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ULM

UL Monroe 16 at Troy 34

TROY
2022 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2022 · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
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Win probability · TROY
modelTROY aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playTROY scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:08 · Mike Rivers punt for 34 yds, downed at the LaMon 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 12Pregame prior+30.6Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:04: DK Billingsley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK) — TROY win probability +6.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:51: Antonio Showers 13 Yd Fumble Return (Brooks Buce Kick) — TROY win probability +7.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Calum Sutherland 27 yd FG GOOD — ULM win probability +5.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:00: Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK) — TROY win probability +4.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:25: Chandler Rogers run for 12 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +2.7 pts (now 8%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 6ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00TROY 4th & 6 at ULM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:08TROY 4th & 18 at ULM 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:03ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:09TROY 4th & 4 at ULM 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:43ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:08TROY 4th & 16 at ULM 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    76.1%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:50ULM 4th & 5 at TROY 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    19.9%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:39ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:16TROY 4th & 7 at ULM 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 0:36TROY 4th & 8 at ULM 44, up 18
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−<0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TROY made the numbers' call on 3 of 4ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 2:04TROY Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:51TROY Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:00TROY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:25ULM Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:46TROY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:14ULM Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 5:5283% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
83.4%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 15 yds to the Troy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
83.4%
Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+1
83.4%
Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
50
+6
83.4%
Gunnar Watson run for 6 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
83.4%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
83.4%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 4 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
83.4%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+6
83.4%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 6 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
83.4%
Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+1
83.4%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 1 yd to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 30
-12
83.4%
Gunnar Watson sacked by Lu Tillery for a loss of 12 yards to the LaMon 42Similar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 18
OPP 42
0
81.6%
Mike Rivers punt for 34 yds, downed at the LaMon 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:0518% → 19%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
81.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the LaMon 11Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 11
-2
81.7%
JACKSON, Malik rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the ULM13 (FLETCHER, O'shai). PENALTY ULM Holding on FRETT, Jevin enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the ULM11 to the ULM6 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 12
OWN 6
+2
81.8%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 8Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 10
OWN 8
0
81.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 10
OWN 8
+15
81.3%
Devyn McCormick punt for 57 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 15 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:5482% → 81%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
50
+2
81.5%
Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+11
81.5%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 11 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
81.5%
Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the LaMon 36Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 9
OPP 36
0
81.5%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+13
81.4%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 13 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
81.7%
Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 25Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 12
OPP 25
0
81.6%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+8
81.3%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 8 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q1 3:09
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+35
80.8%
Brooks Buce 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2619% → 20%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.8%
Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
80.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 7 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q1 3:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
80.6%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:43
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
80.4%
Devyn McCormick punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5FG
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:3580% → 81%
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
79.9%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+9
79.8%
DK Billingsley run for 9 yds to the Troy 23Similar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+8
79.7%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 8 yds to the Troy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
79.6%
Gunnar Watson run for no gain to the Troy 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
79.5%
DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+8
79.2%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 8 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
79.8%
TROY Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
80.2%
WATSON, Gunnar pass to the right intercepted by VIGERS, Car'lin at the ULM30 intended for JOHNSON, Tez. Vigers return for 0 yards to the ULM30, End of Play, clock 13:21. PENALTY ULM Unnecessary Roughness on SNYDER, Kenard enforced 15 yards from the ULM37 to the ULM22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
80.4%
Jamontez Woods run for a loss of 10 yards to the LaMon 32Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 20
OPP 32
+4
79.8%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 4 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 16
OPP 28
0
79.3%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 16
OPP 28
+45
80.7%
Brooks Buce 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 38 yds · 6:1820% → 21%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.3%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
80.4%
ROGERS, Chandler scrambles to the right for no gain, ROGERS, Chandler fumbled at ULM26 forced by STEWARD, Reddy out of bounds to the ULM26. PENALTY TRO Holding on HARRIS, TJ enforced 10 yards from the ULM26 to the ULM36 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
79.9%
Alred Luke run for 3 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+8
79.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 8 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
79.2%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
79.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 3 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+6
79.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-9
79.0%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Will Choloh for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+4
80.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 4 yds to the Troy 47Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 15
OPP 47
+10
80.3%
Chandler Rogers run for 10 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 5
OPP 37
0
78.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:4682% → 89%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
82.0%
Kimani Vidal run for 8 yds to the Troy 45Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+16
82.7%
Kimani Vidal run for 16 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
82.8%
Kimani Vidal run for 12 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
82.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+19
82.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 19 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, Offsides (Caleb Thomas) to the LaMon 1Similar
Q2 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.0%
DK Billingsley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · -12 yds · 0:1313% → 6%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.0%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
94.4%
