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UAB

UAB 14 at Liberty 21

LIB
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Williams Stadium (VA)
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Win probability · LIB
modelLIB aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playLIB scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:18: Kaidon Salter 2 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick) — LIB win probability +24.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:14: DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 19 — UAB win probability +9.6 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:59: Dae Dae Hunter 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick) — LIB win probability +11.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:08: DeWayne McBride 9 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick) — UAB win probability +12.1 pts (now 17%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:08: Shedro Louis run for 17 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST down — LIB win probability +10.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LIB made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 13:32LIB 4th & 12 at LIB 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:00LIB 4th & 14 at UAB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:00LIB 4th & 14 at UAB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    37.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:44UAB 4th & 5 at LIB 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:22LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:13LIB 4th & 3 at UAB 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    38.9%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:11LIB 4th & 7 at LIB 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:04UAB 4th & 5 at LIB 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−1.0
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:12LIB 4th & 27 at UAB 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:26UAB 4th & 4 at LIB 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−9.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:26UAB 4th & 4 at LIB 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−9.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:52LIB 4th & 11 at LIB 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−3.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:58LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:58LIB 4th & 8 at LIB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.8%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:12UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 46, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.7%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:12UAB 4th & 18 at UAB 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−5.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:28UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.4%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:43UAB 4th & 28 at UAB 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LIB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 1:17UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:55LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:18LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:59LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:08UAB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2828% → 29%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
27.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
27.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-1
28.1%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Kelle Sanders for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 23Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
28.5%
Aidan Alves punt for 37 yds, downed at the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
28.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 12 yds to the Liber 48 fumbled, recovered by Liber Robert RahimiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:2429% → 29%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
28.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 14 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
28.9%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
28.8%
Dae Dae Hunter run for no gain to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-5
28.8%
LIBERTY Penalty, False Start (X'Zauvea Gadlin) to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 15
OPP 43
+1
28.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
29.3%
Aidan Alves punt for 35 yds, downed at the UAB 7Similar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
29.3%
Aidan Alves punt for 35 yds, downed at the UAB 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 47 yds · 3:1671% → 69%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
29.4%
run for 1 yd to the UAB 8Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+7
29.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 7 yds to the UAB 15Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+34
29.5%
DeWayne McBride run for 34 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
29.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 2 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+3
29.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 3 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
29.1%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
30.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:2231% → 32%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
31.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Cole Peterlin for 11 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
31.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Shedro Louis for 11 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
31.4%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
31.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Shedro Louis for 11 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-7
31.3%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Michael Fairbanks II and Kyle Harrell for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+13
30.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 13 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-7
31.3%
Kaidon Salter sacked by Michael Fairbanks II and Kyle Harrell for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+13
30.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 13 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
32.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 44 yds, downed at the UAB 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:1268% → 67%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
32.2%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 4Similar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
32.2%
DeWayne McBride run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 4Similar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+5
32.2%
LIBERTY Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UAB 9Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+17
32.9%
DeWayne McBride run for 17 yds to the UAB 26 DeWayne McBride fumbled, recovered by Liber Dre ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7MISSED FG
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:5734% → 34%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
34.1%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
34.1%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-2
34.1%
Kaidon Salter run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+6
33.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 6 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 3:13
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
34.3%
Nick Brown 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q1 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
33.5%
MCBRIDE, DeWayne rush to the left for a gain of 7 yards to the UAB27 (JOLLY, JR., Jerome), out of bounds. PENALTY UAB Unnecessary Roughness on SHROPSHIRE, Trea enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards from the UAB27 to the UAB12, from the the spot of the ball when the foul occurred, runner is credited with 7 yards on the play [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:5666% → 72%
Q1 3:13
1ST & 17
OWN 13
0
33.6%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 13Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 17
OWN 13
+56
33.6%
DeWayne McBride run for 56 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
28.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. 31 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 3:1530% → 39%
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
30.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 2 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-1
30.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+20
29.7%
Kaidon Salter run for 20 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+29
31.4%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Noah Frith for 29 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
32.1%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
-1
32.1%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 14Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+9
31.4%
Kaidon Salter run for 9 yds to the UAB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
39.3%
Shedro Louis 5 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:4665% → 67%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
35.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 5 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+9
34.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 9 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
34.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
34.3%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:30
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+19
35.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 19 yds to the Liber 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
33.3%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the Liber 32Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+26
33.4%
DeWayne McBride run for 26 yds to the Liber 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
33.5%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Liber 6 DeWayne McBride fumbled, recovered by Liber Ahmad WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4838% → 37%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
38.1%
Kaidon Salter run for 3 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 7
OWN 9
0
38.0%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 7
OWN 9
0
37.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:11
4TH & 7
OWN 9
0
36.9%
Aidan Alves punt for 38 yds, downed at the Liber 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:0766% → 64%
Q2 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
33.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 49Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
34.6%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the Liber 49Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+7
