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GASO

Georgia Southern 21 at UAB 35

UAB
2022 · Week 3 · Sep 17, 2022 · Protective Stadium
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:46 · Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy Singleton
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 183Pregame prior+2.5Home team on offense+23.8Score differential+7.1Garbage-time factor+5.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.1Time remaining+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:51: D. Hopkins pass,to T. McDonald for 5 yds for a TD, (M. Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +4.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:43: K. Vantrease pass,to D. Burgess Jr. for 6 yds for a TD, (A. Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +7.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:12: J. White run for 71 yds for a TD, (A. Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +9.3 pts (now 20%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:54: J. White run for 1 yd for a TD, (A. Raynor KICK) — UAB win probability +18.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:46: D. McBride run for 4 yds for a TD, (R. Burkhardt KICK) — UAB win probability +6.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 7GASO made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:06GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:19UAB 4th & 1 at GASO 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    75.6%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    74.3%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:29GASO 4th & 5 at UAB 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    22.0%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:27UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00GASO 4th & 15 at GASO 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:04GASO 4th & 15 at GASO 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:50GASO 4th & 10 at UAB 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.1%
    40% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:51GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 33, down 14
    Close callPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:51GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 33, down 20
    Close callPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:43UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 43, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.6%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    84.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:33UAB 4th & 7 at GASO 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    83.0%−4.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:33GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:27GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:03UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 27, up 14
    Close callPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.5%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:55UAB 4th & 4 at GASO 4, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−6.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:12GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.5%−1.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:35UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:46GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.6%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 5:19UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:51UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:43GASO Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:12GASO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:46UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.1%−0.6
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:5420% → 21%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
79.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
79.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
79.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to OJ Arnold for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
79.6%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
79.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
79.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
79.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2TD
17 plays · 77 yds · 7:4779% → 80%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
79.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+18
79.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 18 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
79.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 7 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
79.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+3
79.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
79.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
79.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Dexter Boykin for 8 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
79.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to CD DanielsSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
79.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+5
79.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
79.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Terrell McDonald for 1 yd to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
79.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+9
79.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete short left to Rudolph,Samario PENALTY GSU Holding (Bride,Tyler) 9 yards from GSU18 to GSU09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
79.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
79.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Bryce DamousSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
79.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 5 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q1 5:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.7%
D. McBride run for 1 yd for a TD, (M. Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 2:5021% → 22%
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.5%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+14
79.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 14 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
79.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Beau JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
79.2%
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+5
78.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
78.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 1 yd to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+4
78.8%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 5
OPP 39
0
78.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q1 2:29
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
78.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0280% → 79%
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
79.7%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
79.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+5
79.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 0:27
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
79.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:2321% → 20%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
78.9%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
78.8%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
79.0%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kyle Vantrease) declinedSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+3
79.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to OJ Arnold for 3 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+21
79.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 39 , Mac McWilliams returns for 21 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 15
OWN 15
+21
79.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 39 , Mac McWilliams returns for 21 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6MISSED FG
20 plays · 36 yds · 14:1021% → 21%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
78.7%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
78.5%
Kyle Vantrease run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+18
78.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jalen White for 18 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
77.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
77.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
77.6%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
77.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Beau JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
77.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
78.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
78.6%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
78.2%
Kyle Vantrease run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+18
78.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jalen White for 18 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
76.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
77.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+3
76.5%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
76.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Beau JohnsonSimilar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
76.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q2 3:11
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
77.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 10
OPP 37
+54
79.4%
Michael Lantz 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
3 plays · 39 yds · 1:1380% → 85%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+36
80.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 36 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
80.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
85.0%
D. Hopkins pass,to T. McDonald for 5 yds for a TD, (M. Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:0016% → 10%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.6%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
83.4%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
83.4%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+29
89.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 53 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 29 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 10:51
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+29
90.5%
Anthony Beck II punt for 53 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 29 yds to the UAB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 0:5491% → 93%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
90.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Personal Foul (Todd Bradley-Glenn) to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+24
91.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 24 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
92.7%
D. McBride run for 31 yds for a TD, (M. Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 4:089% → 17%
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+19
90.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to OJ Arnold for 19 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
90.5%
OJ Arnold run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 9:51
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+7
90.1%
