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MRSH

Marshall 26 at James Madison 12

JMU
2022 · Week 8 · Oct 22, 2022 · Bridgeforth Stadium
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Win probability · JMU
modelJMU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playJMU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:27 · Sam Clark punt for 50 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 16 yds to the Marsh 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 109Pregame prior+8.5Home team on offense+9.8Garbage-time factor+5.3Score differential+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:07: Camden Wise 35 yd FG GOOD — JMU win probability +0.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:24: B. Atkins pass,to Z. Horton for 17 yds for a TD — JMU win probability +3.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: JMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:10: Rece Verhoff 38 Yd Field Goal — JMU win probability +2.1 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:07: Khalan Laborn 18 Yd Run (Rece Verhoff Kick) — JMU win probability +0.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00: [NHSG] Kneel down by FANCHER, Cam at MAR37 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00. — MRSH win probability +5.3 pts (now 8%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JMU made the numbers' call on 12 of 16MRSH made the numbers' call on 8 of 15
  1. Q1 14:05MRSH 4th & 22 at MRSH 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:02JMU 4th & 5 at MRSH 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    74.2%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:19MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:07JMU 4th & 4 at MRSH 18, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.1%−<0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:27MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:33JMU 4th & 4 at JMU 35, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.0%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:30MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 40, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.5%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:07JMU 4th & 8 at MRSH 9, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−3.2
    average punt
  9. Q1 0:00MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 14:16JMU 4th & 7 at MRSH 47, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 12:39MRSH 4th & 15 at MRSH 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 11:05JMU 4th & 1 at JMU 47, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q2 6:03JMU 4th & 14 at JMU 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%
    average punt
  14. Q2 4:30MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 47, down 11
    Close callPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q2 3:02JMU 4th & 5 at JMU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  16. Q2 1:40MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.7%
    average punt
  17. Q2 0:27JMU 4th & 14 at JMU 22, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  18. Q3 13:27JMU 4th & 12 at JMU 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.8
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  19. Q3 10:34MRSH 4th & 12 at JMU 48, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  20. Q3 8:10MRSH 4th & 4 at JMU 21, down 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.8%−0.3
    74% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−5.4
    average punt
  21. Q3 4:33JMU 4th & 4 at MRSH 41, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    85.2%−1.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−0.8
    average punt
  22. Q3 4:33MRSH 4th & 2 at JMU 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.3%−1.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−1.5
    average punt
  23. Q4 14:06JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 3, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−2.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.2%
    average punt
  24. Q4 12:21MRSH 4th & 12 at JMU 38, down 11
    Close callPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  25. Q4 10:38JMU 4th & 12 at JMU 18, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  26. Q4 8:48MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 48, down 11
    Close callPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%−0.5
    average punt
  27. Q4 7:22JMU 4th & 9 at JMU 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  28. Q4 5:29MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 43, down 11
    Close callPunted · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%−0.3
    average punt
  29. Q4 3:05JMU 4th & 10 at JMU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  30. Q4 1:39MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 36, down 11
    Close callPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%−0.5
    average punt
  31. Q4 0:20JMU 4th & 5 at JMU 45, up 11
    Close callWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.3%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:5532% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
67.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, Delay Of Game (Cam Fancher) to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
67.9%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-5
67.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (Ethan Driskell) to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-2
67.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Khalan Laborn for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 22
OWN 13
0
67.9%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
67.9%
Rece Verhoff punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the Marsh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0368% → 68%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
67.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
67.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
67.9%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
67.7%
Sam Clark punt for 38 yds, downed at the Marsh 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:4332% → 33%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
67.7%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 5Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+4
67.7%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 5
OWN 9
+5
67.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 5 yds to the Marsh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
67.7%
Cam Fancher run for 6 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+22
67.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 22 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
67.5%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 43Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
67.5%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+3
67.6%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 9:19
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
67.3%
John McConnell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 4FG
7 plays · 61 yds · 2:1267% → 68%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+12
67.3%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 12 yds to the JMads 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
67.3%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+43
67.3%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 43 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
68.0%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-5
68.0%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 15
OPP 29
+11
67.4%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Terrance Greene Jr. for 11 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 7:07
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+35
67.9%
Camden Wise 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4032% → 32%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
67.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 6 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
67.9%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
68.2%
Rece Verhoff punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5468% → 67%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
67.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 6 yds to the JMads 35Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
67.9%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
67.4%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 4
OWN 35
0
67.0%
Sam Clark punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:0332% → 32%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
67.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 15 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
67.3%
Cam Fancher run for 1 yd to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
67.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
67.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:30
4TH & 9
OWN 40
-23
68.2%
Rece Verhoff run for a loss of 13 yards to the Marsh 27 MARSHALL Penalty, Illegal Bat on VERHOFF, Rece enforced (Rece Verhoff) to the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 8TD
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
71.2%
