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APP

App State 21 at Marshall 28

MRSH
2022 · Week 11 · Nov 12, 2022 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:47 · Clayton Howell punt for 33 yds, downed at the Marsh 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Home team on offense+1.8Pregame prior−4.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:12: Jayden Harrison 5 Yd pass from Cam Fancher (Rece Verhoff Kick) — MRSH win probability +11.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:00: Daetrich Harrington 1 Yd Run (Michael Hughes Kick) — APP win probability +14.5 pts (now 39%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:00: Dainsus Miller 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Rece Verhoff Kick) — MRSH win probability +13.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 10:38: Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 22 — APP win probability +14.7 pts (now 35%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 14:55: APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offsides (KaRon White) to the Marsh 30 — MRSH win probability +13.5 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 8APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 5:10APP 4th & 6 at MRSH 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    47.7%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:00MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:47APP 4th & 8 at MRSH 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.4%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%−0.2
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:03MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 12, up 7
    Close callPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:42APP 4th & 6 at MRSH 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:21MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.7%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:53APP 4th & 2 at MRSH 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%−0.8
    60% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:14MRSH 4th & 18 at MRSH 12, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 2.2 ptsWent for it · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%−2.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    56.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:15APP 4th & 8 at APP 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.9%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:00APP 4th & 1 at MRSH 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    25.9%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−6.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:27MRSH 4th & 28 at APP 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−4.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:00APP 4th & 6 at APP 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−1.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:42APP 4th & 15 at MRSH 34, down 6
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−2.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    33.0%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:55MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 13, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%−3.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:55APP 4th & 8 at MRSH 28, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.2%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    35.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    25.1%−10.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:32MRSH 4th & 1 at APP 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    78.9%−4.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−5.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:11APP 4th & 1 at MRSH 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−3.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−13.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:47MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.2%−0.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:47APP 4th & 3 at APP 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.9%−2.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:36APP 4th & 6 at MRSH 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−2.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−2.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:09MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:12MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:00APP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:00MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 6:4545% → 50%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.5%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
44.5%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+10
44.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 10 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
44.5%
Khalan Laborn run for 12 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
44.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Khalan Laborn for 5 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+6
44.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to EJ Horton for 6 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
44.6%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-2
44.6%
Khalan Laborn run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 46Similar
Q1 14:54
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+11
44.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 11 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
44.6%
Khalan Laborn run for 12 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
44.6%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+12
44.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 12 yds to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
44.6%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the AppSt 3Similar
Q1 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
44.6%
Ethan Payne run for 2 yds to the AppSt 1Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.6%
Khalan Laborn 1 Yd Run (Rece Verhoff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:5351% → 49%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
49.0%
Chase Brice run for 5 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+10
48.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 10 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
48.8%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 35Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
48.9%
BRICE, Chase pass to the right incomplete intended for HORN, Christan thrown to the MAR31. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on ABRAHAM, Micah enforced 15 yards to the APP50 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
50
+4
48.2%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
48.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
48.3%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
50.6%
Clayton Howell punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1051% → 51%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
50.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+2
50.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
50.5%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+2
50.7%
John McConnell punt for 36 yds , Tyler Page returns for 2 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
50.5%
BRICE, Chase pass to the right incomplete intended for PAGE, Tyler thrown to the MAR20. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on SMITH, Daytione enforced 15 yards to the MAR38 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 17 yds · 2:1350% → 48%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
50.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+2
50.3%
Chase Brice run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-2
50.4%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
52.2%
Clayton Howell punt for 33 yds, downed at the Marsh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4453% → 53%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
52.7%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the Marsh 5Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+7
52.6%
Khalan Laborn run for 7 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 1
OWN 12
0
52.2%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the Marsh 12Similar
Q1 0:03
4TH & 1
OWN 12
0
52.6%
John McConnell punt for 34 yds, downed at the Marsh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:1848% → 47%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
51.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
0
51.8%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
52.1%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
53.3%
Clayton Howell punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2154% → 53%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.1%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
54.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
53.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:21
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
53.0%
John McConnell punt for 45 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:2848% → 45%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
50
+8
52.2%
Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+6
52.0%
Nate Noel run for 6 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
52.2%
Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 2
OPP 28
0
51.2%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 2
OPP 28
0
54.3%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 2
OPP 28
0
55.2%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:3357% → 57%
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
56.9%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
57.0%
Cam Fancher pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
53.8%
Chase Brice pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:0257% → 70%
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
57.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Marsh 10Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+2
56.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 2 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 18
OWN 12
0
56.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 18
OWN 12
+71
55.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 71 yds to the AppSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
59.1%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the AppSt 17Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+11
59.1%
Cam Fancher run for 11 yds to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
59.1%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the AppSt 5Similar
Q2 11:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
59.1%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the AppSt 5Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
70.3%
Jayden Harrison 5 Yd pass from Cam Fancher (Rece Verhoff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5232% → 30%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
68.2%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 6:28
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
69.3%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
69.6%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
70.1%
Clayton Howell punt for 38 yds , returns for no gain to the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13TD
