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MCN

McNeese 10 at Rice 52

RICE
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadMCN aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreMCN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:03 · pass incomplete to Kobie Campbell
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 125Pregame prior+2.7Home team on offense+6.5Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Blowout margin−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:23: Christian VanSickle 28 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +3.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:26: Ari Broussard 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick) — RICE win probability +4.4 pts (now 72%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:20: Bradley Rozner 75 Yd pass from TJ McMahon (Christian VanSickle Kick) — MCN win probability +3.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:35: Jack Bradley 17 Yd pass from TJ McMahon (Christian VanSickle Kick) — RICE win probability +9.0 pts (now 72%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:00: TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 30 yds to the McNSt 17 for a 1ST down — RICE win probability +3.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MCN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:26RICE 4th & 20 at RICE 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.8%−0.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:23RICE 4th & 10 at MCN 10, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:13MCN 4th & 6 at MCN 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:43MCN 4th & 16 at MCN 19, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00RICE 4th & 1 at MCN 44, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    67.0%−3.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:32MCN 4th & 10 at MCN 43, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−1.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:15MCN 4th & 11 at RICE 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:51RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:10MCN 4th & 6 at RICE 6, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.3%−13.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:26MCN 4th & 6 at MCN 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.6%−2.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:03RICE 4th & 2 at MCN 30, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    64.9%−3.7
    56% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−7.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 0:00RICE 4th & 5 at MCN 31, up 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 9.7 ptsWent for it · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.6%−9.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    82.6%−11.7
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MCNDrive 1FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
69.2%
Knox Kadum run for a loss of 5 yards to the McNSt 9 Knox Kadum fumbled, recovered by Rice Myron MorrisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
26 plays · 24 yds · 8:2669% → 68%
Q1 8:26
4TH & 20
OWN 49
0
69.0%
Conor Hunt punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
67.9%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Jack Bradley) to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+3
67.8%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+15
67.8%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 15 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
68.0%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
68.4%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 7 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+4
69.2%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
69.1%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+6
69.0%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 6 yds to the McNSt 45Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
69.1%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the McNSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-15
69.4%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (Braedon Nutter) to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 25
OWN 44
0
68.4%
pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 25
OWN 44
+8
68.2%
Ari Broussard run for 8 yds to the McNSt 48Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 17
OPP 48
-3
67.9%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Jerry Johnson III for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 7:2370% → 70%
Q1 7:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
70.0%
Christian VanSickle 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
70.5%
Ari Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 10Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.5%
pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
69.9%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Bradley Rozner, broken up by Richard AkersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 6:1330% → 31%
Q1 6:13
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
70.1%
Callum Eddings punt for 8 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
68.7%
pass incomplete to Josh MatthewsSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
68.9%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Ben Renfro, broken up by Lamont NarcisseSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 1
OWN 27
-5
69.4%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, delay of game (Koby Duru) to the McNSt 22Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+9
69.4%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Mason Pierce for 9 yds to the McNSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 4:3871% → 71%
Q1 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
70.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 13 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
70.5%
Ari Broussard run for 3 yds to the McNSt 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+19
70.5%
Ari Broussard run for 19 yds to the McNSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
70.5%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 6INT
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:2432% → 33%
Q1 2:24
3RD & 6
OPP 37
0
68.0%
Cam Ransom pass incomplete to Tyronne Hayes, broken up by Myron MorrisonSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
68.7%
D'Angelo Durham run for 8 yds to the McNSt 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+26
68.0%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Mason Pierce for 26 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
67.3%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Deonta McMahon for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 33
-4
66.7%
Knox Kadum sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 4:4369% → 70%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
68.9%
Ari Broussard run for 11 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
69.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Ari Broussard for 10 yds to the McNSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
70.1%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Cameron Montgomery for 11 yds to the McNSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
70.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Dean Connors for a loss of 2 yards to the McNSt 40Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+9
69.8%
TJ McMahon run for 9 yds for a TD, (Christian VanSickle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 8TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 7:5835% → 38%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
65.1%
D'Angelo Durham run for 6 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 4
OPP 14
-91
65.7%
Gabe Taylor 91 Yd Interception Return (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
67.0%
Deonta McMahon run for 22 yds to the McNSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
64.3%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Josh MatthewsSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
64.8%
Deonta McMahon run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
50
+15
64.7%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (Chris Conti) to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
62.4%
Knox Kadum run for 9 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+6
62.1%
Deonta McMahon run for 6 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 9FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 5:3133% → 33%
Q2 5:31
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-14
67.2%
Cam Ransom run for a loss of 14 yards to the McNSt 20 Cam Ransom fumbled, recovered by Rice Sean FreschSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.0%
Cam Ransom run for 1 yd to the McNSt 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
67.1%
Cam Ransom run for 8 yds to the McNSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 3:2672% → 72%
Q2 3:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.5%
Ari Broussard 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
71.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 21Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
0
71.5%
pass incomplete to Jack BradleySimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 21
+17
70.1%
TJ McMahon run for 17 yds to the McNSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
