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RICE

Rice 14 at USC 66

USC
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
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Win probability · USC
modelUSC aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUSC scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the Rice 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:54: Raleek Brown 14 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick) — USC win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:05: Wiley Green pass intercepted for a TD Calen Bullock return for 93 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK) — USC win probability +1.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:37: Ari Broussard 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick) — RICE win probability +3.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:48: Shane Lee 40 Yd Interception Return (Denis Lynch Kick) — USC win probability +1.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:00: Ralen Goforth 31 Yd Interception Return (Denis Lynch Kick) — USC win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 3:11RICE 4th & 1 at USC 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:36RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:05RICE 4th & 2 at USC 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%−0.2
    86% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:00USC 4th & 8 at RICE 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q3 6:28RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 43, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  6. Q4 14:09RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 23, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 12:16USC 4th & 12 at USC 29, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  8. Q4 9:15RICE 4th & 11 at USC 28, down 45
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:05RICE 4th & 16 at RICE 19, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USC made the numbers' call on 9 of 9RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:22USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:11RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:15USC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:54USC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:05USC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:37RICE Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 13:48USC Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 13:00USC Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 9:16USC Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 1:38USC Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:13USC Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USCDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:3397% → 97%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
97.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 12 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
97.0%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the USC 41Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
97.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 4 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q1 13:22
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+43
96.9%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 43 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
96.8%
Raleek Brown run for 4 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+3
96.7%
Raleek Brown run for 3 yds to the Rice 5Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+5
96.8%
Jordan Addison 5 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
18 plays · 74 yds · 7:593% → 5%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
96.7%
Ari Broussard run for 4 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+9
96.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jack Bradley for 9 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
96.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 3 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-1
96.5%
Cameron Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+10
96.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 10 yds to the USC 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
96.3%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the USC 49Similar
Q1 7:47
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
96.2%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+19
96.2%
Wiley Green pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 19 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.0%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Isaiah EsdaleSimilar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
96.0%
Ari Broussard run for 5 yds to the USC 25Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+6
95.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Bradley Rozner for 6 yds to the USC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
95.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 12 yds to the USC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
95.6%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the USC 5Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
95.5%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the USC 4Similar
Q1 3:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
95.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 3 yds to the USC 1Similar
Q1 3:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.6%
Ari Broussard 1 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 3TD
11 plays · 84 yds · 3:2495% → 95%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
94.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 8 yds to the USC 24Similar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+6
94.8%
Travis Dye run for 6 yds to the USC 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
94.6%
Caleb Williams run for 5 yds to the USC 35Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+15
94.6%
Williams, Caleb pass incomplete, PENALTY RICE pass interference (Fresch, Sean) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN USC.Similar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
50
0
94.7%
Caleb Williams pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
50
+2
94.7%
Travis Dye run for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 0:41
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+29
94.5%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 29 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
94.6%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 5 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+10
94.5%
Mario Williams run for 10 yds to the Rice 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.4%
Austin Jones 4 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:065% → 5%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
94.8%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+7
94.9%
Wiley Green pass complete to Luke McCaffrey for 7 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
94.6%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:36
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
94.8%
Conor Hunt punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the USC 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 5TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:3495% → 96%
Q2 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+25
94.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 25 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
95.0%
Caleb Williams run for 28 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
95.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Tahj Washington for 13 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.4%
Raleek Brown 14 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6INT TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:324% → 3%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+55
95.9%
Cameron Montgomery run for 55 yds to the USC 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
95.4%
Cameron Montgomery run for 7 yds to the USC 13Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
95.3%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+1
95.5%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the USC 12Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 2
OPP 12
-93
97.5%
Wiley Green pass intercepted for a TD Calen Bullock return for 93 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:022% → 6%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.7%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
97.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for 2 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
97.7%
TJ McMahon run for 4 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
97.6%
RICE Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (-15 Yards) to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 25
OWN 20
+6
97.8%
Ari Broussard run for 6 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 19
OWN 26
-5
97.8%
TJ McMahon sacked by Latrell McCutchin for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 4:03
3RD & 24
OWN 21
+31
