Try the model
CCU

Coastal Carolina 24 at Marshall 13

MRSH
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of GameFG+2.9MRSH 40.2%R.Verhoff 40 yard field goal attemptis good, Center-MSH, Holder-MSH.AWAY 21 - HOME 10 · Q2 4:28
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:28 · R.Verhoff 40 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-MSH, Holder-MSH.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Home team on offense−7.6Score differential−4.0Garbage-time factor−2.2Pregame prior+3.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:33: B.Carpenter rushed to MSH End Zone for 3 yards. B.Carpenter for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CCU win probability +4.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:11: G.McCall pass complete to MSH 37. Catch made by J.Jenkins at MSH 37. Gain of 37 yards. J.Jenkins for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — CCU win probability +10.2 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 7:17: K.Laborn rushed to CC End Zone for 2 yards. K.Laborn for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN. — MRSH win probability +8.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 4:28: R.Verhoff 40 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-MSH, Holder-MSH. — MRSH win probability +2.9 pts (now 40%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for CC. PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. — CCU win probability +18.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 8 of 10CCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:53CCU 4th & 1 at MRSH 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:17MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 17, down 7
    Close callPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:14MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:50MRSH 4th & 16 at CCU 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−0.9
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:34CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 32, up 21
    Close callPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.6%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:28CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:28MRSH 4th & 4 at CCU 23, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%−0.2
    70% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:41CCU 4th & 28 at CCU 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−2.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:34MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−1.0
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:09CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 36, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.9%−3.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:23MRSH 4th & 18 at CCU 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    23.3%−5.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:12MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 49, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:54MRSH 4th & 21 at CCU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−2.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−6.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:00CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 31, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.6%−1.0
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:32CCU 4th & 9 at MRSH 9, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−9.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:06MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 29, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:34CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−1.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:33MRSH 4th & 3 at CCU 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    12.4%−1.9
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−6.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:41CCU 4th & 17 at CCU 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:16CCU 4th & 4 at MRSH 41, up 11
    Close callPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 9:58CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:33CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:11CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:17MRSH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:5243% → 46%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
56.7%
G.McCall pass complete to CC 24. Catch made by J.Brown at CC 24. Gain of 10 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 34. PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Personal Foul / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
56.6%
J.Brown rushed to MSH 33 for 18 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 33.Similar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
56.6%
G.McCall pass complete to MSH 38. Catch made by J.Brown at MSH 38. Gain of 1 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 32.Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
56.6%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for S.Pinckney.Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+8
56.6%
G.McCall pass complete to MSH 32. Catch made by T.Mobley at MSH 32. Gain of 8 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 24.Similar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+2
56.7%
G.McCall pass complete to MSH 24. Catch made by J.Jenkins at MSH 24. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 22.Similar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
56.5%
J.Brown rushed to MSH 22 for 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 22.Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+10
56.5%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH 12 for 10 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 12.Similar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
56.4%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH 11 for 1 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 11.Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+9
56.3%
R.White rushed to MSH 2 for 9 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 2.Similar
Q1 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
54.5%
G.McCall rushed to MSH End Zone for 2 yards. G.McCall for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2955% → 54%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
55.0%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 8 for 0 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 8.Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+7
54.8%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 15 for 7 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 15.Similar
