Try the model
UTC

Chattanooga 0 at Illinois 31

ILL
2022 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2022 · Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ILL
modelILL aheadUTC aheadconfidence bandkey playILL scoreUTC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:43 · Hugh Robertson punt for 33 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+11.1Home team on offense+35.2Score differential+26.1Garbage-time factor+11.9Blowout margin+11.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.0
This game in five plays
  1. INT · Q2 12:16: Preston Hutchinson pass intercepted, touchback. — UTC win probability +0.8 pts (now 11%) (top driver: UTC has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 12:16: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the Illin 22 — ILL win probability +1.0 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:14: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Michael Marchese for 25 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK) — ILL win probability +4.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:52: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 17 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK) — ILL win probability +2.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:56: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 63 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK) — ILL win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ILL made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UTC made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:41UTC 4th & 7 at UTC 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:31UTC 4th & 3 at UTC 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:22ILL 4th & 3 at UTC 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:45UTC 4th & 6 at UTC 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:39ILL 4th & 4 at UTC 16, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−1.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:35UTC 4th & 19 at UTC 16, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−1.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:48UTC 4th & 2 at UTC 43, down 24
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:44ILL 4th & 11 at UTC 40, up 24
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    96.5%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:53ILL 4th & 7 at ILL 41, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:08UTC 4th & 16 at ILL 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.8%
    64% to make
    Punt
    1.4%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:51ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 36, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:26UTC 4th & 19 at UTC 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:46UTC 4th & 12 at UTC 34, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:54ILL 4th & 10 at ILL 1, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:47UTC 4th & 9 at ILL 49, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:43ILL 4th & 1 at ILL 28, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:04UTC 4th & 9 at UTC 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:37ILL 4th & 4 at UTC 22, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ILL made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:15ILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:14ILL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:52ILL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:56ILL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTCDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:198% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jay Gibson for 4 yds to the Chatt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
92.5%
Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
92.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tyler SmithSimilar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
92.2%
Gabe Boring punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Williams at the Illin 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 2TD
5 plays · 64 yds · 1:2692% → 92%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
92.2%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 38Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+14
92.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 14 yds to the Chatt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+26
92.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 26 yds to the Chatt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
92.2%
Chase Brown run for 13 yds to the Chatt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
92.2%
Chase Brown run for 9 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:448% → 8%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jay GibsonSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Javin Whatley for 7 yds to the Chatt 32Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
92.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jamoi MayesSimilar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
92.0%
Jason Pierce punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 35 yds · 3:0992% → 92%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
92.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 1 yd to the Illin 34Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+14
92.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 14 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
92.1%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
92.1%
Chase Brown run for 9 yds to the Chatt 30Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 1
OPP 30
-6
92.1%
Tommy DeVito sacked by John Prince for a loss of 6 yards to the Chatt 36Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+4
92.1%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Chatt 32Similar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+15
92.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Devito,Tommy pass incomplete short right to Morris,Jonah PENALTY UTC Pass Interference (Brown,Kameron) 15 yards from ILL46 to UTC39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 3
OPP 32
0
91.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:379% → 9%
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
91.5%
Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Chatt 34Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
91.5%
Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Chatt 36Similar
Q1 8:22
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
91.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Sam PhillipsSimilar
Q1 6:45
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
91.4%
Gabe Boring punt for 39 yds , Isaiah Williams returns for no gain to the Illin 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 6FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 4:0691% → 91%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
91.3%
ILLINOIS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brian Hightower) to the Illin 14Similar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 17
OWN 14
0
91.3%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Illin 14Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 17
OWN 14
+14
91.3%
Chase Brown run for 14 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+37
91.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 37 yds to the Chatt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
91.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 13 yds to the Chatt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
91.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 5 yds to the Chatt 17Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+3
91.6%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Chatt 14Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+2
91.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the Chatt 16Similar
Q1 2:39
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
91.0%
Caleb Griffin 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 7INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:399% → 10%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.7%
Gino Appleberry run for 3 yds to the Chatt 28Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
90.6%
Gino Appleberry run for 1 yd to the Chatt 29Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
90.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 14 yds to the Chatt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.5%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to KeShawn ToneySimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
90.2%
Preston Hutchinson pass intercepted Keith Randolph Jr. fumbled, recovered by Chatt McClendon CurtisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 8INT
5 plays · 58 yds · 2:4410% → 11%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
90.4%
Gino Appleberry run for 1 yd to the Chatt 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+11
90.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 11 yds to the Chatt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
90.2%
Ailym Ford run for 9 yds to the Chatt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+39
89.9%
Ailym Ford run for 39 yds to the Illin 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
89.1%
Preston Hutchinson pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 9TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:0290% → 95%
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
90.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 2 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
90.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Casey Washington for 15 yds to the Illin 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
90.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey WashingtonSimilar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
90.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Ford for 6 yds to the Illin 43Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+5