12 plays · 32 yds · 5:1533% → 39%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
67.0%
Christian Wells run for 4 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-1
66.8%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 29Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+11
67.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 11 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
66.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+7
66.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
66.7%
Chase Brice run for 5 yds to the Marsh 2Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-15
66.7%
PEOPLES, Camerun rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the MAR0, TOUCHDOWN APP, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY APP Chop Block on LARKINS, David enforced 15 yards from the MAR2 to the MAR17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
0
68.2%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
69.4%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Personal Foul Personal Foul on HELMS, Isaiah enforced ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 27
+26
75.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 26 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.3%
Daetrich Harrington 1 Yd Run (Michael Hughes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14END OF HALF
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:5565% → 65%
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
65.1%
Cam Fancher run for 17 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
67.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 5 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+11
67.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 11 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
68.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
67.9%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-15
66.4%
FANCHER, Cam pass to the right complete for 31 yards to GAMMAGE, Corey caught at the APP7 and advanced to the APP4 (MCLEOD, Jalen). PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on GAMMAGE, Corey enforced 15 yards to the MAR50 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 25
50
+3
65.2%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -18 yds · 2:3067% → 64%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-16
67.0%
Cam Fancher sacked by Steven Jones Jr. for a loss of 16 yards to the AppSt 46Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 26
OPP 46
-5
65.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to A.J. Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 31
OWN 49
+3
63.8%
Ethan Payne run for 3 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q3 12:27
4TH & 28
OPP 48
0
63.7%
John McConnell punt for 41 yds, downed at the AppSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16PUNT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2735% → 20%
Q3 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
65.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the AppSt 7Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+4
65.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 4 yds to the AppSt 11Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 6
OWN 11
0
66.3%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
79.6%
Dainsus Miller 0 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Rece Verhoff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:4165% → 69%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
64.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+2
65.0%
Cam Fancher run for 2 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+7
64.0%
Cam Fancher run for 7 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
65.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 15 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+32
67.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 32 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
68.2%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 7
OPP 19
0
68.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 7
OPP 19
+19
68.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 19 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:1536% → 33%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
62.8%
Nate Noel run for 9 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+33
62.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 33 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
57.6%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 9
OPP 28
+4
58.1%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 5
OPP 24
-10
59.4%
QB Keeper BRICE, Chase rush up the middle for a gain of 9 yards to the MAR15 (JACKSON, E.J.). PENALTY APP Holding on HELMS, Isaiah enforced 10 yards from the MAR24 to the MAR34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 15
OPP 34
0
63.0%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 15
OPP 34
0
66.7%
Clayton Howell punt for 30 yds, downed at the Marsh 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4768% → 69%
Q3 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
68.1%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+6
67.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 6 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q3 4:42
3RD & 1
OWN 13
0
67.0%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the Marsh 13Similar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
68.5%
John McConnell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:0039% → 33%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
50
0
61.4%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
50
+3
62.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+17
62.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Tyler Page for 17 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
59.6%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
59.7%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 2:55
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+12
64.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 12 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 8
OPP 28
0
61.9%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
59.9%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+14
67.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 14 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:2381% → 83%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offsides (KaRon White) to the Marsh 30Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+15
81.6%
FANCHER, Cam pass up the middle incomplete intended for MONTGOMERY, Charles thrown to the APP34. PENALTY APP Pass Interference on ROSS, Nick enforced 15 yards to the MAR45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
82.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
82.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 12 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
83.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 6 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+3
83.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb McMillan for 3 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
83.6%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
82.5%
Ethan Payne run for no gain to the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22DOWNS
16 plays · 50 yds · 7:2124% → 12%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
76.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+12
75.5%
Chase Brice run for 12 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
73.2%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
72.8%
BRICE, Chase pass to the right incomplete intended for NOEL, Nate thrown to the MAR42. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on ALSTON, Elijah enforced at the spot of the foul for 3 yards to the MAR43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
72.8%
Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 9
OPP 42
-1
72.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 43Similar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+11
74.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 11 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
70.7%
Nate Noel run for 7 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+2
72.9%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+1
75.1%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
72.8%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-3
72.8%
Chase Brice sacked by TyQaze Leggs for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 21Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+8
76.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 8 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 1
OPP 13
-3
80.1%
Chase Brice run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 16Similar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
88.3%
LABORN, Khalan rush to the right for no gain to the MAR16 (WHITE, Karon;DOUBLIN, Logan). PENALTY MAR Holding on DRISKELL, Ethan enforced half the distance from the goal, 8 yards from the MAR16 to the MAR8 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:2488% → 93%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 18
OWN 8
+22
87.8%
Ethan Payne run for 22 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
88.4%
Ethan Payne run for 2 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+5
88.3%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 3
OWN 37
0
93.5%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
92.9%
John McConnell punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24DOWNS
15 plays · 30 yds · 2:1112% → 9%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.3%
Nate Noel run for 9 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-2
85.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 32Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
87.1%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
88.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 5 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
86.5%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
86.7%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+14
88.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 14 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
84.5%
BRICE, Chase pass to the right intercepted by ABRAHAM, Micah at the MAR36. Abraham return for 0 yards to the MAR36, End of Play. PENALTY Before the snap, MAR Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the MAR49 to the MAR44. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 5
OPP 44
-5
87.3%
Chase Brice sacked by Sam Burton for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 49Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
89.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Christian Wells) to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 15
OWN 46
0
91.9%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:55
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+9
92.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 9 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
90.7%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.1%
[NH] Kneel down by MAR at MAR44 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 10:38
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 22
-14.7
TD · Q2 1:00
Daetrich Harrington 1 Yd Run (Michael Hughes Kick)
-14.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 14:55
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offsides (KaRon White) to the Marsh 30
+13.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com