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2022 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2022 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:23 · Anthony Beck II punt for 47 yds , Eric Garror returns for 28 yds to the LaLaf 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 23Home team on offense+1.0Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Pregame prior+5.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:43: OJ Arnold pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 32 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +7.5 pts (now 46%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:28: Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 18 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +5.5 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:45: Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 28 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +8.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Kenneth Almendares 34 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +8.5 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:25: Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +9.2 pts (now 14%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 11GASO made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 13:35GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:52UL 4th & 1 at UL 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:23GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:32UL 4th & 1 at GASO 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    63.3%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:15UL 4th & 3 at GASO 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    64.8%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:55GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.1%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:54GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:22GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:01UL 4th & 4 at GASO 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.7%−1.4
    40% to make
    Punt
    75.4%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:34UL 4th & 10 at GASO 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.3%
    54% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:18UL 4th & 1 at GASO 13, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    91.8%−1.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−6.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:01UL 4th & 8 at GASO 10, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:16GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 27, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:33UL 4th & 4 at UL 37, up 23
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:07GASO 4th & 7 at UL 42, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    4.0%−0.4
    30% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:09UL 4th & 5 at GASO 25, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−3.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:59GASO 4th & 15 at UL 22, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−3.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:13UL 4th & 3 at GASO 23, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.9%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−3.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:19GASO 4th & 6 at UL 6, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−1.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:35UL 4th & 1 at UL 15, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−0.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:56GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 35, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:38GASO 4th & 20 at GASO 42, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:52UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:43GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:28UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:45UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:25GASO Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2243% → 43%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
56.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 14:26
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
56.7%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
56.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q1 13:35
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+10
56.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds , Eric Garror returns for 10 yds to the LaLaf 40 Eric Garror fumbled, recovered by LaLafSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:3857% → 59%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
56.8%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 13:07
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
57.0%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+5
56.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 11:52
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+14
57.0%
Chris Smith run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
57.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 4 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+5
57.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive Offside (Latrell Bullard) to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+28
58.9%
John Stephens Jr. 28 Yd pass from Ben Wooldridge (Kenneth Almendares Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 2:1842% → 41%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
58.4%
Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+4
58.4%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
58.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
58.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Trey Amos) to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
58.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Marcus Sanders Jr.) to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 9:28
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
59.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Evan LesterSimilar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+11
59.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 11 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
58.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+28
59.5%
Anthony Beck II punt for 47 yds , Eric Garror returns for 28 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4INT
14 plays · 59 yds · 6:0160% → 62%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+16
60.0%
Terrence Williams run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
60.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 8 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
60.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Johnny LumpkinSimilar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
60.7%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+1
60.5%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
61.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 6 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-5
61.7%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Lance Legendre) to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+14
61.8%
Chris Smith run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
62.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Pearse Migl for 16 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
62.4%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
62.8%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
62.7%
Ben Wooldridge run for no gain to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q1 2:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
61.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass intercepted Derrick Canteen return for 4 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5TD
8 plays · 96 yds · 3:2339% → 46%
Q1 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+12
61.5%
Jalen White run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
61.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 12 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
61.3%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q1 0:46
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-2
61.3%
Gerald Green run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+7
62.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 1
OWN 37
+6
62.0%
Kyle Vantrease run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
61.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Evan Lester for 25 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
53.8%
OJ Arnold pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 32 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0457% → 65%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
57.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 54 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
59.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 3 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 12:28
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+18
65.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 18 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:2937% → 36%
Q2 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
62.9%
Jalen White run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
62.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
62.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
62.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Evan LesterSimilar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
63.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q2 10:54
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+50
64.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 39 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for 50 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
1 play · 28 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
72.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 28 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:1631% → 28%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jalen White for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
69.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Khaleb Hood) to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+6
70.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jalen White for 6 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+9
71.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to OJ Arnold for 9 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 8:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+2
71.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 43 yds , Eric Garror returns for 2 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:4173% → 81%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
72.6%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+8
72.4%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
73.5%
Ben Wooldridge run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
74.2%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+5
74.3%
Terrence Williams run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
74.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to John Stephens Jr.Similar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+6
73.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Chris Smith for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
75.2%
Lance Legendre pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
