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LT

Louisiana Tech 24 at Missouri 52

MIZ
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2022 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · MIZ
modelMIZ aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIZ scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:04 · Austin McCready punt for 34 yds, downed at the Misso 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 116Pregame prior+22.6Home team on offense+12.9Score differential+4.6Garbage-time factor+2.0Blowout margin+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:25: Matthew Downing pass intercepted for a TD Joseph Charleston return for 29 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:05: Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +2.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:53: Matthew Downing pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 75 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +3.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:04: Harrison Mevis 31 yd FG GOOD — MIZ win probability +1.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:18: Luther Burden III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK) — MIZ win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIZ made the numbers' call on 4 of 6LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:08MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:48LT 4th & 3 at MIZ 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.5%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:09MIZ 4th & 6 at LT 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:20LT 4th & 15 at LT 2, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:22LT 4th & 3 at LT 13, down 11
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:27MIZ 4th & 8 at MIZ 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.0%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:06LT 4th & 24 at LT 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:37MIZ 4th & 2 at LT 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−0.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:29LT 4th & 7 at MIZ 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:00MIZ 4th & 2 at MIZ 33, up 14
    Close callPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:04LT 4th & 10 at LT 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:40LT 4th & 20 at LT 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:34LT 4th & 10 at LT 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:31MIZ 4th & 1 at LT 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.5
    34% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:21LT 4th & 13 at LT 34, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIZ made the numbers' call on 7 of 7LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:56MIZ Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:25MIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:05MIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:53LT Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:18MIZ Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:40MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:52LT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:49MIZ Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:35MIZ Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:50LT Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1INT
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:158% → 9%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Tre HarrisSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.2%
Greg Garner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 24Similar
Q1 14:24
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
92.0%
Downing, Matthew pass pass intended for Harris, Tre intercepted by Charleston, Joseph at the MISSOURI45, Charleston, Joseph return 0 yards to the MISSOURI45, PENALTY MISSOURI pass interference (Norwood, Dreyden) 15 yards to the LATECH39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LATECH.Similar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
92.0%
Greg Garner run for 5 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 13:43
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
91.8%
Greg Garner run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+7
91.6%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Tre Harris for 7 yds to the Misso 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
91.5%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Tre Harris, broken up by Ennis Rakestraw Jr.Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
91.5%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Greg Garner for 5 yds to the Misso 41Similar
Q1 12:08
3RD & 5
OPP 41
-5
91.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Carson Bruno) to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-29
91.3%
Matthew Downing pass intercepted Jaylon Carlies return for 14 yds to the La Tech 48 MISSOURI Penalty, Illegal Block (15 Yards) to the Misso 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2091% → 91%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
91.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 2 yds to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-8
91.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Cody Schrader for a loss of 8 yards to the Misso 31Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 16
OWN 31
+13
91.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 13 yds to the Misso 44Similar
Q1 10:28
4TH & 3
OWN 44
-5
91.0%
MISSOURI Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Misso 39Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+42
90.8%
Sean Koetting punt for 56 yds , Smoke Harris returns for 42 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 4:079% → 11%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
90.7%
Marquis Crosby run for 5 yds to the Misso 48Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
90.5%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the Misso 46Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+12
90.3%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 12 yds to the Misso 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
90.0%
Marquis Crosby run for 8 yds to the Misso 26Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+1
89.9%
Marquis Crosby run for 1 yd to the Misso 25Similar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
89.6%
Tre Harris run for 2 yds to the Misso 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
89.4%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Greg Garner for no gain to the Misso 23Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+7
89.2%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Julien Lewis for 7 yds to the Misso 16Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
89.1%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+33
89.1%
Jacob Barnes 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:3189% → 88%
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 9 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
89.2%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the Misso 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
88.8%
Luther Burden III run for 17 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
89.1%
Brady Cook run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+2
88.9%
Cody Schrader run for 2 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 6
OPP 44
0
88.6%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden III, broken up by Myles BrooksSimilar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
88.1%
Sean Koetting punt for 38 yds, downed at the LaTch 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 1:4312% → 12%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
88.2%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Marquis Crosby for 1 yd to the LaTch 7Similar
Q1 2:29
2ND & 9
OWN 7
0
87.8%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q1 2:29
3RD & 9
OWN 7
-4
88.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Dakota White) to the LaTch 3Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 13
OWN 4
0
87.9%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Tre Harris for no gain to the LaTch 4Similar
Q1 1:29
4TH & 13
OWN 4
-2
87.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-2 Yards) to the LaTch 2Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 15
OWN 2
0
87.7%
Austin McCready punt for 39 yds, downed at the LaTch 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 6TD
6 plays · 41 yds · 1:1788% → 89%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
87.8%
Brady Cook run for 10 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
87.9%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden III, broken up by Reginald Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
87.9%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Tauskie DoveSimilar
Q1 0:43
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+18
87.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 18 yds to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
