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UNT

North Texas 31 at UTEP 13

UTEP
2022 · Week 1 · Aug 27, 2022 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Gavin Baechle 41 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 8Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Pregame prior−4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:02: Austin Aune pass complete to Tommy Bush for 7 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +5.3 pts (now 54%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:52: Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +11.9 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:27: Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 9 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +14.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:32: Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 11 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK) — UNT win probability +11.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 8:05: Ethan Mooney 28 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +5.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 8 at UNT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:55UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:02UTEP 4th & 1 at UNT 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    49.3%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:03UNT 4th & 10 at UTEP 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    49.6%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:58UTEP 4th & 1 at UNT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    50.8%−0.9
    51% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:14UTEP 4th & 5 at UNT 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    47.7%−5.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:30UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07UTEP 4th & 9 at UNT 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:32UTEP 4th & 2 at UNT 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%−2.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:42UTEP 4th & 4 at UNT 32, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.9%−1.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:42UNT 4th & 1 at UTEP 30, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−2.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−3.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:05UNT 4th & 11 at UTEP 11, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−0.8
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    88.9%−4.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:56UTEP 4th & 15 at UNT 37, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%
    40% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:55UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 39, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:28UTEP 4th & 5 at UNT 41, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%
    32% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 13:58UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:02UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:52UNT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:27UNT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:32UNT Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1MISSED FG
8 plays · 51 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
45.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 6 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+38
45.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 38 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
45.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 24
0
45.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
45.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
45.6%
Gavin Baechle 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 4:0554% → 53%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+23
45.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 23 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
45.6%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
45.6%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+3
45.6%
Austin Aune run for 3 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q1 10:55
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
46.7%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 40 ydsSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
46.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the UTEP 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3DOWNS
14 plays · 87 yds · 6:5347% → 49%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 5
OWN 17
+4
46.6%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+25
46.6%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 25 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
47.0%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+12
47.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 12 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
47.1%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
47.1%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+10
47.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 10 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
47.2%
Deion Hankins run for 3 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+10
47.2%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Holding (Enoch Jackson Jr.) to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
47.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q1 4:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
49.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 2 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
48.8%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q1 4:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:5952% → 52%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
48.0%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+4
48.1%
Isaiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 8Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 3
OWN 8
+15
48.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 15 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
47.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 5 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+1
47.4%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+10
47.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 10 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
47.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for 16 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
46.5%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
46.5%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:02
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
47.1%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:03
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
48.0%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 1:0249% → 56%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+49
48.9%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 49 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
50.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+9
50.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 9 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
50.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+32
55.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 32 yds for a TD, (Gavin Baechle KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 3:5045% → 54%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
54.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 16 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
54.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+16
54.1%
Austin Aune run for 16 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
53.0%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
53.5%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+11
54.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 11 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
52.7%
Isaiah Johnson run for 21 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
51.6%
Austin Aune pass complete to Bryson Jackson for 8 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+4
51.6%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 4 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
51.6%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
51.6%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
46.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Tommy Bush for 7 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 4:4350% → 56%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
50.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
50.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Quinn Whitlock) to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
52.0%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Kelly Akharaiyi) to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+15
50.7%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the left complete for -5 yards to HANKINS, Deion caught at the TEP32 and advanced to the TEP32 (NIXON III, Larry). PENALTY UNT Roughing the Passer on DAVIS, KD enforced 15 yards from the TEP37 to the UNT48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
53.0%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 1 yd to the NoTex 47Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+5
52.9%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+9
52.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 9 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
53.5%
Deion Hankins run for 1 yd to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+15
54.2%
HARDISON, Gavin pass to the right incomplete intended for BALLARD, Jeremiah thrown to the UNT20; QB hurried by NIXON III, Larry. PENALTY UNT Roughing the Passer on NIXON III, Larry enforced 15 yards from the UNT32 to the UNT17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
54.3%
Gavin Hardison run for 5 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 5
OPP 12
0
54.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 5
OPP 12
0
53.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:14
4TH & 5
OPP 12
+29
55.8%
