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USA

South Alabama 38 at Georgia Southern 31

GASO
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 5, 2022 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:29 · Anthony Beck II punt for 45 yds, fair catch by James Miller at the SAlab 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Home team on offense+4.2Pregame prior−1.2Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:24: Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 16 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +8.1 pts (now 57%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:45: Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +14.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:00: La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +8.8 pts (now 32%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:46: La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +25.9 pts (now 55%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:50: La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +30.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8USA made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 10:45USA 4th & 15 at USA 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:24USA 4th & 3 at USA 32, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    45.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:17GASO 4th & 5 at USA 5, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    50.3%−4.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:23USA 4th & 21 at USA 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−2.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:48GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−1.0
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:23USA 4th & 7 at GASO 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−6.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:10GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 32, up 7
    Close callPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:05USA 4th & 19 at USA 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−4.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:06GASO 4th & 6 at USA 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.5%−1.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    62.2%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:16GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 34, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%−1.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:15GASO 4th & 17 at GASO 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.8%−4.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:29GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 48, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%−3.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:17GASO 4th & 5 at USA 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.3%−3.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4USA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:31GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:20GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:56USA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:24GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 14:56USA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:45GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:00USA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:46USA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:50USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1INT TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
43.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-43
44.5%
Khadry Jackson 43 Yd Interception Return (Alex Raynor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 3:2457% → 55%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
42.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
42.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
42.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
42.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
42.9%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 8
OWN 40
-7
42.9%
Carter Bradley sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 10:45
4TH & 15
OWN 33
-3
45.4%
Jack Martin punt for 42 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:2545% → 49%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+15
45.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 15 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
45.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jalen White for 6 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
45.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 3 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+54
48.9%
Jalen White run for 54 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2452% → 54%
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
48.2%
Braylon McReynolds run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+21
48.1%
Braylon McReynolds run for 21 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
47.9%
Braylon McReynolds run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+15
47.8%
BRADLEY, Carter pass to the right incomplete intended for VOISIN, Devin thrown to the GS5. PENALTY GS Pass Interference on BRIDE, Tyler enforced 15 yards to the GS31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
47.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 19 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
47.4%
Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
46.4%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 10 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3248% → 57%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
47.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 8 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
48.3%
VANTREASE, Kyle pass to the right incomplete intended for HOOD, Khaleb thrown to the USA50. PENALTY USA Holding on RICHARDSON, Jamar enforced 10 yards from the GS33 to the GS43 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
48.5%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+5
48.5%
Kyle Vantrease run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+6
48.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
48.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+6
48.6%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
48.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
48.8%
Gerald Green run for 18 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
48.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
56.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 16 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:2845% → 51%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.8%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
54.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
54.9%
Carter Bradley run for 4 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+30
54.9%
Todd Justice run for 30 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
53.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 25 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
53.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+4
53.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 1
OPP 4
0
53.7%
PENALTY USA Unsportsmanlike Conduct on WAYNE, Jalen GS Unsportsmanlike Conduct on THOMPSON, NaJee , Offsetting penalties [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+3
56.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.4%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7FG
17 plays · 65 yds · 4:3953% → 57%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
52.5%
Jalen White run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+7
53.6%
Jalen White run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
53.5%
Gerald Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 11
OWN 44
0
53.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+15
52.3%
VANTREASE, Kyle pass to the right incomplete intended for SANDERS JR., Marcus thrown to the USA25. PENALTY USA Pass Interference on RICHARDSON, Jamar enforced 15 yards to the USA41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
53.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+5
53.9%
GREEN, Gerald rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the USA32 (MILLER, James;SHERIFF, Jamie). PENALTY Before the snap, USA Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the USA33 to the USA28 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
53.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Pichon Wimbley) to the SAlab 33Similar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+16
53.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 16 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
53.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+7
53.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 7 yds to the SAlab 10Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+8
53.3%
VANTREASE, Kyle pass up the middle incomplete intended for BURGESS JR., Derwin thrown to the USA1. PENALTY USA Pass Interference on KISER, Trey enforced 8 yards to the USA2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
53.9%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Logan Langemeier) to the SAlab 7Similar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
53.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
53.9%
Kyle Vantrease run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 9Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
53.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 4 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q2 10:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
57.2%
Alex Raynor 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:4843% → 38%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
57.2%
Braylon McReynolds run for 3 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+10
57.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 10 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
56.5%
MCREYNOLDS, Braylon rush to the right for no gain to the USA36 (WILSON, Anthony). PENALTY USA Holding on STRICKLAND, Adrein enforced 10 yards from the USA36 to the USA26 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 20
OWN 26
-6
57.2%
Carter Bradley sacked by LJ McCloud for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 26
OWN 20
+5
57.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 5 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 21
OWN 25
0
58.2%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 21
OWN 25
0
61.6%
Jack Martin punt for 46 yds, downed at the GeoSo 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3560% → 59%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
60.1%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
60.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
59.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
59.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10FG
11 plays · 73 yds · 3:2540% → 41%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
60.4%
Braylon McReynolds run for 8 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+16
