Try the model
RMU

Robert Morris 3 at App State 42

APP
2022 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2022 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadRMU aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreRMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:37 · George Souders III punt for 41 yds , Tyler Page returns for 8 yds to the AppSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+45.8Home team on offense+4.4Score differential+1.3Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 6:01: Jayson Jenkins 45 yd FG GOOD — RMU win probability +0.3 pts (now 1%) (top driver: RMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:51: Tyler Page 12 Yd pass from Chase Brice (Michael Hughes Kick) — APP win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:13: Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 19 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:32: Chase Brice pass complete to Miller Gibbs for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:56: Anderson Castle run for 17 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 1 of 6RMU made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 13:51APP 4th & 5 at APP 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:17APP 4th & 13 at RMU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:32RMU 4th & 2 at APP 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:01RMU 4th & 17 at APP 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 9:10RMU 4th & 14 at RMU 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 7:09RMU 4th & 5 at RMU 25, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  7. Q1 4:31APP 4th & 15 at RMU 36, up 4
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q1 2:53RMU 4th & 4 at RMU 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  9. Q1 0:37RMU 4th & 7 at RMU 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  10. Q1 12:32APP 4th & 11 at APP 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:34RMU 4th & 9 at APP 33, down 11
    Close callPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:02RMU 4th & 9 at RMU 26, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:28RMU 4th & 16 at RMU 19, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:18RMU 4th & 12 at RMU 23, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:00APP 4th & 4 at APP 46, up 32
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:29RMU 4th & 3 at RMU 25, down 32
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:22RMU 4th & 8 at APP 44, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:14APP 4th & 7 at RMU 20, up 39
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:54RMU 4th & 4 at RMU 26, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:51APP Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:13APP Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:32APP Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:56APP Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:57APP Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 5 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Camerun PeoplesSimilar
Q1 13:51
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Clayton Howell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Garret Fairman at the RbtMr 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 2INT
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:391% → 1%
Q1 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
99.5%
Alijah Jackson run for 7 yds to the RbtMr 21Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 3
OWN 21
0
99.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:55100% → 99%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 32Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+1
99.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 31Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+1
99.5%
Chase Brice run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 32 Chase Brice fumbled, recovered by AppSt Chase BriceSimilar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 8
OPP 32
-5
99.5%
PENALTY APP False Start (Williams,Bucky) 5 yards from RMU32 to RMU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:17
4TH & 13
OPP 37
0
99.4%
Clayton Howell punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 6:311% → 1%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Victor Pena for no gain to the RbtMr 20Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Jamal HillSimilar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+37
99.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Demonte Martin for 37 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
99.5%
Alijah Jackson run for 7 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+2
99.5%
Alijah Jackson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+1
99.5%
Kimon O'Sullivan run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35Similar
Q1 12:32
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+3
99.5%
Tayshaun Mayfield run for 3 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Jamal HillSimilar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
99.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Alijah JacksonSimilar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+11
99.5%
Anthony Chiccitt run for 11 yds to the AppSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.5%
Alijah Jackson run for no gain to the AppSt 21Similar
Q1 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
99.5%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Demonte MartinSimilar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-7
99.5%
Anthony Chiccitt sacked by Logan Doublin for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 6:01
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+45
99.2%
Jayson Jenkins 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:071% → 1%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.4%
Anthony Chiccitt sacked by KeSean Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the RbtMr 19Similar
Q1 11:17
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
99.4%
Tayshaun Mayfield run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 20Similar
Q1 11:17
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.4%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Alijah Jackson for 4 yds to the RbtMr 16Similar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
99.4%
George Souders III punt for 33 yds , Tyler Page returns for no gain to the AppSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 0:5599% → 99%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
99.4%
Nate Noel run for 21 yds to the RbtMr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.4%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the RbtMr 31Similar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.4%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the RbtMr 31Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+31
99.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 31 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:011% → 1%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Jamal Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.3%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Jamal HillSimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.3%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Day Day Jones for 5 yds to the RbtMr 25Similar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+9