Q1 8:52
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+2
54.3%
C.Fancher scrambles to MSH 17 for 2 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 17.Similar
Q1 8:17
4TH & 1
OWN 17
+41
54.0%
J.McConnell punts 41 yards to CC 42, Center-MSH. T.Mobley returned punt from the CC 42. Tackled by MSH at MSH 49.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:3947% → 52%
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
53.5%
G.McCall pass complete to MSH 49. Catch made by J.Brown at MSH 49. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 43.Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
53.1%
R.White rushed to MSH 37 for 6 yards. Tackled by E.Neal at MSH 37.Similar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
53.0%
J.Brown rushed to MSH 26 for 11 yards. Tackled by S.Gilmore at MSH 26.Similar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
52.6%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH 28 for -2 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 28.Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 12
OPP 28
+20
52.3%
G.McCall pass complete to MSH 28. Catch made by J.Brown at MSH 28. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 8.Similar
Q1 5:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
51.9%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH 3 for 5 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 3.Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
47.8%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH End Zone for 3 yards. B.Carpenter for 3 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:0950% → 48%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.5%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 28 for 3 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 28.Similar
Q1 4:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
49.3%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 28. Catch made by C.Montgomery at MSH 28. Gain of 9 yards. Tackled by J.Madison at MSH 37.Similar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
49.5%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 40 for 3 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 40.Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
48.5%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for C.Montgomery.Similar
Q1 3:19
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
48.1%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for T.Keaton.Similar
Q1 3:14
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+25
47.7%
J.McConnell punts 25 yards to CC 35, Center-MSH. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:5553% → 65%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
47.0%
G.McCall rushed to CC 44 for 9 yards. Tackled by E.Neal at CC 44.Similar
Q1 2:25
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+2
45.8%
G.McCall rushed to CC 46 for 2 yards. Tackled by E.Neal at CC 46.Similar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
45.5%
R.White rushed to MSH 37 for 17 yards. Tackled by A.Sam at MSH 37.Similar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
35.4%
G.McCall pass complete to MSH 37. Catch made by J.Jenkins at MSH 37. Gain of 37 yards. J.Jenkins for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 29 yds · 3:1338% → 35%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
38.3%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 25. Catch made by C.Coombs at MSH 25. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 32.Similar
Q1 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
38.3%
E.Payne rushed to MSH 33 for 1 yards. Tackled by J.Killen at MSH 33.Similar
Q1 0:15
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
37.5%
E.Payne rushed to MSH 37 for 4 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 37.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
37.3%
C.Fancher rushed to MSH 42 for 5 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 42.Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
37.0%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for T.Keaton.Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+3
36.9%
C.Fancher scrambles to MSH 45 for 3 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 45.Similar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+15
37.0%
PENALTY on CC-J.Cash, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-9
36.3%
C.Fancher rushed to CC 49 for -9 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 49.Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 19
OPP 49
+3
35.3%
K.Laborn rushed to CC 46 for 3 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 46.Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 16
OPP 46
0
34.7%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for C.Montgomery.Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 16
OPP 46
+35
34.5%
J.McConnell punts 35 yards to CC 11, Center-MSH. Fair catch by T.Mobley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:0969% → 73%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
30.8%
C.Beasley rushed to CC 9 for -2 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 9.Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+4
30.7%
J.Brown rushed to CC 13 for 4 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 13.Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+5
30.1%
PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Defensive Offside, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+5
29.6%
G.McCall pass complete to CC 18. Catch made by S.Pinckney at CC 18. Gain of 5 yards. Tackled by M.Abraham at CC 23.Similar
Q2 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
28.0%
C.Beasley rushed to CC 30 for 7 yards. Tackled by I.Norman at CC 30.Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+2
27.3%
G.McCall pass complete to CC 30. Catch made by C.Beasley at CC 30. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by E.Jackson at CC 32.Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
27.2%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for CC.Similar
Q2 9:34
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+43
27.2%
E.Crenshaw punts 43 yards to MSH 25, Center-CC. Downed by CC.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0630% → 40%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
30.0%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 25. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 25. Gain of 11 yards. Tackled by M.Stokes at MSH 36.Similar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
30.5%
C.Fancher scrambles to MSH 37 for 1 yards. Tackled by T.Pinkney at MSH 37.Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
