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MD

Maryland 56 at Charlotte 21

CLT
2022 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2022 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:10 · T.Ivey pass complete to MAR 30. Catch made by E.Spencer at MAR 30. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by S.Mosley at MAR 5.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 140Pregame prior−12.0Home team on offense−53.8Score differential−43.9Garbage-time factor−13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−7.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:29: A.Littleton rushed to CHA End Zone for 59 yards. A.Littleton for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MD win probability +1.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:29: X.Williams pass complete to MAR 19. Catch made by V.Tucker at MAR 19. Gain of 19 yards. V.Tucker for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CLT win probability +2.2 pts (now 8%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:02: T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 45. Catch made by J.Copeland at CHA 45. Gain of 45 yards. J.Copeland for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MD win probability +1.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:56: T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 16. Catch made by J.Jones at CHA 16. Gain of 16 yards. J.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MD win probability +3.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:54: T.Tagovailoa rushed to CHA End Zone for 4 yards. T.Tagovailoa for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MD win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 9 of 11MD made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:10CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:29CLT 4th & 6 at MD 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    6.8%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:39CLT 4th & 1 at MD 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.9%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:13CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:41CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:09CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:24CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:22CLT 4th & 4 at MD 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.9%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:04MD 4th & 4 at CLT 43, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:10CLT 4th & 5 at MD 30, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:39MD 4th & 11 at MD 36, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:23CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 30, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:26CLT 4th & 16 at MD 31, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MD made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:18MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:06CLT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:44MD Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:29MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:29CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 13:02MD Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 4:56MD Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:54MD Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:37MD Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:56MD Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 7:53CLT Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MDDrive 1TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:3796% → 96%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
4.0%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 21. Catch made by T.Felton at MAR 21. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by W.Jones at MAR 35.Similar
Q1 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
4.0%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 35. Catch made by J.Jones at MAR 35. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by D.Robinson at MAR 49.Similar
Q1 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
4.1%
R.Hemby rushed to CHA 44 for 7 yards. Tackled by L.Williams at CHA 44.Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+5
4.3%
R.Hemby rushed to CHA 39 for 5 yards. Tackled by D.Boykins at CHA 39.Similar
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
4.2%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 39. Catch made by J.Copeland at CHA 39. Gain of 39 yards. J.Copeland for 39 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
18 plays · 67 yds · 7:044% → 7%
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
4.3%
S.Byrd rushed to CHA 26 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Barham at CHA 26.Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
4.4%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 26. Catch made by G.Dubose at CHA 26. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by D.Banks at CHA 34.Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
4.5%
S.Byrd rushed to CHA 35 for 1 yards. Tackled by D.Trader at CHA 35.Similar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
4.6%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for V.Tucker.Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
4.6%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 35. Catch made by G.Dubose at CHA 35. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by D.Trader at CHA 44.Similar
Q1 11:20
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
4.7%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for G.Dubose.Similar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
4.7%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for E.Spencer. PENALTY on MAR-J.Copeland, Defensive Pass Interference, 3 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
4.8%
S.Byrd rushed to CHA 47 for 0 yards. Tackled by T.Akingbesote at CHA 47. PENALTY on MAR-T.Akingbesote, Illegal Use of Hands / Defense, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.8%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for CHA. PENALTY on CHA-J.Clemons, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+8
4.8%
X.Williams pass complete to MAR 45. Catch made by C.McEachern at MAR 45. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by G.Gibson at MAR 37.Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+1