B. Atkins pass,to Z. Horton for 17 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:3129% → 29%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
71.2%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
71.3%
Cam Fancher pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 10FG
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:4673% → 72%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+38
72.5%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Kris Thornton for 38 yds to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
72.5%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-4
72.5%
Billy Atkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 14
OPP 15
+6
71.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 6 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+25
71.9%
Camden Wise 25 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:0728% → 27%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
71.9%
FANCHER, Cam pass to the right complete for 17 yards to KEATON, Talik caught at the MAR40 and advanced to the MAR42 (SWANN, Jordan), out of bounds. PENALTY MAR Holding on MARSHALL, Stacey enforced 10 yards from the MAR25 to the MAR15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+10
72.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 10 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
72.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Talik Keaton for no gain to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
72.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+5
72.7%
JMU Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
72.9%
John McConnell punt for 20 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4473% → 72%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
73.4%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
73.4%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
72.9%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
72.3%
Sam Clark punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
72.4%
FANCHER, Cam pass to the left incomplete intended for COOMBS, Caleb thrown to the MAR25. PENALTY JMU Offsides on EDWARDS, Jamare enforced 5 yards from the MAR20 to the MAR25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3728% → 26%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 5
OWN 25
-3
72.1%
Cam Fancher sacked by Isaac Ukwu for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 22Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+10
72.5%
Cam Fancher run for 10 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
72.1%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
72.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-5
72.9%
Cam Fancher sacked by Jamare Edwards and James Carpenter for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 12:39
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
74.2%
John McConnell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3475% → 76%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
74.9%
Billy Atkins sacked by Owen Porter for a loss of 6 yards to the JMads 32Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+15
74.2%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 15 yds to the JMads 47Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
76.1%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the JMads 47Similar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
75.7%
Sam Clark punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 1:1125% → 25%
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
75.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 6 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+13
74.8%
FANCHER, Cam pass to the left incomplete intended for GAMMAGE, Corey thrown to the MAR35. PENALTY JMU Pass Interference on SWANN, Jordan enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the MAR35 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
74.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
74.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+61
75.2%
K. Laborn run for 61 yds for a TD, (R. Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 16INT
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:2177% → 78%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
76.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 23 yds to the JMads 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
77.4%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the JMads 49Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+4
77.4%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Kris Thornton for 4 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
77.5%
Billy Atkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:5625% → 23%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
74.9%
Cam Fancher run for 7 yds to the JMads 46Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+15
74.3%
Khalan Laborn run for 15 yds to the JMads 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
74.4%
Cam Fancher pass interceptedSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
77.5%
AGYEI-OBESE, Percy rush to the left for a gain of 11 yards to the JMU41 (SAM, Andre). PENALTY JMU Holding on WYATT, Tyshawn enforced 10 yards from the JMU30 to the JMU20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:3477% → 77%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+2
77.3%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the JMads 22Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 18
OWN 22
0
77.2%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 18
OWN 22
+4
76.7%
Latrele Palmer run for 4 yds to the JMads 26Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 14
OWN 26
+8
76.7%
Sam Clark punt for 43 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 8 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3324% → 22%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
76.3%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+9
77.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 9 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+1
75.9%
Ethan Payne run for 1 yd to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
78.4%
John McConnell punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2878% → 78%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
78.4%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 4 yds to the JMads 24Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
78.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 1 yd to the JMads 25Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
77.9%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
78.2%
Sam Clark punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2221% → 20%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
79.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+6
79.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Devin Miller for 6 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
78.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+1
80.5%
John McConnell punt for 36 yds , Josh Sarratt returns for 1 yd to the JMads 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1381% → 80%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-6
81.1%
Billy Atkins sacked by Owen Porter and Immanuel Bush for a loss of 6 yards to the JMads 20Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 16
OWN 20
+2
81.2%
Latrele Palmer run for 2 yds to the JMads 22Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 14
OWN 22
0
81.0%
Latrele Palmer run for no gain to the JMads 22Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 14
OWN 22
+18
80.4%
Sam Clark punt for 44 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 18 yds to the JMads 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
80.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Jayden Harrison for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3380% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.2%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.1%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the JMads 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
79.5%
Billy Atkins sacked by Anthony Watts for a loss of 5 yards to the JMads 23Similar
Q3 13:27
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+16
79.0%
Sam Clark punt for 50 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 16 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25TD
1 play · 57 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
78.8%
C. Fancher pass,to C. Gammage for 57 yds for a TD, (R. Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 26INT
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:3381% → 81%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 9 yds to the JMads 34Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
81.4%
Billy Atkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:1022% → 19%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
78.1%
QB Keeper FANCHER, Cam rush to the left for a gain of 8 yards to the JMU38 (SARRATT, Josh). PENALTY MAR Holding on MILLER, Devin enforced 10 yards from the JMU46 to the MAR44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 12:44
1ST & 20
OWN 44
0
79.5%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 20
OWN 44
-3
79.7%
Cam Fancher sacked by Isaac Ukwu for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 23
OWN 41
+11
80.3%
Khalan Laborn run for 11 yds to the JMads 48Similar
Q3 10:34
