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2022 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2022 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadBRY aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreBRY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2OTQ2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameTD+9.1FIU 51.3%Lexington Joseph 4 Yd pass from GunnarHolmberg (Two-Point Run ConversionFailed)AWAY 16 - HOME 6 · Q2 0:08
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:08 · Lexington Joseph 4 Yd pass from Gunnar Holmberg (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2OTQ2Q3Q4Play 82Home team on offense−6.1Pregame prior+12.2Garbage-time factor−2.7Score differential−4.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:15: Ishod Byarm 2 Yd Run (Ethan Gettman PAT blocked) — FIU win probability +46.7 pts (now 70%) (top driver: BRY has the ball).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: Anthony Frederick 25 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Ethan Gettman Kick) — BRY win probability +49.0 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BRY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:07: G. Moloney pass,to J. Edmond for 21 yds for a TD, (E. Gettman KICK), (E. Gettman KICK) — BRY win probability +14.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: BRY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:25: Kris Mitchell 17 Yd pass from Grayson James (Chase Gabriel Kick) — FIU win probability +37.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. TD · Q4 4:08: Kris Mitchell 46 Yd pass from Grayson James (Chase Gabriel Kick) — FIU win probability +21.0 pts (now 27%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11BRY made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:34FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:00BRY 4th & 2 at FIU 39, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.8%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:23FIU 4th & 3 at midfield, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.3%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:57BRY 4th & 2 at FIU 2, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.2%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−3.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:52BRY 4th & 6 at FIU 6, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.6%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    28.7%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:41FIU 4th & 18 at FIU 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:03BRY 4th & 13 at FIU 48, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:02FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 27, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−2.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.2%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:26BRY 4th & 21 at BRY 13, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−4.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:51FIU 4th & 13 at BRY 32, down 11
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.4%−1.5
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    39.0%
    51% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:00FIU 4th & 1 at BRY 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.1%−3.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:32FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 2, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−3.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:23FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:00BRY 4th & 4 at FIU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    73.0%−0.8
    66% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−9.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:57BRY 4th & 19 at BRY 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−5.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:08FIU 4th & 7 at BRY 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    19.2%−4.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    19.2%−4.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:23FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.6%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 0 of 1BRY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 2:07BRY Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:08FIU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    50.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
15 plays · 2 yds · 13:3474% → 70%
Q1 13:34
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
73.5%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
70.7%
Jalen Bracey run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+1
70.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 20
0
70.1%
pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 2TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 6:1530% → 35%
Q1 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.7%
Ishod Byarm 2 Yd Run (Ethan Gettman PAT blocked)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
65.4%
Ishod Byarm run for 2 yds to the Brynt 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-5
65.4%
BRYANT Penalty, false start (Ahmad Assad) to the Brynt 38Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+5
66.1%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Jalen Powell for 5 yds to the Brynt 43Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+10
65.8%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Ishod Byarm for 10 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
65.2%
Ishod Byarm run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
65.1%
Ishod Byarm run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
0
65.3%
Q1 0:00
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+11
66.0%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to David Zorrilla for 11 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
64.9%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Anthony White for 5 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+5
64.9%
Ishod Byarm run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
64.9%
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Anthony Frederick for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Demetrius Hill) to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 4:2369% → 65%
Q1 4:23
4TH & 3
50
+2
68.7%
Gunnar Holmberg run for 2 yds to the Brynt 48Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
64.7%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jackson McDonald for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
50
0
65.3%
