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W&M

William & Mary 41 at Charlotte 24

CLT
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 2, 2022 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadW&M aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreW&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:05 · Antonio Zita 50 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 48Home team on offense−3.2Garbage-time factor−1.4Score differential−1.1Pregame prior+8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:28: Tyler Rose 31 Yd pass from Darius Wilson (Ethan Chang Kick) — CLT win probability +36.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: Darius Wilson pass incomplete to DreSean Kendrick for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Bryson Whitehead) to the Charl 22 for a 1ST down — W&M win probability +11.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:00: Xavier Williams pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 24 yds to the WmMry 22 for a 1ST down — CLT win probability +13.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:31: Bronson Yoder 1 Yd Run (Ethan Chang Kick) — CLT win probability +23.0 pts (now 28%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:38: Malachi Imoh 17 Yd Run (Ethan Chang Kick) — CLT win probability +8.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7W&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 1:29CLT 4th & 16 at W&M 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:13W&M 4th & 6 at W&M 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:05CLT 4th & 11 at W&M 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−0.5
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:38W&M 4th & 11 at CLT 20, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    57.7%−8.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:00W&M 4th & 3 at CLT 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    68.1%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−7.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:22CLT 4th & 1 at W&M 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−4.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:04W&M 4th & 1 at W&M 45, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsPunted · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:33CLT 4th & 3 at W&M 47, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:30W&M 4th & 5 at CLT 11, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    56.8%−9.7
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:54W&M 4th & 1 at CLT 1, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%−4.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−16.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:44CLT 4th & 29 at CLT 4, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−4.8
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:24CLT 4th & 20 at CLT 6, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−3.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:39CLT 4th & 10 at W&M 49, down 9
    Close callWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.0%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
W&MDrive 1FG
17 plays · 46 yds · 5:1939% → 46%
Q1 5:19
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+32
61.4%
Antonio Zita 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+44
55.0%
Darius Wilson run for 44 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
53.8%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Malachi Imoh for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+4
53.9%
Hollis Mathis run for 4 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+1
54.3%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Malachi Imoh for 1 yd to the Charl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2FG
16 plays · 50 yds · 4:2858% → 55%
Q1 4:28
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+31
57.7%
Tyler Rose 31 Yd pass from Darius Wilson (Ethan Chang Kick)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
53.8%
James Foster run for 7 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+4
54.5%
ChaVon McEachern run for 4 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
54.5%
ChaVon McEachern run for 2 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+2
54.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
50
+7
54.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the WmMry 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
54.9%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
54.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the WmMry 42Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+12
54.4%
James Foster pass complete to Grant DuBose for 12 yds to the WmMry 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
55.6%
Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-7
55.5%
Xavier Williams run for 3 yds to the WmMry 27 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Matt Rosso) to the WmMry 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 17
OPP 37
+15
54.5%
James Foster pass complete to Grant DuBose for 15 yds to the WmMry 22Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+4
54.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the WmMry 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
55.6%
James Foster pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer, broken up by Tye FreelandSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
55.6%
pass incomplete to Trey BlountSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+3
54.8%
James Foster pass complete to Victor Tucker for 3 yds to the WmMry 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 3TD
2 plays · 76 yds · 12:1739% → 45%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+36
61.4%
Ethan Chang 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+45
55.4%
Darius Wilson pass complete to JT Mayo for 45 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4Uncategorized
8 plays · -6 yds · 1:2956% → 56%
Q1 1:29
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
56.1%
Bailey Rice punt for 43 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
56.9%
James Foster pass incomplete to Grant DuBose for a 1ST down WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, personal foul (Marcus Barnes) to the WmMry 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
57.6%
ChaVon McEachern run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+6
56.9%
James Foster pass complete to Nolan Groulx for 6 yds to the WmMry 38Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
-10
57.4%
James Foster fumbled, recovered by Charl James Foster CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Jon Jacobs) to the WmMry 48Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 16
OPP 48
0
56.0%
James Foster pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
56.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Jonny King) to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+6
55.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:4744% → 44%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
55.8%
Bronson Yoder run for 15 yds to the WmMry 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
55.5%
Bronson Yoder run for 3 yds to the WmMry 23Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-3
55.3%
Hollis Mathis run for a loss of 3 yards to the WmMry 20Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