59.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for 16 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
59.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
58.9%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+15
59.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 15 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+28
58.3%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 28 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
57.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for no gain to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-5
57.0%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 15
OPP 18
+8
58.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q2 6:48
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
58.1%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:23
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+29
59.0%
Diego Guajardo 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1361% → 61%
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on LESTER, Evan ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
61.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 9 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
62.8%
Jalen White run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q2 2:10
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
61.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds, downed at the SAlab 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12PUNT
7 plays · -9 yds · 1:0538% → 36%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
62.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 8 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 2
OWN 30
-10
60.3%
BRADLEY, Carter pass to the left complete for 30 yards to WELLS, Omni caught at the GS40 and advanced to the GS40 (WILSON, Anthony), out of bounds. PENALTY USA Holding on JACKSON, James enforced 10 yards from the USA30 to the USA20 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
62.6%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 12
OWN 20
-7
63.4%
Carter Bradley sacked by Da'Shawn Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 13Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 19
OWN 13
0
64.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 49 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GeoSo 13 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the GeoSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 13MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:5961% → 63%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
61.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 10 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
62.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 21 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
63.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
63.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+4
63.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Ezrah Archie for 4 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+52
62.9%
Michael Lantz 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
63.1%
Carter Bradley sacked by Da'Shawn Davis for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4463% → 63%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
63.3%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+8
63.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
63.5%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 13:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
62.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 51 yds , returns for no gain to the SAlab 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
69.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17INT
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:1733% → 35%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
66.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 14 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
66.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
64.2%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:53
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
65.4%
Carter Bradley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
12 plays · 88 yds · 3:0767% → 85%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
66.6%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, False Start (Pichon Wimbley) to the GeoSo 7Similar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 15
OWN 7
0
66.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 15
OWN 7
0
66.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 15
OWN 7
+16
65.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 16 yds to the GeoSo 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
67.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+9
66.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 9 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
67.2%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+30
67.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 30 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
69.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 11 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
70.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+18
70.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 18 yds to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
84.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:4519% → 32%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 1 yd to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
81.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Omni Wells for 9 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
80.0%
Carter Bradley run for 6 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
79.0%
Omni Wells run for 2 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+8
79.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
78.4%
Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 14 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
77.0%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+2
77.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+13
78.4%
Omni Wells run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
76.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Delay Of Game (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 5
OPP 15
+3
76.7%
Omni Wells run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+4
76.7%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
76.7%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
67.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:3777% → 79%
Q3 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
76.6%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-7
76.0%
Kyle Vantrease sacked by CJ Rias for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q3 2:52
3RD & 17
OWN 20
0
75.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:15
4TH & 17
OWN 20
0
78.5%
Anthony Beck II punt for 50 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for no gain to the SAlab 20 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (CJ Thompson) to the SAlab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 4:2923% → 55%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
77.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+12
77.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 12 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+27
77.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 27 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
73.6%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
73.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+11
73.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
71.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
71.1%
Carter Bradley run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
71.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q4 11:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
45.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:1158% → 61%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
57.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Rickey Hyatt Jr.) to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
60.6%
Jalen White run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+14
57.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 14 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 1
OWN 49
-1
61.1%
Jalen White run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 2
OWN 48
0
60.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 45 yds, fair catch by James Miller at the SAlab 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 3:3947% → 87%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
53.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 13 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
51.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
47.0%
Marco Lee run for 5 yds to the SAlab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
47.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
45.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+26
43.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 26 yds to the GeoSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
12.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 1:2622% → 24%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
21.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 5 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+19
22.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 19 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
25.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
24.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
22.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 10
OWN 48
+5
21.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offsides (Brock Higdon) to the SAlab 47Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 5
OPP 47
+3
23.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Dalen Cobb for 3 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25END OF GAME
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:1788% → 96%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
12.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
12.4%
La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the SAlab 46Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+17
13.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Omni Wells for 17 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
4.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+10
4.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
3.9%
[SG] Kneel down by USA at GS20 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 12
OPP 20
0
4.1%
[SG] Kneel down by USA at GS22 (team loss of 2).Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 22
0
4.2%
[SG] Kneel down by USA at GS24 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:50
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)
-30.4
TD · Q4 11:46
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)
-25.9
TD · Q3 8:45
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jjay Mcafee for 7 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)
+14.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com