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APP

App State 48 at Georgia Southern 51

GASO
2022 · Week 13 · Nov 26, 2022 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTFGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:41 · Anthony Beck II punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the AppSt 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+21.0+10.50−10.5−21.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 153Pregame prior−0.2Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Time remaining−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:38: Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds for a TD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) declined, (Chase Brice pass to Nate Noel for Two-Point Conversion) — APP win probability +21.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 2:53: Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Evan Lester for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +20.3 pts (now 56%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:03: Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +21.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:22: Kyle Vantrease run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +34.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Nate Noel 25 Yd Run (Michael Hughes Kick) — APP win probability +40.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 6APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:36APP 4th & 5 at GASO 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    63.1%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:06APP 4th & 8 at GASO 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%
    75% to make
    Punt
    57.5%−2.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:08GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:58APP 4th & 1 at GASO 1, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    56.9%−1.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−4.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:22GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 9, up 1
    Close callPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:38GASO 4th & 6 at APP 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:09APP 4th & 2 at GASO 7, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.5%−1.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    50.9%−10.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:09GASO 4th & 2 at APP 10, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    35.0%−1.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−9.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:24APP 4th & 15 at APP 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−4.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:59GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 25, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:24APP 4th & 7 at APP 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−1.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:40APP 4th & 1 at GASO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    48.4%−9.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−36.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:41GASO 4th & 20 at GASO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%−22.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:42GASO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:36APP Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:08GASO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:10APP Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:52GASO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:38APP Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    67.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:53GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−0.3
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:03APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:22GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−1.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:0031% → 31%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
30.9%
Khaleb Hood run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+5
30.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ezrah Archie for 5 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+3
31.4%
Kyle Vantrease run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 39 Kyle Vantrease fumbled, recovered by AppSt DeAndre Dingle-PrinceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2FG
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:1769% → 68%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
31.2%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
31.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+11
31.2%
Chase Brice run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
31.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
31.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
31.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Miller Gibbs for 2 yds to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
31.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
32.3%
Michael Hughes 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:4933% → 37%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
32.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ezrah Archie for 13 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
32.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 6 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+2
32.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+5
32.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Evan Lester for 5 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
33.0%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+4
33.0%
AJ Brown run for 4 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+6
33.0%
AJ Brown run for 6 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
33.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 5 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+14
33.1%
AJ Brown run for 14 yds to the AppSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
37.3%
AJ Brown run for 13 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4FG
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:3664% → 64%
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+53
36.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 53 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
35.0%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+3
35.1%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q1 5:42
3RD & 7
OPP 19
0
35.4%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
36.1%
Michael Hughes 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5837% → 36%
Q1 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.7%
AJ Brown run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q1 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
36.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
36.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:08
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
36.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 59 yds · 5:1064% → 61%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
36.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+20
36.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 20 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
35.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+15
35.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 15 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
35.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+9
36.4%
Chase Brice run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
36.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
36.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
36.9%
Chase Brice run for no gain to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for no gain to the GeoSo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3640% → 39%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
39.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+3
39.4%
Tyler Jordan run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+5
38.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ezrah Archie for 5 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 2
OWN 9
+6
39.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 57 yds , Tyler Page returns for 6 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:4661% → 69%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
39.4%
Chase Brice run for 9 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+51
31.1%
Nate Noel run for 51 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2834% → 46%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
33.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to AJ Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
33.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+23
32.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ezrah Archie for 23 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
35.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
34.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+33
33.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Face mask (33 yards) (Ethan Johnson) to the AppSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
36.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 7 yds to the AppSt 4Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+3
36.5%
Tyler Jordan run for 3 yds to the AppSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
46.3%
Tyler Jordan run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5858% → 72%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
41.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 1 yd to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
42.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 10 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
41.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+5
40.6%
Chase Brice run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
40.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
40.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+15
40.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Block below the waist on WILSON, Anthony enforced (Anthony Wilson) to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
39.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 8 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+12
28.5%
Nate Noel run for 12 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11FG
10 plays · 57 yds · 2:3233% → 39%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.3%
AJ Brown run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
33.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 8 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
33.8%
Kyle Vantrease run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
35.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 23 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
37.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+4