29.8%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for E.Horton.Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+61
28.7%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 37. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 37. Gain of 61 yards. C.Gammage FUMBLES, forced by J.Madison. Fumble RECOVERED by MSH-T.Keaton at CC 7. Tackled by D.Strong at CC 2.Similar
Q2 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
31.3%
K.Laborn rushed to CC 2 for 0 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 2.Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
39.9%
K.Laborn rushed to CC End Zone for 2 yards. K.Laborn for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4963% → 62%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
37.2%
G.McCall rushed to CC 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 25.Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
37.0%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for S.Pinckney.Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
37.5%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for J.Brown.Similar
Q2 6:28
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+43
37.7%
E.Crenshaw punts 43 yards to MSH 32, Center-CC. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 1:5337% → 40%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
36.9%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 34 for 2 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 34.Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+17
36.8%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 34. Catch made by T.Keaton at MSH 34. Gain of 17 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 49.Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
38.4%
C.Fancher pass complete to CC 49. Catch made by T.Keaton at CC 49. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 47.Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+18
38.1%
K.Laborn rushed to CC 29 for 18 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 29.Similar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
38.6%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for T.Keaton.Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
38.2%
C.Fancher rushed to CC 23 for 6 yards. Tackled by J.Robinson at CC 23.Similar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 4
OPP 23
0
37.3%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for C.Gammage.Similar
Q2 4:28
4TH & 4
OPP 23
+40
40.2%
R.Verhoff 40 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-MSH, Holder-MSH.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 9 yds · 3:4259% → 63%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
40.6%
C.Beasley rushed to CC 25 for 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 25.Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.8%
PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Defensive Delay of Game, 5 yards, accepted.Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
39.1%
J.Brown rushed to CC 31 for 1 yards. Tackled by M.Abraham at CC 31.Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
39.0%
G.McCall scrambles to CC 39 for 8 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 39.Similar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
37.1%
G.McCall pass complete to CC 39. Catch made by J.Brown at CC 39. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 48.Similar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
36.2%
G.McCall pass complete to MSH 48. Catch made by C.Beasley at MSH 48. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by E.Neal at MSH 44.Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 16
OWN 46
-15
35.5%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall sacked at CC 31 for -15 yards (O.Porter; K.Cumberlander)Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 31
OWN 31
+3
37.1%
G.McCall rushed to CC 34 for 3 yards. Tackled by A.Sam at CC 34.Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 28
OWN 34
+32
37.5%
E.Crenshaw punts 32 yards to MSH 34, Center-CC. Downed by CC.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:2236% → 37%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+13
36.4%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 29. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 29. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by L.Boykin at MSH 42.Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 2
OWN 42
0
38.2%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for C.Gammage.Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+2
37.3%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 42. Catch made by K.Laborn at MSH 42. Gain of 2 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 44.Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
37.3%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for C.Gammage.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:2036% → 35%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+17
36.4%
C.Fancher rushed to MSH 40 for 17 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 40.Similar
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
37.4%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 39 for -1 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 39.Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+3
36.8%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 39. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 39. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 42.Similar
Q3 13:53
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
36.0%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for D.Miller.Similar
Q3 13:34
4TH & 8
OWN 42
+39
34.9%
J.McConnell punts 39 yards to CC 19, Center-MSH. Fair catch by T.Mobley.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1864% → 66%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
35.7%
G.McCall pass complete to CC 19. Catch made by J.Brown at CC 19. Gain of 7 yards. Tackled by I.Norman at CC 26.Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+1
34.8%
R.White rushed to CC 27 for 1 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 27. PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Unnecessary Roughness / Defense, 15 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
33.4%
J.Brown rushed to CC 44 for yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 44. PENALTY on CC-CC, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 20
OWN 32
0
34.8%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for S.Pinckney.Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+3
34.8%
C.Beasley rushed to CC 35 for 3 yards. Tackled by K.Martin at CC 35.Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 17
