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TXSO

Texas Southern 27 at North Texas 59

UNT
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadTXSO aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreTXSO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:20 · R.Garcia punts 40 yards to NTX 47, Center-TSO. R.Burns returned punt from the NTX 47. Tackled by TSO at TSO 44.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior+32.4Home team on offense+29.0Score differential+24.3Blowout margin+12.0Garbage-time factor+7.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:10: L.Owens rushed to NTX End Zone for 39 yards. L.Owens for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TXSO win probability +0.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: TXSO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:05: A.Aune pass complete to TSO 26. Catch made by J.Shorter at TSO 26. Gain of 26 yards. J.Shorter for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNT win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:41: A.Body pass complete to NTX 18. Catch made by A.Bennett at NTX 18. Gain of 18 yards. A.Bennett for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — TXSO win probability +1.5 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TXSO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:57: A.Aune pass complete to NTX 30. Catch made by R.Burns at NTX 30. Gain of 70 yards. R.Burns for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNT win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:23: O.Adaway rushed to TSO End Zone for 3 yards. O.Adaway for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — UNT win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TXSO made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:58TXSO 4th & 24 at TXSO 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24UNT 4th & 1 at TXSO 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:04UNT 4th & 8 at TXSO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:14TXSO 4th & 3 at UNT 7, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.7%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:49TXSO 4th & 10 at TXSO 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:32TXSO 4th & 8 at UNT 40, down 21
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:29UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:56UNT 4th & 9 at TXSO 46, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:20TXSO 4th & 7 at TXSO 13, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:42TXSO 4th & 1 at UNT 41, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:15TXSO 4th & 13 at UNT 22, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TXSO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:46UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:43UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:10TXSO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:05UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:41TXSO Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 8:57UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 5:23UNT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:35UNT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:32UNT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 5:59TXSO Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 9:11UNT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSODrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:022% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.5%
A.Body rushed to TSO 41 for 16 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 41.Similar
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+19
98.4%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 41. Catch made by D.Morton at TSO 41. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 40.Similar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.4%
L.Owens rushed to NTX 40 for 0 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 40.Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-7
98.3%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body sacked at NTX 47 for -7 yards (M.Richards)Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 32
OWN 38
+8
98.2%
L.Owens rushed to TSO 46 for 8 yards. Pushed out of bounds by NTX at TSO 46.Similar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 24
OWN 46
+18
98.2%
R.Garcia punts 18 yards to NTX 36, Center-TSO. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:4698% → 98%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
98.2%
A.Aune rushed to TSO 49 for 15 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 49.Similar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.1%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for T.Bush.Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
98.1%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 43 for 6 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 43.Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
98.0%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 40.Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+12
98.0%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 28 for 12 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 28.Similar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
98.0%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for J.Shorter.Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+2
97.9%
A.Adeyi rushed to TSO 26 for 2 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 26.Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 8
OPP 26
0
97.9%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for T.Bush.Similar
Q1 9:04
4TH & 8
OPP 26
0
97.9%
E.Mooney 43 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-NTX, Holder-NTX. PENALTY on TSO-TSO, Running Into the Kicker, 5 yards, declined.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
1 play · 59 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
97.8%
A.Adeyi rushed to TSO End Zone for 59 yards. A.Adeyi for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 4FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 4:232% → 3%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.7%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body pass incomplete intended for T.Achane.Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
97.7%
J.Howard rushed to TSO 34 for 9 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 34.Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
97.7%
J.Howard rushed to TSO 43 for 9 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 43.Similar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
97.6%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 43. Catch made by T.Achane at TSO 43. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 45.Similar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
97.5%
J.Howard rushed to NTX 40 for 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by NTX at NTX 40.Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+4
97.5%
A.Body rushed to NTX 36 for 4 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 36.Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+12
97.4%
L.Owens rushed to NTX 24 for 12 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 24.Similar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
97.3%
L.Owens rushed to NTX 22 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 22.Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+8
97.2%
A.Body pass complete to NTX 22. Catch made by D.Morton at NTX 22. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 14.Similar
Q1 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.2%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body pass incomplete intended for D.Ford.Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
