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USA

South Alabama 20 at Louisiana 17

UL
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Kenneth Almendares 41 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior−12.3Home team on offense+2.8Garbage-time factor−0.6Score differential−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:33: Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete — UL win probability +11.7 pts (now 46%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 12:53: Carter Bradley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +12.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:42: Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Pearse Migl for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +43.6 pts (now 62%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:42: Carter Bradley pass incomplete — USA win probability +14.9 pts (now 53%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Diego Guajardo 43 yd FG GOOD — USA win probability +35.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 10USA made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:15USA 4th & 6 at UL 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:15UL 4th & 3 at USA 11, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:53USA 4th & 4 at USA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:44USA 4th & 16 at USA 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:16UL 4th & 9 at USA 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:50USA 4th & 4 at USA 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:51UL 4th & 6 at UL 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:51USA 4th & 2 at USA 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    57.7%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:10USA 4th & 24 at UL 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−2.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:40UL 4th & 11 at UL 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00UL 4th & 7 at USA 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−5.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:35UL 4th & 23 at UL 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−4.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:21UL 4th & 23 at UL 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−4.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:29USA 4th & 5 at UL 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−9.7
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:20USA 4th & 2 at UL 4, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−2.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    50.0%−14.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:39UL 4th & 2 at UL 12, down 3
    Close callPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:53UL 4th & 1 at UL 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    18.0%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:43UL 4th & 20 at USA 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−2.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    12.6%−1.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:59USA 4th & 4 at USA 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 1USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 2:54USA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 12:53USA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:42UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%−6.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1DOWNS
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:4173% → 72%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
27.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 15Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+42
27.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 42 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
27.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jay'juan Townsend for 9 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 1
OPP 34
0
27.1%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
27.1%
Marco Lee run for no gain to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 14:56
4TH & 1
OPP 34
-5
27.1%
LEE, Marco rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the LA32 (MONCRIEF, Kris;RILEY, AJ). PENALTY Before the snap, USA Illegal Shift enforced 5 yards from the LA34 to the LA39. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
28.3%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2FUMBLE
1 play · -12 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
28.6%
Chandler Fields pass intercepted fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Michael JeffersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3MISSED FG
6 plays · 62 yds · 2:5229% → 30%
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+55
28.5%
Chris Smith run for 55 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
28.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (AJ Gillie) to the SAlab 23Similar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+4
28.8%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the SAlab 19Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+2
28.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Chris Smith for 2 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+6
28.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 6 yds to the SAlab 11Similar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+29
30.2%
Kenneth Almendares 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2270% → 67%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
29.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 21Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
29.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 5 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
29.9%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+69
33.2%
Jack Brooks punt for 43 yds , Eric Garror returns for 69 yds for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:0967% → 65%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.8%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
32.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+13
33.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 13 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
32.5%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-6
32.6%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Braylon McReynolds for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 35Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 16
OWN 35
0
33.1%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:44
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
35.2%
Jack Brooks punt for 23 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:2836% → 37%
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
35.5%
Ben Wooldridge run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+17
35.1%
Ben Wooldridge run for 17 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
35.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 45Similar
Q1 5:44
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+3
35.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 3 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 5:44
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
35.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
36.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2663% → 62%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
36.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for 2 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
36.8%
Braylon McReynolds run for 4 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
37.0%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+5
38.4%
Jack Brooks punt for 43 yds , Eric Garror returns for 5 yds to the LaLaf 31 LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the LaLaf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:5938% → 39%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-15
38.0%
run for a loss of 15 yards to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 25
OWN 6
+5
37.8%
Chandler Fields run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 20
OWN 11
+5
37.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offsides (CJ Rias) to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+9
39.0%
Chris Smith run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 6
OWN 25
+43
38.6%
Rhys Byrns punt for 43 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9PUNT
15 plays · 21 yds · 5:4161% → 54%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 11
OWN 31
+7
39.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to DJ Thomas-Jones for 7 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-1
38.1%
La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 37Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+3
39.0%
Carter Bradley run for 3 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 2
OWN 40
+3
39.3%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 3 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
38.6%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+9
38.7%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+3
37.9%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
37.8%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
37.9%
Omni Wells run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+7
38.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 7 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
37.1%
Carter Bradley sacked by Kris Moncrief for a loss of 3 yards to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 13
OPP 37
0
43.1%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Carter Bradley) to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 24
OPP 48
0
45.3%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 24
OPP 48
+6
46.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for 6 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:3046% → 47%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
46.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 13 yds to the LaLaf 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
46.4%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+4
46.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Chris Smith for 4 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q2 9:10
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
45.8%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
4TH & 6
OWN 31
-5
44.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 11
OWN 26
+2
46.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 2 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11TD
12 plays · 68 yds · 4:4653% → 66%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
47.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 9 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
45.8%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+3
46.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
46.2%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Jaden Voisin) to the SAlab 39Similar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 15
OWN 39
+8
47.4%
Carter Bradley run for 8 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
45.6%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+19
46.7%
Braylon McReynolds run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
44.2%
Carter Bradley run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+9
44.3%
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+20
44.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 20 yds to the LaLaf 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
