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UALB

UAlbany 10 at Baylor 69

BAY
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadUALB aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreUALB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:59 · Tyler Pastula punt for 44 yds , Jordan Nabors returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 168Pregame prior+6.9Home team on offense+36.7Score differential+30.9Blowout margin+19.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+14.0Garbage-time factor+9.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:03: Craig Williams 4 Yd Run (Isaiah Hankins Kick) — BAY win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:00: Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 17 yds for a TD, (John Opalko KICK) — UALB win probability +0.7 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UALB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:55: Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 38 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:00: Blake Shapen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK) — BAY win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 6:19: John Opalko 25 yd FG GOOD — UALB win probability +0.7 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UALB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UALB made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:19UALB 4th & 6 at UALB 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:37UALB 4th & 6 at UALB 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:01UALB 4th & 3 at UALB 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:14BAY 4th & 1 at BAY 34, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:06UALB 4th & 14 at UALB 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:21BAY 4th & 13 at BAY 38, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:44UALB 4th & 12 at BAY 45, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:19UALB 4th & 4 at BAY 8, down 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:54BAY 4th & 2 at UALB 9, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:13UALB 4th & 4 at UALB 31, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:09UALB 4th & 6 at UALB 8, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:31UALB 4th & 11 at UALB 24, down 53
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:59UALB 4th & 3 at UALB 32, down 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:55BAY 4th & 7 at BAY 22, up 59
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UALB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:59BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:03BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:00UALB Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:55BAY Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00BAY Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:48BAY Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:54BAY Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:33BAY Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 9:10BAY Touchdown, up 52 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:46BAY Touchdown, up 59 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UALBDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:361% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the Alban 28Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.9%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Thomas GreaneySimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
98.9%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 6 yds to the Alban 34Similar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
98.8%
ALBANY Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Alban 29Similar
Q1 13:19
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.8%
Tyler Pastula punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Gavin Holmes at the Bayl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:1399% → 99%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
98.8%
Taye McWilliams run for 8 yds to the Bayl 32Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 2
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Ben SimsSimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+4
98.7%
Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
98.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Seth Jones for 10 yds to the Bayl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
98.7%
Qualan Jones run for 7 yds to the Alban 47Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+47
98.7%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 47 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q1 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.7%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 7 yds to the Alban 32Similar
Q1 10:23
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-5
98.6%
ALBANY Penalty, False Start (Kevin Singer) to the Alban 27Similar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
98.6%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Quinn ZinobileSimilar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+2
98.6%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Jackson Parker for 2 yds Jackson Parker fumbled, forced by Al Walcott, recovered by Bayl Bryson JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4TD
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
98.6%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 7 yds to the Alban 22 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Roughing Passer (11 Yards) to the Alban 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
98.6%
Taye McWilliams run for 3 yds to the Alban 8Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+4
98.6%
Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the Alban 4Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
98.7%
Craig Williams 4 Yd Run (Isaiah Hankins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:161% → 1%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
98.6%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
98.6%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Brevin Easton for 3 yds to the Alban 21Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+7
98.6%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 7 yds to the Alban 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
98.6%
Jose Lopez-Quinones run for 4 yds to the Alban 32Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Brevin EastonSimilar
Q1 5:56
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
98.5%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Thomas GreaneySimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+72
98.8%
Tyler Pastula punt for 40 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 72 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:291% → 1%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.8%
Todd Sibley run for 1 yd to the Alban 26Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
98.8%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 6 yds to the Alban 32Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Quinn ZinobileSimilar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+20
98.8%
Tyler Pastula punt for 53 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 20 yds to the BAYLOR 35 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Bayl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7DOWNS
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3399% → 99%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.8%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Taye McWilliams for 5 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
98.8%
Craig Williams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.8%
Taye McWilliams run for no gain to the Bayl 34Similar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-4
98.8%
Taye McWilliams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 8TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 2:091% → 2%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