97.2%
A.Body rushed to NTX 8 for 6 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 8.Similar
Q1 2:51
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+1
97.2%
A.Body pass complete to NTX 8. Catch made by T.Achane at NTX 8. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 7.Similar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
97.1%
R.Garcia 24 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TSO, Holder-TSO.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 2:1197% → 98%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
97.2%
O.Adaway rushed to NTX 26 for 7 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 26. PENALTY on TSO-D.Anderson, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
97.2%
O.Adaway rushed to NTX 37 for -4 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 37.Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+5
97.1%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 37. Catch made by D.Ward at NTX 37. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 42.Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+22
97.0%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 42. Catch made by D.Ward at NTX 42. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 36. PENALTY on TSO-TSO, Illegal Substitution, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
97.1%
A.Aune rushed to TSO 36 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 36.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
97.1%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 35 for 1 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 35.Similar
Q2 14:43
3RD & 9
OPP 35
+35
97.7%
A.Aune pass complete to TSO 35. Catch made by J.Maclin at TSO 35. Gain of 35 yards. J.Maclin for 35 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:243% → 4%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.4%
J.Howard rushed to TSO 33 for 8 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 33.Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+28
97.3%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 33. Catch made by D.Morton at TSO 33. Gain of 28 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 39.Similar
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
97.3%
A.Body rushed to NTX 34 for 5 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 34.Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 5
OPP 34
0
97.2%
PENALTY on TSO-M.Torrence, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+39
96.3%
L.Owens rushed to NTX End Zone for 39 yards. L.Owens for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5397% → 98%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for J.Shorter.Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+41
96.6%
A.Adeyi rushed to TSO 34 for 41 yards. Pushed out of bounds by TSO at TSO 34.Similar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
96.8%
A.Adeyi rushed to TSO 26 for 8 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 26.Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+26
97.6%
A.Aune pass complete to TSO 26. Catch made by J.Shorter at TSO 26. Gain of 26 yards. J.Shorter for 26 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 8TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:163% → 5%
Q2 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.2%
A.Body scrambles to TSO 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 27.Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
97.2%
J.Howard rushed to TSO 26 for -1 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 26.Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+17
97.2%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 26. Catch made by D.Morton at TSO 26. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 43.Similar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.0%
PENALTY on TSO-T.Achane, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 15
OWN 38
+25
97.0%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 38. Catch made by T.Leary at TSO 38. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 37.Similar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
96.9%
A.Body pass complete to NTX 37. Catch made by D.Morton at NTX 37. Gain of 19 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 18.Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
95.4%
A.Body pass complete to NTX 18. Catch made by A.Bennett at NTX 18. Gain of 18 yards. A.Bennett for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3796% → 97%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.1%
A.Adeyi rushed to NTX 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 30.Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
96.0%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for V.Gumms.Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
97.2%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 30. Catch made by R.Burns at NTX 30. Gain of 70 yards. R.Burns for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:593% → 3%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.0%
L.Owens rushed to TSO 30 for 5 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 30.Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
96.9%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 30. Catch made by D.Morton at TSO 30. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 37.Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.9%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body pass incomplete intended for TSO.Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
96.9%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body pass incomplete intended for TSO. PENALTY on TSO-D.Centers, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, declined.Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
97.0%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body pass incomplete intended for D.Morton.Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+41
97.0%
R.Garcia punts 41 yards to NTX 22, Center-TSO. R.Burns returned punt from the NTX 22. Tackled by TSO at NTX 29.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:1497% → 99%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
97.0%
O.Adaway rushed to NTX 35 for 6 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 35.Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
97.1%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for R.Burns. PENALTY on TSO-I.Hamilton, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.1%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for T.Bush.Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
97.1%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for T.Bush. PENALTY on TSO-TSO, Defensive Pass Interference, 12 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.1%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 40.Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+7
97.1%
A.Aune pass complete to TSO 40. Catch made by V.Gumms at TSO 40. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 33. PENALTY on TSO-J.Williams, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+15
97.1%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 3 for 15 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 3.Similar
Q2 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
97.1%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 3 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 3.Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.6%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO End Zone for 3 yards. O.Adaway for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 12PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 2:472% → 2%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.3%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 25. Catch made by A.Bennett at TSO 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 31.Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
