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Louisiana 17 at UL Monroe 21

ULM
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 24, 2022 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 1:42 · Devyn McCormick punt for 32 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+24.5+12.30−12.3−24.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 34Pregame prior−17.7Home team on offense−2.8Garbage-time factor−1.1Score differential−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:02: Andrew Henry run for 75 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK) — ULM win probability +2.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 11:07: Chandler Rogers 5 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick) — ULM win probability +24.2 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 6:51: Malik Jackson 2 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick) — ULM win probability +35.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:51: WILLIAMS, Terrence rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the ULL33 (TILLERY, Lucius). PENALTY ULL Holding on HUDSON, David enforced 10 yards from the ULL25 to the ULL15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down). — UL win probability +14.5 pts (now 35%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:36: Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 38 — ULM win probability +15.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 8UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 10
  1. Q1 10:14ULM 4th & 4 at UL 24, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.3%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    29.8%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:17ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:32UL 4th & 4 at ULM 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    70.9%−0.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.1%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:42ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:58ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:35UL 4th & 11 at UL 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:25UL 4th & 1 at ULM 11, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.7%−1.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    66.2%−6.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:30ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 35, down 10
    Close callPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:48UL 4th & 4 at UL 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:00ULM 4th & 3 at UL 46, down 10
    Close callPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    24.5%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:38UL 4th & 4 at UL 8, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−1.3
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:42UL 4th & 5 at UL 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:30UL 4th & 5 at ULM 6, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    79.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−9.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:21ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 15, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%−1.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:46UL 4th & 10 at UL 31, up 10
    Numbers favored punt by 3.2 ptsWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.4%−3.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:11UL 4th & 15 at UL 40, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−6.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:51UL 4th & 4 at UL 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.9%−3.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:02ULM 4th & 6 at UL 48, up 4
    Close callPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 3UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:56UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:02ULM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:11UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:07ULM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.5%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:51ULM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1MISSED FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:4628% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
28.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 11 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
28.2%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the LaMon 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
28.2%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+5
28.2%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left incomplete intended for FRETT, Jevin thrown to the ULM48. PENALTY ULL Offsides on WILLIAMS, Jasper enforced 5 yards from the ULM39 to the ULM44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+2
28.2%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+24
28.2%
Bugs Mortimer run for 24 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
28.2%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+2
28.2%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 2 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-2
28.2%
Chandler Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 10:14
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
30.7%
Calum Sutherland 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:1870% → 72%
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
30.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 8 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+8
30.1%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 8 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
30.1%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+24
30.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Chris Smith for 24 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+27
30.0%
Chris Smith run for 27 yds to the LaMon 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
28.4%
Chandler Fields run for 9 yds for a TD, (Preston Stafford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:4729% → 32%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
29.2%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+75
31.9%
Andrew Henry run for 75 yds for a TD, (Calum Sutherland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:5169% → 71%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
31.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
50
-1
31.0%
Terrence Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+1
31.3%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 10
50
+50
28.7%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 50 yds for a TD, (Preston Stafford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5430% → 29%
Q1 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.5%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
29.4%
Chandler Rogers run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
29.1%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
29.0%
Devyn McCormick punt for 21 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4572% → 71%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
28.4%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+5
28.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Pearse Migl for 5 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+1
28.6%
Ben Wooldridge run for 1 yd to the LaMon 42Similar
Q1 2:32
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
29.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5030% → 29%
Q1 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
29.5%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q1 2:32
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
29.5%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:32
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
29.1%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:42
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
28.9%
Devyn McCormick punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:5372% → 72%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
28.4%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:42
2ND & 6
50
+4
28.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q1 1:42
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+6
28.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 6 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
28.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 10 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
28.1%
Dre'lyn Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 35 Dre'lyn Washington fumbled, recovered by LaMon Zack WoodardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5130% → 30%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
30.0%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 4 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
30.8%
Malik Jackson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+2
30.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Malik Jackson for 2 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q2 12:58
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
30.2%
Devyn McCormick punt for 51 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 43 LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the LaLaf 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 2:2370% → 69%
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
29.7%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-10
29.8%
Chandler Fields sacked by Zack Woodard for a loss of 10 yards to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 18
OWN 2
0
30.4%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Michael Jefferson) to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 19
OWN 1
+8
30.4%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 11
OWN 9
0
31.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5532% → 32%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
31.7%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
31.5%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
31.7%
Chandler Rogers pass intercepted return for no gain to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1572% → 74%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
27.8%
Terrence Williams run for no gain to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+9
27.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 9 yds to the LaMon 11Similar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 1
OPP 11
0
28.1%
Terrence Williams run for no gain to the LaMon 11Similar
Q2 7:25
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+28
26.5%
Preston Stafford 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4826% → 26%
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
26.4%
Chandler Rogers run for 4 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+7
26.6%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 7 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
26.7%
Chandler Rogers run for 6 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
27.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:18
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
26.4%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+7
25.8%
Devyn McCormick punt for 38 yds , Eric Garror returns for 7 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:4274% → 74%
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
26.1%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
26.4%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+5
27.0%
Chandler Fields run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
26.5%
Rhys Byrns punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 2:4826% → 26%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
26.0%
Bugs Mortimer run for 3 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+5
