Try the model
GASO

Georgia Southern 30 at Coastal Carolina 34

CCU
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:46 · Evan Crenshaw punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Pregame prior+6.8Home team on offense−4.3Score differential−1.4Garbage-time factor−2.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 12:09: Jalen White run for 18 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +22.1 pts (now 77%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:10: Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyler Roberts for 36 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +23.7 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 5:55: Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 61 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK) — CCU win probability +30.7 pts (now 69%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 2:05: Alex Raynor 20 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +36.8 pts (now 76%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:38: CJ Beasley run for 24 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CCU win probability +40.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5GASO made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:15GASO 4th & 2 at CCU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    25.2%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:40CCU 4th & 18 at CCU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:21GASO 4th & 6 at CCU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:31CCU 4th & 5 at GASO 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    70.7%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:41GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−1.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:40CCU 4th & 4 at GASO 20, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.8%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:17GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:34CCU 4th & 11 at CCU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−2.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:05GASO 4th & 5 at CCU 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    30.2%−10.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:46CCU 4th & 3 at CCU 13, down 3
    Close callPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.3%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:09GASO 4th & 1 at CCU 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−5.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    35.3%−21.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:56GASO 4th & 4 at CCU 12, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.1%−1.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−20.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:05GASO 4th & 3 at CCU 3, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−3.6
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.5%
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.1%−30.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:16GASO 4th & 17 at GASO 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:58CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:31GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:09GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:51CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:09GASO Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:10CCU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:55CCU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−1.9
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:38CCU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    79.9%−1.8
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    81.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 45 yds · 3:4523% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.6%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
76.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
76.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
76.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 6 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
76.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 3 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+2
76.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 2 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
76.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
76.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
76.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 3 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q1 11:15
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+1
75.6%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:3576% → 75%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
75.8%
Max Balthazar run for 19 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
76.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
76.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Xavier GravetteSimilar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-8
75.8%
Grayson McCall sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the CCaro 41Similar
Q1 9:40
4TH & 18
OWN 41
+10
75.1%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 39 yds , Amare Jones returns for 10 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:1925% → 25%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
75.3%
Jalen White run for 18 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
75.0%
Derwin Burgess Jr. run for 4 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
74.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
75.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
74.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 89 yds · 7:2375% → 78%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
74.9%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCaro 12Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+24
74.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 24 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
75.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 9 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 1
OWN 45
-5
75.5%
PENALTY CCU False Start 5 yards from CCU45 to CCU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+13
75.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 13 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
75.6%
Max Balthazar run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+13
75.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 13 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
75.7%
Jared Brown run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 1
OPP 24
0
75.7%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+12
75.5%
CJ Beasley run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
75.7%
Max Balthazar run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 2
OPP 4
0
75.8%
Max Balthazar run for no gain to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
77.7%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2723% → 31%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q1 0:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
76.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
77.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
76.4%
Gerald Green run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
75.8%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+4
75.9%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
75.8%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 49
0
75.9%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+17
76.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 17 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
69.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 34 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:0072% → 72%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
72.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 10 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
72.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 16 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
73.8%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Tyson MobleySimilar
Q2 12:31
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
73.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyler Roberts for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & 5
OPP 44
0
73.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
72.0%
Mack West punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:5030% → 30%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
70.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+9
70.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 9 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 1
OWN 20
-5
70.9%
PENALTY GS False Start (Jones,Amare) 5 yards from GS 20 to GS 15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+6
71.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 6 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
70.4%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
69.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 13 yds · 2:5674% → 73%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
73.6%
Grayson McCall run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+2
73.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Beasley for 2 yds to the GeoSo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
73.6%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+2
72.9%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 11 Grayson McCall fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Wylan FreeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0432% → 31%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
67.6%
Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 2
OWN 19
-5
67.1%
PENALTY GS False Start (Langemeier,Logan) 5 yards from GS 19 to GS 14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 14
0
67.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 7
OWN 14
0
68.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q2 4:41
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+11
68.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 38 yds , Tyson Mobley returns for 11 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:0172% → 70%
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
72.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 8 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+1
72.8%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+10
71.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCall,Grayson sacked for loss of 1 yard to the GS 35 (Robertson,Seth), fumble by McCall,Grayson recovered by CCU McCall,Grayson at GS 35, End Of Play PENALTY CCU Holding (Wilson,Donnell) 10 yards from GS 34 to GS 44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+18
70.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 18 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
72.8%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 4:41
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+2
72.7%
Jared Brown run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+4
