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UTEP

UTEP 10 at New Mexico 27

UNM
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:06 · Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:03: Reco Hannah 22 Yd Interception Return (Luke Drzewiecki Kick) — UNM win probability +2.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:31: Sherod White 3 Yd Run (Luke Drzewiecki Kick) — UNM win probability +9.0 pts (now 68%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:04: George Steinkamp 51 Yd Field Goal — UNM win probability +3.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:41: Deion Hankins 1 Yd Run (Gavin Baechle Kick) — UTEP win probability +8.8 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:33: Nathaniel Jones 5 Yd Run (George Steinkamp Kick) — UNM win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 4 of 11UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:34UNM 4th & 11 at UNM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:29UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:28UNM 4th & 6 at UTEP 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:49UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%−0.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:13UNM 4th & 13 at UNM 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:21UTEP 4th & 10 at UNM 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:00UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 40, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%−2.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:56UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−0.9
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:51UNM 4th & 7 at UTEP 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−6.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:50UTEP 4th & 17 at UNM 33, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.9%−1.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:04UNM 4th & 7 at UTEP 34, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%−0.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:39UNM 4th & 1 at UTEP 48, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:20UTEP 4th & 2 at UNM 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−3.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:42UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.2%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:57UNM 4th & 10 at UTEP 38, up 17
    Close callPunted · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:20UTEP 4th & 11 at UNM 44, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%−1.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    7.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:22UNM 4th & 2 at UNM 43, up 17
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:59UNM 4th & 4 at UTEP 13, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−2.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:54UTEP 4th & 4 at UNM 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:06UNM 4th & 2 at UTEP 13, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:03UNM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:31UNM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:41UTEP Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 2:33UNM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNMDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2543% → 43%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
43.1%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 4 yards to the NMex 21Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
43.3%
Luke Wysong run for 3 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q1 13:39
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
43.4%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+4
43.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 52 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for 4 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:5456% → 56%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
43.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 7 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+6
43.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 6 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
43.7%
Ronald Awatt run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-9
44.0%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Cody Moon for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 21
OWN 30
+14
44.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 14 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
44.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 3FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:5545% → 47%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
44.5%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 22Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+28
44.6%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:18
1ST & 10
50
+16
45.5%
Nathaniel Jones run for 16 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
45.6%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Austin Erickson for 12 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
45.9%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for 7 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-1
46.1%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 4
OPP 16
-5
46.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Tavien Ford) to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+3
46.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for 3 yds to the UTEP 18 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 6:28
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+37
46.7%
Luke Drzewiecki 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:1553% → 51%
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
46.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-22
49.0%
Reco Hannah 22 Yd Interception Return (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1251% → 50%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
49.8%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
50.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:49
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
50.4%
Joshua Sloan punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3051% → 51%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
51.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for no gain to the NMex 32Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-3
51.5%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Nathaniel Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
51.3%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+34
51.0%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 47 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for 34 yds to the NMex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7FG
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:4450% → 49%
Q1 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
50.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 8 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+5
50.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
50.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
50.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
51.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:21
4TH & 10
OPP 29
+46
51.5%
Gavin Baechle 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4852% → 68%
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
52.1%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Geordon Porter for 3 yds to the NMex 28Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
52.5%
Miles Kendrick run for 1 yd to the NMex 29Similar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+21
52.5%
Nathaniel Jones run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
50
+14
54.6%
Nathaniel Jones run for 14 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
55.2%
Miles Kendrick run for 22 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
56.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Delay Of Game (Miles Kendrick) to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 12:26
1ST & 15
OPP 19
0
56.2%
(12:26) QB Keeper KENDRICK, Miles rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards to the TEP22 (JAMES, TyReke), clock 12:26. PENALTY TEP Face mask on STEWART, Keenan enforced half the distance from the goal, 10 yards from the TEP19 to the TEP9 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
56.6%
Christian Washington run for 4 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
57.0%
(11:25) KENDRICK, Miles pass to the left incomplete intended for ERICKSON, Andrew thrown to the TEP0, clock 11:25. PENALTY TEP Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Ilijah enforced 3 yards to the TEP2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
57.1%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 3Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
67.6%
Sherod White 3 Yd Run (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9INT
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:1736% → 36%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
64.1%
(10:31) HARDISON, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for SMITH, Tyrin thrown to the UNM30, clock 10:31. PENALTY UNM Roughing the Passer on MORENCO, Alec enforced 15 yards from the TEP25 to the TEP40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
63.9%
Gavin Hardison pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1267% → 67%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
66.6%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Bobby Wooden for 8 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 2
OWN 39
0
67.9%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+1
67.4%
Nathaniel Jones run for 1 yd to the NMex 40Similar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
67.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the UTEP 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5633% → 33%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
66.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+4
67.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 4 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
67.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 6
OWN 13
0
67.5%
Joshua Sloan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the NMex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 4:0069% → 70%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
68.9%
Nathaniel Jones run for 13 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
69.8%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on DAVIS, JC ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
69.8%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+27
68.4%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Sherod White for 27 yds to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
69.6%
Nathaniel Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-2
70.4%
Luke Wysong run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 12
OPP 17
+5
70.3%
Miles Kendrick run for 5 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q2 3:51
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+30
69.8%
Luke Drzewiecki 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13DOWNS
14 plays · 47 yds · 2:5530% → 25%
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
70.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for no gain to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
72.0%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, Offsides (Justin Harris) to the UTEP 25Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+8