5.5%
C.McEachern rushed to MAR 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by A.Finau at MAR 36.Similar
Q1 7:45
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+5
5.5%
X.Williams pass complete to MAR 36. Catch made by V.Tucker at MAR 36. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by G.Miller at MAR 31.Similar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 6
OPP 31
+8
5.5%
X.Williams pass complete to MAR 31. Catch made by V.Tucker at MAR 31. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by G.Gibson at MAR 23.Similar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
5.8%
S.Byrd rushed to MAR 15 for 8 yards. Tackled by R.Hyppolite at MAR 15.Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 2
OPP 15
0
5.9%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for J.Clemons.Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
5.8%
C.McEachern rushed to MAR 14 for 1 yards. Tackled by MAR at MAR 14.Similar
Q1 6:39
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+3
5.7%
C.McEachern rushed to MAR 11 for 3 yards. Tackled by MAR at MAR 11.Similar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
6.8%
X.Williams pass complete to MAR 11. Catch made by G.Dubose at MAR 11. Gain of 11 yards. G.Dubose for 11 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 3TD
3 plays · 31 yds · 0:1494% → 95%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
6.3%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 31. Catch made by R.Hemby at CHA 31. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by G.Howard at CHA 14.Similar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
6.3%
T.Tagovailoa steps back to pass. T.Tagovailoa pass incomplete intended for T.Felton.Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
5.5%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 14. Catch made by J.Jones at CHA 14. Gain of 14 yards. J.Jones for 14 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:156% → 7%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.9%
C.McEachern rushed to CHA 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by J.Barham at CHA 25.Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.1%
X.Williams rushed to CHA 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Wheatland at CHA 27.Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+9
6.0%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 27. Catch made by V.Tucker at CHA 27. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by B.Brade at CHA 36.Similar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
6.3%
E.Minter rushed to CHA 32 for -4 yards. E.Minter FUMBLES. Fumble RECOVERED by CHA-CHA at CHA 32.Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+6
6.3%
X.Williams rushed to CHA 38 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Bennett at CHA 38.Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
6.4%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for T.Thompson.Similar
Q1 2:13
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+54
6.5%
B.Rice punts 54 yards to MAR 8, Center-C.Lyons. Fair catch by J.Jones.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 5TD
3 plays · 92 yds · 0:3693% → 95%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+27
6.7%
T.Tagovailoa steps back to pass. T.Tagovailoa pass incomplete intended for R.Jarrett. The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion and the play was overturned. T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 8. Catch made by R.Jarrett at MAR 8. Gain of 27 yards. Tackled by CHA at MAR 35.Similar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
6.5%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 35. Catch made by D.Demus at MAR 35. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by W.Jones at MAR 41.Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+59
5.4%
A.Littleton rushed to CHA End Zone for 59 yards. A.Littleton for 59 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:426% → 8%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
5.7%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 20. Catch made by G.Dubose at CHA 20. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by D.Trader at CHA 26.Similar
Q1 0:36
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
5.9%
C.McEachern rushed to CHA 31 for 5 yards. Tackled by A.Fontaine at CHA 31.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+50
5.9%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 31. Catch made by E.Spencer at CHA 31. Gain of 50 yards. Tackled by L.Whitaker at MAR 19.Similar
Q2 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
8.1%
X.Williams pass complete to MAR 19. Catch made by V.Tucker at MAR 19. Gain of 19 yards. V.Tucker for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 7TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:2393% → 94%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
7.3%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 25. Catch made by J.Jones at MAR 25. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by S.Parker at MAR 41.Similar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
7.1%
R.Brown rushed to MAR 45 for 4 yards. Tackled by D.Smith at MAR 45.Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+10
7.2%
R.Jarrett rushed to CHA 45 for 10 yards. Tackled by W.Jones at CHA 45.Similar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
5.6%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 45. Catch made by J.Copeland at CHA 45. Gain of 45 yards. J.Copeland for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:146% → 6%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.1%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for E.Spencer.Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.1%
S.Byrd rushed to CHA 27 for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Nasili-Kite at CHA 27.Similar
Q2 12:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+1
6.1%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 27. Catch made by V.Tucker at CHA 27. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by D.Trader at CHA 28.Similar
Q2 11:41
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+53
6.0%
B.Rice punts 53 yards to MAR 19, Center-C.Lyons. Downed by CHA.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 9TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 6:3094% → 97%