Gunnar Holmberg run to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
50
0
65.1%
EJ Wilson Jr. run to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 4TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:5734% → 36%
Q1 1:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-10
65.6%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Jihad Edmond BRYANT Penalty, Offensive holding (Derick Eugene) to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q1 1:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+28
65.5%
Ethan Gettman 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+45
63.7%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Anthony Frederick for 45 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
63.3%
Ishod Byarm run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
63.3%
Ishod Byarm run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
63.7%
Ishod Byarm run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 1:1964% → 62%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
63.9%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 7 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
64.3%
pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
63.8%
Gunnar Holmberg run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
64.2%
Lexington Joseph run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
64.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Rey Burnett) to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 39
0
64.2%
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 41
-5
63.7%
Lexington Joseph run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 18
OWN 36
0
61.8%
Daton Montiel punt for 51 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 6TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
12.7%
Anthony Frederick 25 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Ethan Gettman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
21.1%
Grayson James pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Brynt 26Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
0
19.6%
pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+15
16.7%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Tyrese Chambers, broken up by Colin Elliott for a 1ST down BRYANT Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Colin Elliott) to the Brynt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
21.1%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 9 yds to the Brynt 2Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 1
OPP 2
-3
21.1%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Brynt 5Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
19.0%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Tyrese Chambers, broken up by Lake EllisSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+5
17.1%
Tyrese Chambers 5 Yd pass from Grayson James (Grayson James Pass to EJ Wilson Jr. for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
21.1%
Grayson James pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 8:5441% → 54%
Q2 8:54
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-4
58.7%
Gage Moloney sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 13
OPP 48
0
58.0%
Ethan Gettman punt for 35 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
48.8%
Kyle Cichanowsky run for 19 yds to the Brynt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
47.6%
Kyle Cichanowsky run for 1 yd to the Brynt 33Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-5
48.0%
BRYANT Penalty, false start (Carlos Abascal) to the Brynt 28Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+14
49.1%
Gage Moloney pass complete to Jalen Powell for 14 yds to the Brynt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
46.4%
Gage Moloney pass complete to Jalen Powell for 2 yds to the Brynt 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+7
46.4%
Kyle Cichanowsky run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
46.4%
Gage Moloney run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
45.6%
Ishod Byarm run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
45.6%
Gage Moloney pass incomplete to David Zorrilla, broken up by Henry GraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 6:0254% → 48%
Q2 6:02
4TH & 15
OWN 27
+4
54.0%
Daton Montiel punt for 39 yds , Jalen Powell returns for 4 yds to the Brynt 38Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
49.6%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 19 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
50.4%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 4 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-9
50.9%
Jalen Bracey run for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 27
0
48.4%
Gunnar Holmberg pass incomplete to Jalen Bracey, broken up by Colin ElliottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 10TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 2:0766% → 70%
Q2 2:07
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+21
34.2%
G. Moloney pass,to J. Edmond for 21 yds for a TD, (E. Gettman KICK), (E. Gettman KICK)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
31.7%
Gage Moloney pass complete to Landon Ruggieri for 11 yds to the Brynt 49 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Henry Gray) to the Brynt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
31.2%
Ishod Byarm run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
50
0
31.0%
pass incomplete to Landon RuggieriSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 9
50
+13
31.3%
Gage Moloney pass complete to Jalen Powell for 13 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
30.6%
Kyle Cichanowsky run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+7
30.6%
Gage Moloney run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+3
30.7%
Ryan Clark run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
30.2%
pass incomplete to Landon RuggieriSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
30.4%
Gage Moloney pass complete to Jalen Powell for 5 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 0:2042% → 46%
Q2 0:20
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+8
42.2%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 8 yds to the Brynt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
51.3%
Lexington Joseph 4 Yd pass from Gunnar Holmberg (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
51.2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
46.8%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Dean Patterson for 11 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+11
46.6%
Gunnar Holmberg run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+1