99.3%
George Souders III punt for 41 yds , Tyler Page returns for 9 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 21 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
99.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for 15 yds to the RbtMr 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
99.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Miller Gibbs for 11 yds to the RbtMr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the RbtMr 31Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
99.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brice,Chase pass complete deep left to Harrington,Daetrich for 12 yards to the RMU19 (Shegog,Jamar) PENALTY APP Holding (Pearson,Henry) 10 yards from RMU31 to RMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+5
99.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Nate Noel for 5 yds to the RbtMr 36Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+5
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brice,Chase pass incomplete short right to Stroman,Dalton PENALTY RMU Offside 5 yards from RMU36 to RMU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 15
OPP 36
+5
99.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Brice,Chase pass incomplete short right to Stroman,Dalton PENALTY RMU Offside 5 yards from RMU36 to RMU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-5
99.2%
PENALTY APP False Start (Hodges,Cooper) 5 yards from RMU31 to RMU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 15
OPP 36
0
99.1%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 15
OPP 36
0
99.1%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q1 4:31
4TH & 15
OPP 36
0
99.1%
Clayton Howell punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:0199% → 99%
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+40
99.2%
Nate Noel run for 40 yds to the RbtMr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
99.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Tyler Page for 7 yds to the RbtMr 12Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+12
99.3%
Tyler Page 12 Yd pass from Chase Brice (Michael Hughes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:381% → 1%
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
99.3%
Anthony Purge run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 8Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+3
99.3%
Anthony Purge run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 11Similar
Q1 4:31
3RD & 4
OWN 11
0
99.3%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Devon MondySimilar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 4
OWN 11
+10
99.2%
George Souders III punt for 41 yds , Tyler Page returns for 10 yds to the RbtMr 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:3399% → 99%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 6 yds to the RbtMr 36Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
99.1%
Chase Brice pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:431% → 1%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Jamal HillSimilar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
99.1%
Alijah Jackson run for no gain to the RbtMr 29Similar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.1%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Alijah Jackson for 3 yds to the RbtMr 32Similar
Q1 0:37
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+8
99.1%
George Souders III punt for 41 yds , Tyler Page returns for 8 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 12:32100% → 99%
Q1 12:32
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
99.5%
Clayton Howell punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
99.0%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Henry PearsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+13
99.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
99.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 49Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-2
99.0%
Chase Brice sacked by Cosey Scarebrook for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 47Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+2
99.0%
Chase Brice run for 2 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 42 yds · 3:172% → 2%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Jamal HillSimilar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Chiccitt,Anthony sacked for loss of 3 yards to the RMU22 (Bird,Tyler) PENALTY APP Holding (Brown,KeSean) 10 yards from RMU25 to RMU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
98.4%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Tayshaun Mayfield for 16 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
98.2%
Alijah Jackson run for 1 yd to the AppSt 48Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
98.3%
Anthony Chiccitt run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+13
98.3%
Alijah Jackson run for 13 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.2%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Alijah JacksonSimilar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
98.2%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Bryce BevinsSimilar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.3%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Jamal Hill for 1 yd to the AppSt 33Similar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
98.0%
George Souders III punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15TD
12 plays · 98 yds · 1:2198% → 99%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+13
98.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 13 yds to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
98.1%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+16
98.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christian Wells for 16 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
98.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Camerun Peoples for 12 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
98.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 4 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
98.2%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Eli WilsonSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+12
98.0%
Chase Brice run for 12 yds to the RbtMr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+22
98.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 22 yds to the RbtMr 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 19 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:581% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.6%
Alijah Jackson run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Jamal HillSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.6%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
98.6%
George Souders III punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 2:3099% → 100%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Henry Pearson for 4 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+14
98.9%
Nate Noel run for 14 yds to the RbtMr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
99.0%
Nate Noel run for 13 yds to the RbtMr 33 for a 1ST down ROBERT MORRIS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Jamar Shegog) to the RbtMr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+11
