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APP

App State 28 at Coastal Carolina 35

CCU
2022 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2022 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:24 · Clayton Howell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyson Mobley at the CCaro 25
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Home team on offense+4.8Garbage-time factor−0.4Pregame prior−4.3Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:50: Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 38 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +8.2 pts (now 63%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:52: Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 41 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +9.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:53: Grayson McCall pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 8 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +9.1 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:02: Chase Brice pass complete to Tyler Page for 42 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +9.4 pts (now 11%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:01: Chase Brice run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +14.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 13:23APP 4th & 6 at APP 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:59APP 4th & 4 at APP 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:13CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:23APP 4th & 9 at APP 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:20CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%−0.5
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:40CCU 4th & 12 at APP 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:24APP 4th & 9 at APP 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:40CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:24CCU 4th & 6 at APP 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    71.7%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    70.5%−1.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:21APP 4th & 2 at APP 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    30.7%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:06CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:48APP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:40CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:50CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:52APP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:53CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:10CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:02APP Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:01APP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0258% → 58%
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
41.9%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
42.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for no gain to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
42.2%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Nate NoelSimilar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
42.4%
Clayton Howell punt for 37 yds, downed at the CCaro 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:3843% → 44%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
42.5%
Aaron Bedgood run for 15 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
42.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 6 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+45
44.1%
Jared Brown run for 45 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:3656% → 55%
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
44.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 22Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+7
44.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-2
44.6%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
45.3%
Clayton Howell punt for 49 yds, downed at the CCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1746% → 46%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
45.7%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-2
46.0%
CJ Beasley run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 24Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
46.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q1 8:13
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+54
45.9%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 54 yds , Tyler Page returns for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
7 plays · 79 yds · 3:1254% → 57%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
46.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 11 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
46.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 8 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 2
OWN 40
-4
46.4%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 6:20
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+9
47.6%
Chase Brice run for 9 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+46
47.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 46 yds to the CCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
46.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 7 yds to the CCaro 2Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.1%
Daetrich Harrington run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 1:3845% → 52%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
44.8%
Reese White run for 8 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+15
45.7%
Jared Brown run for 15 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+24
46.4%
Jared Brown run for 24 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
51.6%
Bryce Carpenter pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 31 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 2:0750% → 48%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
49.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 22Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
50.4%
Brice, Chase pass complete to Wells, Christian for 32 yards to the COASTALCAR46, PENALTY APP STATE ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the APP STATE17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+2
50.6%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 19Similar
Q1 0:47
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+7
51.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 7 yds to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
52.1%
Clayton Howell punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Tyson Mobley at the CCaro 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 2:1152% → 63%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
52.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 15 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
53.3%
CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+9
53.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 9 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
54.5%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q2 12:50
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+38
62.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 38 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9FUMBLE
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:1540% → 40%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
59.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 7 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
59.6%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+5
60.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 5 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
60.6%
Nate Noel run for 12 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Kennedy Roberts) to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
59.9%
Brice, Chase pass incomplete to Horn, Christan, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Boykin, Lance) 15 yards to the COASTALCAR30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.Similar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
59.3%
Dashaun Davis run for 4 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+23
59.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 23 yds to the CCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
60.5%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 5Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 0
OPP 5
-1
59.9%
Chase Brice run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 6 Chase Brice fumbled, recovered by CCaro Kennedy RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1566% → 65%
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
65.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 9Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+3
65.0%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
65.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q2 7:20
4TH & 4
OWN 12
0
64.7%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 37 yds, downed at the CCaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:0836% → 45%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
64.2%
Daetrich Harrington run for 8 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+41
54.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 41 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12MISSED FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:4059% → 60%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
58.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 21 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
60.9%
Aaron Bedgood run for no gain to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+1
61.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 1 yd to the AppSt 48Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+16
60.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 16 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
