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TROY

Troy 23 at Louisiana 17

UL
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:29 · Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, downed at the Troy 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorTime remaining
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Home team on offense+7.4Pregame prior−1.5Score differential+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0Garbage-time factor+3.1Time remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:39: Ben Wooldridge run for 11 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +12.4 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:36: Ben Wooldridge run for 10 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +19.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:01: Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deyunkrea Lewis for 35 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK) — TROY win probability +18.1 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 2:41: Brooks Buce 37 yd FG GOOD — TROY win probability +12.0 pts (now 48%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:05: Kimani Vidal run for 22 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce PAT BLOCKED) — TROY win probability +34.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TROY made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:52TROY 4th & 18 at TROY 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:16UL 4th & 6 at UL 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:30TROY 4th & 6 at TROY 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:50UL 4th & 12 at TROY 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−1.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:07UL 4th & 4 at TROY 7, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.4%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    44.9%−2.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:17TROY 4th & 1 at TROY 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.1%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:27UL 4th & 5 at TROY 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    85% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−5.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:03TROY 4th & 2 at TROY 33, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:51UL 4th & 3 at TROY 18, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    66.5%−0.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−8.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:36TROY 4th & 2 at UL 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−2.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−3.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:00TROY 4th & 3 at UL 3, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    8.2%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−9.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:58UL 4th & 6 at UL 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:29UL 4th & 10 at UL 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−4.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:42TROY 4th & 7 at TROY 43, down 3
    Close callPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:13UL 4th & 6 at UL 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−3.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:41TROY 4th & 16 at UL 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−15.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.4%
    75% to make
    Punt
    13.3%−21.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:22UL 4th & 5 at UL 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−2.9
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TROY made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q2 5:39UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:36UL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:00TROY Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:01TROY Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.7%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:05TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    87.5%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 2:0860% → 59%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
40.2%
Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
40.2%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 4 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
40.2%
TROY Penalty, Delay Of Game (RaJae' Johnson) to the Troy 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-6
40.2%
Gunnar Watson sacked by Andre Jones and Mason Narcisse for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 17Similar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+6
41.1%
Mike Rivers punt for 44 yds , Eric Garror returns for 6 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3641% → 41%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
41.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
41.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:52
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
41.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
41.1%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:4659% → 58%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+12
41.1%
Kimani Vidal run for 12 yds to the Troy 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
41.1%
Kimani Vidal run for 8 yds to the Troy 28Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+5
40.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
41.0%
DK Billingsley run for 5 yds to the Troy 38Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
40.8%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 3 yds to the Troy 41Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+1
40.9%
Gunnar Watson run for 1 yd to the Troy 42Similar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-5
41.0%
TROY Penalty, False Start (Clayton Ollendieck) to the Troy 37Similar
Q1 9:30
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+16
42.2%
Mike Rivers punt for 37 yds , Eric Garror returns for 16 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:4043% → 43%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 9
OWN 42
+17
42.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 17 yds to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
42.7%
Terrence Williams run for 6 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+12
42.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Terrence Williams for 12 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
42.9%
Ben Wooldridge run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 12
OPP 25
0
42.8%
Terrence Williams run for no gain to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
42.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+42
42.6%
Kenneth Almendares 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.6%
DK Billingsley run for 5 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
42.3%
DK Billingsley run for 7 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
42.3%
DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the Troy 38Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+9
42.2%
Gunnar Watson run for 9 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
41.8%
Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
50
-10
41.7%
TROY Penalty, Illegal Block (Deshon Stoudemire) to the Troy 46Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+3
42.1%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 3 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
42.1%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:3745% → 46%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
45.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 4 yds to the Troy 45Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+3
45.5%
Zylan Perry run for 3 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q1 2:44
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+9
45.2%
Chris Smith run for 9 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
45.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 8 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+12
45.8%
Chris Smith run for 12 yds to the Troy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
47.1%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the Troy 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
47.1%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the Troy 7Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
46.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+25
46.0%
Kenneth Almendares 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:5056% → 55%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.3%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+13
44.4%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 13 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
43.9%
Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 32Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+5
44.3%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+5
44.2%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Michael Vice for 5 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
44.7%
Mike Rivers punt for 38 yds, downed at the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:3846% → 61%
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
46.3%
Zylan Perry run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
46.8%
Zylan Perry run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
46.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 16 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
48.1%
Terrence Williams run for no gain to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
47.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 6 yds to the Troy 45Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+9
48.0%
Terrence Williams run for 9 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
48.4%
Terrence Williams run for 7 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
48.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
48.1%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
48.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
48.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 5 yds to the Troy 20Similar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+9
48.1%
Chris Smith run for 9 yds to the Troy 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
60.6%
Ben Wooldridge run for 11 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:4543% → 43%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.2%
DK Billingsley run for 4 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
57.1%
Gunnar Watson pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:2761% → 67%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
60.9%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the Troy 43Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+1