71.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 8 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
71.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 9 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
70.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+7
70.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 7 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+25
71.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 25 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
68.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
69.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 10
OPP 26
-7
70.9%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Ray Leutele for a loss of 7 yards to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 17
OPP 33
0
75.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 14FG
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:3676% → 82%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+30
76.3%
Christian Washington run for 30 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
77.4%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-6
77.4%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Cal Wallerstedt for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+9
78.9%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Andrew Erickson for 9 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+51
82.0%
George Steinkamp 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:0421% → 20%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
78.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+15
79.8%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for 15 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
78.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incomplete UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Justin Mayers) to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 25
OWN 24
+76
80.4%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 76 yds Tyrin Smith fumbled, recovered by NMexSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 32 yds · 3:5680% → 86%
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
80.0%
Christian Washington run for 6 yds to the NMex 26Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
81.1%
Christian Washington run for 5 yds to the NMex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
82.3%
Christian Washington run for 12 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
83.7%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 41Similar
Q3 11:06
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+10
86.0%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Geordon Porter for 10 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 10:24
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
86.3%
Nathaniel Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 9:39
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
86.3%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:0916% → 14%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
84.3%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+15
84.8%
(09:07) HARDISON, Gavin pass to the left incomplete intended for FLORES, Reynaldo thrown to the UNM48, clock 09:07. PENALTY UNM Pass Interference on MARTIN, Donte enforced 15 yards to the TEP38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
83.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 15 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
83.4%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the NMex 44Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+5
84.1%
Deion Hankins run for 5 yds to the NMex 39Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
85.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
86.2%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2590% → 90%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
89.5%
Miles Kendrick run for 2 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
89.5%
Miles Kendrick run for 2 yds to the NMex 41Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-3
89.9%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Cal Wallerstedt for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 38Similar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
89.8%
Miles Kendrick pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2012% → 9%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
87.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
88.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+7
88.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 7 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
89.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
91.4%
(04:38) JONES, Nate rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the TEP33 (KNIGHT, Tyrice), clock 04:38. PENALTY UNM Holding on MATAUTIA, Shannco enforced 10 yards from the TEP38 to the TEP48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 20
OPP 48
-5
91.3%
NEW MEXICO Penalty, False Start (Tavien Ford) to the NMex 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:0691% → 92%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 25
OWN 47
-5
91.3%
Sherod White run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMex 42Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 30
OWN 42
+3
91.5%
Sherod White run for 3 yds to the NMex 45Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 27
OWN 45
+17
91.5%
Sherod White run for 17 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
91.8%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 23 yds, fair catch by Marcus Bellon at the UTEP 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22FUMBLE
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:149% → 8%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+25
91.5%
Ronald Awatt run for 10 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, Chop Block (15 Yards) to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
91.2%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 0:23
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+9
91.6%
Walter Dawn Jr. run for 9 yds to the NMex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
92.0%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
92.0%
Deion Hankins run for 8 yds to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-9
91.6%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Cody Moon for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 11
OPP 44
+15
93.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Deion Hankins for 15 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
92.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for a loss of 6 yards fumbled, recovered by NMex Jake SaltonstallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:0695% → 95%
Q4 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.8%
Christian Washington run for no gain to the NMex 35 Christian Washington fumbled, recovered by NMex Christian WashingtonSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
95.0%
Sherod White run for no gain to the NMex 35Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+8
95.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Sherod White for 8 yds to the NMex 43Similar
Q4 11:22
4TH & 2
OWN 43
+3
95.4%
Aaron Rodriguez punt for 43 yds , Marcus Bellon returns for 3 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:305% → 5%
Q4 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
95.0%
Tyrin Smith run for 5 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+7
95.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 7 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
95.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 9 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 9:46
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+15
95.3%
Gavin Hardison pass intercepted UTEP Penalty, Chop Block (Tyrin Smith) to the UTEP 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 25MISSED FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4096% → 96%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
96.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+7
96.4%
Sherod White run for 7 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+1
96.5%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Luke Wysong for 1 yd to the UTEP 13 NEW MEXICO Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BRUCKLER, Trace ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
96.3%
Luke Drzewiecki 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26FUMBLE
1 play · 23 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+23
96.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 23 yds Kelly Akharaiyi fumbled, recovered by NMex Ronald WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 27FUMBLE
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:3897% → 97%
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-1
96.8%
Sherod White run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-3
96.7%
Sherod White run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 47 Sherod White fumbled, recovered by UTEP Deylon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 11
OPP 44
-3
97.0%
Sherod White run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 47 Sherod White fumbled, recovered by UTEP Deylon WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 28TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:064% → 12%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
96.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
96.2%
Deion Hankins run for 6 yds to the NMex 47Similar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
96.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:54
4TH & 4
OPP 47
+8
96.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 8 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+38
96.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 38 yds to the NMex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.8%
Deion Hankins run for no gain to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.0%
Deion Hankins 1 Yd Run (Gavin Baechle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 29TD
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:0293% → 99%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
92.9%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-1
93.2%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 3:49
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+9
93.5%
Miles Kendrick run for 9 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
94.8%
Nathaniel Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.7%
Nathaniel Jones 5 Yd Run (George Steinkamp Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 30INT
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:202% → 2%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
98.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 19 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
97.8%
Calvin Brownholtz pass intercepted UTEP Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle on THOMPSON, Trent enforced Unsportsmanlike Conduct on KLEIN, Elijah enforced (Bryton Thompson) to the UTEP 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 31DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
99.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+2
99.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+3
99.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 2
OPP 13
-3
99.0%
Nathaniel Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:31
Sherod White 3 Yd Run (Luke Drzewiecki Kick)
+9
TD · Q4 4:41
Deion Hankins 1 Yd Run (Gavin Baechle Kick)
-8.8
TD · Q4 2:33
Nathaniel Jones 5 Yd Run (George Steinkamp Kick)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com