Q2 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+28
6.0%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 19. Catch made by C.Dyches at MAR 19. Gain of 28 yards. Tackled by S.Parker at MAR 47.Similar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
5.8%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 46. Catch made by C.Dippre at MAR 46. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by W.Jones at MAR 46.Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+10
5.9%
C.McDonald rushed to CHA 44 for 10 yards. Tackled by D.Boykins at CHA 44.Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+3
5.9%
C.McDonald rushed to CHA 41 for 3 yards. Tackled by CHA at CHA 41.Similar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
5.9%
R.Hemby rushed to CHA 39 for 2 yards. Tackled by P.Bemah at CHA 39.Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+17
5.8%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 39. Catch made by A.Littleton at CHA 39. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by CHA at CHA 22.Similar
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
5.9%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 22. Catch made by R.Jarrett at CHA 22. Gain of -3 yards. Tackled by L.Williams at CHA 25.Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 13
OPP 25
-1
6.1%
C.McDonald rushed to CHA 26 for -1 yards. Tackled by CHA at CHA 26.Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 14
OPP 26
+23
6.3%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 26. Catch made by D.Demus at CHA 26. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by P.Bemah at CHA 3.Similar
Q2 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+5
6.2%
PENALTY on MAR-MAR, Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
6.3%
PENALTY on MAR-J.Duncan, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
-3
6.3%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 13. Catch made by R.Jarrett at CHA 13. Gain of -3 yards. Tackled by T.Creamer at CHA 16.Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
+16
3.4%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 16. Catch made by J.Jones at CHA 16. Gain of 16 yards. J.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:384% → 4%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
4.4%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 25. Catch made by V.Tucker at CHA 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by D.Trader at CHA 32.Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
4.6%
PENALTY on CHA-J.Hughes, False Start, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
4.4%
C.McEachern rushed to CHA 29 for 2 yards. Tackled by A.McCullough at CHA 29.Similar
Q2 3:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
4.4%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for G.Dubose.Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+38
4.4%
B.Rice punts 38 yards to MAR 33, Center-C.Lyons. J.Jones returned punt from the MAR 33. Tackled by CHA at MAR 37.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 11INT
6 plays · 35 yds · 1:4897% → 97%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
3.4%
R.Hemby rushed to MAR 36 for -1 yards. Tackled by C.Monroe at MAR 36.Similar
Q2 2:27
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+4
3.6%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 36. Catch made by J.Jones at MAR 36. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Creamer at MAR 40.Similar
Q2 1:40
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+11
3.2%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 40. Catch made by J.Copeland at MAR 40. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by W.Jones at CHA 49.Similar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
3.0%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 49. Catch made by J.Copeland at CHA 49. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by D.Newsom at CHA 34.Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
3.0%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 34. Catch made by C.Dyches at CHA 34. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by C.Francisco at CHA 28.Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
2.9%
T.Tagovailoa pass INTERCEPTED at CHA End Zone. Intercepted by C.Francisco at CHA End Zone. Tackled by MAR at CHA End Zone. Touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12END OF HALF
10 plays · 11 yds · 1:004% → 4%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
4.4%
S.Byrd rushed to CHA 20 for 0 yards. Tackled by V.Cowan at CHA 20.Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+5
4.4%
X.Williams scrambles to CHA 25 for 5 yards. Tackled by B.Brade at CHA 25.Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+8
4.4%
S.Byrd rushed to CHA 33 for 8 yards. Tackled by D.Banks at CHA 33.Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
4.5%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 33. Catch made by E.Spencer at CHA 33. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by MAR at CHA 42.Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
4.8%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 42. Catch made by E.Spencer at CHA 42. Gain of yards. Tackled by D.Banks at MAR 43. PENALTY on CHA-J.Hughes, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
4.4%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for C.McEachern.Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
4.3%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for G.Dubose. PENALTY on CHA-CHA, Ineligible Downfield Pass, 5 yards, offset. PENALTY on MAR-MAR, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, offset. No Play.Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 32
-1
4.3%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 32. Catch made by G.Dubose at CHA 32. Gain of -1 yards. Tackled by G.Gibson at CHA 31.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:364% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
4.4%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 25. Catch made by G.Dubose at CHA 25. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by R.Hyppolite at CHA 45.Similar
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
4.9%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for G.Dubose.Similar
Q3 14:32
