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GWEB

Gardner-Webb 7 at Marshall 28

MRSH
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadGWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreGWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:12 · Austin Hendley punt for 44 yds, downed at the Marsh 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+24.4Home team on offense+14.3Score differential+4.5Garbage-time factor+1.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:03: Ty Anderson 45 Yd Interception Return (Jay Billingsley Kick) — GWEB win probability +1.6 pts (now 6%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:09: Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +3.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:29: Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 38 — MRSH win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:47: Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 11 yds to the GrdWb 31 for a 1ST down — GWEB win probability +1.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:11: Khalan Laborn run for 78 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK) — MRSH win probability +4.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 11 of 11GWEB made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:14MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:10GWEB 4th & 12 at GWEB 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:01MRSH 4th & 14 at MRSH 7, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.5%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:12GWEB 4th & 9 at GWEB 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:28MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:19MRSH 4th & 12 at GWEB 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:25MRSH 4th & 2 at GWEB 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.6%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    91.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:47GWEB 4th & 16 at GWEB 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:04GWEB 4th & 8 at GWEB 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:22GWEB 4th & 10 at GWEB 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:23GWEB 4th & 5 at GWEB 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:10MRSH 4th & 6 at GWEB 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:12GWEB 4th & 17 at GWEB 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:44MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 27, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:10GWEB 4th & 10 at MRSH 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.2%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:11MRSH 4th & 17 at MRSH 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−1.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:47MRSH 4th & 7 at GWEB 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−3.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:23GWEB 4th & 15 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:46GWEB 4th & 16 at MRSH 42, down 21
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:26MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GWEB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:30MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:03GWEB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:48MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:09MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:11MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4696% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
96.3%
Henry Colombi sacked by Brendan Jackson for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+3
96.3%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+4
96.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Corey Gammage for 4 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q1 13:14
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
96.0%
John McConnell punt for 54 yds, downed at the GrdWb 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:044% → 4%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
96.0%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
96.0%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 10
OWN 8
-2
96.0%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Janiero Crankfield for a loss of 2 yards to the GrdWb 6Similar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 12
OWN 6
0
95.8%
Austin Hendley punt for 35 yds, downed at the GrdWb 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:4096% → 96%
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
95.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 35Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+7
95.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
95.9%
Henry Colombi run for a loss of 5 yards to the GrdWb 33Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+9
95.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Corey Gammage for 9 yds to the GrdWb 24Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+7
95.7%
Khalan Laborn run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
95.8%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 14Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-10
95.8%
LABORN, Khalan rush up the middle for a gain of 6 yards to the GW8 (MCRAINEY, William;MCRAE, Salik). PENALTY MAR Holding on HOLLER, Trent enforced 10 yards from the GW14 to the GW24 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 17
OPP 24
+24
95.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to A.J. Turner for 24 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 4FUMBLE
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:354% → 4%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.8%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Donovan Jones for 15 yds to the GrdWb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+49
95.7%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Deland Thomas for 49 yds Deland Thomas fumbled, recovered by Marsh Micah AbrahamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:5496% → 96%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
95.8%
Henry Colombi run for 2 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-11
95.7%
LABORN, Khalan rush up the middle for a gain of 11 yards to the MAR24 (FRENCH, Ty;ARRINGTON, Tyler). PENALTY MAR Holding on PAILLANT, Cedrice enforced half the distance from the goal, 6 yards from the MAR13 to the MAR7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 14
OWN 7
+5
95.7%
Cam Fancher run for 5 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 9
OWN 12
-5
95.7%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 7Similar
Q1 7:01
4TH & 14
OWN 7
0
95.5%
John McConnell punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:495% → 5%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.4%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+1
95.4%
Bailey Fisher run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 46Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 9
OWN 46
0
95.5%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
95.4%
Austin Hendley punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7INT TD
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:0995% → 94%
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
95.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+6
95.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Corey Gammage for 6 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+5
95.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 5 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
95.4%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
95.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Shadeed Ahmed for 7 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+7
95.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Talik Keaton for 7 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
95.5%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-2
95.5%
Khalan Laborn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 12
OWN 47
-45
93.9%
Ty Anderson 45 Yd Interception Return (Jay Billingsley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3594% → 93%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
93.9%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the Marsh 29Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
93.9%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:28