71.9%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 4
OPP 20
+38
69.5%
Kade Hensley 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:2334% → 35%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
65.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass complete short middle to Singleton,Jeremy for 6 yards to the GS 26 (Pinkney,Tre') PENALTY GS Illegal Use Of Hands (Miller,Brian) 10 yards from GS 20 to GS 10. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+24
65.8%
Jalen White run for 24 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-15
64.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Vantrease,Kyle pass incomplete short right to Burgess Jr.,Derwin PENALTY GS Pass Interference (Hood,Khaleb) 15 yards from GS 34 to GS 19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 25
OWN 19
+9
65.8%
Jalen White run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 16
OWN 28
0
66.1%
Jalen White run for no gain to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+13
66.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Darius Lewis for 13 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
64.8%
Anthony Beck II punt for 58 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:1767% → 67%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
67.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+2
67.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 2 yds to the CCaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 2:2669% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
68.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 4 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
69.0%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the CCaro 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
67.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 5 yds to the CCaro 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-10
67.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCall,Grayson rush left for 13 yards gain to the CCU47 (Birdsong,Justin) PENALTY CCU Holding (Wilson,Donnell) 10 yards from CCU34 to CCU24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+50
65.3%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 36 yds , Amare Jones returns for 50 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 1:2540% → 54%
Q3 12:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
60.1%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for no gain to the CCaro 10Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
60.1%
Derwin Burgess Jr. run for 6 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
45.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 4 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1850% → 71%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
50.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 12 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
51.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 8 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
53.7%
CJ Beasley run for no gain to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+3
53.0%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
53.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+5
53.2%
CJ Beasley run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q3 11:09
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+15
53.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 15 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
56.0%
Max Balthazar run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+27
70.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 27 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16FG
14 plays · 51 yds · 5:3938% → 49%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
62.5%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
61.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+11
63.0%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
60.7%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 5 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+8
59.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 8 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
58.7%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
58.7%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+12
59.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 12 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
57.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+1
57.5%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+4
56.6%
Jalen White run for 4 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q3 1:05
4TH & 5
OPP 28
+45
50.6%
Alex Raynor 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1154% → 51%
Q3 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
54.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 5 yds to the CCaro 11Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+2
53.9%
CJ Beasley run for 2 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 13
0
52.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 3
OWN 13
0
51.3%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:3754% → 77%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
50
+23
46.3%
Jalen White run for 23 yds to the CCaro 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
44.6%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+5
44.6%
Jalen White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+2
46.5%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the CCaro 18Similar
Q4 12:09
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+18
22.6%
Jalen White run for 18 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:5926% → 54%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
26.4%
CJ Beasley run for 14 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+21
28.0%
Grayson McCall run for 21 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
30.7%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+36
54.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Tyler Roberts for 36 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20FG
7 plays · 53 yds · 2:1459% → 73%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+37
41.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 37 yds to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
36.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jalen White for 10 yds to the CCaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
36.5%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 5 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+1
36.5%
Jalen White run for 1 yd to the CCaro 12Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
37.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Jeremy SingletonSimilar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
27.4%
Alex Raynor 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:5439% → 69%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
38.8%
Max Balthazar run for 14 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
40.6%
Grayson McCall sacked by Khadry Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 32Similar
Q4 7:49
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+7
38.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Xavier Gravette for 7 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q4 5:55
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+61
69.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 61 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22FG
17 plays · 85 yds · 3:4434% → 76%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
65.6%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+25
65.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Amare Jones for 25 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
61.9%
Jalen White run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
50
+16
58.7%
Jalen White run for 16 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
56.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Derwin Burgess Jr. for 11 yds to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
56.6%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Gerald Green for 3 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 7
OPP 20
-10
56.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun Green,Gerald rush left for 1 yard loss to the CCU21 (Hope,Adrian; Henry,Allen) PENALTY GS Holding (Langemeier,Logan) 10 yards from CCU20 to CCU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:33
2ND & 17
OPP 30
+27
57.2%
Kyle Vantrease pass complete to Jeremy Singleton for 24 yds to the CCaro 6 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (Tobias Fletcher) to the CCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
53.4%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
55.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
57.9%
Jalen White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 3Similar
Q4 2:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
60.4%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Delay Of Game (Jeremy Singleton) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
23.6%
Alex Raynor 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 1:2344% → 95%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
44.2%
Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
45.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Pinckney for 2 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+1
42.9%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the CCaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
45.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to CJ BeasleySimilar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
43.5%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam PinckneySimilar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+15
41.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun McCall,Grayson pass incomplete short right to Pinckney,Sam PENALTY GS Pass Interference (Canteen,Derrick) 15 yards from CCU28 to CCU43, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+33
48.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 33 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
55.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jared BrownSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
95.1%
CJ Beasley run for 24 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:2214% → 8%
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Derwin Burgess Jr.Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
86.7%
Kyle Vantrease sacked by JT Killen for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
91.3%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q4 0:16
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
91.8%
Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-6
96.0%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:38
CJ Beasley run for 24 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+40.1
FG · Q4 2:05
Alex Raynor 20 yd FG GOOD
-36.8
TD · Q4 5:55
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jared Brown for 61 yds for a TD, (Kade Hensley KICK)
+30.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com