98.8%
Todd Sibley run for 1 yd to the Bayl 29Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+5
98.8%
Todd Sibley run for 5 yds to the Bayl 24Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+7
98.8%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 7 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
98.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 17 yds for a TD, (John Opalko KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 3:0098% → 99%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.3%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Armani Winfield for 10 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
98.3%
Monaray Baldwin run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 31Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+9
98.2%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Taye McWilliams for 9 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+16
98.2%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 16 yds to the Alban 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
98.3%
Taye McWilliams run for 6 yds to the Alban 38Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+38
98.9%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 38 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:491% → 1%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
98.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, Delay of Game (5 Yards) to the Alban 18Similar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 5
OWN 18
+2
98.8%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 2 yds to the Alban 20Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+17
98.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 17 yds to the Alban 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
98.8%
Reese Poffenbarger sacked by Jaxon Player and Gabe Hall for a loss of 3 yards to the Alban 34Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 13
OWN 34
-1
98.9%
Todd Sibley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alban 33Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
98.9%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
98.9%
Tyler Pastula punt for 48 yds, downed at the Bayl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:4099% → 99%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
99.0%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 7 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+15
99.0%
Jones, Qualan rush for loss of 1 yard to the BAYLOR25, PENALTY ALBANY unnecessary roughness (Mistler, AJ) 15 yards to the BAYLOR41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.Similar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
99.0%
Blake Shapen sacked by AJ Simon for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 38Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 13
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Devyn BobbySimilar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
99.0%
Blake Shapen pass incomplete to Seth JonesSimilar
Q2 7:21
4TH & 13
OWN 38
0
98.9%
Issac Power punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Brevin Easton at the Alban 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 12PUNT
15 plays · 50 yds · 4:291% → 1%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
98.8%
Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the Alban 8Similar
Q2 6:35
2ND & 7
OWN 8
+20
98.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 20 yds to the Alban 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.7%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Roy AlexanderSimilar
Q2 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
98.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 9 yds to the Alban 37Similar
Q2 5:21
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
98.7%
Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the Alban 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.7%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Quinn ZinobileSimilar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
98.7%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Roy AlexanderSimilar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+17
98.7%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Quinn Zinobile for 17 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
98.7%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Lasalle Rose Jr. for 2 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 8
OPP 41
-7
98.7%
Reese Poffenbarger sacked by Alfonzo Allen for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 48Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 15
OPP 48
-5
99.1%
ALBANY Penalty, False Start (Kobe Thomas) to the Alban 47Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 20
OWN 47
+8
99.2%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 8 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q2 2:44
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
99.1%
Tyler Pastula punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13END OF HALF
14 plays · 80 yds · 2:3899% → 100%
Q2 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.1%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 6 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+8
99.1%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 8 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.1%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Taye McWilliams for 2 yds to the Bayl 36Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-3
99.1%
Blake Shapen sacked by AJ Simon for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 33Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 11
OWN 33
+14
99.1%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 14 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.2%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Ben Sims for 5 yds to the Alban 48Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+15
99.2%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Monaray Baldwin for 15 yds to the Alban 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
99.2%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Taye McWilliams for 4 yds to the Alban 29Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+11
99.1%
Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 11 yds to the Alban 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+16
99.1%
Blake Shapen run for 16 yds to the Alban 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 0
OPP 2
+1
99.1%
Shapen, Blake pass incomplete to Presley, Hal, PENALTY ALBANY pass interference (Brown, Semaj) 1 yards to the ALBANY1, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Blake Shapen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.7%
Qualan Jones run for 9 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
99.7%
Qualan Jones run for 3 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.7%
Qualan Jones run for 6 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+7
99.7%
Richard Reese run for 7 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
99.7%
Craig Williams run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 5
50
+50
99.8%
Monaray Baldwin run for 50 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 15FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 5:230% → 1%
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Todd Sibley run for 3 yds to the Alban 28Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 7 yds to the Alban 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
99.8%
Poffenbarger, Reese pass complete to Easton, Brevin for 3 yards to the ALBANY38, PENALTY ALBANY illegal shift 5 yards to the ALBANY30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+5
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 5 yds to the Alban 35Similar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 7 yds to the Alban 42Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