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
4.9%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for V.Tucker.Similar
Q3 14:28
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
4.7%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for V.Tucker.Similar
Q3 14:24
4TH & 10
OWN 45
+38
4.6%
B.Rice punts 38 yards to MAR 17, Center-C.Lyons. Fair catch by J.Jones.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14TD
15 plays · 83 yds · 7:2397% → 99%
Q3 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
3.2%
T.Tagovailoa rushed to MAR 19 for 2 yards. Tackled by M.Watts at MAR 19.Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+6
3.4%
R.Hemby rushed to MAR 25 for 6 yards. Tackled by B.Whitehead at MAR 25.Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+6
3.4%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 25. Catch made by C.Dippre at MAR 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by C.Monroe at MAR 31.Similar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
3.2%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 31. Catch made by J.Jones at MAR 31. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by G.Howard at MAR 38.Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+7
2.8%
R.Hemby rushed to MAR 45 for 7 yards. Tackled by C.Francisco at MAR 45.Similar
Q3 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
2.7%
R.Hemby rushed to MAR 45 for 0 yards. Tackled by C.Monroe at MAR 45.Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+29
2.6%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to MAR 45. Catch made by T.Felton at MAR 45. Gain of 29 yards. Tackled by G.Howard at CHA 26.Similar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
2.5%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 26. Catch made by C.Dippre at CHA 26. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by C.Monroe at CHA 19.Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+4
2.4%
R.Hemby rushed to CHA 15 for 4 yards. Tackled by C.Monroe at CHA 15.Similar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
2.4%
T.Tagovailoa steps back to pass. T.Tagovailoa pass incomplete intended for MAR.Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
2.4%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 15. Catch made by R.Hemby at CHA 15. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by C.Francisco at CHA 10.Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+7
2.4%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 10. Catch made by R.Hemby at CHA 10. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by G.Howard at CHA 3.Similar
Q3 7:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
2.3%
R.Hemby rushed to CHA 4 for -1 yards. Tackled by B.Turner at CHA 4.Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
2.1%
T.Tagovailoa steps back to pass. T.Tagovailoa pass incomplete intended for R.Jarrett.Similar
Q3 6:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.9%
T.Tagovailoa rushed to CHA End Zone for 4 yards. T.Tagovailoa for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 32 yds · 2:261% → 1%
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.1%
G.Dubose steps back to pass. G.Dubose pass incomplete intended for E.Spencer.Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
1.0%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for G.Dubose.Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
1.0%
X.Williams scrambles to CHA 41 for 16 yards. Tackled by D.Trader at CHA 41.Similar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
1.1%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for G.Dubose. PENALTY on MAR-T.Akingbesote, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+5
1.1%
PENALTY on MAR-J.Cannon, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
1.2%
S.Byrd rushed to MAR 47 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Teague at MAR 47.Similar
Q3 5:19
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+4
1.1%
X.Williams pass complete to MAR 47. Catch made by V.Tucker at MAR 47. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by J.Bennett at MAR 43.Similar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 4
OPP 43
0
1.0%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for G.Dubose.Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
0.9%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for N.Groulx.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16TD
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:4099% → 100%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
0.8%
B.Edwards rushed to CHA 49 for 8 yards. Tackled by C.Burden at CHA 49.Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+49
0.4%
C.McDonald rushed to CHA End Zone for 49 yards. C.McDonald for 49 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:481% → 0%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.5%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 25. Catch made by G.Dubose at CHA 25. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by R.Fleming at CHA 35.Similar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.5%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 35. Catch made by V.Tucker at CHA 35. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by S.Mosley at CHA 39.Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
0.3%
C.McEachern rushed to CHA 46 for 7 yards. Tackled by A.McCullough at CHA 46.Similar
Q3 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
0.3%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for V.Tucker.Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
0.3%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for CHA.Similar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+4
0.3%
X.Williams pass complete to CHA 46. Catch made by S.Byrd at CHA 46. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by I.Hazel at CHA 50.Similar
Q3 0:40
4TH & 7
OPP 0
0
0.4%
X.Williams steps back to pass. X.Williams pass incomplete intended for V.Tucker.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 2:36100% → 100%
Q3 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
0.3%
B.Edwards rushed to CHA 42 for yards. Tackled by M.Watts at CHA 42. PENALTY on MAR-M.Lunsford, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 0:11
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+7
0.4%
R.Brown rushed to MAR 47 for 7 yards. Tackled by S.Parker at MAR 47.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 47