37.2%
AJ Brown run for 4 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
37.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
37.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q2 3:10
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
35.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
39.4%
Alex Raynor 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13FG
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:5164% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+49
36.5%
Nate Noel run for 49 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
33.2%
Nate Noel run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
33.1%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
33.1%
Ahmani Marshall run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+3
34.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 3 yds to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+24
30.1%
Michael Hughes 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1733% → 57%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
33.2%
AJ Brown run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+42
33.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 42 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
38.1%
AJ Brown run for 7 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+7
38.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
38.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
38.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 6 yds to the AppSt 12Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+2
36.5%
Tyler Jordan run for 2 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q3 12:09
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+3
34.8%
Alex Raynor run for 3 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
38.1%
AJ Brown run for 5 yds to the AppSt 2Similar
Q3 7:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
57.1%
Tyler Jordan run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1449% → 76%
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.1%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+40
51.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 40 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+31
45.8%
Daetrich Harrington run for 31 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
24.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds for a TD GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offsides ( Yards) declined, (Chase Brice pass to Nate Noel for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:4530% → 56%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
29.8%
AJ Brown run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
30.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 6 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
30.7%
Terron Dixon II run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
31.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Evan Lester for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
32.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+50
33.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Joshua Thompson for 50 yds to the AppSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
35.4%
Tyler Jordan run for no gain to the AppSt 1Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Evan Lester for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:5054% → 81%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
45.8%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
45.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 18 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
42.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 18 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
41.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 19 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
40.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+6
40.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+2
41.9%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
40.2%
Ahmani Marshall run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
18.9%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18INT
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:2427% → 30%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
26.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Darius Lewis for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
27.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+9
25.9%
VANTREASE, Kyle pass to the left incomplete intended for SINGLETON, Jeremy thrown to the GS46. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on JOHNSON, Ethan enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the GS38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NH]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
28.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 8 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 2
OWN 46
0
30.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:1580% → 79%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
19.9%
DAVIS, Dashaun rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the GS49 (SPRINGER, Dillon). PENALTY APP Holding on HARDY, Anderson enforced 10 yards from the APP49 to the APP39 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+7
21.6%
Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 13
OWN 46
-2
20.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Michael Hetzel for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 15
OWN 44
0
22.3%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:24
4TH & 15
OWN 44
0
20.9%
Clayton Howell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2525% → 22%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+1
24.6%
AJ Brown run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 19
+6
24.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
24.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
21.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 52 yds, downed at the AppSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3581% → 80%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
19.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the AppSt 23Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
19.5%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
20.1%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:24
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
19.6%
Clayton Howell punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 2:0223% → 64%
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
22.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
27.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 26 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
29.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 5 yds to the AppSt 9Similar
Q4 6:24
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+6
29.4%
AJ Brown run for 6 yds to the AppSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
63.7%
Kyle Vantrease run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23DOWNS
9 plays · 49 yds · 2:4251% → 58%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
49.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 7 yds to the AppSt 32Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
46.0%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the AppSt 32Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+33
48.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 33 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
41.6%
Ahmani Marshall run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
37.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
39.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 1:40
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
42.3%
Ahmani Marshall run for no gain to the GeoSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:5957% → 52%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
56.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to AJ Brown for 3 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
56.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+13
54.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 13 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
60.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-10
58.5%
VANTREASE, Kyle pass to the right incomplete intended for HOOD, Khaleb thrown to the GS50. PENALTY GS Holding enforced 10 yards from the GS42 to the GS32 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 20
OWN 32
0
55.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 20
OWN 32
0
52.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:41
4TH & 20
OWN 32
0
52.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kaedin Robinson at the AppSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25MISSED FG
7 plays · 60 yds · 0:4152% → 62%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
48.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+12
49.8%
Nate Noel run for 12 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+45
44.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 45 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
38.1%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+30
38.1%
Michael Hughes 30 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26TD
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0066% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+12
65.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 12 yds to the AppSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
65.6%
VANTREASE, Kyle pass to the right incomplete intended for ARCHIE, Ezrah thrown to the APP0. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on JONES JR., Steven enforced 11 yards to the APP2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
65.6%
AJ Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 4Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
41.1%
Nate Noel 25 Yd Run (Michael Hughes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 28FG
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0059% → 56%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
41.1%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 27Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
41.7%
BRICE, Chase pass to the right incomplete intended for HARRINGTON, Daetrich thrown to the GS23. PENALTY GS Unnecessary Roughness on CANTEEN, Derrick enforced half the distance from the goal, 13 yards from the GS27 to the GS14 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
41.1%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 15Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 15
0
41.7%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
44.3%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 29TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
42.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+57.8
TD · OT 0:00
Nate Noel 25 Yd Run (Michael Hughes Kick)
-40.7
TD · Q4 4:22
Kyle Vantrease run for 3 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)
+34.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com