franklin at UTSA 25. Gain of 4 yards. Pushed out of bounds by J.Ford at UTSA 29.Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
80.2%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for B.Brady.Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
81.1%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for Z.Franklin (D.Jamison).Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+35
81.9%
L.Dean punts 35 yards to TEX 36, Center-C.Collenback. Downed by UTSA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:5782% → 82%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
82.2%
H.Card pass complete to TEX 36. Catch made by J.Whittington at TEX 36. Gain of 26 yards. Tackled by M.French at UTSA 38.Similar
Q3 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
83.5%
H.Card pass complete to UTSA 38. Catch made by X.Worthy at UTSA 38. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by C.Mayfield at UTSA 36.Similar
Q3 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-7
83.4%
H.Card pass complete to UTSA 36. Catch made by R.Johnson at UTSA 36. Gain of -7 yards. Tackled by T.Harmanson at UTSA 43.Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 15
OPP 43
0
82.8%
H.Card steps back to pass. H.Card pass incomplete intended for R.Johnson.Similar
Q3 9:08
4TH & 15
OPP 43
+29
81.6%
D.Trejo punts 29 yards to UTSA 14, Center-Z.Edwards. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:3419% → 26%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
80.7%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 21 for 7 yards. Tackled by J.Ford; D.Overshown at UTSA 21.Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+6
80.2%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 27 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Ford at UTSA 27.Similar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
80.2%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 27. Catch made by J.Cephus at UTSA 27. Gain of 14 yards. Pushed out of bounds by TEX at UTSA 41.Similar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
79.1%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 44 for 3 yards. Tackled by J.Ford at UTSA 44.Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
78.4%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 44. Catch made by K.Barnes at UTSA 44. Gain of 0 yards. Tackled by J.Ford at UTSA 44.Similar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+11
79.4%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 44. Catch made by D.Clark at UTSA 44. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by D.Jamison at TEX 45.Similar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
77.6%
F.Harris rushed to TEX 38 for 7 yards. F.Harris FUMBLES, forced by J.Ford. Fumble RECOVERED by UTSA-E.Almaraz at TEX 38. Tackled by TEX at TEX 38.Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+10
77.0%
F.Harris pass complete to TEX 38. Catch made by O.Cardenas at TEX 38. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by T.Sweat at TEX 28.Similar
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+24
75.6%
F.Harris pass complete to TEX 28. Catch made by Z.Franklin at TEX 28. Gain of 24 yards. Tackled by A.Cook at TEX 4.Similar
Q3 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
75.7%
PENALTY on UTSA-F.Harris, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
75.7%
F.Harris rushed to TEX 12 for -3 yards. Tackled by TEX at TEX 12.Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
76.2%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for O.Cardenas.Similar
Q3 3:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
78.1%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for Z.Franklin.Similar
Q3 3:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
0
74.5%
J.Sackett 30 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-C.Collenback, Holder-L.Dean.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2177% → 75%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.0%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by UTSA at TEX 26.Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
76.7%
H.Card rushed to TEX 29 for 3 yards. Tackled by UTSA at TEX 29.Similar
Q3 2:07
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
75.9%
H.Card steps back to pass. H.Card pass incomplete intended for R.Johnson.Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+49
74.6%
D.Trejo punts 49 yards to UTSA 22, Center-Z.Edwards. Fair catch by J.Cephus.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:2526% → 14%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
74.5%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 22. Catch made by J.Cephus at UTSA 22. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by J.Bush at UTSA 30.Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+9
71.9%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 30. Catch made by D.Clark at UTSA 30. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by R.Watts at UTSA 39.Similar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
72.4%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 39. Catch made by D.Clark at UTSA 39. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by TEX at UTSA 43.Similar
Q3 0:28
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-44
85.8%
F.Harris pass INTERCEPTED at UTSA 44. Intercepted by J.Barron at UTSA 44. TEX for 44 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 3:2412% → 14%
Q3 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
87.8%
F.Harris rushed to UTSA 22 for 2 yards. B.Brady ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
87.9%
F.Harris pass complete to UTSA 22. Catch made by D.Dishman at UTSA 22. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by J.Johnson at UTSA 32.Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