-5
0.4%
B.Edwards steps back to pass. B.Edwards sacked at MAR 42 for -5 yards (J.Holley)Similar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 19
OWN 42
+15
0.4%
B.Edwards pass complete to MAR 42. Catch made by R.Brown at MAR 42. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by W.Jones at CHA 43.Similar
Q4 14:04
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+25
0.4%
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 43. Catch made by L.Haughton at CHA 43. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by G.Howard at CHA 18.Similar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
0.3%
R.Brown rushed to CHA 17 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Monroe at CHA 17.Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+17
0.3%
B.Edwards pass complete to CHA 17. Catch made by O.Smith at CHA 17. Gain of 17 yards. O.Smith for 17 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 4:560% → 0%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
0.2%
C.McEachern rushed to CHA 27 for 3 yards. Tackled by F.Gotay at CHA 27.Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+9
0.2%
C.McEachern rushed to CHA 36 for 9 yards. Tackled by S.Mosley at CHA 36.Similar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
0.2%
T.Ivey pass complete to CHA 36. Catch made by G.Dubose at CHA 36. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by S.Mosley at CHA 46.Similar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
0.2%
S.Byrd rushed to MAR 49 for 5 yards. Tackled by F.Gotay at MAR 49.Similar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+14
0.2%
T.Ivey pass complete to MAR 49. Catch made by E.Spencer at MAR 49. Gain of 14 yards. Tackled by R.Fleming at MAR 35.Similar
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
0.2%
T.Ivey pass complete to MAR 35. Catch made by V.Tucker at MAR 35. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by L.Whitaker at MAR 30.Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
0.2%
T.Ivey steps back to pass. T.Ivey pass incomplete intended for T.Blount.Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
0.2%
T.Ivey steps back to pass. T.Ivey pass incomplete intended for V.Tucker.Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+25
0.2%
T.Ivey pass complete to MAR 30. Catch made by E.Spencer at MAR 30. Gain of 25 yards. Tackled by S.Mosley at MAR 5.Similar
Q4 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.2%
T.Ivey steps back to pass. T.Ivey pass incomplete intended for E.Spencer.Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
0.2%
S.Byrd rushed to MAR 5 for 0 yards. Tackled by H.Chibueze at MAR 5.Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
T.Ivey pass complete to MAR 5. Catch made by V.Tucker at MAR 5. Gain of 5 yards. V.Tucker for 5 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 4:10100% → 100%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.2%
R.Brown rushed to MAR 31 for 6 yards. Tackled by C.Monroe at MAR 31.Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
0.2%
R.Brown rushed to MAR 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Jackson at MAR 34.Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
0.2%
R.Brown rushed to MAR 37 for 3 yards. Tackled by M.Jackson at MAR 37.Similar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
0.2%
R.Brown rushed to MAR 38 for 1 yards. Tackled by C.Monroe at MAR 38.Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+2
0.2%
R.Brown rushed to MAR 40 for 2 yards. Tackled by C.Monroe at MAR 40.Similar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 7
OWN 40
-4
0.2%
B.Edwards pass complete to MAR 40. Catch made by S.Knotts at MAR 40. Gain of -4 yards. Tackled by C.Francisco at MAR 36.Similar
Q4 3:39
4TH & 11
OWN 36
+50
0.2%
C.Spangler punts 50 yards to CHA 14, Center-J.Foggia. Fair catch by V.Tucker.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 55 yds · 3:050% → 0%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
0.1%
S.Byrd rushed to CHA 25 for 11 yards. Tackled by S.Greeley at CHA 25.Similar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.1%
C.McEachern rushed to CHA 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by I.Bunyun at CHA 28.Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
0.1%
T.Ivey steps back to pass. T.Ivey pass incomplete intended for Q.Patten.Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+2
0.1%
T.Ivey pass complete to CHA 28. Catch made by T.Blount at CHA 28. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by K.Wyatt at CHA 30.Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
0.1%
T.Ivey scrambles to CHA 35 for 5 yards. T.Ivey ran out of bounds.Similar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
0.1%
T.Ivey pass complete to CHA 35. Catch made by Q.Patten at CHA 35. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by MAR at CHA 42.Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+17
0.1%
T.Ivey pass complete to CHA 42. Catch made by J.Reynolds at CHA 42. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by R.Fleming at MAR 41.Similar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
0.1%
T.Ivey pass complete to MAR 41. Catch made by K.Blake at MAR 41. Gain of 16 yards. Tackled by C.Harley at MAR 25.Similar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-6
0.1%
T.Ivey steps back to pass. T.Ivey sacked at MAR 31 for -6 yards (Q.Fuller)Similar
Q4 0:46
2ND & 16
OPP 31
0
0.1%
T.Ivey steps back to pass. T.Ivey pass incomplete intended for CHA.Similar
Q4 0:34
3RD & 16
OPP 31
0
0.1%
T.Ivey steps back to pass. T.Ivey pass incomplete intended for J.Reynolds.Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 16
OPP 31
0
0.1%
T.Ivey steps back to pass. T.Ivey pass incomplete intended for E.Minter.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:56
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 16. Catch made by J.Jones at CHA 16. Gain of 16 yards. J.Jones for 16 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-3
TD · Q2 14:29
X.Williams pass complete to MAR 19. Catch made by V.Tucker at MAR 19. Gain of 19 yards. V.Tucker for 19 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+2.2
TD · Q2 13:02
T.Tagovailoa pass complete to CHA 45. Catch made by J.Copeland at CHA 45. Gain of 45 yards. J.Copeland for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com