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CCU

Coastal Carolina 7 at James Madison 47

JMU
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG—JMU 79.5%Camden Wise 32 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 10:46
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:46 · Camden Wise 32 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+28.5Home team on offense+0.3Score differential+0.0Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:50: Jarrett Guest pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 33 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +2.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:57: Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 34 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +6.8 pts (now 81%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:03: Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 26 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +7.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:54: Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 17 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise PAT MISSED) — JMU win probability +7.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:19: Latrele Palmer run for 13 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK) — JMU win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7CCU made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 13:51CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:46JMU 4th & 11 at CCU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    83.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:50CCU 4th & 1 at JMU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:59JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:06CCU 4th & 8 at JMU 34, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%
    47% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:58JMU 4th & 22 at CCU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:05CCU 4th & 11 at CCU 38, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:57CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.4%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:30CCU 4th & 23 at CCU 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−1.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:43CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 17, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:50CCU 4th & 7 at CCU 28, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:29JMU 4th & 14 at CCU 38, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:30CCU 4th & 12 at CCU 16, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:52CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 25, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:07JMU 4th & 8 at JMU 45, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:35CCU 4th & 7 at CCU 19, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:01JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 46, up 40
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:44CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 15, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:11JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 43, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:50CCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:57JMU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:03JMU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:54JMU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:19JMU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:16JMU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:55JMU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:0920% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.4%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
80.4%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
80.4%
Jarrett Guest sacked by Jordan Swann for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 24Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
80.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 19Similar
Q1 13:51
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
80.1%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 2FG
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:0580% → 80%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
80.2%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 16 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
80.2%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 8 yds to the CCaro 23Similar
Q1 13:51
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
80.2%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+9
80.2%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 9 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-8
80.2%
Todd Centeio sacked by Adrian Hope for a loss of 8 yards to the CCaro 22Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 18
OPP 22
+7
79.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 7 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 11
OPP 15
0
79.5%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
79.5%
Camden Wise 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:5621% → 24%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.5%
Braydon Bennett run for no gain to the CCaro 25Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.6%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
79.5%
Jarrett Guest run for 6 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
79.4%
Jarrett Guest run for 2 yds to the CCaro 38Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
79.3%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
79.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 46 Bryce Carpenter fumbled, recovered by CCaro Bryce CarpenterSimilar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
79.4%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+12
79.5%
Reese White run for 12 yds to the JMads 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
79.2%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
79.2%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the JMads 40Similar
Q1 4:57
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+7
77.9%
Jarrett Guest run for 7 yds to the JMads 33Similar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+33
75.9%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 33 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4676% → 75%
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
76.0%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 9 yds to the JMads 25Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+3
76.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
76.1%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
76.0%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
75.6%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 10
OWN 28
+17
74.6%
Sam Clark punt for 47 yds , Tyson Mobley returns for 17 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5DOWNS
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:5325% → 26%
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
74.6%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
74.6%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the JMads 49Similar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+13
74.5%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Jared Brown for 13 yds to the JMads 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
74.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for 2 yds to the JMads 34Similar
Q1 2:59
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
74.3%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:59
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
74.5%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:06
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+5
73.6%
Jarrett Guest run for 5 yds to the JMads 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 3:0274% → 73%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+31
73.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 31 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
75.2%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Wayne Knight for 5 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+21
75.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 21 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-4
75.7%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 18
-10
75.4%
CENTEIO, Todd scrambles to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the CCU17 (HUTCHINSON, Kaleb). PENALTY JMU Holding on KIDWELL, Nick enforced 10 yards from the CCU18 to the CCU28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 24
OPP 28
+2
75.0%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 26
0
74.2%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 22
OPP 26
+43
73.2%
Camden Wise 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:4527% → 29%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
73.0%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
72.7%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+10
72.9%
Jarrett Guest run for 10 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
72.0%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
71.9%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-8
72.0%
Jarrett Guest sacked by James Carpenter for a loss of 8 yards to the CCaro 38Similar
Q2 8:05
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
71.3%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 42 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for no gain to the JMads 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:0872% → 81%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
71.6%
Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the JMads 23Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+43
71.6%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 43 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
74.5%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+34
81.3%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 34 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 0 yds · 2:2721% → 19%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
79.5%
Jarrett Guest run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
78.8%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