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
81.4%
John McConnell punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 28FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:0682% → 83%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
81.9%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 13 yds to the JMads 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
82.0%
Billy Atkins run for no gain to the JMads 33Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-6
82.7%
Billy Atkins sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the JMads 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 29FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1822% → 19%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
77.6%
run for 5 yds to the JMads 22Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
77.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+1
78.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the JMads 21Similar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
80.9%
Rece Verhoff 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 30DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:3783% → 85%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
83.2%
Billy Atkins run for 11 yds to the JMads 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
83.7%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 5 yds to the JMads 41Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+12
84.3%
Billy Atkins run for 12 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
84.5%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 3 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-1
84.4%
Billy Atkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+4
83.7%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Kris Thornton for 4 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
84.6%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 31FUMBLE
10 plays · 56 yds · 3:4818% → 19%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
82.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
82.6%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+11
83.4%
Cam Fancher run for 11 yds to the JMads 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
81.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the JMads 45Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+5
81.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Talik Keaton for 5 yds to the JMads 40Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
81.1%
run for no gain to the JMads 40Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+3
82.6%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the JMads 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
81.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Ethan Payne for 2 yds to the JMads 35Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+18
80.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 18 yds to the JMads 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
81.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 14 yds Corey Gammage fumbled, recovered by JMads Taurus JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:3987% → 87%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
86.7%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for no gain to the JMads 3Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+4
87.8%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Zach Horton for 4 yds to the JMads 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 7
-4
87.2%
Billy Atkins sacked by Sam Burton for a loss of 4 yards to the JMads 3Similar
Q4 14:06
4TH & 10
OWN 3
+14
86.8%
Sam Clark punt for 47 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 14 yds to the JMads 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 33PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4517% → 13%
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
83.3%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the JMads 36Similar
Q4 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
83.3%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 10
OPP 36
-2
84.1%
Khalan Laborn run for a loss of 2 yards to the JMads 38Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 12
OPP 38
0
87.3%
John McConnell punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 34PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:4389% → 89%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
88.7%
Percy Agyei-Obese run for 2 yds to the JMads 22Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
88.6%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 8
OWN 22
-4
88.0%
Billy Atkins sacked by Owen Porter for a loss of 4 yards to the JMads 18Similar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
89.2%
Sam Clark punt for 40 yds, downed at the Marsh 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 35PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5012% → 10%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
88.2%
Khalan Laborn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+1
89.3%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+7
90.2%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 7 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 8:48
4TH & 4
OWN 48
0
90.1%
John McConnell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 36PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:2691% → 91%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+10
91.4%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Zach Horton for 10 yds to the JMads 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
91.5%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
91.4%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Kris Thornton for 1 yd to the JMads 24Similar
Q4 8:48
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
91.1%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:22
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
91.3%
Sam Clark punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 37PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:5310% → 8%
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
90.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 7:22
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
90.5%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+3
91.2%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
92.5%
John McConnell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Josh Sarratt at the JMads 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 38INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:3394% → 94%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
93.5%
Latrele Palmer run for 4 yds to the JMads 22Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
93.8%
Billy Atkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 39TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:4910% → 10%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
89.8%
Charles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the JMads 18Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+18
90.5%
Khalan Laborn 18 Yd Run (Rece Verhoff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 40PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:0294% → 95%
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.9%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Billy Atkins run for no gain to the JMads 25Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:05
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
94.7%
Sam Clark punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 41PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:266% → 5%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
94.3%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 1:58
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
93.7%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 35Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+1
94.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
94.6%
John McConnell punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JMUDrive 42DOWNS
6 plays · 42 yds · 1:1997% → 97%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
97.2%
Billy Atkins sacked by Immanuel Bush for a loss of 10 yards to the JMads 10Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+15
97.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, Roughing the Passer on BURTON, Sam enforced (Sam Burton) to the JMads 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
97.4%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Kaelon Black for a loss of 1 yard to the JMads 39Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+6
97.3%
Billy Atkins pass complete to Kaelon Black for 6 yds to the JMads 45Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
97.3%
Billy Atkins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
97.4%
Billy Atkins pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 43END OF 4TH QUARTER
1 play · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
92.1%
[NHSG] Kneel down by FANCHER, Cam at MAR37 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-92.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:00
[NHSG] Kneel down by FANCHER, Cam at MAR37 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.
-5.3
TD · Q1 3:24
B. Atkins pass,to Z. Horton for 17 yds for a TD
+3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com