97.9%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Ari Broussard for 16 yds to the USC 37 for a 1ST down USC Penalty, Personal Foul (Romello Height) to the USC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+31
97.7%
Cameron Montgomery run for 31 yds to the USC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
97.6%
Cameron Montgomery run for 5 yds to the USC 12Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+10
97.6%
Dean Connors run for 10 yds to the USC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.4%
Ari Broussard 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 8END OF HALF
16 plays · 67 yds · 1:2996% → 97%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 6 yds to the USC 31Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
95.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Travis Dye for 7 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
95.9%
USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (Andrew Vorhees) to the USC 28Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 20
OWN 28
+27
95.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 12 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Christian Francisco) to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
96.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Austin Jones for 21 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
96.1%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Kyron Hudson for 7 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 0:21
2ND & 3
OPP 17
0
96.0%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Raleek Brown for no gain to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+9
95.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Lake McRee for 9 yds to the Rice 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.1%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.3%
Caleb Williams pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
96.8%
Denis Lynch 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9INT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:524% → 2%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.1%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
96.2%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 5 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-40
97.7%
Shane Lee 40 Yd Interception Return (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10INT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:302% → 0%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.8%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.1%
TJ McMahon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-31
99.7%
Ralen Goforth 31 Yd Interception Return (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11INT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
99.7%
Dean Connors run for 12 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
99.7%
TJ McMahon sacked by Solomon Tuliaupupu and Eric Gentry for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 14
OWN 23
0
99.7%
TJ McMahon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 14
OWN 23
0
99.7%
TJ McMahon pass intercepted Xamarion Gordon return for no gain to the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 12TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
99.7%
Caleb Williams run for 12 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
99.7%
Caleb Williams sacked by Ikenna Enechukwu for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+22
99.7%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Jordan Addison for 22 yds to the Rice 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Jordan Addison 3 Yd pass from Caleb Williams (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
99.7%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 14 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.7%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Jack Bradley for 4 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 5
OWN 44
-1
99.8%
TJ McMahon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
Conor Hunt punt for 47 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for 5 yds to the USC 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 14TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 4:20100% → 100%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
99.8%
Caleb Williams run for 12 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
99.8%
Raleek Brown run for 2 yds to the USC 29Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+14
99.8%
Caleb Williams run for 14 yds to the USC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
99.8%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+4
99.8%
Travis Dye run for 4 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
99.8%
Austin Jones run for 3 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
99.8%
Caleb Williams pass complete to Mario Williams for 18 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Austin Jones 28 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.9%
RICE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 15Similar
Q3 1:01
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+10
99.9%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Ari Broussard for 10 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Ari Broussard run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 14:51
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-4
99.9%
TJ McMahon sacked by Jamar Sekona for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+45
99.9%
Conor Hunt punt for 45 yds , Gary Bryant Jr. returns for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
Raleek Brown run for 8 yds to the USC 39 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the USC 29Similar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 12
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Miller Moss pass complete to Gary Bryant Jr. for 7 yds to the USC 36Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-5
99.9%
USC Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the USC 31Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
Miller Moss pass complete to Kyron Hudson for a loss of 2 yards to the USC 29Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Miller Moss pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Aadyn Sleep-Dalton punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17DOWNS
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
99.9%
TJ McMahon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:33
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+16
99.9%
TJ McMahon pass complete to Isaiah Esdale for 16 yds to the USC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
99.9%
TJ McMahon run for 11 yds to the USC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
TJ McMahon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
99.9%
Ari Broussard run for a loss of 1 yard to the USC 28Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
99.9%
TJ McMahon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 11
OPP 28
0
99.9%
TJ McMahon pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 18TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
99.9%
Miller Moss pass complete to CJ Williams for 11 yds to the USC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
99.9%
Raleek Brown run for 5 yds to the USC 45Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+40
99.9%
Miller Moss pass complete to Raleek Brown for 40 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
99.9%
Austin Jones run for 13 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Darwin Barlow 2 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Ari Broussard run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Ari Broussard run for no gain to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-7
100.0%
TJ McMahon sacked by Tyrone Taleni for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 19Similar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Conor Hunt punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Gary Bryant Jr. at the USC 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USCDrive 20END OF GAME
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:55100% → 100%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
100.0%
Miller Moss pass complete to Brenden Rice for 5 yds to the USC 47Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+10
100.0%
Miller Moss run for 10 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
100.0%
Darwin Barlow run for 3 yds to the Rice 40 USC Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 17
50
+6
100.0%
Darwin Barlow run for 6 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 11
OPP 44
+20
100.0%
Miller Moss pass complete to Kyle Ford for 20 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
100.0%
Darwin Barlow run for 5 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
0
100.0%
Darwin Barlow run for no gain to the Rice 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:37
Ari Broussard 2 Yd Run (Christian VanSickle Kick)
-3.2
TD · Q2 8:05
Wiley Green pass intercepted for a TD Calen Bullock return for 93 yds for a TD, (Denis Lynch KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 10:54
Raleek Brown 14 Yd Run (Denis Lynch Kick)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com