98.3%
J.Howard rushed to TSO 33 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 33. PENALTY on NTX-L.Nixon, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
98.2%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body pass incomplete intended for A.Bennett.Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
98.3%
A.Body rushed to NTX 48 for 4 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 48.Similar
Q2 4:06
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+6
98.3%
A.Body rushed to NTX 42 for 6 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 42.Similar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.3%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body pass incomplete intended for TSO.Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
98.3%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body pass incomplete intended for T.Achane.Similar
Q2 3:22
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+2
98.4%
L.Owens rushed to NTX 40 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 40.Similar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 8
OPP 40
+40
98.4%
R.Garcia punts 40 yards to NTX End Zone, Center-TSO. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 1:0199% → 99%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
98.6%
A.Adeyi rushed to NTX 27 for 7 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 27.Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
98.7%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 27. Catch made by J.Shorter at NTX 27. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 33.Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.7%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for J.Shorter.Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
98.7%
A.Adeyi rushed to NTX 34 for 1 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 34.Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
98.7%
PENALTY on NTX-C.Brown, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+11
98.6%
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 29. Catch made by J.Maclin at NTX 29. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 40.Similar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+44
98.6%
B.Rodriguez punts 44 yards to TSO 16, Center-NTX. Fair catch by D.Morton.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 22 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+22
98.4%
L.Owens rushed to TSO 38 for 22 yards. L.Owens FUMBLES, forced by D.Gaddie. Fumble RECOVERED by NTX-D.Gaddie at TSO 38. Tackled by TSO at TSO 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 0:3799% → 100%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
98.8%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 23 for 15 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 23.Similar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
98.8%
A.Aune pass complete to TSO 23. Catch made by D.Ward at TSO 23. Gain of 10 yards. Pushed out of bounds by TSO at TSO 13.Similar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
98.8%
A.Aune pass complete to TSO 13. Catch made by B.Jackson at TSO 13. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 1.Similar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO End Zone for 1 yards. O.Adaway for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
99.6%
A.Adeyi rushed to NTX 46 for 6 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 46.Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+7
99.6%
A.Adeyi rushed to TSO 47 for 7 yards. Tackled by D.Tucker at TSO 47.Similar
Q3 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
99.7%
A.Adeyi rushed to TSO 48 for -1 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 48.Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+2
99.7%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 46 for 2 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 46.Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 9
OPP 46
0
99.7%
A.Aune steps back to pass. A.Aune pass incomplete intended for J.Maclin.Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 9
OPP 46
+36
99.7%
B.Rodriguez punts 36 yards to TSO 10, Center-NTX. Downed by NTX.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:240% → 0%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.7%
K.Harris rushed to TSO 10 for 0 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 10.Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.7%
K.Harris rushed to TSO 11 for 1 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 11.Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+2
99.7%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 11. Catch made by P.Wells at TSO 11. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 13.Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+40
99.7%
R.Garcia punts 40 yards to NTX 47, Center-TSO. R.Burns returned punt from the NTX 47. Tackled by TSO at TSO 44.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 1:30100% → 100%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
99.7%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 41 for 3 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 41.Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
99.7%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 41 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 41.Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
99.7%
A.Aune scrambles to TSO 41 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 41.Similar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
99.7%
PENALTY on TSO-TSO, Defensive Targeting, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+12
99.8%
O.Adaway rushed to TSO 14 for 12 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 14.Similar
Q3 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.8%
A.Aune pass complete to TSO 14. Catch made by V.Gumms at TSO 14. Gain of 14 yards. V.Gumms for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:250% → 0%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 25. Catch made by T.Leary at TSO 25. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 28.Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 28. Catch made by T.Leary at TSO 28. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 43.Similar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
99.8%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 43. Catch made by D.Morton at TSO 43. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 40.Similar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
99.8%
J.Howard rushed to NTX 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 38.Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+12
99.8%
A.Body pass complete to NTX 38. Catch made by J.Williams at NTX 38. Gain of 12 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 26.Similar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.8%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body pass incomplete intended for T.Leary.Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+8
99.8%
A.Body rushed to NTX 18 for 8 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 18.Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+2
99.8%
A.Body scrambles to NTX 16 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 16.Similar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.8%
A.Body steps back to pass. A.Body pass incomplete intended for A.Bennett. PENALTY on NTX-K.Crosby, Defensive Pass Interference, 14 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 6:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