87.6%
Luther Burden III run for 8 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
89.0%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7INT TD
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:2512% → 10%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
88.3%
Smoke Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 14:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-29
90.4%
Matthew Downing pass intercepted for a TD Joseph Charleston return for 29 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8INT
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:5710% → 10%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
90.3%
Greg Garner run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+23
90.4%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Smoke Harris for 23 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
89.9%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Marquis Crosby for 6 yds to the MISSOURI 47 for a 1ST down MISSOURI Penalty, Roughing Passer (Trajan Jeffcoat) to the Misso 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
89.5%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
89.5%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Tre Harris for 1 yd to the Misso 31Similar
Q2 12:20
3RD & 9
OPP 31
-15
89.7%
Matthew Downing pass intercepted Ty'Ron Hopper return for 15 yds to the Misso 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 9FUMBLE
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:2091% → 91%
Q2 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
91.0%
Elijah Young run for 22 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
91.2%
Elijah Young run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 11:35
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+16
91.0%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 16 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
91.1%
Cook, Brady pass incomplete to Burden III, Luther, PENALTY LATECH pass interference (Johnson Jr., Reginald) 15 yards to the LATECH11, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MISSOURI.Similar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
91.1%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 4 yds Tyler Stephens fumbled, forced by BeeJay Williamson, recovered by LaTch Cecil Singleton Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2410% → 9%
Q2 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
90.2%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Smoke Harris for 5 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+2
90.2%
Charvis Thornton run for 2 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 3
OWN 13
0
90.4%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Tre Harris, broken up by Kris Abrams-DraineSimilar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 3
OWN 13
+23
90.6%
Austin McCready punt for 38 yds, downed at the MISSOURI 49 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Brodrick Calhoun) to the LaTch 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 11TD
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:0491% → 94%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
91.1%
Cody Schrader run for 3 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+8
91.1%
Cody Schrader run for 8 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
91.1%
Cody Schrader run for 5 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 7:51
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+12
90.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 12 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
91.0%
Nathaniel Peat run for 3 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q2 7:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
93.6%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
89.9%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 75 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1690% → 90%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
90.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 21Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
90.3%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 6 yds to the Misso 27Similar
Q2 5:44
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
90.0%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Luther Burden IIISimilar
Q2 5:27
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
89.6%
Sean Koetting punt for 47 yds, downed at the LaTch 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 2:1410% → 10%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
89.7%
Matthew Downing run for no gain to the LaTch 26Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
90.3%
Matthew Downing run for 11 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
89.9%
Smoke Harris run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
90.2%
Matthew Downing pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 15
OWN 32
-9
90.6%
Matthew Downing sacked by Ty'Ron Hopper for a loss of 9 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 24
OWN 23
0
90.5%
Austin McCready punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 15DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2291% → 91%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
90.5%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for no gain to the LaTch 49Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-4
90.5%
Tauskie Dove sacked by Hugh Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 47Similar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 14
OWN 47
+12
90.0%
Brady Cook run for 12 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 2
OPP 41
-1
90.6%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:5510% → 10%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
90.2%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Kyle Maxwell for 3 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
90.0%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Tre HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+8
90.3%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Tre Harris for 8 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
89.6%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Tre Harris for 11 yds to the Misso 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
89.5%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Griffin Hebert, broken up by Chad BaileySimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
89.6%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Tre Harris, broken up by Kris Abrams-DraineSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+3
90.0%
Tre Harris run for 3 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+50
89.9%
Jacob Barnes 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 53 yds · 0:2090% → 93%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
90.4%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Elijah YoungSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+14
90.2%
Elijah Young run for 14 yds to the Misso 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
90.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 18 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
91.2%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tauskie Dove for 21 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+31
93.0%
Harrison Mevis 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:5493% → 92%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.6%
Cody Schrader run for 4 yds to the Misso 29Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
92.6%
Brady Cook run for 5 yds to the Misso 34Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
92.5%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 1 yard to the Misso 33Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
92.2%
Sean Koetting punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Smoke Harris at the LaTch 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:508% → 8%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.2%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Smoke Harris for 6 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
91.7%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Smoke Harris for 9 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-8
91.7%
Matthew Downing sacked by Isaiah McGuire for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 32 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Matthew Downing) to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 18
OWN 32
0
92.4%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Griffin HebertSimilar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 18
OWN 32
+8
92.5%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Greg Garner for 8 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 11:04
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
92.5%
Austin McCready punt for 34 yds, downed at the Misso 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 21TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:3893% → 98%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