62.7%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
63.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q2 3:05
3RD & 8
OPP 30
-4
62.6%
Grayson McCall sacked by Jalen McLeod for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 34Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 12
OPP 34
+52
59.6%
Liam Gray 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:0641% → 38%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
59.3%
Peoples, Camerun rush for 3 yards to the APP STATE37, PENALTY APP STATE holding (Daley, Damion) 10 yards to the APP STATE24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+7
60.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 13
OWN 31
-5
60.8%
Chase Brice sacked by Kennedy Roberts for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 26Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 18
OWN 26
+9
61.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
61.6%
Clayton Howell punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyson Mobley at the CCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:3960% → 60%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
60.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+15
61.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 15 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
62.8%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Tyler RobertsSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
62.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+2
60.8%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
60.3%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the AppSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:3037% → 39%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
62.6%
Nate Noel run for 9 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+22
62.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 22 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
60.9%
Chase Brice run for 6 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
59.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 3 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-8
61.1%
Chase Brice sacked by Adrian Hope for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16DOWNS
16 plays · 59 yds · 8:2163% → 72%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
62.7%
Aaron Bedgood run for no gain to the CCaro 8Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 10
OWN 8
-2
62.9%
Grayson McCall sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 6Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+22
62.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 22 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
64.3%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
64.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+8
63.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 8 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
66.8%
Bryce Carpenter run for 8 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+5
68.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for 5 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
68.8%
Aaron Bedgood run for 1 yd to the AppSt 48Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-1
71.1%
CJ Beasley run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 49Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+12
69.3%
Bryce Carpenter run for 12 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
72.1%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
73.6%
Reese White run for 8 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 2
OPP 29
-4
73.7%
Reese White run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 33Similar
Q3 6:24
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
71.8%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Dre PinckneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4934% → 31%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
66.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 4 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+5
65.9%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-1
66.1%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+1
69.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 4:0176% → 92%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
76.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 3 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+14
76.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 14 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
78.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 8 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+3
79.0%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the AppSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
81.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 3 yds to the AppSt 11Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+3
82.9%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the AppSt 8Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+8
92.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 8 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-54
87.8%
Chase Brice pass intercepted Tavyn Jackson return for 54 yds to the AppSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:5293% → 98%
Q4 14:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
92.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 4Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
92.6%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the AppSt 2Similar
Q4 13:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.1%
Reese White run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 1:482% → 11%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.1%
Chase Brice run for 2 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
98.2%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+10
98.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 10 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
98.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 14 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
98.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 12 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
88.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Tyler Page for 42 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22FUMBLE
12 plays · 43 yds · 5:2294% → 97%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
93.6%
CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the CCaro 21Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+3
93.9%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
94.6%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
94.8%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
95.1%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+13
95.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 13 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
96.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
96.4%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 4
50
+5
96.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordon Earle) to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
97.0%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42 CJ Beasley fumbled, recovered by AppSt Nick HamptonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 1:487% → 21%
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
92.6%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
92.8%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
Q4 4:25
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+18
94.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 18 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
93.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 4 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
93.4%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
Q4 3:56
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+15
94.0%
Brice, Chase pass incomplete to Stroman, Dalton, PENALTY COASTALCAR pass interference (Killen, JT) 15 yards to the COASTALCAR21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN APP STATE.Similar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
93.2%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
93.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 2 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+14
94.0%
Chase Brice run for 14 yds to the CCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
93.5%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Henry PearsonSimilar
Q4 3:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
78.8%
Chase Brice run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24END OF GAME
12 plays · 54 yds · 2:5693% → 97%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.2%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 24Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+47
93.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 47 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
95.0%
Reese White run for no gain to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+13
96.0%
Reese White run for 13 yds to the AppSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
96.7%
Reese White run for 6 yds to the AppSt 10Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 4
OPP 10
-8
97.1%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 18Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 12
OPP 18
-3
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:01
Chase Brice run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)
-14.6
TD · Q2 6:52
Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 41 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)
-9.6
TD · Q4 11:02
Chase Brice pass complete to Tyler Page for 42 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)
-9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com