OJ Arnold run for 7 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
90.3%
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
90.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+5
90.2%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
89.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 3 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+3
89.6%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 7:51
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+22
90.0%
Kyle Vantrease run for 15 yds to the UAB 13 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Drew Tuazama) to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
83.5%
K. Vantrease pass,to D. Burgess Jr. for 6 yds for a TD, (A. Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:3287% → 88%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
86.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 18 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
87.0%
UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+3
86.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
85.9%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 17
OWN 36
+4
86.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
88.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 34 yds , Amare Jones returns for 4 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5089% → 90%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
89.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+9
89.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
50
-10
90.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hopkins,Dylan pass complete short right to Palmer,Tejhaun for 0 yards to the UAB50 (Canteen,Derrick) PENALTY UAB Holding (McGee,Quincy) 10 yards from UAB50 to UAB40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+3
90.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:2188% → 88%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+47
87.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 47 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
88.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+1
88.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+10
88.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 10 yds to the GeoSo 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
88.4%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
88.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
88.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Tejhaun PalmerSimilar
Q3 11:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
88.4%
Matt Quinn 24 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:0612% → 12%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
88.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
87.4%
OJ Arnold run for no gain to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
88.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Joshua ThompsonSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+16
88.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 16 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
86.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Beau JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
87.0%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
87.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q3 11:33
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
87.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q3 9:27
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
88.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:2490% → 90%
Q3 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
89.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
89.6%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 5 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 9:27
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+4
89.2%
Dylan Hopkins run for 4 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 7:03
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
90.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 48 yds , Amare Jones returns for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:0911% → 11%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
87.9%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
88.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jjay McafeeSimilar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
88.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass interceptedSimilar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
88.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:5992% → 92%
Q3 5:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
91.7%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
91.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun McBride,DeWayne rush right for 0 yards to the GSU09 (Wilson,Anthony; Watson-Trent,Marques) PENALTY UAB Holding (McDonald,Terrell) 10 yards from GSU09 to GSU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
91.6%
UAB Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+15
91.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 15 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q3 3:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
91.6%
Matt Quinn 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:4310% → 20%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
90.5%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 3:55
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
89.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q3 3:12
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+71
80.4%
J. White run for 71 yds for a TD, (A. Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:1270% → 73%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
69.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete short middle to Palmer,Tejhaun broken up by Robertson,Seth PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Robertson,Seth) 15 yards from UAB29 to UAB44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
72.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
72.8%
DeWayne McBride run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 4
50
+3
72.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hopkins,Dylan pass incomplete short middle to Davis,Ryan broken up by Bride,Tyler, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY GSU Pass Interference (Bride,Tyler) 3 yards from UAB50 to GSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
73.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+13
73.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
74.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
73.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
73.9%
PENALTY UAB Illegal Substitution 5 yards from GSU22 to GSU27. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+27
73.4%
D. McBride run for 27 yds for a TD, (R. Burkhardt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:5432% → 21%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
67.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jalen White for 22 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
63.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 5 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
63.3%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+6
63.9%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+22
63.3%
Gerald Green run for 22 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
61.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jjay McafeeSimilar
Q4 14:48
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+4
61.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 14:48
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+8
63.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to OJ Arnold for 8 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
61.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Darius Lewis for 2 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q4 14:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
61.3%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 9:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
79.4%
J. White run for 1 yd for a TD, (A. Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1988% → 86%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
87.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incomplete to Samario RudolphSimilar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
87.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 9:01
3RD & 13
OWN 24
0
85.5%
UAB Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+7
85.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 51 yds , Amare Jones returns for 7 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:4517% → 15%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
83.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 17 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
80.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+2
81.1%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
82.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass interceptedSimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
85.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 2:0491% → 97%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
90.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+3
90.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+17
90.9%
Dylan Hopkins run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.4%
D. McBride run for 4 yds for a TD, (R. Burkhardt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24INT
17 plays · 59 yds · 2:496% → 4%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q4 4:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q4 4:46
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass incomplete short middle to Singleton,Jeremy, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (Bynum,Devodric) 11 yard from GSU25 to GSU36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
93.7%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+5
93.4%
Kyle Vantrease run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+8
93.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 8 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
93.3%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+7
92.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 7 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
93.1%
OJ Arnold run for 6 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+12
96.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 12 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
96.6%
Kyle Vantrease run for 1 yd to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
96.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25END OF GAME
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:5799% → 99%
Q4 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
98.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+3
98.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 1:51
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+10
98.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 10 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
98.8%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:54
J. White run for 1 yd for a TD, (A. Raynor KICK)
+18.2
TD · Q3 3:12
J. White run for 71 yds for a TD, (A. Raynor KICK)
-9.3
TD · Q2 5:43
K. Vantrease pass,to D. Burgess Jr. for 6 yds for a TD, (A. Raynor KICK)
-7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com