26.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Alred Luke for 5 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+4
25.6%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
26.2%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+24
26.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 24 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
27.7%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 8 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-6
27.6%
Chandler Rogers sacked by Andre Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+5
25.5%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
25.7%
Devyn McCormick punt for 44 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:1975% → 74%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
25.1%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 9
OWN 3
0
25.3%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 9
OWN 3
+5
25.9%
Chris Smith run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 4
OWN 8
0
26.3%
Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17Uncategorized
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:3724% → 26%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
24.1%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Will Derrick for 13 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
25.1%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
24.9%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+11
24.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 11 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
25.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 2:1175% → 76%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
24.8%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+11
25.0%
Ben Wooldridge run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
24.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
24.1%
Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
24.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
24.1%
Rhys Byrns punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Boogie Knight at the LaMon 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19FUMBLE
12 plays · 59 yds · 5:0224% → 26%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
23.8%
Malik Jackson run for 9 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 1
OWN 22
0
24.4%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the LaMon 22Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+2
23.7%
Andrew Henry run for 2 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
24.1%
Andrew Henry run for 7 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+3
24.8%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
24.5%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+5
24.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaMon 42Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+8
25.1%
Andrew Henry run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
50
+5
26.1%
Chandler Rogers run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+7
26.4%
Malik Jackson run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
26.4%
Chandler Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+20
25.8%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 10 yds Boogie Knight fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Bralen Trahan LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Block (Andre Jones) to the LaLaf 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20DOWNS
16 plays · 66 yds · 7:1076% → 80%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
23.6%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+17
24.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 17 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
22.5%
Chandler Fields run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+1
22.5%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+8
22.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 8 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
22.5%
Terrence Williams run for 1 yd to the LaMon 42Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
22.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 3 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+14
22.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 14 yds to the LaMon 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
22.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for no gain to the LaMon 25 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Dontae Fleming) to the LaMon 25Similar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 25
OPP 40
+6
22.6%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 6 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+16
22.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 16 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+7
22.8%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 7 yds to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
22.0%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 5 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q3 7:40
2ND & 5
OPP 6
0
22.0%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:40
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
22.6%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:30
4TH & 5
OPP 6
0
20.4%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3919% → 17%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
19.4%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Dariyan Wiley for 2 yds to the LaMon 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+3
19.4%
Andrew Henry run for 3 yds to the LaMon 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+4
18.5%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Boogie Knight for 4 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 13:21
4TH & 1
OWN 15
0
17.0%
Devyn McCormick punt for 54 yds, downed at the LaLaf 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · -23 yds · 1:3580% → 81%
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
19.9%
Chandler Fields run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
19.9%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:21
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-2
20.6%
Chandler Fields sacked by David Godsey Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 11:46
4TH & 10
OWN 31
-23
19.3%
run for a loss of 23 yards to the LaLaf 8 fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Rhys ByrnsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23TD
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:3923% → 47%
Q4 11:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
22.6%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 5Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
46.8%
Chandler Rogers 5 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 2:5666% → 67%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-13
34.1%
run for a loss of 13 yards to the LaLaf 22 fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Ben WooldridgeSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 23
OWN 22
+6
35.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Chris Smith for 6 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 17
OWN 28
+17
32.9%
Ben Wooldridge run for 17 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
27.4%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 12
OWN 43
-15
29.0%
WOOLDRIDGE, Ben pass to the right incomplete dropped by SMITH, Chris thrown to the ULL45. PENALTY ULL Personal Foul on HUDSON, David enforced 15 yards from the ULL43 to the ULL28 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 27
OWN 28
0
31.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 27
OWN 28
+12
32.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 12 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 8:11
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
32.6%
Rhys Byrns punt for 50 yds, downed at the LaMon 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:2035% → 80%
Q4 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+89
35.3%
Chandler Rogers pass complete to Tyrone Howell for 89 yds to the LaLaf 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
44.2%
ROGERS, Chandler pass to the left incomplete intended for KNIGHT, Boogie thrown to the ULL0. PENALTY Before the snap, ULM Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ULL1 to the ULL6. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
44.1%
Andrew Henry run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.6%
Malik Jackson 2 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26INT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:1535% → 32%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
65.1%
WILLIAMS, Terrence rush to the right for a gain of 8 yards to the ULL33 (TILLERY, Lucius). PENALTY ULL Holding on HUDSON, David enforced 10 yards from the ULL25 to the ULL15 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+16
65.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 16 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+9
62.3%
Terrence Williams run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
61.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 8 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 2
OWN 48
-2
57.9%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
59.7%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+12
63.4%
Chandler Fields run for 12 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
57.7%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
58.3%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
68.2%
Chandler Fields pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 27PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 2:3484% → 94%
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
83.9%
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
85.4%
Andrew Henry run for 6 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 3:36
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
84.9%
Malik Jackson run for 4 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
94.4%
Andrew Henry run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
95.0%
Malik Jackson run for no gain to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
94.9%
Chandler Rogers run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-5
94.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, Delay Of Game (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
94.3%
Devyn McCormick punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Eric Garror at the LaLaf 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 28END OF GAME
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:0210% → 13%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
90.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Chris Smith for 7 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+10
88.9%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Chris Smith for 10 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
88.7%
Chandler Fields run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+7
88.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Chris Smith for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
87.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Chris Smith for 3 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
87.2%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+11
88.0%
Chandler Fields run for 11 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
85.5%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-8
87.4%
Chandler Fields sacked by Caleb Thomas and Fitzroy Gardner for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:51
Malik Jackson 2 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick)
+35.5
TD · Q4 11:07
Chandler Rogers 5 Yd Run (Calum Sutherland Kick)
+24.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:36
Malik Jackson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 38
+15.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com