Gavin Baechle 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2246% → 62%
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
54.0%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+21
54.4%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 21 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
51.8%
Isaiah Johnson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+15
52.0%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 15 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
51.0%
JOHNSON, Isaiah rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the TEP36 (WILSON JR., Jerome). PENALTY TEP Offsides on AMAEWHULE, Praise enforced 5 yards from the TEP39 to the TEP34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 5
OPP 34
+3
49.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+3
49.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+20
49.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 20 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
49.7%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
37.8%
Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:2242% → 42%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
42.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to James Tupou for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+13
44.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 13 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
44.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
43.4%
Gavin Hardison run for no gain to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+1
42.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Ronald Awatt for 1 yd to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 9
OWN 47
+4
42.2%
Joshua Sloan punt for 45 yds , Roderic Burns returns for 4 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10FG
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1747% → 47%
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
46.7%
Gavin Hardison run for no gain to the NoTex 9Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
46.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
44.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
47.0%
Gavin Baechle 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
47.0%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 9 Ikaika Ragsdale fumbled, recovered by UTEP Praise AmaewhuleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:3354% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.5%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
46.6%
Ayo Adeyi run for 12 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
44.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Damon Ward Jr. for 10 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
44.2%
Ayo Adeyi run for 3 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
43.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+15
44.2%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dennis Barnes) to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
42.9%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
43.0%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Manase Mose) to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 39
-2
44.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 41Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 41
+15
46.2%
AUNE, Austin pass to the right incomplete intended for WARD, Damon thrown to the TEP14. PENALTY TEP Targeting on PRINCE, Justin enforced 15 yards from the TEP41 to the TEP26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
42.6%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+5
43.0%
Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+9
43.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 9 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
42.6%
Isaiah Johnson run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
28.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 9 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14FUMBLE
9 plays · 25 yds · 4:3833% → 34%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
32.6%
Ronald Awatt run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
33.1%
Ronald Awatt run for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
33.5%
Calvin Brownholtz run for 1 yd to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
33.1%
Deion Hankins run for 7 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
35.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:27
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+6
34.6%
Gavin Hardison run for 6 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
35.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 4 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
36.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 6
OPP 48
-2
33.9%
Gavin Hardison run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard line Gavin Hardison fumbled, recovered by NoTex Kortlin Rausaw , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:1774% → 86%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
50
+41
26.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Roderic Burns for 41 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
25.7%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 11Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
25.8%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
13.9%
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 11 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:5017% → 17%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.3%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
17.1%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 9 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
18.1%
Gavin Hardison run for 3 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
18.1%
Tyson Wilson run for 14 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
19.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
19.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+8
18.8%
Gavin Hardison run for 8 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+3
19.2%
Ronald Awatt run for 3 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
19.8%
Deion Hankins run for 2 yds to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
17.3%
Deion Hankins run for 4 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
0
17.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 4
OPP 32
0
16.8%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17FG
12 plays · 57 yds · 6:3790% → 96%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
9.8%
Ayo Adeyi run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
50
+1
9.0%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+10
9.1%
Ayo Adeyi run for 10 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
9.0%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 9
OPP 38
-2
9.1%
Isaiah Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+10
9.3%
Austin Aune pass complete to Ja'Mori Maclin for 10 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+5
9.9%
Isaiah Johnson run for 5 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
8.7%
Austin Aune pass complete to Zhighlil McMillan for 16 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
8.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the UTEP 8Similar
Q4 14:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
8.7%
Ayo Adeyi run for 1 yd to the UTEP 7Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
8.8%
Austin Aune run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 11Similar
Q4 8:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
3.7%
Ethan Mooney 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 2:095% → 4%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
4.5%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
4.7%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 21 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
5.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 10 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
5.7%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
5.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-5
4.0%
Gavin Hardison sacked by Kadren Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 5:56
4TH & 15
OPP 37
0
3.6%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0198% → 98%
Q4 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
2.3%
Oscar Adaway III run for 4 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-2
2.1%
Oscar Adaway III run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
2.2%
Austin Aune pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:55
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
1.9%
Bernardo Rodriguez punt for 27 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 2:272% → 2%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
2.2%
Gavin Hardison run for 4 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+5
2.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Tyrin Smith for 5 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+11
2.3%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Reynaldo Flores for 11 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
2.3%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+15
2.2%
Gavin Hardison pass complete to Kelly Akharaiyi for 15 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
2.5%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:55
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
2.4%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:28
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
1.9%
Gavin Hardison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21END OF GAME
3 plays · 9 yds · 2:2899% → 99%
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
1.4%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
1.4%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
0.9%
Ikaika Ragsdale run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:27
Austin Aune pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 9 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-14.3
TD · Q2 1:52
Oscar Adaway III run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-11.9
TD · Q3 4:32
Austin Aune pass complete to Jake Roberts for 11 yds for a TD, (Ethan Mooney KICK)
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com