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CLT

Charlotte 13 at Florida Atlantic 43

FAU
2022 · Week 1 · Aug 27, 2022 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:20 · Bailey Rice punt for 37 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore differential
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Pregame prior+15.5Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Blowout margin+0.1Score differential+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 7:41: Carter Davis kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — CLT win probability +6.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 11:25: L. McCammon run for 52 yds for a TD, (M. Suarez KICK), (M. Suarez KICK) — FAU win probability +38.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:27: Je'Quan Burton 30 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Morgan Suarez Kick) — FAU win probability +5.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:55: Grant DuBose 20 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — CLT win probability +9.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 7:41: Morgan Suarez 42 Yd Field Goal — FAU win probability +3.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 9:20CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:12FAU 4th & 2 at CLT 26, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.1%−0.2
    64% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−1.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:24CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 31, down 4
    Close callPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:20FAU 4th & 7 at FAU 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.9%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:05CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:39CLT 4th & 20 at CLT 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−2.0
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:56FAU 4th & 2 at CLT 2, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.3%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    64.2%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:20CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 37, down 4
    Close callPunted · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.3%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:33FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.5%−2.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:07CLT 4th & 10 at FAU 27, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    30.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    24.6%−5.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:42FAU 4th & 2 at FAU 35, up 4
    Close callPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.3%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:56CLT 4th & 17 at CLT 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−3.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:41FAU 4th & 7 at CLT 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    64.5%−12.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:00FAU 4th & 5 at CLT 36, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.4%−0.3
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    82.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    82.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:55CLT 4th & 2 at FAU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    24.9%−3.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−9.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:16CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:25FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 12:1634% → 42%
Q1 12:16
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+52
65.7%
C. Reynolds pass,to G. DuBose for 52 yds for a TD,FLA ATLANTIC penalty, off-side (L. Wester), (A. Zita KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
58.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 9 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+13
58.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 13 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
57.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (TJ Moore) to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+7
58.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Trey Blount for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+4
58.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 4 yds to the Charl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 11:2567% → 68%
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+52
67.0%
L. McCammon run for 52 yds for a TD, (M. Suarez KICK), (M. Suarez KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+33
66.2%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 33 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
67.5%
pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 9:2033% → 33%
Q1 9:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
67.3%
Bailey Rice punt for 37 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
66.6%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
66.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 6:1268% → 68%
Q1 6:12
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+43
67.5%
M. Suarez 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
67.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+15
67.0%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 15 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
67.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 21 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
68.6%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+6
68.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 6 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-1
68.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 4:2432% → 33%
Q1 4:24
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
67.7%
Bailey Rice punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
67.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Elijah Spencer, broken up by Teja YoungSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
67.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 3 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+5
67.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Shadrick Byrd for 5 yds to the Charl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:2066% → 67%
Q1 2:20
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+9
66.2%
Riley Thompson punt for 54 yds , Victor Tucker returns for 9 yds to the Charl 42 CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Markees Watts) to the Charl 11Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
67.0%
Je'Quan Burton run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+7
67.0%
Larry McCammon run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-5
67.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Chaz Neal) to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-1
66.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Larry McCammon for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:5533% → 32%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
67.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+15
67.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Teja Young) to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
66.6%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (TJ Moore) to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+5
67.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Nolan Groulx for 5 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+13
67.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 13 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 14:05
4TH & 8
OWN 34
0
67.8%
Bailey Rice punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8TD
1 play · 53 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-63
64.6%
Justin McKithen 63 Yd Interception Return (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 9:2169% → 71%
Q2 9:21
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+13
69.1%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Austin Evans for 13 yds to the Charl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
69.2%
pass incomplete to Je'Quan Burton for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Geo Howard) to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.3%
N'Kosi Perry 2 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
68.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
68.0%
Zuberi Mobley run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+25
66.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Tony Johnson for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
50
0
70.3%
N'Kosi Perry run to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
50
-5
69.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+2
68.4%
N'Kosi Perry run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+14
67.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Kelvin Dean Jr. for 14 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+18
70.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Tony Johnson for 18 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
71.3%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 7:5633% → 33%
Q2 7:56
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-14
67.5%
pass incomplete to Nolan Groulx CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ashton Gist) to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 7:39
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
68.7%
Bailey Rice punt for 52 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.5%