OWN 35
+1
34.7%
G.McCall scrambles to CC 36 for 1 yards. Tackled by I.Bush at CC 36.Similar
Q3 11:09
4TH & 16
OWN 36
+37
34.5%
E.Crenshaw punts 37 yards to MSH 27, Center-CC. Downed by CC.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15BLOCKED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:2833% → 29%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
32.5%
E.Payne rushed to MSH 31 for 4 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 31.Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+15
32.6%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 31. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 31. Gain of 15 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 46.Similar
Q3 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
33.8%
E.Payne rushed to CC 48 for 6 yards. Tackled by L.Boykin at CC 48.Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+28
34.4%
C.Fancher pass complete to CC 48. Catch made by T.Keaton at CC 48. Gain of 28 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 20.Similar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
35.5%
E.Payne rushed to CC 13 for 7 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 13.Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
35.4%
C.Fancher rushed to CC 13 for 0 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 13.Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 3
OPP 13
0
33.3%
T.Keaton rushed to CC 13 for yards. Tackled by CC at CC 13. PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-10
33.2%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher sacked at CC 28 for -10 yards (J.Parker)Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 18
OPP 28
0
28.8%
R.Verhoff 45 yard field goal attempt is blocked, Center-MSH, Holder-MSH. CC blocked the kick. Out of bounds.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16FG
10 plays · 29 yds · 3:0830% → 29%
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
29.6%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 35. Catch made by E.Horton at MSH 35. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 48.Similar
Q3 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
31.2%
C.Montgomery rushed to MSH 46 for -2 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 46.Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+3
29.8%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 46. Catch made by E.Horton at MSH 46. Gain of 3 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 49.Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
28.5%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for E.Payne.Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 9
OWN 49
+49
26.2%
J.McConnell punts yards to MSH 49, Center-MSH. Downed by MSH. PENALTY on CC-CC, Roughing the Kicker, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+26
30.0%
K.Laborn rushed to CC 10 for 26 yards. Tackled by J.Madison at CC 10.Similar
Q3 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
31.4%
K.Laborn rushed to CC 11 for -1 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 11.Similar
Q3 3:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
30.9%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for E.Horton.Similar
Q3 2:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
28.9%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for MSH. PENALTY on MSH-C.Fancher, Intentional Grounding, 0 yards, accepted.Similar
Q3 2:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 21
+39
28.7%
R.Verhoff 39 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-MSH, Holder-MSH.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4972% → 72%
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
28.0%
G.McCall pass complete to CC 25. Catch made by C.Beasley at CC 25. Gain of 6 yards. Tackled by E.Neal at CC 31.Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
26.9%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for J.Jenkins.Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
27.3%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for J.Brown.Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+50
28.5%
E.Crenshaw punts 50 yards to MSH 19, Center-CC. A.Sam returned punt from the MSH 19. Tackled by CC at MSH 22.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:3829% → 33%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
28.9%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for E.Horton.Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+23
28.9%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 22. Catch made by E.Horton at MSH 22. Gain of 23 yards. Tackled by D.Strong at MSH 45.Similar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
31.8%
K.Laborn rushed to CC 50 for 5 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 50.Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 5
OPP 0
+4
35.0%
C.Fancher pass complete to CC 50. Catch made by C.Montgomery at CC 50. Gain of 4 yards. Tackled by T.Jackson at CC 46.Similar
Q3 0:48
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
32.7%
C.Montgomery rushed to CC 41 for 5 yards. Tackled by R.Wooden at CC 41.Similar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-9
32.8%
K.Laborn rushed to CC 50 for -9 yards. K.Laborn FUMBLES, forced by J.Proche. Fumble RECOVERED by CC-S.Bruce at CC 50. Tackled by MSH at MSH 36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19FG
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:3877% → 81%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
23.1%
G.McCall rushed to MSH 31 for 5 yards. Tackled by E.Alston at MSH 31.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
3.5%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for CC. PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.Similar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
22.0%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH 22 for -1 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 22.Similar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+6
22.0%
C.Beasley rushed to MSH 16 for 6 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 16.Similar
Q4 14:21
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+8
21.7%
G.McCall rushed to MSH 8 for 8 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 8.Similar
Q4 13:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
19.0%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH 7 for 1 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 7.Similar
Q4 12:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
17.5%
K.Duplessis rushed to MSH 9 for -2 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 9.Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