99.8%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (Cole Maxwell) to the Alban 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Roy Alexander for 6 yds to the Bayl 47Similar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 4
OPP 47
0
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Ian RenningerSimilar
Q3 7:59
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+33
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Thomas Greaney for 33 yds to the Bayl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Todd Sibley run for no gain to the Bayl 14Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
99.8%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Julian HicksSimilar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+6
99.9%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 6 yds to the Bayl 8Similar
Q3 6:19
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+25
99.2%
John Opalko 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:11100% → 100%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.8%
Taye McWilliams run for 6 yds to the Alban 48Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+4
99.8%
Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the Alban 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.8%
Taye McWilliams run for 9 yds to the Alban 35Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 1
OPP 35
0
99.8%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Seth JonesSimilar
Q3 4:28
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
99.8%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Ben Sims for 3 yds to the Alban 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
99.9%
Drones, Kyron pass incomplete to Cameron, Josh, PENALTY ALBANY pass interference (Lewis, Christian) 15 yards to the ALBANY17, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.Similar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
99.9%
Taye McWilliams run for 1 yd to the Alban 16Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+4
99.9%
Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the Alban 12Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+3
99.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Qualan Jones for 3 yds to the Alban 9Similar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Kyron Drones run for 9 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger run for 1 yd to the Alban 26Similar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
100.0%
ALBANY Penalty, False Start (Kevin Singer) to the Alban 21Similar
Q3 0:57
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Jackson Parker for 10 yds to the Alban 31Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Reese Poffenbarger pass incomplete to Jose Lopez-QuinonesSimilar
Q3 0:13
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
Tyler Pastula punt for 34 yds , Gavin Holmes returns for 4 yds to the Bayl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:29100% → 100%
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-6
99.9%
Taye McWilliams run for 4 yds to the Bayl 43 BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Block (Seth Jones) to the Bayl 33Similar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 16
OWN 33
+15
99.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Seth Jones for 15 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+14
99.9%
Richard Reese run for 14 yds to the Alban 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Kyron Drones pass incomplete to Seth JonesSimilar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+23
99.9%
Richard Reese run for 23 yds to the Alban 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1105
99.9%
Reese, Richard rush for 1 yard to the ALBANY14, PENALTY BAYLOR tripping (Mazzccua, Micah) 1035 yards to the ALBANY-1020, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 25
OPP 30
+29
99.9%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Drake Dabney for 29 yds to the Alban 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Richard Reese run for 1 yd for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
100.0%
Joey Carino run for 1 yd to the Alban 5Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+3
100.0%
Joey Carino run for 3 yds to the Alban 8Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 6
OWN 8
0
100.0%
Joey Carino pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:09
4TH & 6
OWN 8
+25
100.0%
Tyler Pastula punt for 39 yds , Jordan Nabors returns for 25 yds to the Alban 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:49100% → 100%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
100.0%
Richard Reese run for 4 yds to the Alban 18Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+6
100.0%
Jordan Nabors run for 6 yds to the Alban 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
100.0%
Richard Reese run for 5 yds to the Alban 7Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Richard Reese run for 7 yds for a TD, (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Tyler Szalkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
Szalkowski, Tyler pass complete to Zinobile, Quinn for 9 yards to the ALBANY34, PENALTY ALBANY illegal shift 5 yards to the ALBANY20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
100.0%
Jose Lopez-Quinones run for 4 yds to the Alban 24Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
100.0%
Tyler Szalkowski pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+14
100.0%
Tyler Pastula punt for 56 yds , Jordan Nabors returns for 14 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22TD
5 plays · 66 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
100.0%
Richard Reese run for 7 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 3
OWN 41
-15
100.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, Personal Foul (Tate Williams) to the Bayl 26Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 18
OWN 26
-3
100.0%
Richard Reese run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 23Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 21
OWN 23
+50
100.0%
Kyron Drones pass complete to Jaylen Ellis for 50 yds to the Alban 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
100.0%
Qualan Jones run for 27 yds for a TD, (John Mayers PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Landon Alexander run for 4 yds to the Alban 29Similar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Landon Alexander run for 3 yds to the Alban 32Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
100.0%
Joey Carino pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:59
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
100.0%
Tyler Pastula punt for 44 yds , Jordan Nabors returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:57100% → 100%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
100.0%
Jordan Jenkins run for 4 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q4 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+5
100.0%
Jordan Jenkins run for 5 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 1
OWN 28
-1
100.0%
Jordan Jenkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 27Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 2
OWN 27
-5
100.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 22Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Noah Rauschenberg punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Bayl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UALBDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
100.0%
Joey Carino run for 3 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+1
100.0%
Landon Alexander run for 1 yd to the Bayl 32Similar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+1
100.0%
Landon Alexander run for 1 yd to the Bayl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 0:00
Reese Poffenbarger pass complete to Julian Hicks for 17 yds for a TD, (John Opalko KICK)
-0.7
TD · Q2 11:55
Blake Shapen pass complete to Hal Presley for 38 yds for a TD, (Isaiah Hankins KICK)
+0.7
FG · Q3 6:19
John Opalko 25 yd FG GOOD
-0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com