J.Howard rushed to NTX 1 for 1 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 1.Similar
Q3 5:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
J.Howard rushed to NTX End Zone for 1 yards. J.Howard for 1 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20INT
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:32100% → 100%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
99.8%
G.Gunnell pass complete to NTX 16. Catch made by V.Gumms at NTX 16. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 23.Similar
Q3 5:17
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+3
99.8%
P.Landis rushed to NTX 26 for 3 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 26.Similar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.8%
P.Landis rushed to NTX 28 for 2 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 28.Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
99.8%
G.Gunnell steps back to pass. G.Gunnell pass incomplete intended for D.Ward. PENALTY on TSO-TSO, Defensive Pass Interference, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+9
99.8%
P.Landis rushed to TSO 48 for 9 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 48.Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 1
OPP 48
+5
99.8%
P.Landis rushed to TSO 43 for 5 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 43.Similar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
K.Jackson rushed to TSO 32 for yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 32. PENALTY on NTX-NTX, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 2:12
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
K.Jackson rushed to TSO 45 for 8 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 45.Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+34
99.9%
G.Gunnell pass complete to TSO 45. Catch made by J.Maclin at TSO 45. Gain of 34 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 11.Similar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
99.9%
K.Jackson rushed to TSO 9 for 2 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 9.Similar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+80
99.9%
G.Gunnell pass INTERCEPTED at TSO End Zone. Intercepted by N.Cotton at TSO End Zone. Tackled by NTX at TSO 20.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 39 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 20. Catch made by R.Masters at TSO 20. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 21.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+16
99.9%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 21. Catch made by A.Bennett at TSO 21. Gain of 16 yards. Pushed out of bounds by NTX at TSO 37.Similar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
99.9%
A.Body pass complete to TSO 37. Catch made by T.Turner at TSO 37. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 50.Similar
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+5
99.9%
D.Ford rushed to NTX 45 for 5 yards. Pushed out of bounds by NTX at NTX 45.Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
A.Body rushed to NTX 44 for 1 yards. Pushed out of bounds by NTX at NTX 44.Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+3
99.9%
A.Body scrambles to NTX 41 for 3 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 41.Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 1
OPP 41
0
99.9%
K.Harris rushed to NTX 41 for 0 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 41.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 59 yds · 3:27100% → 100%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
K.Jackson rushed to NTX 45 for 4 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 45.Similar
Q4 12:02
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+13
99.9%
K.Jackson rushed to TSO 42 for 13 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 42.Similar
Q4 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.9%
K.Jackson rushed to TSO 41 for 1 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 41.Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+12
99.9%
P.Landis rushed to TSO 29 for 12 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 29.Similar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.9%
P.Landis rushed to TSO 25 for 4 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 25.Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+15
99.9%
P.Landis rushed to TSO 10 for 15 yards. Tackled by TSO at TSO 10.Similar
Q4 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
PENALTY on TSO-TSO, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Defense, 15 yards, offset. No Play. PENALTY on NTX-NTX, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 15 yards, offset.Similar
Q4 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
P.Landis rushed to TSO End Zone for 10 yards. P.Landis for 10 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSODrive 23FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 5:500% → 0%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
D.Franklin rushed to TSO 34 for 9 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 34.Similar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
D.Franklin rushed to TSO 34 for 0 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 34.Similar
Q4 7:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
D.Franklin rushed to TSO 36 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 36.Similar
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
D.Franklin rushed to TSO 38 for 2 yards. Tackled by NTX at TSO 38.Similar
Q4 6:14
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+23
99.9%
D.Ford rushed to NTX 39 for 23 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 39.Similar
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
K.Harris rushed to NTX 33 for 6 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 33. PENALTY on NTX-Z.Jackson, Defensive Targeting, 14 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
99.9%
D.Ford rushed to NTX 20 for -1 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 20.Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 11
OPP 20
-2
99.9%
T.Hill rushed to NTX 22 for -2 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 22.Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & 13
OPP 22
0
100.0%
T.Hill rushed to NTX 22 for 0 yards. Tackled by NTX at NTX 22.Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+39
99.9%
R.Garcia 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-TSO, Holder-TSO.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:53100% → 100%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Q.Farrar rushed to NTX 33 for 8 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 33.Similar
Q4 2:26
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
Q.Farrar rushed to NTX 38 for 5 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 38.Similar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.9%
Q.Farrar rushed to NTX 42 for 4 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 42.Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Q.Farrar rushed to NTX 42 for 0 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 42.Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+8
100.0%
Q.Farrar rushed to NTX 50 for 8 yards. Tackled by TSO at NTX 50.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:23
O.Adaway rushed to TSO End Zone for 3 yards. O.Adaway for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+1.6
TD · Q2 9:41
A.Body pass complete to NTX 18. Catch made by A.Bennett at NTX 18. Gain of 18 yards. A.Bennett for 18 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-1.5
TD · Q2 8:57
A.Aune pass complete to NTX 30. Catch made by R.Burns at NTX 30. Gain of 70 yards. R.Burns for 70 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+1.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com