61.0%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 42Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+4
60.2%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
61.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Chris Smith for 2 yds to the Troy 36Similar
Q2 4:54
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+15
60.9%
TROY Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (T.J. Jackson) to the Troy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
61.2%
Ben Wooldridge run for 6 yds to the Troy 12Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 4
OPP 12
-1
64.9%
Terrence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 13Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 5
OPP 13
0
63.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 5
OPP 13
+30
66.7%
Kenneth Almendares 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:2434% → 34%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
65.8%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
65.9%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+8
66.7%
Kimani Vidal run for 8 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q2 1:03
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
66.1%
Mike Rivers punt for 44 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12END OF HALF
11 plays · 39 yds · 1:0365% → 69%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
65.3%
Ben Wooldridge run for 16 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
66.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 7 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
66.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+4
65.1%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
50
+2
68.8%
Ben Wooldridge run for 2 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+15
68.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 15 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
69.3%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass to the right complete for 6 yards to JOHNSON, Neal caught at the TRO27 and advanced to the TRO27 (SLOCUM, Craig), out of bounds. PENALTY Before the snap, LA Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the TRO33 to the TRO38. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 15
OPP 38
0
68.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
68.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
12 plays · 77 yds · 6:1567% → 89%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+28
66.8%
Chris Smith run for 28 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
68.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 9 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+4
68.6%
Zylan Perry run for 4 yds to the Troy 36 Zylan Perry fumbled, recovered by LaLaf AJ Gillie for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
68.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 7 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 3
OPP 29
0
68.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+4
67.7%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
68.8%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the Troy 24Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 9
OPP 24
-3
68.8%
Ben Wooldridge sacked by TJ Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 27Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+9
67.4%
Terrence Williams run for 9 yds to the Troy 18Similar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+6
66.3%
Terrence Williams run for 6 yds to the Troy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
68.7%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the Troy 10Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
88.5%
Ben Wooldridge run for 10 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14TD
21 plays · 75 yds · 8:3616% → 21%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.3%
Kimani Vidal run for 4 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
83.8%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+16
84.3%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 16 yds to the Troy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
83.2%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Devonte Ross for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 5
50
+2
82.7%
DK Billingsley run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+5
83.0%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
82.5%
Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
82.7%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+5
83.0%
Kimani Vidal run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 8:36
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+6
83.0%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deshon Stoudemire for 6 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
81.1%
TROY Penalty, False Start (Daniel King) to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+4
82.1%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+10
81.8%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 10 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+2
82.2%
Gunnar Watson run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
81.1%
DK Billingsley run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+7
81.1%
Tez Johnson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+4
82.2%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Face mask (4 yards) (Nijel McGriff) to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
81.1%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
81.1%
Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
82.2%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
79.2%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Michael Vice for 3 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0282% → 80%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.3%
Ben Wooldridge run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
80.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
79.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 1:5719% → 41%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
80.8%
Tez Johnson run for 11 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
79.5%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+19
80.0%
Kimani Vidal run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
78.3%
Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
77.3%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+35
59.1%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deyunkrea Lewis for 35 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:3267% → 67%
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
67.0%
Terrence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
66.6%
Terrence Williams run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
67.5%
Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 7
OWN 39
-3
66.8%
Terrence Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
66.8%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, downed at the Troy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:4735% → 33%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
64.7%
Kimani Vidal run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 19Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+21
65.5%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 21 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
62.0%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 4 yds to the Troy 44Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
59.9%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 4 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-5
60.2%
Gunnar Watson sacked by Zi'Yon Hill-Green for a loss of 5 yards to the Troy 43Similar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+46
67.1%
Mike Rivers punt for 46 yds , Eric Garror returns for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2970% → 69%
Q4 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
70.0%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+2
69.7%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
67.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
68.6%
Rhys Byrns punt for 60 yds, downed at the Troy 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20FG
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:3233% → 48%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+25
67.4%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 25 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+35
60.6%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to RaJae' Johnson for 35 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
57.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-7
57.9%
Gunnar Watson sacked by Zi'Yon Hill-Green for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 5:13
3RD & 16
OPP 20
0
64.3%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+37
52.3%
Brooks Buce 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1957% → 53%
Q4 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.1%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
57.8%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 2:41
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
55.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
52.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 22TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 1:1751% → 95%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
49.0%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 5 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
46.8%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+9
48.9%
WATSON, Gunnar pass to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Tez thrown to the LA40. PENALTY LA Pass Interference on PEDESCLEAUX, Kam enforced at the spot of the foul for 9 yards to the TRO46 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
44.8%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Kimani Vidal for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+13
43.7%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 13 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
42.8%
Gunnar Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+4
41.7%
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Tez Johnson for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+10
42.0%
Kimani Vidal run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
4.7%
Kimani Vidal run for 22 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -10 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
13.1%
Ben Wooldridge sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:05
Kimani Vidal run for 22 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce PAT BLOCKED)
-34.9
TD · Q3 8:36
Ben Wooldridge run for 10 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+19.8
TD · Q4 12:01
Gunnar Watson pass complete to Deyunkrea Lewis for 35 yds for a TD, (Brooks Buce KICK)
-18.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com