47.5%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 1 yd to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+12
46.7%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 12 yds to the Brynt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
49.7%
Gunnar Holmberg pass incomplete to Tyrese Chambers, broken up by Chris YatesSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+13
49.5%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr. for 13 yds to the Brynt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
51.3%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 7 yds to the Brynt 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
51.3%
Gunnar Holmberg pass incomplete, broken up by Joe AndreessenSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
49.5%
Gunnar Holmberg run for 5 yds to the Brynt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
51.2%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Ross Fournet for 8 yds to the Brynt 12Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
46.3%
Gunnar Holmberg sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 12:2655% → 73%
Q3 12:26
4TH & 21
OWN 13
0
44.8%
Ethan Gettman punt for 44 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
25.8%
Ishod Byarm run for 4 yds to the Brynt 29Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-14
25.6%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Jalen Powell BRYANT Penalty, personal foul (Ishod Byarm) to the Brynt 14Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 14
-3
26.3%
Ishod Byarm run for a loss of 3 yards to the Brynt 11Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 23
OWN 11
+2
27.0%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Ishod Byarm for 2 yds to the Brynt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13DOWNS
7 plays · 25 yds · 10:4343% → 28%
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
42.8%
Gunnar Holmberg sacked by Christopher Eaton Jr. for 0 yards to the Brynt 44 for a 1ST down BRYANT Penalty, personal foul (Christopher Eaton Jr.) to the Brynt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
4TH & 13
OPP 32
0
37.9%
pass incomplete to Rivaldo FairweatherSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
28.6%
pass incomplete to Jalen BraceySimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+5
28.2%
Gunnar Holmberg pass incomplete to Rivaldo Fairweather BRYANT Penalty, off-side (Kenny Dyson Jr.) to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+4
29.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Brynt 48Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
30.3%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to EJ Wilson Jr.Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+4
28.1%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Brynt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 14FUMBLE
7 plays · 66 yds · 8:2666% → 77%
Q3 8:26
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+14
34.2%
Ishod Byarm run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-8
33.9%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to David Zorrilla for 2 yds to the FlaIn 14 BRYANT Penalty, Offensive holding (Konor Lathrop) to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 18
OPP 24
+22
34.2%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Jalen Powell for 22 yds to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
32.2%
Ishod Byarm run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1 Ishod Byarm fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Donovan ManuelSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
25.5%
Ishod Byarm run for 7 yds to the Brynt 39Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+31
24.1%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Anthony Frederick for 31 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
23.2%
pass incomplete to Derick Eugene BRYANT Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass ( Yards) to the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 6:3233% → 25%
Q3 6:32
4TH & 9
OWN 2
0
32.7%
Daton Montiel punt , Jalen Powell returns for no gain to the FlaIn 2 BRYANT Penalty, roughing kicker (Matthew Prochaska) to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q3 6:23
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
32.6%
Daton Montiel punt for 50 ydsSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
25.9%
Lexington Joseph run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
25.7%
pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
24.6%
pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 16Uncategorized
12 plays · 33 yds · 0:0076% → 77%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
24.0%
Kyle Cichanowsky run for 4 yds to the Brynt 47Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-7
23.8%
Zevi Eckhaus sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Brynt 40Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+18
25.2%
Gage Moloney pass complete to Landon Ruggieri for 18 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
23.6%
Kyle Cichanowsky run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+2
23.6%
Gage Moloney pass complete to Kyle Cichanowsky for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+8
23.9%
Gage Moloney pass complete to Jalen Powell for 8 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
23.2%
pass incomplete to Landon RuggieriSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
23.3%
Gage Moloney pass incomplete to Jalen Powell, broken up by Jamal PottsSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+6
23.7%
Gage Moloney pass complete to Derick Eugene for 6 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+6
26.3%
Gage Moloney pass complete to Landon Ruggieri for 6 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
23.0%
Ishod Byarm run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 24
0
23.3%
Gage Moloney pass incomplete to Anthony Frederick, broken up by Hezekiah MassesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 1:5827% → 50%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
27.3%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Dean Patterson, broken up by Colin ElliottSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+14
26.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 14 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
47.5%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 10 yds to the Brynt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
49.2%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 2 yds to the Brynt 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
49.1%
pass incomplete to Dean PattersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+21
47.9%