87.0%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 34 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Overshown at UTSA 34.Similar
Q4 14:03
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
87.1%
B.Brady rushed to UTSA 34 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Overshown at UTSA 34.Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
87.9%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris sacked at UTSA 34 for yards (D.Overshown) PENALTY on TEX-D.Overshown, Defensive Targeting, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
85.5%
B.Brady rushed to TEX 38 for 13 yards. Tackled by J.Thompson at TEX 38.Similar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
85.2%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for J.Cephus.Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
85.1%
F.Harris pass complete to TEX 38. Catch made by D.Clark at TEX 38. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by J.Barron at TEX 29.Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
85.0%
F.Harris rushed to TEX 29 for 0 yards. Tackled by D.Tucker-Dorsey at TEX 29.Similar
Q4 11:50
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
86.1%
F.Harris steps back to pass. F.Harris pass incomplete intended for Z.Franklin.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:0089% → 98%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
88.9%
H.Card pass complete to TEX 29. Catch made by J.Whittington at TEX 29. Gain of yards. Tackled by C.Chattman at TEX 41. PENALTY on TEX-R.Johnson, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 20
OWN 19
-2
88.4%
B.Robinson rushed to TEX 17 for -2 yards. Tackled by T.Harmanson at TEX 17.Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 22
OWN 17
+32
88.3%
H.Card rushed to TEX 49 for 32 yards. Tackled by R.Wisdom at TEX 49.Similar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
89.6%
B.Robinson rushed to UTSA 41 for 10 yards. Tackled by L.McDougle at UTSA 41.Similar
Q4 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
97.8%
B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for 41 yards. B.Robinson for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18FG
7 plays · 43 yds · 3:1598% → 99%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 5
OWN 49
+3
98.0%
R.Johnson rushed to UTSA 48 for 3 yards. Tackled by M.French at UTSA 48.Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+8
98.0%
R.Johnson rushed to UTSA 40 for 8 yards. Tackled by C.Clayton at UTSA 40.Similar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+32
98.0%
R.Johnson rushed to UTSA 8 for 32 yards. Pushed out of bounds by B.Matterson at UTSA 8.Similar
Q4 6:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.2%
R.Johnson rushed to UTSA 8 for 0 yards. Tackled by A.Morris; B.Brown at UTSA 8.Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
98.4%
K.Robinson rushed to UTSA 4 for 4 yards. Tackled by X.Player at UTSA 4.Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
98.4%
K.Robinson rushed to UTSA 8 for -4 yards. Tackled by K.Nwachuku at UTSA 8.Similar
Q4 5:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.2%
B.Auburn 26 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-Z.Edwards, Holder-H.Card.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 56 yds · 4:431% → 1%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
T.Edwards rushed to UTSA 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by M.Taaffe; T.Sweat at UTSA 30.Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.4%
T.Edwards rushed to UTSA 32 for 2 yards. Tackled by D.Gbenda at UTSA 32.Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
99.4%
E.Marburger rushed to UTSA 39 for 7 yards. Tackled by M.Taaffe at UTSA 39.Similar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.4%
T.Edwards rushed to UTSA 42 for 3 yards. Tackled by D.Gbenda at UTSA 42.Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+1
99.4%
T.Edwards rushed to UTSA 43 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Gbenda at UTSA 43.Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+12
99.5%
E.Marburger rushed to TEX 45 for 12 yards. Tackled by E.Burke at TEX 45.Similar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.5%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. E.Marburger pass incomplete intended for T.Bradley. PENALTY on TEX-J.Johnson, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
99.4%
E.Marburger pass complete to TEX 30. Catch made by D.Dishman at TEX 30. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by K.Crawford at TEX 18.Similar
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.3%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. E.Marburger pass incomplete intended for T.Bradley.Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-1
99.3%
J.Williams rushed to TEX 19 for -1 yards. Tackled by J.Guilbeau; M.Taaffe at TEX 19.Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 11
OPP 19
0
99.5%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. E.Marburger pass incomplete intended for I.Davis.Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 11
OPP 19
0
99.5%
E.Marburger steps back to pass. E.Marburger pass incomplete intended for I.Davis.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:09
B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for 78 yards. B.Robinson for 78 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+9.8
TD · Q2 5:25
B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for 3 yards. B.Robinson for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+8.7
TD · Q4 9:46
B.Robinson rushed to UTSA End Zone for 41 yards. B.Robinson for 41 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+8.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com