18.0%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for S.Pinckney.Similar
Q4 11:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
18.6%
K.Hensley 27 yard field goal attempt is good, Center-CC, Holder-CC.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0720% → 14%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
19.5%
C.Fancher rushed to MSH 33 for 5 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 33.Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
19.7%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for E.Horton.Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-4
18.4%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher sacked at MSH 29 for -4 yards (J.Madison)Similar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
13.7%
J.McConnell punts 52 yards to CC 19, Center-MSH. T.Mobley returned punt from the CC 19. Tackled by MSH at CC 23.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2685% → 86%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
15.4%
C.Beasley rushed to CC 25 for 2 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 25.Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+73
14.6%
G.McCall pass complete to CC 25. Catch made by J.Brown at CC 25. Gain of 73 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 2. PENALTY on CC-CC, Illegal Touch Pass, 0 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
14.7%
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for CC.Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 8
OWN 25
+49
14.5%
E.Crenshaw punts 49 yards to MSH 26, Center-CC. A.Sam returned punt from the MSH 26. Tackled by CC at MSH 39.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:0116% → 15%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
16.4%
K.Laborn rushed to MSH 39 for 0 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 39.Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+22
15.8%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 39. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 39. Gain of 22 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 39.Similar
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
17.6%
C.Fancher pass complete to CC 39. Catch made by C.Gammage at CC 39. Gain of 13 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 26.Similar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
19.1%
E.Payne rushed to CC 20 for 6 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 20.Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 4
OPP 20
0
18.7%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for E.Horton.Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+1
17.1%
K.Laborn rushed to CC 19 for 1 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 19.Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 3
OPP 19
0
14.5%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for K.Laborn.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 3:2690% → 93%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 5
OWN 24
0
10.5%
B.Carpenter rushed to CC 24 for 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 24.Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+10
10.3%
R.White rushed to CC 34 for 10 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 34.Similar
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
10.0%
R.White rushed to CC 34 for 0 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 34.Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
9.4%
T.Mobley rushed to CC 39 for 5 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 39.Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+3
7.3%
C.Beasley rushed to CC 42 for 3 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 42.Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 2
OWN 42
+15
6.4%
PENALTY on CC-CC, Unsportsmanlike Conduct / Offense, 15 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 2:41
4TH & 17
OWN 27
+38
6.7%
E.Crenshaw punts 38 yards to MSH 35, Center-CC. Fair catch by A.Sam.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:228% → 10%
Q4 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+54
7.5%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 35. Catch made by C.Gammage at MSH 35. Gain of 54 yards. Tackled by CC at CC 11.Similar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
10.7%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher pass incomplete intended for C.Montgomery.Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
10.9%
K.Laborn rushed to CC End Zone for yards. K.Laborn for yards, TOUCHDOWN. PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted. No Play.Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 20
OPP 21
-9
9.7%
C.Fancher steps back to pass. C.Fancher sacked at CC 30 for -9 yards (J.Griffin) C.Fancher FUMBLES, forced by J.Griffin. Fumble RECOVERED by CC-D.Strong at CC 30. Tackled by MSH at CC 38.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 25PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 1:4794% → 95%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
6.0%
B.Carpenter rushed to CC 42 for 4 yards. Tackled by MSH at CC 42.Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+11
4.8%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH 47 for 11 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 47.Similar
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
4.5%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH 48 for -1 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 48.Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+2
4.5%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH 46 for 2 yards. Tackled by MSH at MSH 46.Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+5
4.5%
B.Carpenter rushed to MSH 41 for 5 yards. Tackled by K.Martin at MSH 41.Similar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 4
OPP 41
+25
4.6%
M.West punts 25 yards to MSH 16, Center-CC. Fair catch by A.Sam.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 20 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+20
5.0%
C.Fancher pass complete to MSH 16. Catch made by C.Montgomery at MSH 16. Gain of 20 yards. Tackled by CC at MSH 36.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
G.McCall steps back to pass. G.McCall pass incomplete intended for CC. PENALTY on MSH-MSH, Defensive Holding, 10 yards, accepted.
-18.5
TD · Q1 1:11
G.McCall pass complete to MSH 37. Catch made by J.Jenkins at MSH 37. Gain of 37 yards. J.Jenkins for 37 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
-10.2
TD · Q2 7:17
K.Laborn rushed to CC End Zone for 2 yards. K.Laborn for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
+8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com