75.2%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
75.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
80.9%
Kenneth Almendares 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11FUMBLE
13 plays · 50 yds · 2:4520% → 20%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
79.6%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+7
79.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
79.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 7 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
79.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 14 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
78.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jalen WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+33
79.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 33 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
76.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Marcus Sanders Jr.Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+5
76.9%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 5
OPP 11
-5
78.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Logan Langemeier) to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+12
79.7%
Kyle Vantrease sacked by Andre Jones for a loss of 22 yards to the 50 yard line Kyle Vantrease fumbled, forced by Andre Jones, recovered by LaLaf Mason Narcisse , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line , return for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12END OF HALF
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:2986% → 94%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
50
0
85.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Chris SmithSimilar
Q2 0:24
2ND & 10
50
+6
84.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 6 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+20
83.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 20 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
85.3%
Ben Wooldridge run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
85.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-3
85.6%
Ben Wooldridge sacked by Justin Ellis for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+34
93.6%
Kenneth Almendares 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 4:4492% → 94%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
91.8%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
91.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q3 14:20
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+7
91.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 7 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+26
92.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 26 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
92.9%
Chris Smith run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
93.3%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+8
93.4%
Terrence Williams run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
93.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q3 11:18
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+1
93.0%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
93.9%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
94.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Pearse MiglSimilar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
94.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Chris SmithSimilar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
93.7%
Kenneth Almendares 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:366% → 6%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.6%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
93.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
93.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
94.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaLaf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3894% → 94%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
94.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+1
94.6%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 4
OWN 37
+14
94.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 45 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 14 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16TD
10 plays · 68 yds · 3:035% → 14%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
94.8%
OJ Arnold run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
94.9%
OJ Arnold run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q3 6:41
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
95.1%
OJ Arnold run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 4
50
+5
95.3%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Zi'Yon Hill-Green) to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
95.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to OJ ArnoldSimilar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+9
95.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Gerald Green for 9 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 1
OPP 36
-6
95.3%
Khaleb Hood run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q3 5:07
4TH & 7
OPP 42
+17
95.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 17 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to OJ ArnoldSimilar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17FG
12 plays · 45 yds · 4:5991% → 97%
Q3 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
91.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Michael JeffersonSimilar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
91.3%
Ben Wooldridge run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
92.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dre'lyn Washington for 5 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q3 2:51
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+10
92.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
92.6%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
92.8%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+7
93.1%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
93.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Pearse MiglSimilar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+2
93.5%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 8
OPP 28
+3
93.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 3 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q4 14:09
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
96.8%
Kenneth Almendares 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 1:535% → 7%
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+50
94.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Joshua Thompson for 50 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
94.5%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 4
OPP 26
0
93.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jjay McafeeSimilar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+9
95.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 9 yds to the LaLaf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
94.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Illegal Procedure (Logan Langemeier) to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q4 12:17
1ST & 15
OPP 22
0
95.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Evan LesterSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 15
OPP 22
0
95.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Marcus Sanders Jr.Similar
Q4 12:04
3RD & 15
OPP 22
0
95.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jjay McafeeSimilar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 15
OPP 22
+39
92.6%
Alex Raynor 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19FG
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:3995% → 98%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
95.3%
Terrence Williams run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
95.3%
Terrence Williams run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+5
95.5%
Ben Wooldridge run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q4 10:19
3RD & 3
OPP 23
0
95.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete to Terrence WilliamsSimilar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
97.7%
Kenneth Almendares 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20DOWNS
16 plays · 69 yds · 5:494% → 2%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Darius Lewis for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
96.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 7 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
96.4%
OJ Arnold run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
96.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 8 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+4
96.4%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
50
+6
96.4%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
96.3%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
96.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 5 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
96.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 7 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
96.3%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 6:06
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+17
97.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 17 yds to the LaLaf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Marcus Sanders Jr.Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.2%
Jalen White run for no gain to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.5%
Jalen White run for no gain to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
97.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3798% → 99%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
98.4%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+6
98.9%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+4
99.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 4 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q4 2:35
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
99.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 53 yds, downed at the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 10 yds · 1:492% → 2%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Marcus Sanders Jr.Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+3
98.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
98.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:56
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+17
98.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 17 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
98.1%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive Holding (Logan Langemeier) to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+1
98.4%
Connor Cigelske pass complete to Gerald Green for 1 yd to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 0:48
2ND & 19
OWN 43
-1
98.4%
Connor Cigelske sacked by Zi'Yon Hill-Green and Andre Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q4 0:43
3RD & 20
OWN 42
0
98.3%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 20
OWN 42
0
98.3%
Connor Cigelske pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:25
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 25 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)
-9.2
FG · Q2 0:00
Kenneth Almendares 34 yd FG GOOD
+8.5
TD · Q2 10:45
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 28 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+8.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com