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
93.2%
John McConnell punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 9INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-15
93.0%
Bailey Fisher pass intercepted for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:5594% → 92%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
50
0
93.7%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 10
50
0
93.6%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 10
50
+12
93.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 12 yds to the GrdWb 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-3
93.4%
Henry Colombi run for a loss of 3 yards to the GrdWb 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 48
+12
92.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Corey Gammage for 12 yds to the GrdWb 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 42
0
93.2%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the GrdWb 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 42
-10
93.0%
LABORN, Khalan rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the GW34 (MCRAINEY, William;FRENCH, Ty). PENALTY MAR Holding on DRISKELL, Ethan enforced 10 yards from the GW42 to the MAR48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
92.4%
John McConnell punt for 39 yds, downed at the GrdWb 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 11INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:378% → 8%
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
92.3%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+15
92.3%
FISHER, Bailey pass to the right incomplete intended for FLOYD, Ephraim thrown to the GW32; QB hurried by BUSH, Immanuel. PENALTY MAR Targeting on BUSH, Immanuel enforced 15 yards from the GW1 to the GW16 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
92.1%
Donovan Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the GrdWb 14Similar
Q2 13:19
2ND & 12
OWN 14
0
92.2%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 12
OWN 14
0
92.1%
Bailey Fisher pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:1793% → 91%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
92.6%
Henry Colombi run for 2 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+10
92.7%
Khalan Laborn run for 10 yds to the GrdWb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
92.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Khalan Laborn for 4 yds to the GrdWb 42Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
92.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Devin Miller for 5 yds to the GrdWb 37Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 1
OPP 37
-10
92.7%
TURNER, A.J. rush to the right for a gain of 2 yards to the GW35 (MCRAINEY, William;JACKSON, Charlie). PENALTY MAR Holding on HOLLER, Trent enforced 10 yards from the GW37 to the GW47 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+9
92.4%
Henry Colombi run for 9 yds to the GrdWb 38Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 2
OPP 38
-1
91.8%
Khalan Laborn run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 39Similar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
90.6%
GARDNER-WEBB Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:389% → 9%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 15
OWN 34
-7
91.0%
T.J. Luther run for a loss of 7 yards to the GrdWb 27Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 22
OWN 27
0
91.1%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 22
OWN 27
+6
91.2%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Donovan Jones for 6 yds to the GrdWb 33Similar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 16
OWN 33
+19
90.7%
Austin Hendley punt for 43 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 19 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:5992% → 94%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
91.5%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+3
91.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+33
91.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 33 yds to the GrdWb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
91.9%
COLOMBI, Henry pass to the left complete for 1 yard to LABORN, Khalan caught at the GW20 and advanced to the GW19 (TURNER, Janathian). PENALTY Before the snap, GW Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the GW20 to the GW15. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 5
OPP 15
0
91.9%
A.J. Turner run for no gain to the GrdWb 15Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+5
91.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Jayden Harrison for 5 yds to the GrdWb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
93.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Corey Gammage for 10 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:447% → 7%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
93.0%
BROWN, Jayden rush to the right for a gain of 36 yards to the MAR39 (ALSTON, Elijah). PENALTY GW Holding on THOMPSON, Gabe enforced 10 yards from the GW25 to the GW15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
93.1%
Jayden Brown run for no gain to the GrdWb 15Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 20
OWN 15
-1
93.1%
Jayden Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the GrdWb 14Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+13
93.3%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Jalin Graham for 13 yds to the GrdWb 27Similar
Q2 3:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
92.9%
Austin Hendley punt for 45 yds, downed at the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 3:0492% → 91%
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
92.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 3:04
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+7
92.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 7 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+1
92.6%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
92.7%
Henry Colombi sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 15
OWN 33
0
91.6%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 15
OWN 33
+8
90.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 8 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
91.0%
John McConnell punt for 30 yds, downed at the GrdWb 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:389% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.6%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
90.7%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
91.1%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:22
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Austin Hendley punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 3:1391% → 95%
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
91.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 10 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-6
91.6%
Khalan Laborn run for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 16
OWN 37
+5
91.0%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 5 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q3 14:22
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+27
90.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Charles Montgomery for 27 yds to the GrdWb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
91.9%
Cam Fancher run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 24Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+7
91.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 7 yds to the GrdWb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
91.9%
Cam Fancher run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 14Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+8
91.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 8 yds to the GrdWb 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
91.9%
Khalan Laborn run for 5 yds to the GrdWb 1Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.1%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:405% → 5%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+4
94.6%
Jayden Brown run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 9Similar
Q3 11:03
2ND & 6
OWN 9
0
94.7%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Deland Thomas for no gain to the GrdWb 9Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+1
94.7%
Bailey Fisher run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 10Similar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 5