Grayson James pass complete to Rivaldo Fairweather for 21 yds to the Brynt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
51.1%
pass incomplete to Tyrese ChambersSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-5
51.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Shamar Hobdy-Lee) to the Brynt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+13
48.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 13 yds to the Brynt 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+8
48.7%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 8 yds to the Brynt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
50.0%
Tyrese Chambers 6 Yd pass from Grayson James (Chase Gabriel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 11:5764% → 92%
Q4 11:57
4TH & 19
OWN 34
+6
35.9%
Ethan Gettman punt for 40 yds , Tyrese Chambers returns for 6 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
6.8%
Ishod Byarm run for 1 yd to the Brynt 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-5
6.7%
pass incomplete to Landon Ruggieri BRYANT Penalty, false start (Ahmad Assad) to the Brynt 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 39
-5
7.1%
BRYANT Penalty, false start (Anthony Perez) to the Brynt 34Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 19
OWN 34
0
7.9%
Gage Moloney pass incomplete to Derick Eugene, broken up by Jamal PottsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 9:2545% → 30%
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
45.1%
Kris Mitchell 17 Yd pass from Grayson James (Chase Gabriel Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
16.5%
pass incomplete to Randall St. FelixSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
15.8%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+5
16.6%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Josiah Miamen, broken up by Colin Elliott for a 1ST down BRYANT Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Colin Elliott) to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
19.2%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Randall St. Felix for a 1ST down BRYANT Penalty, roughing passer (Dylan Perez) to the Brynt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
22.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 12 yds to the Brynt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
27.7%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 4 yds to the Brynt 29Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+12
29.9%
EJ Wilson Jr. run for 12 yds to the Brynt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
29.8%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 20TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 7:1181% → 94%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-15
18.9%
Zevi Eckhaus pass intercepted for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Hezekiah Masses) to the FlaIn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
18.6%
pass incomplete to Derick EugeneSimilar
Q4 7:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
18.9%
Kyle Cichanowsky run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
18.8%
Zevi Eckhaus 1 Yd Run (Ethan Gettman Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
7.4%
Zevi Eckhaus run for 5 yds to the Brynt 32Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+20
7.1%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Matthew Prochaska for 20 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
6.2%
Zevi Eckhaus pass incomplete to Landon Ruggieri for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive holding (Adrian Cole) to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
6.2%
Zevi Eckhaus run for 21 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 4:0827% → 21%
Q4 4:08
4TH & 7
OPP 46
+46
27.2%
Kris Mitchell 46 Yd pass from Grayson James (Chase Gabriel Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
19.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington Joseph for 11 yds to the Brynt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
21.0%
Lexington Joseph run for 3 yds to the Brynt 46Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
21.6%
Grayson James pass complete to Lexington JosephSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
20.5%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 22TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 1:0092% → 94%
Q4 1:00
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
8.3%
Ishod Byarm run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
8.5%
Ishod Byarm 1 Yd Run (Ethan Gettman Kick)Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
7.2%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Matthew Prochaska for 5 yds to the Brynt 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
7.2%
pass incomplete to Taylor Wright-RawlsSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+16
7.5%
Zevi Eckhaus run for 16 yds to the Brynt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
6.7%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to David Zorrilla for 6 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
6.2%
pass incomplete to Matthew ProchaskaSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+5
6.4%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to David Zorrilla for 5 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+31
6.2%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Matthew Prochaska for 31 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
6.0%
Zevi Eckhaus pass complete to Ishod Byarm for 7 yds to the FlaIn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23FG
7 plays · 63 yds · 0:2314% → 14%
Q4 0:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+15
14.1%
Grayson James pass incomplete to Ross Fournet for a 1ST down BRYANT Penalty, personal foul (Chris Yates) to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
19.4%
Grayson James pass complete to Josiah Miamen for 18 yds to the Brynt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
22.8%
pass incomplete to Josiah MiamenSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+13
22.2%
Grayson James pass complete to Tyrese Chambers for 13 yds to the Brynt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.7%
pass incomplete to EJ Wilson Jr.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
15.3%
pass incomplete to Ross FournetSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
14.3%
pass incomplete to Kris MitchellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+85.7
TD · OT 0:00
Anthony Frederick 25 Yd pass from Zevi Eckhaus (Ethan Gettman Kick)
-49
TD · Q1 6:15
Ishod Byarm 2 Yd Run (Ethan Gettman PAT blocked)
+46.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com