79.5%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 3 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+4
79.7%
Jarrett Guest run for 4 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
78.7%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
78.8%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q2 6:57
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
79.1%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:57
4TH & 8
OWN 40
-15
80.1%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Will McDonald) to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 23
OWN 25
0
80.7%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:2780% → 88%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
80.0%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
79.9%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+27
79.2%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 27 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
81.3%
JMU Penalty, False Start (Nick Kidwell) to the CCaro 45Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+3
80.7%
Latrele Palmer run for 3 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+16
80.8%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 16 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
87.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 26 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:1414% → 13%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
86.2%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 7 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+6
86.3%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 6 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
86.3%
Jarrett Guest run for no gain to the CCaro 23Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-8
86.3%
Jarrett Guest sacked by Chris Chukwuneke for a loss of 8 yards to the CCaro 15Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 18
OWN 15
+2
86.4%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 16
OWN 17
0
86.6%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12MISSED FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
86.6%
Kaelon Black run for 11 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
86.9%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Josaiah Stewart) to the CCaro 43Similar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 5
OPP 43
0
86.8%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+8
86.8%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 8 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
87.0%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+52
86.9%
Connor Madden 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0687% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
87.3%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 30 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
88.1%
Todd Centeio run for 10 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
88.1%
Kaelon Black run for 11 yds to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
88.1%
Kaelon Black run for 7 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+17
95.9%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 17 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:045% → 4%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.2%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-6
95.2%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Jared Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 21Similar
Q3 12:54
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
95.4%
Jarrett Guest run for 7 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
95.2%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 39 ydsSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
96.0%
CENTEIO, Todd pass up the middle incomplete intended for THORNTON, Kris thrown to the CCU25. PENALTY CCU Pass Interference on FLETCHER, Tobias enforced 15 yards to the JMU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 3:3196% → 99%
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
96.2%
Kaelon Black run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 47Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+10
96.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 10 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+12
96.0%
Kaelon Black run for 12 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
96.1%
Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+16
96.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 16 yds to the CCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
96.1%
Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the CCaro 13Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+13
98.8%
Latrele Palmer run for 13 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:531% → 1%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Aaron Bedgood run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
99.1%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 8 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q3 7:19
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.1%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
99.3%
Jarrett Guest sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:5799% → 99%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-4
99.1%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 14
OPP 38
0
99.1%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 14
OPP 38
0
99.1%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 14
OPP 38
0
99.0%
Sam Clark punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
99.4%
Jarrett Guest run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 16Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 12
OWN 16
0
99.4%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 12
OWN 16
0
99.4%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:30
4TH & 12
OWN 16
0
99.5%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 3:1499% → 100%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+34
99.2%
Latrele Palmer run for 34 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.2%
Latrele Palmer run for 7 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+6
99.2%
Todd Centeio run for 6 yds to the CCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.2%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+2
99.3%
Kaelon Black run for 2 yds to the CCaro 8Similar
Q3 0:16
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 8 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:440% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Braydon Bennett run for 4 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
99.8%
Jarrett Guest pass complete to Braydon Bennett for 9 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Jarrett Guest pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Jarrett Guest pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 42 yds · 1:21100% → 100%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+28
99.8%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Kris Thornton for 28 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.8%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the CCaro 11Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 7
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
Todd Centeio run for 11 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 2:030% → 0%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 28Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
99.9%
Bryce Carpenter sacked by Jamare Edwards for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 25Similar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
100.0%
Bryce Archie run for 1 yd to the CCaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the JMads 43Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the JMads 45Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Todd Centeio pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 8
OWN 45
+8
99.9%
Sam Clark punt for 47 yds , Tyson Mobley returns for 8 yds to the CCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:320% → 0%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
99.9%
CJ Beasley run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 14Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+5
99.9%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:34100% → 100%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Todd Centeio run for 3 yds to the JMads 43Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Kaelon Black run for 3 yds to the JMads 46Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Kaelon Black run for no gain to the JMads 46Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Sam Clark punt for 52 yds, downed at the CCaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
99.9%
Bryce Archie run for 11 yds to the CCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
99.9%
Max Balthazar run for 2 yds to the CCaro 15Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Max Balthazar run for no gain to the CCaro 15Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 8
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Bryce Archie pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 8
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 42 yds, downed at the JMads 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 10:49100% → 100%
Q4 11:11
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Sam Clark punt for 56 yds, downed at the CCaro 1Similar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
99.9%
Alonza Barnett III run for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 42Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+1
99.9%
Sammy Malignaggi run for 1 yd to the JMads 43Similar
Q4 0:22
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Peyton Rutherford run for no gain to the JMads 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:54
Todd Centeio pass complete to Drew Painter for 17 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise PAT MISSED)
+7.8
TD · Q2 2:03
Todd Centeio pass complete to Devin Ravenel for 26 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)
+7.2
TD · Q2 6:57
Todd Centeio pass complete to Reggie Brown for 34 yds for a TD, (Camden Wise KICK)
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com