44.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
34.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12INT
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:0144% → 47%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
43.5%
Jacob Kibodi run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
41.7%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass to the left incomplete thrown to the LA29. PENALTY USA Roughing the Passer on KISER, Trey enforced 15 yards from the LA25 to the LA40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+11
44.2%
Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
44.7%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+4
44.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 4 yds to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
47.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13INT
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:2062% → 65%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+22
38.2%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 22 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
35.6%
LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Mason Narcisse) to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
34.6%
Carter Bradley pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:3346% → 45%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
46.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+14
46.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 14 yds to the SAlab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
47.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 3 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
47.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 7
OPP 24
0
46.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
44.7%
Kenneth Almendares 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 3:3443% → 41%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
42.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 7 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+9
43.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 9 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
43.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Chris Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+1
42.7%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 11
OWN 38
-12
41.9%
Ben Wooldridge sacked by Trey Kiser for a loss of 12 yards to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 23
OWN 26
0
41.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 38 ydsSimilar
Q3 11:21
4TH & 23
OWN 26
0
41.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 3:0660% → 66%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
39.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
39.3%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 9
OWN 37
-5
40.5%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jalen Jordan) to the SAlab 32Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+43
42.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 43 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
35.1%
Marco Lee run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
35.0%
Marco Lee run for no gain to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-1
36.4%
Carter Bradley run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+38
33.6%
Diego Guajardo 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17FUMBLE
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:3236% → 34%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
35.7%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+1
35.4%
Ben Wooldridge run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+2
34.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 2 yds Michael Jefferson fumbled, recovered by SAlab Jaden VoisinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 2:3170% → 68%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
29.7%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+1
29.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 5
OPP 21
+9
31.1%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Omni Wells for 9 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
29.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 2
OPP 4
0
29.6%
La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 2
OPP 4
0
31.1%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 2
OPP 4
0
32.5%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:4135% → 34%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
35.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+2
35.1%
Terrence Williams run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 8
OWN 6
+6
33.6%
Ben Wooldridge run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 2
OWN 12
0
33.6%
Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds, downed at the SAlab 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20TD
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:4669% → 83%
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
31.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
31.2%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+12
31.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to La'Damian Webb for 12 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
31.0%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Devin Voisin for 12 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
29.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+5
29.1%
Carter Bradley run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+6
30.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
29.2%
La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
29.7%
BRADLEY, Carter pass to the left incomplete intended for SEFCIK, Lincoln thrown to the LA4. PENALTY LA Holding on ANDERSON, Caleb enforced half the distance from the goal, 5 yards from the LA11 to the LA6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
29.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
29.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
16.7%
Carter Bradley run for 3 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21FG
14 plays · 41 yds · 5:1018% → 21%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.7%
Chris Smith run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
18.0%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
17.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Chris Smith for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
17.4%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
18.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Pearse Migl for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+15
19.4%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass to the right incomplete intended for LEGENDRE, Lance thrown to the LA44. PENALTY USA Roughing the Passer on BROWN, Ke'Shun enforced 15 yards from the LA40 to the USA45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
20.9%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+1
21.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance Legendre for 1 yd to the SAlab 36Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+12
21.1%
Ben Wooldridge run for 12 yds to the SAlab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
22.5%
SMITH, Chris rush to the left for no gain to the USA24 (MILLER, James). PENALTY LA Holding on HUDSON, David enforced 10 yards from the USA24 to the USA34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 20
OPP 34
0
21.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 20
OPP 34
0
21.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 20
OPP 34
0
19.3%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 20
OPP 34
+51
21.1%
Kenneth Almendares 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4482% → 83%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.7%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
18.3%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Lincoln Sefcik for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
17.5%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
17.5%
Jack Brooks punt for 51 yds, downed at the LaLaf 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 23TD
21 plays · 82 yds · 6:1721% → 62%
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
20.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Chris Smith for 7 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 3
OWN 25
0
21.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+4
20.4%
Ben Wooldridge run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 29 Ben Wooldridge fumbled, recovered by LaLaf for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
21.4%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass to the right incomplete intended for ROGERS, JR., Errol thrown to the USA40. PENALTY USA Holding on VOISIN, Jaden enforced 10 yards from the LA29 to the LA39 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
22.7%
SMITH, Chris rush up the middle for a gain of 38 yards to the USA23, End of Play. PENALTY LA Holding on RUBIO, Carlos enforced 10 yards from the LA39 to the LA29 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+5
20.8%
Ben Wooldridge run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 15
OWN 34
+4
20.4%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+18
20.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 18 yds to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
26.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 7 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+2
26.5%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
26.3%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
27.9%
Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+7
28.3%
Ben Wooldridge run for 7 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
25.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Lance Legendre for 20 yds to the SAlab 12Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+1
25.7%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 1 yd to the SAlab 11Similar
Q4 1:11
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+8
23.5%
Terrence Williams run for 8 yds to the SAlab 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
18.7%
Terrence Williams run for 2 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
18.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Pearse Migl for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 0:4253% → 95%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.3%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
47.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) declinedSimilar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+21
49.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 21 yds to the SAlab 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
41.2%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
42.8%
Carter Bradley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+11
44.5%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 11 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+17
40.8%
Carter Bradley pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 17 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+43
4.9%
Diego Guajardo 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:42
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Pearse Migl for 1 yd for a TD, (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+43.6
FG · Q4 0:00
Diego Guajardo 43 yd FG GOOD
-35.9
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:42
Carter Bradley pass incomplete
-14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com