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CIT

The Citadel 0 at App State 49

APP
2022 · Week 5 · Oct 1, 2022 · Kidd Brewer Stadium
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Win probability · APP
modelAPP aheadCIT aheadconfidence bandkey playAPP scoreCIT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kanye Roberts run for 29 yds to the Citad 25 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:18: Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 44 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — CIT win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 12:02: Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 12:02 — CIT win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:55: Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:31: Camerun Peoples run for 73 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 4:56: Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 22 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK) — APP win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5CIT made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 9:53CIT 4th & 16 at CIT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:01APP 4th & 1 at APP 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    97.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:32CIT 4th & 10 at APP 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:32APP 4th & 1 at CIT 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    97.4%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:30CIT 4th & 4 at CIT 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:55APP 4th & 2 at CIT 8, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:46CIT 4th & 7 at CIT 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:31CIT 4th & 2 at CIT 33, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:50CIT 4th & 19 at CIT 16, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:57APP 4th & 10 at CIT 46, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:39CIT 4th & 3 at CIT 43, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00CIT 4th & 1 at APP 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:11CIT 4th & 7 at CIT 40, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:17APP 4th & 11 at APP 15, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:00CIT 4th & 1 at APP 38, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.1%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:43CIT 4th & 2 at APP 41, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 12:18APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:38APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:55APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:31APP Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:56APP Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:23APP Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:40APP Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:3799% → 99%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
99.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Camerun Peoples for 5 yds to the AppSt 31Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+10
99.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 10 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 3 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+9
99.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 9 yds to the Citad 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the Citad 44Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+44
98.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 44 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:251% → 1%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.8%
Logan Billings run for 3 yds to the Citad 38Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
98.8%
Logan Billings run for 2 yds to the Citad 40Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 5
OWN 40
-5
98.8%
PENALTY CIT False Start (Njoku,Nkem) 5 yards from CIT40 to CIT35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-6
98.9%
Peyton Derrick sacked by KeSean Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Citad 29Similar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
98.7%
James Platte punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the AppSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:5299% → 99%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
98.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 10 yds to the AppSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
98.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
98.7%
Chase Brice run for 5 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q1 9:53
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
98.7%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Eli WilsonSimilar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+1
98.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the AppSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:292% → 2%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
98.5%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Cooper WallaceSimilar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
98.5%
Sam Llewellyn run for 2 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+2
98.5%
Jay Graves-Billips run for 2 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
98.4%
James Platte punt for 21 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5498% → 99%
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
98.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Kaedin Robinson for 26 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
98.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 14 yds to the Citad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
98.5%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Kaedin RobinsonSimilar
Q1 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+8
98.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 8 yds to the Citad 27Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
98.5%
Ahmani Marshall run for 1 yd to the Citad 26Similar
Q1 6:32
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+5
98.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the Citad 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
98.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Davis,Dashaun rush right for 1 yard loss to the CIT22 (Black,Hasan) PENALTY APP Illegal Block in Back (Hodges,Cooper) 10 yards from CIT21 to CIT31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:32
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+30
98.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 30 yds to the Citad 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Chase Brice run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:082% → 2%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.4%
Orlando Jones run for 3 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
98.4%
Peyton Derrick run for 2 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
98.4%
Peyton Derrick run for 1 yd to the Citad 31Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.2%
James Platte punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the AppSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:0598% → 99%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
98.3%
Anderson Castle run for 2 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+10
98.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Tyler Page for 10 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
98.4%
Anderson Castle run for 15 yds to the Citad 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+22
98.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 22 yds to the Citad 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.4%
Anderson Castle run for no gain to the Citad 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
98.4%
Ahmani Marshall run for 3 yds to the Citad 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+5
98.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Ahmani Marshall for 5 yds to the Citad 8Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+8
98.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:091% → 1%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
Logan Billings run for 2 yds to the Citad 27Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
98.8%
Peyton Derrick run for 2 yds to the Citad 25 Peyton Derrick fumbled, recovered by Citad Peyton DerrickSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.8%
Peyton Derrick run for 3 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q2 9:46
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.8%
James Platte punt for 45 yds , Tyler Page returns for no gain to the AppSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
99.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 73 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 10FUMBLE
8 plays · 11 yds · 3:491% → 1%
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Sam Llewellyn run for 3 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.3%
Sam Llewellyn run for 3 yds to the Citad 31Similar
Q2 9:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.3%
Sam Llewellyn run for 2 yds to the Citad 33Similar
Q2 9:31
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+10
99.3%
Cooper Wallace run for 10 yds to the Citad 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.3%