OWN 10
+2
94.6%
Austin Hendley punt for 36 yds , Talik Keaton returns for 2 yds to the GrdWb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:1395% → 95%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
95.2%
A.J. Turner run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 43Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+9
95.2%
A.J. Turner run for 9 yds to the GrdWb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
95.2%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 30Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
95.2%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 6
OPP 30
0
95.1%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 6
OPP 30
-5
94.7%
Cam Fancher sacked by Ty French for a loss of 5 yards to the GrdWb 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:586% → 6%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.8%
Ephraim Floyd pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:58
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
93.4%
Ephraim Floyd pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:58
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-7
93.9%
Bailey Fisher sacked by Owen Porter for a loss of 7 yards to the GrdWb 28Similar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
94.1%
Austin Hendley punt for 44 yds, downed at the Marsh 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2894% → 94%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
94.2%
Khalan Laborn run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+2
94.1%
Khalan Laborn run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
93.8%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
93.5%
John McConnell punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:347% → 7%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
92.8%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
93.0%
Donovan Jones run for 6 yds to the GrdWb 48Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+6
92.5%
Donovan Jones run for 6 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.1%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
92.4%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
92.6%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
93.3%
Austin Hendley punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5994% → 94%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
94.4%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-2
94.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Khalan Laborn for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 18Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
94.0%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 12
OWN 18
-5
93.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, Illegal Snap on APPIO, Zach enforced (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 13Similar
Q3 3:11
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
93.7%
John McConnell punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cutrell Haywood at the GrdWb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 25INT
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:427% → 6%
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
93.1%
Bailey Fisher run for a loss of 4 yards to the GrdWb 41Similar
Q3 3:11
2ND & 14
OWN 41
0
94.1%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 14
OWN 41
0
94.2%
Bailey Fisher pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26MISSED FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 5:4296% → 96%
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
96.0%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 2:29
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
96.1%
Khalan Laborn run for no gain to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 2:29
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+13
95.9%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Corey Gammage for 13 yds to the GrdWb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
96.2%
Khalan Laborn run for 4 yds to the GrdWb 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+1
96.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the GrdWb 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 44
-5
96.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GrdWb 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+19
96.2%
Cam Fancher run for 19 yds to the GrdWb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
96.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 10 yds to the GrdWb 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
96.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 3 yds to the GrdWb 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
96.4%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Talik Keaton for 4 yds to the GrdWb 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-5
96.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, False Start (Corey Gammage) to the GrdWb 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+1
96.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Talik Keaton for 1 yd to the GrdWb 17Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
96.3%
Rece Verhoff 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 3:246% → 5%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
94.5%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 11 yds to the GrdWb 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
94.0%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Cutrell Haywood for 5 yds to the GrdWb 36Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
93.8%
Jayden Brown run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 38Similar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+17
93.8%
Bailey Fisher pass complete to Jayden Brown for 17 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
93.6%
Jayden Brown run for 1 yd to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
93.5%
Bailey Fisher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:47
3RD & 9
OPP 44
-6
93.7%
Bailey Fisher sacked by Owen Porter for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:23
4TH & 15
50
0
94.7%
Austin Hendley punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28TD
1 play · 78 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
99.4%
Khalan Laborn run for 78 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 3:251% → 1%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.1%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Jonathan Burns for 12 yds to the GrdWb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+27
99.1%
Donovan Jones run for 27 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-9
99.1%
Matthew Caldwell sacked by Jabarrek Hopkins for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 45Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 19
OPP 45
+5
99.1%
Janiero Crankfield run for 5 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 8:11
3RD & 14
OPP 40
-2
99.1%
Matthew Caldwell pass complete to Janiero Crankfield for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 4:46
4TH & 16
OPP 42
0
99.4%
Austin Hendley punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Talik Keaton at the Marsh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
99.6%
A.J. Turner run for 12 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
99.6%
A.J. Turner run for 2 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+4
99.6%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 4 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 4
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Caleb Coombs run for no gain to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 4
OWN 34
0
99.7%
John McConnell punt for 42 yds, downed at the GrdWb 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 31END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 1:261% → 1%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.4%
Jayden Brown run for no gain to the GrdWb 24Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.4%
Janiero Crankfield run for 2 yds to the GrdWb 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:11
Khalan Laborn run for 78 yds for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q3 11:09
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Rece Verhoff KICK)
+3.2
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:29
Khalan Laborn run for 1 yd to the Marsh 38
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com