71.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the McNSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 2:5532% → 33%
Q2 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
67.7%
Cam Ransom sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the McNSt 17Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+2
68.6%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Mason Pierce for 2 yds to the McNSt 19Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+10
69.4%
Callum Eddings punt for 44 yds , Sean Fresch returns for 10 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
67.0%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0070% → 72%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
70.2%
Dean Connors run for 9 yds to the McNSt 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
70.9%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Luke McCaffrey, broken up by Jayden DavisSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
70.3%
Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+2
69.0%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the McNSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
70.9%
pass incomplete to Luke McCaffreySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
70.7%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Cameron Montgomery, broken up by Gerrell GreenSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+13
69.5%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 13 yds to the McNSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+47
71.6%
Tim Horn 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
68.2%
Bradley Rozner 75 Yd pass from TJ McMahon (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 14TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 14:3134% → 35%
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
65.8%
Deonta McMahon 62 Yd Run (Garrison Smith Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
65.0%
Knox Kadum run for 15 yds to the McNSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 12:3232% → 38%
Q3 12:32
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
68.1%
Callum Eddings punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.0%
Knox Kadum pass incomplete to Josh Matthews, broken up by Jordan DunbarSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
65.2%
D'Angelo Durham run for 18 yds to the McNSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
61.6%
D'Angelo Durham run for 3 yds to the McNSt 46Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
61.2%
pass incomplete to Mason PierceSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 46
-3
62.5%
Knox Kadum sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the McNSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 9:3572% → 70%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
71.5%
Jack Bradley 17 Yd pass from TJ McMahon (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
66.0%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
65.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 2 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+16
64.1%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 16 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
67.8%
Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
67.2%
MCNEESE ST Penalty, personal foul (Kordell Williams) to the McNSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+30
70.3%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 30 yds to the McNSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 7:1533% → 37%
Q3 7:15
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
67.3%
Callum Eddings punt for 49 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
65.0%
D'Angelo Durham run for 17 yds to the McNSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
61.9%
Cam Ransom run for 10 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
60.4%
pass incomplete to Aalah BrownSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-1
60.9%
D'Angelo Durham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
62.9%
pass incomplete to Severyn FosterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 4:5164% → 65%
Q3 4:51
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
64.0%
Conor Hunt punt for 40 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
66.0%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
65.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Micah Barnett for 6 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-2
65.0%
Ari Broussard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 19FG
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:1036% → 40%
Q3 3:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
63.6%
Garrison Smith 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+38
64.0%
Cam Ransom run for 38 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
58.4%
pass incomplete to Mason PierceSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+18
59.0%
Deonta McMahon run for 8 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Chris Conti) to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
58.4%
D'Angelo Durham run for 4 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
58.4%
pass incomplete to Markel CottonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
60.2%
pass incomplete to Deonta McMahonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:4666% → 70%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
66.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+23
66.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 23 yds to the McNSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
70.3%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Kobie Campbell, broken up by Richard AkersSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
69.9%
Uriah West run for 3 yds to the McNSt 44Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+11
69.4%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Kobie Campbell for 11 yds to the McNSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
71.4%
TJ McMahon pass incomplete to Kobie Campbell, broken up by Jaylen JacksonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+9
71.3%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Jack Bradley for 9 yds to the McNSt 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+6
69.9%
Uriah West run for 6 yds to the McNSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:14
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+15
69.9%
Juma Otoviano 15 Yd pass from TJ McMahon (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 11:2634% → 18%
Q4 11:26
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
66.4%
Callum Eddings punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-17
80.2%
Knox Kadum sacked for a loss of 17 yards to the McNSt 10Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 27
OWN 10
+1
80.6%
Jr. Marcus Mcelroy run for 1 yd to the McNSt 11Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 26
OWN 11
+20
81.9%
Knox Kadum pass complete to Josh Matthews for 20 yds to the McNSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 36 yds · 8:0368% → 91%
Q4 8:03
4TH & 2
OPP 30
0
68.1%
pass incomplete to Kobie CampbellSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
87.9%
Dean Connors run for 6 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+22
90.7%
Dean Connors run for 22 yds to the McNSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
91.2%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the McNSt 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+1
91.6%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the McNSt 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+4
90.9%
Shawqi Itraish pass complete to Connor Welsh for 4 yds to the McNSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MCNDrive 23Uncategorized
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0019% → 26%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
80.8%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Lamont Narcisse) to the McNSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
79.3%
Cam Ransom run for a loss of 1 yard to the McNSt 36Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
80.6%
Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+11
82.5%
Cam Ransom pass complete to D'Angelo Durham for 11 yds to the McNSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
76.4%
Cam Ransom pass complete to Jon McCall for 2 yds to the McNSt 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+13
75.8%
Cam Ransom pass complete to Josh Matthews for 13 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
73.8%
Cam Ransom run for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0091% → 89%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
91.1%
Uriah West run for 6 yds to the McNSt 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
91.2%
Uriah West run for 6 yds to the McNSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
91.2%
Uriah West run for 2 yds to the McNSt 34Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+3
91.6%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the McNSt 31Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
91.0%
Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+6
89.1%
Uriah West run for 6 yds to the McNSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+10.9
TD · Q3 9:35
Jack Bradley 17 Yd pass from TJ McMahon (Christian VanSickle Kick)
+9
TD · Q2 3:26
Ari Broussard 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)
+4.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com