Sam Llewellyn run for 1 yd to the Citad 44 Sam Llewellyn fumbled, recovered by CitadSimilar
Q2 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+3
99.3%
Logan Billings run for 3 yds to the Citad 47Similar
Q2 5:42
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+11
99.5%
Cooper Wallace run for 11 yds to the Citad 33 Cooper Wallace fumbled, recovered by AppSt Stephen PasseggiataSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 0:46100% → 100%
Q2 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+11
99.5%
Daetrich Harrington run for 11 yds to the Citad 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 22 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 2:060% → 0%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Peyton Derrick run for 2 yds to the Citad 23Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-10
99.7%
Njoku,Nkem rush right for 5 yards gain to the CIT28 (Brown,KeSean) PENALTY CIT Illegal Block in Back (Wallace,Cooper) 10 yards from CIT23 to CIT13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 22
OWN 13
0
99.7%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Nkem NjokuSimilar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 22
OWN 13
+3
99.7%
Johnny Crawford III run for 3 yds to the Citad 16Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
99.7%
James Platte punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the AppSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:53100% → 100%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
99.6%
Anderson Castle run for 11 yds to the Citad 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Camerun PeoplesSimilar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dalton StromanSimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Clayton Howell punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Citad 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 14END OF HALF
13 plays · 76 yds · 1:570% → 0%
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Ricky ConwaySimilar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.7%
Orlando Jones run for 4 yds to the Citad 24Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+12
99.8%
Peyton Derrick run for 12 yds to the Citad 36 Peyton Derrick fumbled, recovered by Citad Tereis Drayton for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.7%
Peyton Derrick pass incomplete to Ricky ConwaySimilar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.7%
Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the Citad 32Similar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+11
99.8%
Johnny Crawford III run for 11 yds to the Citad 43Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
Johnny Crawford III run for 5 yds to the Citad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
99.8%
Jay Graves-Billips run for 12 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+36
99.8%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Jay Graves-Billips for 36 yds to the AppSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 15INT
18 plays · 67 yds · 11:220% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Jay Graves-Billips run for 5 yds to the Citad 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
99.7%
Logan Billings run for 3 yds to the Citad 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
99.7%
Logan Billings run for 2 yds to the Citad 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
Cooper Wallace run for 6 yds to the Citad 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
99.7%
Jay Graves-Billips run for 3 yds to the Citad 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
99.7%
Sam Llewellyn run for 4 yds to the Citad 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.7%
Sam Llewellyn run for 4 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+16
99.7%
Sam Llewellyn run for 16 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
99.7%
Jay Graves-Billips run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
99.7%
Orlando Jones run for 5 yds to the AppSt 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+2
99.7%
Peyton Derrick run for 2 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+3
99.5%
Sam Llewellyn run for 3 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.7%
Johnny Crawford III run for no gain to the AppSt 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
99.7%
Cooper Wallace run for 10 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.7%
Sam Llewellyn run for 3 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
99.7%
Jay Graves-Billips run for 1 yd to the AppSt 8Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Peyton Derrick pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
99.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Christan Horn for 80 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 4:040% → 0%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.9%
Logan Billings run for 2 yds to the Citad 28Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Orlando Jones run for no gain to the Citad 28Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Peyton Derrick pass complete to Christian Hilton for 9 yds to the Citad 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Orlando Jones run for 4 yds to the Citad 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Orlando Jones run for 1 yd to the Citad 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Johnny Crawford III run for no gain to the Citad 40Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
99.9%
James Platte punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Page at the AppSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-8
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Roberts,Kanye rush middle for 0 yards to the APP16 (Beverly,Chris) PENALTY APP UNR: Unnecessary Roughness 8 yards from APP16 to APP08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 18
OWN 8
0
99.9%
Brady McBride pass incomplete to Jaquan LowmanSimilar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 18
OWN 8
+4
99.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds to the AppSt 12Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+3
99.9%
Brady McBride run for 3 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q4 12:17
4TH & 11
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Clayton Howell punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Dominick Poole at the AppSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 2:170% → 0%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
99.9%
Braden Walker run for 6 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+2
99.9%
Jay Graves-Billips run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q4 12:17
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Braden Walker run for 1 yd to the AppSt 38Similar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Braden Walker run for 2 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:20100% → 100%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.9%
Brady McBride pass complete to Dalton Stroman for 11 yds to the Citad 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 3 yds to the Citad 46Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+21
99.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 21 yds to the Citad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Kanye Roberts run for 5 yds to the Citad 20Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-10
99.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Citad 26Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+22
99.9%
Brady McBride pass complete to Michael Hetzel for 22 yds to the Citad 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CITDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 29 yds · 5:570% → 0%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Ahmad Green run for 4 yds to the Citad 29Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Jay Graves-Billips run for 4 yds to the Citad 33Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
100.0%
PENALTY CIT False Start (Moewe,Cameron) 5 yards from CIT33 to CIT28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
100.0%
Jay Graves-Billips run for 11 yds to the Citad 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
100.0%
Ahmad Green pass complete to Jay Graves-Billips for 6 yds to the Citad 45Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+6
100.0%
Braden Walker run for 6 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
Cooper Wallace run for 4 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-5
100.0%
PENALTY CIT False Start (Blanchard,Zach) 5 yards from APP45 to APP50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:40
2ND & 11
50
+6
100.0%
Cooper Wallace run for 6 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+3
100.0%
Ahmad Green run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q4 0:43
4TH & 2
OPP 41
-5
100.0%
Ahmad Green sacked by Donovan Spellman for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+29
100.0%
Kanye Roberts run for 29 yds to the Citad 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:55
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Wilson for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 9:31
Camerun Peoples run for 73 yds for a TD, (Michael Hughes KICK)
+0.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 12:02
Timeout APPALACHIAN ST, clock 12:02
-0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com