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CCU

Coastal Carolina 28 at UL Monroe 21

ULM
2022 · Week 6 · Oct 8, 2022 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:36 · Chandler Rogers pass incomplete
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Pregame prior−12.3Home team on offense−6.8Garbage-time factor−4.1Score differential−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:10: Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 5 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +6.3 pts (now 30%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 12:25: Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 56 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +5.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:25: Max Balthazar run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +7.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:46: C. Rogers pass,to T. Howell for 42 yds for a TD, (C. Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +9.6 pts (now 27%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:00: CJ Beasley run for 7 yds to the CCaro 20 — CCU win probability +10.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 6:26CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  2. Q2 4:10ULM 4th & 3 at CCU 48, down 7
    Close callPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q3 11:41CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.6
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  4. Q3 4:36ULM 4th & 1 at CCU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    22.9%−4.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−15.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 0:34CCU 4th & 8 at CCU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−2.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  6. Q4 9:48ULM 4th & 9 at CCU 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  7. Q4 4:00ULM 4th & 2 at CCU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−1.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−11.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 0:28CCU 4th & 8 at ULM 37, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    90.6%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:05CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:18ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:08CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:10ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:25CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:25CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:46ULM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5582% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
18.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 11 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+41
18.0%
CJ Beasley run for 51 yds to the ULMONROE 13 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
18.0%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 42Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
18.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+6
18.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 6 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 36
+11
18.0%
Grayson McCall run for 11 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
18.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
18.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for no gain to the LaMon 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+16
18.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 16 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
18.7%
CJ Beasley run for 9 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:4719% → 22%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
19.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 4 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
19.1%
Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
19.1%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tobias Fletcher) to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
19.3%
Alred Luke run for 14 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
19.4%
Malik Jackson run for 27 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
19.4%
JACKSON, Malik rush up the middle for no gain to the CCU1 (DARBOE, Jamar). PENALTY Before the snap, CCU Illegal Substitution enforced half the distance from the goal, 0 yards from the CCU1 to the CCU1. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.0%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1079% → 80%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
21.3%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
21.2%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
21.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 6 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+29
21.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 29 yds to the LaMon 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
20.7%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the LaMon 32Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
22.3%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+31
22.5%
CJ Beasley run for 31 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.9%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:5821% → 30%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
20.9%
Alred Luke run for 15 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
21.4%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Adrian Hope and Allen Henry for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 38Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+6
21.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 6 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+12
21.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 12 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
21.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 2 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+8
21.8%
Andrew Henry run for 8 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
23.6%
Andrew Henry run for 12 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
23.6%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+11
23.6%
Bugs Mortimer run for 11 yds to the CCaro 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
23.6%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the CCaro 5Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
29.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Rasmussen for 5 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:4073% → 79%
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+22
26.9%
Max Balthazar run for 22 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
21.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 56 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6FUMBLE
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:4323% → 26%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
22.5%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+7
22.8%
Malik Jackson run for 7 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
22.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 21 yds to the CCaro 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
24.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 17 yds to the CCaro 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
24.8%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-2
24.8%
Andrew Henry run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+16
24.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 16 yds to the CCaro 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
26.1%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 15 Chandler Rogers fumbled, recovered by CCaro JT KillenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0877% → 76%
Q2 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
23.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q2 8:34
2ND & 1
OWN 24
-4
22.5%
Grayson McCall sacked by Zack Woodard for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 20Similar
Q2 8:34
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+4
23.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 4 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q2 8:34
4TH & 1
OWN 24
-5
23.6%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 19Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
23.8%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyrone Howell at the LaMon 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:1624% → 25%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-7
24.4%
Chandler Rogers sacked by JT Killen for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 17
OWN 38
+7
23.3%
Chandler Rogers run for 7 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+7
23.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Fred Lloyd Jr. for 7 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q2 4:10
4TH & 3
OPP 48
0
24.6%
Devyn McCormick punt for 44 yds, downed at the CCaro 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 96 yds · 3:4576% → 89%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
23.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 8 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+6
23.3%
CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
23.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 10 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
22.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 18 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+25
21.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 10 yds to the ULMONROE 44 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Personal Foul (Lu Tillery) to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
21.1%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
21.1%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:10
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+7
21.5%
UL MONROE Penalty, Personal Foul (7 Yards) to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