Shadrick Byrd run for 4 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
66.9%
pass incomplete to Grant DuBoseSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11FG
7 plays · 65 yds · 5:3570% → 71%
Q2 5:35
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
69.5%
pass incomplete to LaJohntay WesterSimilar
Q2 3:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
68.3%
M. Suarez 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
68.3%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Tony Johnson for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Maguire Neal) to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
70.1%
Larry McCammon run for 7 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+16
70.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 16 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
71.4%
Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
71.3%
Larry McCammon run for 7 yds to the Charl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:2032% → 34%
Q2 2:20
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
67.9%
Bailey Rice punt for 54 ydsSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
67.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 9 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-2
64.9%
James Foster sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
66.4%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3366% → 66%
Q2 0:33
4TH & 6
OWN 13
+3
65.8%
Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds , Victor Tucker returns for 3 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
67.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to BJ Alexander FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-4 Yards) to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+5
67.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 5 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+3
67.6%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 13
0
66.4%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 11:2772% → 74%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 5
OPP 30
+30
71.5%
Je'Quan Burton 30 Yd pass from N'Kosi Perry (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.3%
Larry McCammon run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
72.9%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
71.8%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Je'Quan Burton for 6 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
73.7%
N'Kosi Perry run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+8
74.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 8 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
75.0%
pass incomplete to Je'Quan BurtonSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
74.5%
Larry McCammon run for 2 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+14
73.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Jayshon Platt for 14 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15DOWNS
6 plays · 43 yds · 9:0731% → 35%
Q3 9:07
4TH & 10
OPP 27
0
68.9%
pass incomplete to Eugene Minter Jr. CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (TJ Moore) to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
69.1%
Shadrick Byrd run for 2 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+41
68.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 41 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
62.9%
pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
63.5%
Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
65.3%
pass incomplete to Taylor ThompsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 7:4270% → 73%
Q3 7:42
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+1
69.8%
Riley Thompson punt for 43 yds , Victor Tucker returns for 1 yd to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
72.4%
LaJohntay Wester run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+3
73.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
72.7%
pass incomplete to Jacob PasleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 1:5537% → 37%
Q3 1:55
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
63.4%
Grant DuBose 20 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
69.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete CHARLOTTE Penalty, Offensive holding (Matt Rosso) to the Charl 13Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+6
69.9%
Shadrick Byrd run for 6 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 14
OWN 19
0
70.2%
pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+27
71.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 12 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Teja Young) to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
65.7%
Shadrick Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-6
67.7%
Chris Reynolds sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 39Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 39
+20
70.3%
Chris Reynolds run for 20 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
64.8%
Henry Rutledge run for 11 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
63.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Elijah Spencer for 5 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+5
62.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Grant DuBose for 5 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
62.9%
Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 0:5773% → 77%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
72.6%
Larry McCammon run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
72.9%
Larry McCammon run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+23
73.7%
Larry McCammon run for 23 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
76.6%
Larry McCammon run for 3 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+22
76.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to LaJohntay Wester for 22 yds to the Charl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
76.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 4 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Jalar Holley) to the Charl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
76.5%
Zuberi Mobley run for 2 yds to the Charl 1 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block. (Markees Watts) to the Charl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.7%
Zuberi Mobley 1 Yd Run (Morgan Suarez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:5931% → 27%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
69.3%
pass incomplete to Eugene Minter Jr.Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-7
69.9%
James Foster sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 13:55
3RD & 17
OWN 20
0
71.7%
pass incomplete to Elijah SpencerSimilar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
72.7%
Bailey Rice punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 7:4176% → 85%
Q4 7:41
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
76.4%
Morgan Suarez 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
76.0%
Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
77.7%
Marvin Scott III run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+18
76.9%
Willie Taggart Jr. run for 18 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
82.6%
Willie Taggart Jr. run for 1 yd to the Charl 40Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
82.4%
pass incomplete to Jayshon PlattSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+4
77.6%
Marvin Scott III run for 4 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 36
+8
82.5%
Willie Taggart Jr. pass complete to Kelvin Dean Jr. for 8 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
86.2%
Kelvin Dean Jr. run for 3 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
86.2%
Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
85.2%
pass incomplete to BJ AlexanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 4:5531% → 29%
Q4 4:55
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+1
68.8%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.9%
James Foster pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Michal Antoine Jr.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
79.2%
Shadrick Byrd run for 18 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
75.3%
Shadrick Byrd run for 1 yd to the Charl 44Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+14
75.6%
James Foster pass complete to Nolan Groulx for 14 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+7
73.0%
James Foster pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
72.3%
James Foster run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
71.0%
pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22Uncategorized
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0076% → 85%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
76.0%
Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
75.6%
Marvin Scott III run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+7
76.6%
Willie Taggart Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
77.6%
Marvin Scott III run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
81.8%
Marvin Scott III run for 8 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
82.6%
Marvin Scott III run for 2 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+6
82.4%
Marvin Scott III run for 6 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+2
85.1%
Marvin Scott III run for 2 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 11:25
L. McCammon run for 52 yds for a TD, (M. Suarez KICK), (M. Suarez KICK)
+38.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+14.9
TD · Q3 1:55
Grant DuBose 20 Yd pass from Chris Reynolds (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com