Antonio Showers 13 Yd Fumble Return (Brooks Buce Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 1:516% → 9%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
94.1%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
94.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Jevin Frett) to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
94.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-8
93.2%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Javon Solomon for a loss of 8 yards to the Troy 43Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 18
OPP 43
-5
94.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (Victor Cutler) to the Troy 48Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 23
OPP 48
+4
94.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 4 yds to the Troy 44Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 19
OPP 44
+34
94.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 34 yds to the Troy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
93.1%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
93.1%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+2
95.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 2 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 13
OWN 33
+17
96.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
50
+15
96.2%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left incomplete intended for MORTIMER, Bugs broken up by STEWARD, Reddy at the TRO17. PENALTY TRO Unnecessary Roughness on STEWARD, Reddy enforced 15 yards from the ULM50 to the TRO35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
91.1%
Calum Sutherland 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:2110% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
90.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 4 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+1
89.9%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 39
-7
90.0%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Richard Jibunor for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 32Similar
Q3 12:39
4TH & 12
OWN 32
+28
91.7%
Devyn McCormick punt for 41 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 28 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11TD
2 plays · 45 yds · 0:3992% → 96%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+40
91.7%
Kimani Vidal run for 40 yds to the LaMon 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
96.3%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 4:354% → 8%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
95.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 8 yds to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+7
95.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 7 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
95.7%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+11
95.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 11 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
95.7%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Antonio Showers for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 42Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+9
95.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 9 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+13
95.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 13 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
95.6%
Chandler Rogers run for 8 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
95.1%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left incomplete intended for FRETT, Jevin thrown to the TRO0. PENALTY TRO Pass Interference on FLETCHER, O'shai enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the TRO13 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
95.1%
Bugs Mortimer run for 1 yd to the Troy 12Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
95.1%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
92.4%
Chandler Rogers run for 12 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 50 yds · 7:0994% → 95%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
94.1%
Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Troy 14Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+5
94.1%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the Troy 19Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+6
94.0%
Kimani Vidal run for 6 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.2%
DK Billingsley run for 6 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
94.3%
DK Billingsley run for 5 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
94.4%
DK Billingsley run for 10 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
94.6%
DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-15
94.5%
TROY Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
94.5%
Kimani Vidal run for 18 yds to the LaMon 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
94.6%
DK Billingsley run for 3 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
94.6%
DK Billingsley run for 2 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-2
94.5%
DK Billingsley run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 38Similar
Q3 0:16
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
95.3%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:055% → 4%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
95.0%
Chandler Rogers run for 20 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
94.9%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left complete for 1 yard to MORTIMER, Bugs caught at the TRO47 and advanced to the TRO41 (CHOLOH, Will). PENALTY ULM Holding on QUINLAN, Nolan enforced 10 yards from the TRO42 to the ULM48 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 48
+1
95.1%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 49
+5
95.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the Troy 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 46
0
95.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 14
OPP 46
0
96.1%
UL MONROE Penalty, turnover on downs. PENALTY Holding on WILKINS, Stacey ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 4:0997% → 99%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
96.8%
Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 6
50
+2
96.8%
Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+16
96.8%
Kimani Vidal run for 16 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
96.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+3
96.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, Face mask (3 yards) (Car'lin Vigers) to the LaMon 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
96.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 7 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
99.1%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:321% → 2%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.1%
TROY Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for no gain to the LaMon 40Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+8
99.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 8 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+10
99.0%
Malik Jackson run for 10 yds to the Troy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.0%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
99.0%
Andrew Henry run for no gain to the Troy 42Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.0%
TROY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Will Choloh) to the Troy 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
98.8%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the Troy 22Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+5
98.8%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the Troy 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
98.8%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+3
98.8%
Chandler Rogers run for 3 yds to the Troy 14Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+5
98.9%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the right incomplete intended for WILEY, Dariyan thrown to the TRO0. PENALTY TRO Offsides on SHOWERS, Antonio enforced 5 yards from the TRO14 to the TRO9 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+3
98.9%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the Troy 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.8%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the Troy 3Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.8%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the Troy 1Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the Troy 1Similar
Q4 3:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.4%
ROGERS, Chandler pass up the middle incomplete intended for FRETT, Jevin thrown to the TRO0, clock 03:18. PENALTY TRO Holding on STEWARD, Reddy enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards from the TRO1 to the TRO1 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
Chandler Rogers 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.0%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 5
OPP 41
-10
99.0%
VIDAL, Kimani rush to the right for a gain of 10 yards to the ULM31 (TILLERY, Lucius). PENALTY TRO Holding enforced 10 yards from the ULM41 to the TRO49 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 15
OWN 49
-1
99.0%
Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 48Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 16
OWN 48
0
99.0%
TROY Penalty, Illegal Shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Mike Rivers punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
98.5%
Malik Jackson run for 8 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:51
Antonio Showers 13 Yd Fumble Return (Brooks Buce Kick)
+7.4
TD · Q2 2:04
DK Billingsley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)
+6.1
FG · Q2 0:00
Calum Sutherland 27 yd FG GOOD
-5.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com