56.0%
Will Whitehurst punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6MISSED FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 12:0554% → 49%
Q2 12:05
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+50
54.2%
Antonio Zita 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
46.6%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+13
47.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 38 for a 1ST down WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Isaiah Jones) to the WmMry 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
49.1%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Victor Tucker for 15 yds to the WmMry 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
50.8%
ChaVon McEachern run for 2 yds to the WmMry 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
50.8%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Kevin JarrellSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-3
48.8%
Xavier Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the WmMry 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 7TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 0:0057% → 71%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
42.9%
Malachi Imoh run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
40.8%
Hollis Mathis run for 7 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+6
40.2%
Donavyn Lester run for 6 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
28.8%
Darius Wilson pass incomplete to DreSean Kendrick for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Bryson Whitehead) to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 7:5744% → 37%
Q2 7:57
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+6
44.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the WmMry 26Similar
Q2 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
43.5%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Grant DuBose for 21 yds to the WmMry 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
43.2%
ChaVon McEachern 3 Yd Run (Antonio Zita Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
33.4%
ChaVon McEachern run for 10 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
34.0%
Xavier Williams run for 5 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+25
35.2%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 25 yds to the WmMry 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
36.6%
ChaVon McEachern run for 2 yds to the WmMry 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 9MISSED FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 1:3866% → 71%
Q2 1:38
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+37
33.9%
Ethan Chang 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
31.0%
Bronson Yoder run for 9 yds to the WmMry 34Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
30.7%
Hollis Mathis run for 5 yds to the WmMry 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
29.8%
Bronson Yoder run for 2 yds to the WmMry 41Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
29.6%
pass incomplete to DreSean KendrickSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+25
30.1%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Caylin Newton for 25 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
28.6%
Darius Wilson run for 4 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
28.4%
pass incomplete to Tyler RoseSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+3
28.9%
Hollis Mathis run for 3 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+8
30.8%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Malachi Imoh for 8 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
28.4%
Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Caylin Newton, broken up by Jordan AndersonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-2
28.5%
Hollis Mathis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 21
-10
28.9%
WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Offensive holding (Bart Francois) to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 22
OPP 31
+11
29.2%
Bronson Yoder run for 11 yds to the Charl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 0:1337% → 47%
Q2 0:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
37.0%
Xavier Williams 2 Yd Run (Antonio Zita Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
33.0%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Matt Rosso) to the Charl 10Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+18
32.8%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Victor Tucker for 18 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
34.1%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer, broken up by Tye FreelandSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+4
33.5%
ChaVon McEachern run for 4 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
33.4%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Victor Tucker for 22 yds to the WmMry 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+24
46.6%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 24 yds to the WmMry 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11DOWNS
5 plays · 20 yds · 13:2244% → 33%
Q3 13:22
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
44.3%
Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
31.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 11 yds to the WmMry 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
33.4%
Shadrick Byrd run for 7 yds to the WmMry 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
33.4%
ChaVon McEachern run for 2 yds to the WmMry 36Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
33.1%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to Grant DuBose, broken up by Jaedon JoynerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 11:0461% → 75%
Q3 11:04
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+5
38.9%
Will Whitehurst punt for 45 yds , Victor Tucker returns for 5 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
26.1%
Donavyn Lester run for 5 yds to the WmMry 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-1
25.2%
Donavyn Lester run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Offensive holding (Sam Trainer) to the WmMry 40Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
25.2%
Donavyn Lester run for 4 yds to the WmMry 44Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
25.5%
Martin Lucas run for 1 yd to the WmMry 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 38 yds · 8:3339% → 33%
Q3 8:33
4TH & 3
OPP 47
0
38.8%
Bailey Rice punt for 47 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
28.8%
for a 1ST down WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Defensive holding (Davin Dzidzienyo) to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
29.6%
Xavier Williams run for 16 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
31.5%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Taylor Thompson for 5 yds to the WmMry 49Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+2
33.2%
ChaVon McEachern run for 2 yds to the WmMry 47Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
32.8%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to ChaVon McEachern, broken up by John PiusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 14FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 4:3067% → 76%
Q3 4:30
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+28