98.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 11 yds to the RbtMr 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
98.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 9Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Miller Gibbs for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:041% → 1%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Alijah Jackson run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 26Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-9
99.1%
Anthony Chiccitt sacked by Jalen McLeod for a loss of 9 yards to the RbtMr 17Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+2
99.0%
Alijah Jackson run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 19Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+2
98.9%
George Souders III punt for 39 yds , Tyler Page returns for 2 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 3:32100% → 100%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for no gain to the AppSt 44Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+9
99.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Tyler Page for 9 yds to the RbtMr 47Similar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+7
99.6%
Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the RbtMr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
99.6%
Anderson Castle run for 12 yds to the RbtMr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
99.6%
Anderson Castle run for 7 yds to the RbtMr 21Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+4
99.6%
Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the RbtMr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Anderson Castle run for 17 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Anthony Purge run for 6 yds to the RbtMr 31Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-10
99.6%
ROBERT MORRIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the RbtMr 23Similar
Q3 5:56
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Jamal HillSimilar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.7%
George Souders III punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:18100% → 100%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Anderson Castle run for 3 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Ryan Burger pass complete to Tyler Page for 3 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q3 4:18
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Ryan Burger pass incomplete to Tyler PageSimilar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Clayton Howell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jamal Hill at the RbtMr 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Alijah JacksonSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Alijah Jackson for no gain to the RbtMr 18Similar
Q3 2:34
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+7
99.9%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to Jamal Hill for 7 yds to the RbtMr 25Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
99.9%
George Souders III punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the AppSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Ryan Burger pass complete to Eli Wilson for 2 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+11
99.9%
Ryan Burger run for 11 yds to the RbtMr 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
99.9%
Anderson Castle run for 11 yds to the RbtMr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
99.9%
Ryan Burger pass complete to David Larkins for 17 yds to the RbtMr 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
Anderson Castle run for 4 yds to the RbtMr 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+6
99.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 6 yds to the RbtMr 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
99.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 7 yds to the RbtMr 1Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:350% → 0%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Tayshaun Mayfield run for 6 yds to the RbtMr 31Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Jake Kupchella pass incomplete to Alijah JacksonSimilar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+23
100.0%
Jake Kupchella run for 23 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Jake Kupchella pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
100.0%
Alijah Jackson run for 2 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Anthony Chiccitt pass incomplete to Bryce BevinsSimilar
Q4 9:22
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
100.0%
George Souders III punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the AppSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 25DOWNS
13 plays · 66 yds · 6:08100% → 100%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-7
100.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Roberts,Kanye rush left for 8 yards gain to the APP22 (Audiger,Sydney) PENALTY APP Holding (Samuel,Markell) 7 yards from APP14 to APP07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 17
OWN 7
+6
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 6 yds to the AppSt 13Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+23
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 23 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
100.0%
Ryan Burger run for 12 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 9 yds to the RbtMr 43Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+1
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 44Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the RbtMr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+18
100.0%
Ryan Burger pass complete to August Drews for 18 yds to the RbtMr 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 22Similar
Q4 9:22
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+2
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 20Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 7
OPP 20
0
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for no gain to the RbtMr 20Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 7
OPP 20
0
100.0%
Ryan Burger pass incomplete to Coen SuttonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:200% → 0%
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Anthony Chiccitt pass complete to De'Mere White for 5 yds to the RbtMr 25Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Tayshaun Mayfield run for 2 yds to the RbtMr 27Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+1
100.0%
Tayshaun Mayfield run for 1 yd to the RbtMr 26Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
100.0%
ROBERT MORRIS Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ricardo Watson) declinedSimilar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
100.0%
George Souders III punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:54100% → 100%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
100.0%
Bradley Davis run for 2 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
100.0%
Bradley Davis run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:32
Chase Brice pass complete to Miller Gibbs for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 0:13
Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 19 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)
+0.6
FG · Q1 6:01
Jayson Jenkins 45 yd FG GOOD
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com