92.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 4 yds to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 6
OWN 30
0
92.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for no gain to the Misso 30Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+8
92.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Barrett Banister for 8 yds to the Misso 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+28
93.4%
Brady Cook pass complete to Tyler Stephens for 28 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
93.6%
Cody Schrader run for no gain to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Myles Brooks) to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+18
93.7%
Dominic Lovett run for 18 yds to the LaTch 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Luther Burden III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:303% → 2%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
97.4%
Matthew Downing pass complete to Cyrus Allen for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 7:32
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-7
97.5%
Matthew Downing sacked by Jayden Jernigan for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 15Similar
Q3 6:49
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
97.6%
Matthew Downing pass incomplete to Smoke HarrisSimilar
Q3 6:40
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
97.6%
Patrick Rea punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kris Abrams-Draine at the Misso 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 23INT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:1498% → 98%
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
97.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the MISSOURI 44 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Connor Wood) to the Misso 46Similar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 13
OWN 46
+12
97.8%
Brady Cook pass complete to Nathaniel Peat for 12 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
97.9%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Nathaniel Peat, broken up by Reginald Johnson Jr.Similar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+7
97.8%
Nathaniel Peat run for 7 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
97.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Javon Foster) to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 15
OPP 40
-1
97.9%
Cody Schrader run for 9 yds to the LaTch 31 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tauskie Dove) to the LaTch 41Similar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 16
OPP 41
+25
97.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 25 yds to the LaTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
97.6%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the LaTch 15Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-11
98.2%
Brady Cook pass intercepted Maki Carabin return for 11 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:382% → 2%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.0%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Kyle Maxwell, broken up by Dreyden NorwoodSimilar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Tre HarrisSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Smoke Harris for no gain to the LaTch 20Similar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
98.1%
Patrick Rea punt for 30 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 25TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:4698% → 100%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
50
+1
98.3%
Cody Schrader run for 1 yd to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+29
98.6%
Cody Schrader run for 29 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
98.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the LaTch 15 MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tauskie Dove) to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+5
98.7%
Nathaniel Peat run for 5 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
98.7%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q3 0:40
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.8%
Brady Cook run for 20 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:410% → 1%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.8%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
99.8%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 6 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
98.8%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 64 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 27TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:5099% → 100%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
98.9%
Brady Cook pass complete to Dominic Lovett for 23 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-4
99.0%
Cody Schrader run for a loss of 4 yards to the Misso 47Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 14
OWN 47
+7
98.9%
Cody Schrader run for 7 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+6
99.0%
Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 11:31
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+6
98.9%
Brady Cook run for 6 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.0%
Brady Cook pass incomplete to Dominic LovettSimilar
Q4 10:49
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.9%
Nathaniel Peat run for 34 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:220% → 0%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Tahj Magee for 12 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Marquis Crosby run for 2 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Ivan ThomasSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 8
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, False Start (Dakota White) to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Parker McNeil pass incomplete to Cyrus Allen, broken up by DJ JacksonSimilar
Q4 9:21
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Patrick Rea punt for 39 yds, downed at the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 29TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 5:36100% → 100%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Michael Cox run for 6 yds to the Misso 33Similar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+17
99.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Barrett Banister for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.9%
MISSOURI Penalty, False Start (Richard Taylor) to the Misso 45Similar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 15
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Barrett Banister, broken up by Tyler GrubbsSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+9
99.9%
Michael Cox run for 9 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+17
99.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Mekhi Miller for 17 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
99.9%
Michael Cox run for 6 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+3
99.9%
Michael Cox run for 3 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 5:47
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Michael Cox run for 4 yds to the LaTch 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Michael Cox run for no gain to the LaTch 16Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+14
99.9%
BJ Harris run for 14 yds to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
BJ Harris run for no gain to the LaTch 2Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
BJ Harris run for 2 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 30TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 11 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
100.0%
McNeil, Parker pass pass intercepted by Nicholson, Devin at the MISSOURI47, Nicholson, Devin return 0 yards to the MISSOURI47, PENALTY MISSOURI pass interference (Jackson, DJ) 15 yards to the MISSOURI49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LATECH.Similar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
100.0%
Parker McNeil sacked by Johnny Walker Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 48Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+12
100.0%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 12 yds to the Misso 40Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+3
99.9%
Charvis Thornton run for 3 yds to the Misso 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
99.9%
Parker McNeil pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 37 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIZDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
BJ Harris run for 2 yds to the Misso 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:18
Luther Burden III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q2 6:53
Matthew Downing pass complete to Griffin Hebert for 75 yds for a TD, (Jacob Barnes KICK)
-3.7
TD · Q2 7:05
Brady Cook pass complete to Luther Burden III for 5 yds for a TD, (Harrison Mevis KICK)
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com