32.6%
Ethan Chang 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
27.7%
Darius Wilson pass incomplete to Lachlan Pitts for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Amir Siddiq) to the WmMry 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
26.8%
pass incomplete to Malachi ImohSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+19
27.0%
Bronson Yoder run for 19 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
24.4%
Darius Wilson run for 8 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+4
24.2%
Malachi Imoh run for 4 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
23.6%
Darius Wilson run for 6 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+12
23.4%
Malachi Imoh run for 12 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
23.4%
Malachi Imoh run for 3 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
23.4%
Darius Wilson run for 2 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
24.2%
Darius Wilson pass incomplete to DreSean KendrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 2:1830% → 29%
Q3 2:18
3RD & 21
OWN 33
+67
29.6%
Xavier Williams 67 Yd Run (Antonio Zita Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
29.2%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Grant DuBose for 19 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-12
31.3%
Xavier Williams sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 22
OWN 32
+1
29.0%
ChaVon McEachern run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 5:0673% → 79%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
27.3%
Bronson Yoder run for 5 yds to the WmMry 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
26.7%
Darius Wilson pass complete to DreSean Kendrick for 12 yds to the WmMry 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
25.1%
Darius Wilson sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+32
25.5%
Bronson Yoder run for 32 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
23.4%
Hollis Mathis pass complete to Darius Wilson for 19 yds to the Charl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+10
23.7%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Caylin Newton for 10 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
24.2%
Darius Wilson run for 3 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+10
23.7%
Darius Wilson pass complete to Caylin Newton for 10 yds to the Charl 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
24.2%
Darius Wilson run for 3 yds to the Charl 1Similar
Q4 9:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+65
20.6%
Lachlan Pitts 65 Yd pass from Darius Wilson (Ethan Chang Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -19 yds · 10:4422% → 5%
Q4 10:44
4TH & 29
OWN 4
0
21.5%
Bailey Rice punt for 49 yds , Caylin Newton returns for no gain to the WmMry 4 WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Offensive holding (Martin Lucas) to the WmMry 37Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
6.0%
Xavier Williams sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 13
0
5.7%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to Grant DuBose, broken up by Kevin JarrellSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 20
OWN 13
-6
5.3%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 7 CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Matt Rosso) to the Charl 7Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 26
OWN 7
-3
4.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Kofi Wardlow) to the Charl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 18TD
3 plays · 63 yds · 12:3172% → 95%
Q4 12:31
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+1
27.8%
Bronson Yoder 1 Yd Run (Ethan Chang Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
5.0%
pass incomplete to DreSean KendrickSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
5.1%
Darius Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 9:2418% → 5%
Q4 9:24
4TH & 20
OWN 6
0
17.5%
Bailey Rice punt for 50 yds , Caylin Newton returns for no gain to the WmMry 43Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
5.9%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Trey WatkinsSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
5.7%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 16
-10
5.3%
Xavier Williams sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Charl 6 CHARLOTTE Penalty, intentional grounding (Xavier Williams) to the Charl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 20TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 7:3886% → 95%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
13.6%
Malachi Imoh 17 Yd Run (Ethan Chang Kick)Similar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
13.6%
Darius Wilson pass complete to DreSean Kendrick for 12 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
4.9%
Malachi Imoh run for 1 yd to the WmMry 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+27
4.9%
Darius Wilson pass complete to DreSean Kendrick for 27 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 28 yds · 5:3915% → 7%
Q4 5:39
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
14.8%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to Grant DuBose, broken up by Ethan YipSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
6.0%
Xavier Williams sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 13
0
5.7%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 20
OWN 13
+38
5.3%
Xavier Williams pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 38 yds to the WmMry 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
7.9%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to Taylor ThompsonSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
7.6%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to Eugene Minter Jr.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
7.1%
Xavier Williams pass incomplete to Quinton PattenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 22Uncategorized
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:1591% → 95%
Q4 3:15
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
8.9%
Bronson Yoder run for 2 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+14
9.0%
Darius Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 38 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Chase Monroe) to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+9
8.4%
Bronson Yoder run for 9 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
8.4%
Bronson Yoder run for 2 yds to the Charl 7Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+9
8.4%
Bronson Yoder run for 9 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
8.4%
Bronson Yoder run for 2 yds to the Charl 7Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
4.8%
Martin Lucas run for 2 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
4.7%
Bronson Yoder run for 6 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
4.7%
Bronson Yoder run for 3 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
4.6%
Bronson Yoder run for 1 yd to the Charl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 4:28
Tyler Rose 31 Yd pass from Darius Wilson (Ethan Chang Kick)
+36.4
TD · Q4 12:31
Bronson Yoder 1 Yd Run (Ethan Chang Kick)
+23
TD · Q2 0:00
Xavier Williams pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 24 yds to the WmMry 22 for a 1ST down
+13.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com