19.1%
Grayson McCall run for 9 yds to the LaMon 2Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 1
OPP 2
0
19.1%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
11.2%
Max Balthazar run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:1816% → 16%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
15.9%
Malik Jackson run for 9 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
16.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 4 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
16.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Jevin Frett for 2 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1416% → 27%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+11
16.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 11 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
16.7%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 37Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 37
-10
15.5%
ROGERS, Chandler pass up the middle incomplete intended for FRETT, Jevin thrown to the ULM45. PENALTY ULM Holding on WILKINS, Stacey enforced 10 yards from the ULM37 to the ULM27 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 27
+21
15.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 21 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+10
16.9%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 10 yds to the CCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
26.5%
C. Rogers pass,to T. Howell for 42 yds for a TD, (C. Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5877% → 76%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
22.6%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+7
22.8%
Elijah Hopkins run for 7 yds to the CCaro 21Similar
Q3 12:39
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
23.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
24.0%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 36 yds , Tyrone Howell returns for no gain to the LaMon 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13DOWNS
14 plays · 56 yds · 7:0526% → 27%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
25.5%
Andrew Henry run for 1 yd to the LaMon 44Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+2
25.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 2 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+8
24.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 8 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-3
26.8%
Alred Luke run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCaro 49Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 13
OPP 49
+3
25.1%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+17
24.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Zach Jackson for 17 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
27.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+1
27.9%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+25
26.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 25 yds to the CCaro 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
27.9%
UL MONROE Penalty, Illegal Substitution (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 6Similar
Q3 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
27.9%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the CCaro 6Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
27.9%
Malik Jackson run for 5 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q3 5:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.8%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
Q3 4:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
26.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 4:0277% → 76%
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
22.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 5 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 5
OWN 6
0
23.1%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+13
23.8%
Grayson McCall run for 13 yds to the CCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
22.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 10 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
21.7%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (Will McDonald) to the CCaro 24Similar
Q3 4:36
1ST & 15
OWN 24
+2
22.5%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+5
22.6%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 4:36
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
22.5%
Grayson McCall run for no gain to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 0:34
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
23.7%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyrone Howell at the LaMon 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4124% → 18%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
23.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 9 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
26.2%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-5
24.9%
Malik Jackson run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 29 Malik Jackson fumbled, recovered by CCaro JT KillenSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
18.3%
MCCALL, Grayson scrambles to the right for a gain of 11 yards to the ULM18 (CALLIGAN, Keydrain). PENALTY CCU Holding on BEASLEY, CJ enforced 10 yards from the ULM29 to the ULM39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -22 yds · 1:3881% → 79%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 20
OPP 39
0
19.1%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the LaMon 39Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 20
OPP 39
-15
19.3%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Willie Lampkin) to the CCaro 46Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 35
OWN 46
+3
21.0%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 32
OWN 49
0
21.1%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:15
4TH & 32
OWN 49
0
20.8%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:2724% → 22%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
24.1%
Malik Jackson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 31Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+6
24.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 6 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+13
24.8%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Aaron Diggs) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
50
-4
27.6%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Jahmar Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+5
24.5%
Andrew Henry run for 5 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
25.1%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the CCaro 49Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
22.4%
Devyn McCormick punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
18.0%
Elijah Hopkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 18Similar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-4
18.4%
Tyson Mobley run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 14Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 16
OWN 14
-4
19.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:3430% → 24%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
29.5%
Chandler Rogers run for no gain to the CCaro 31Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
29.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Bugs Mortimer for 2 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+8
27.2%
Andrew Henry run for 8 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
29.5%
Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the CCaro 20Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+4
29.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 4 yds to the CCaro 16Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+3
27.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Andrew Henry for 3 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q4 4:00
4TH & 2
OPP 13
0
24.0%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20PUNT
14 plays · 50 yds · 3:3287% → 95%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
13.1%
CJ Beasley run for 7 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 3
OWN 20
-10
12.7%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Xavier Gravette) to the CCaro 12Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+38
13.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 38 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
10.8%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
4.7%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+7
4.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 7 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
4.7%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
4.5%
Max Balthazar run for 6 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-15
4.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Willie Lampkin) to the LaMon 45Similar
Q4 0:33
3RD & 16
OPP 45
+8
5.0%
CJ Beasley run for 8 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 8
OPP 37
0
5.2%
Mack West punt for 7 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:2010% → 11%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
10.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 5 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 5
OWN 35
0
10.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+7
10.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 7 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
11.3%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+10
10.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 10 yds to the ULMONROE 48 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Alred Luke) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:00
CJ Beasley run for 7 yds to the CCaro 20
-10.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-10.6
TD · Q3 12:46
C. Rogers pass,to T. Howell for 42 yds for a TD, (C. Sutherland KICK)
+9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com