35.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 7 yds to the Liber 42Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
35.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:5240% → 40%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
39.7%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+46
39.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Noah Frith for 46 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
43.0%
Kaidon Salter run for 1 yd to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 9
OPP 30
-15
43.0%
LOUIS, Shedro rush to the left for no gain to the UAB30 (SANDERS, Kelle;CASH, Grayson). PENALTY LIB Block below the waist on KOURTIS, John enforced 15 yards from the UAB30 to the UAB45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 24
OPP 45
0
41.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 24
OPP 45
+2
40.0%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 22
OPP 43
-5
38.7%
LIBERTY Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 27
OPP 48
0
40.1%
Aidan Alves punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Starling Thomas V at the UAB 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 16 yds · 1:4461% → 59%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
39.5%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
39.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+8
40.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
38.7%
HOPKINS, Dylan pass up the middle incomplete intended for PALMER, Tejhaun thrown to the UAB50. PENALTY LIB Roughing the Passer on WALKER, Ahmad enforced 15 yards from the UAB35 to the UAB50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
50
0
36.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
50
+12
36.7%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 12 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-17
35.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 40 UAB Penalty, Personal Foul (Matthew Trehern) to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 27
OWN 45
0
38.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 27
OWN 45
-5
39.4%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 32
OWN 40
0
41.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:3942% → 47%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
42.2%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 16 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+12
42.5%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 12 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
44.1%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+10
44.7%
Shedro Louis run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
0
46.7%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:2861% → 60%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
39.1%
DeWayne McBride run for 3 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+56
38.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 56 yds to the Liber 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
35.3%
DeWayne McBride run for 4 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 9
0
35.3%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the Liber 9Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+2
36.4%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the Liber 7Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+2
39.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+2
39.8%
Dylan Hopkins run for 2 yds to the Liber 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:3444% → 43%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+8
43.8%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Shedro Louis for 8 yds to the Liber 13Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 2
OWN 13
+2
44.0%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
43.9%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 2 yds to the Liber 17Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-3
44.0%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 14Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 11
OWN 14
0
42.4%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 11
OWN 14
+4
43.0%
Aidan Alves punt for 34 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 4 yds to the Liber 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5449% → 45%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
48.8%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
47.6%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+2
45.9%
Kaidon Salter run for 2 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
45.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 20Similar
Q3 7:58
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
45.4%
Aidan Alves punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mac McWilliams at the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:4657% → 57%
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
42.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 6 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
42.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+10
43.0%
run for 10 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
41.2%
DeWayne McBride run for 1 yd to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
41.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+7
42.5%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to TJ Jones for 7 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+28
43.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 28 yds to the Liber 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20TD
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:5450% → 79%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
49.7%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 3 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+20
51.0%
Dae Dae Hunter run for 20 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
52.5%
Kaidon Salter run for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+9
53.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Dae Dae Hunter for 9 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+19
53.7%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 19 yds to the UAB 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
53.7%
HUNTER, Dae Dae rush to the right for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB5 (TAYLOR, Tyler). PENALTY Before the snap, UAB Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 2 yards from the UAB4 to the UAB2. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 1:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.5%
Kaidon Salter 2 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:0231% → 26%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
69.0%
DeWayne McBride run for no gain to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
-10
70.7%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 10 yards to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 9
-5
72.7%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Sidney Wells) to the UAB 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 5
+6
72.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 6 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 18
OWN 11
0
73.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 42 yds, downed at the Liber 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 22TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 3:1381% → 93%
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
80.7%
LIBERTY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 40Similar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 17
OWN 40
0
79.5%
Kaidon Salter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+17
79.2%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Shedro Louis for 17 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+39
81.0%
Kaidon Salter pass complete to Demario Douglas for 39 yds to the UAB 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
81.3%
Shedro Louis run for 2 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
81.3%
Nate Hampton run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.2%
Dae Dae Hunter 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 7 yds · 5:1611% → 4%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
89.2%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Tejhaun Palmer for 14 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
88.0%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
87.8%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 3 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-3
93.5%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 8:28
4TH & 5
OWN 44
+6
93.7%
Dylan Hopkins pass complete to Ryan Davis for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
50
-8
93.3%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by Dennis Osagiede for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 18
OWN 42
-9
94.0%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by TreShaun Clark and Kendy Charles for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 27
OWN 33
-1
94.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 28
OWN 32
+6
95.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 53 yds , Demario Douglas returns for 6 yds to the Liber 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:5696% → 97%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
96.4%
Malik Caper run for 2 yds to the Liber 23Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-3
96.9%
Malik Caper run for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 20 Malik Caper fumbled, recovered by UAB Noah WilderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:395% → 17%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
95.0%
Dylan Hopkins sacked by TreShaun Clark for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 24Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 14
OPP 24
-5
95.2%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Keondre Swoopes) to the Liber 29Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 19
OPP 29
+14
95.3%
HOPKINS, Dylan pass to the left incomplete intended for SHROPSHIRE, Trea thrown to the LIB3. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on MEGGINSON, Chris enforced 14 yards to the LIB15 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
95.0%
DeWayne McBride run for 6 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
82.9%
DeWayne McBride 9 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 26END OF GAME
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:0894% → 97%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
93.6%
Shedro Louis run for 17 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.3%
Shedro Louis run for no gain to the Liber 42Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+35
95.2%
Kaidon Salter run for 35 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
96.2%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
97.1%
Shedro Louis run for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
-3
96.9%
Dae Dae Hunter run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:18
Kaidon Salter 2 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)
+24.8
TD · Q4 3:08
DeWayne McBride 9 Yd Run (Matt Quinn Kick)
-12.1
TD · Q4 10:59
Dae Dae Hunter 1 Yd Run (Nick Brown Kick)
+11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com