90.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 5 yds to the Illin 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
90.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey WashingtonSimilar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
90.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 8 yds to the Chatt 44Similar
Q2 12:16
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+19
90.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Miles Scott for 19 yds to the Chatt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
94.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Michael Marchese for 25 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:397% → 7%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tyler SmithSimilar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 25Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
93.5%
Preston Hutchinson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Chatt 16Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
93.5%
Gabe Boring punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Chatt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 11TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:4394% → 97%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
94.2%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Chatt 47Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+27
94.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Brian Hightower for 27 yds to the Chatt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
94.2%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Chatt 17Similar
Q2 7:35
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
94.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Pat BryantSimilar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+17
96.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 17 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:044% → 4%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
95.8%
Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Chatt 36Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
95.8%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Tyron Arnett for 7 yds to the Chatt 43Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 2
OWN 43
0
95.7%
Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 43Similar
Q2 3:48
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
96.1%
Gabe Boring punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Illin 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 13PUNT
11 plays · 49 yds · 3:0497% → 97%
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
96.6%
Chase Brown run for 8 yds to the Illin 19Similar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+1
96.7%
Chase Brown run for 1 yd to the Illin 20Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+24
96.6%
Chase Brown run for 24 yds to the Illin 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Jonah MorrisSimilar
Q2 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
96.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Chase Brown for 1 yd to the Illin 45Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+16
96.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jonah Morris for 16 yds to the Chatt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
96.8%
Chase Brown run for 2 yds to the Chatt 37Similar
Q2 1:23
2ND & 8
OPP 37
-3
97.3%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Devonnsha Maxwell for a loss of 3 yards to the Chatt 40Similar
Q2 1:23
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
97.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
97.1%
Hugh Robertson punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
96.4%
Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 2:0197% → 97%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
97.1%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 41Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+5
97.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 5 yds to the Illin 46Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-5
97.1%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Devonnsha Maxwell for a loss of 5 yards to the Illin 41Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
97.0%
Hugh Robertson punt for 11 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Chatt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 16MISSED FG
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:453% → 3%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
96.9%
Ailym Ford run for 32 yds to the Illin 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-6
96.5%
Preston Hutchinson sacked by Sydney Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 16
OPP 26
0
96.7%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Javin WhatleySimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 16
OPP 26
0
96.9%
Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Illin 26Similar
Q3 11:08
4TH & 16
OPP 26
+43
97.5%
Andrew Southard 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:1797% → 97%
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
97.4%
Chase Brown run for 7 yds to the Illin 33Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+6
97.4%
Reggie Love III run for 6 yds to the Illin 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
97.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 12 yds to the ILLINOIS 49 for a 1ST down ILLINOIS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Isaiah Williams) to the Illin 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Casey WashingtonSimilar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for no gain to the Illin 36Similar
Q3 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Brian HightowerSimilar
Q3 8:51
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Hugh Robertson punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 3:252% → 2%
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
97.6%
Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the Chatt 36Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
97.6%
Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 39Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+6
97.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass complete to Jay Gibson for 6 yds to the Chatt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.6%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tyron ArnettSimilar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
97.6%
Ailym Ford run for no gain to the Chatt 45Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 10
OWN 45
-9
97.6%
Preston Hutchinson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the Chatt 36Similar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 19
OWN 36
+5
98.1%
Gabe Boring punt for 36 yds , Miles Scott returns for 5 yds to the Illin 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 19TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:3098% → 100%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
98.2%
Chase Brown run for 4 yds to the Illin 37Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+63
99.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 63 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 4:100% → 0%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.6%
Preston Hutchinson run for 7 yds to the Chatt 18Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
99.6%
Gino Appleberry run for no gain to the Chatt 18Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+18
99.6%
Gino Appleberry run for 18 yds to the Chatt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
99.6%
Preston Hutchinson sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the Chatt 33Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+1
99.6%
Gino Appleberry run for 1 yd to the Chatt 34Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
99.6%
Gino Appleberry run for no gain to the Chatt 34Similar
Q3 0:46
4TH & 12
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Gabe Boring punt for 65 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.8%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 1Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
99.8%
Artur Sitkowski pass incomplete to Jonah MorrisSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
99.8%
Chase Brown run for no gain to the Illin 1Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
99.8%
Hugh Robertson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Tyron ArnettSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
50
+1
99.9%
Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the Illin 49Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Preston Hutchinson pass incomplete to Jamoi MayesSimilar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Jason Pierce punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:04100% → 100%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.9%
Chase Brown run for 3 yds to the Illin 22Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Tip Reiman for 1 yd to the Illin 23Similar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Artur Sitkowski pass complete to Brian Hightower for 5 yds to the Illin 28Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Hugh Robertson punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the Chatt 37Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+3
99.9%
Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the Chatt 40Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Cole Copeland pass incomplete to Camden OvertonSimilar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 9
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Gabe Boring punt for 47 yds , Miles Scott returns for 4 yds to the Illin 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ILLDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 64 yds · 7:27100% → 100%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
99.9%
Reggie Love III run for 6 yds to the Illin 23Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+23
99.9%
Reggie Love III run for 23 yds to the Illin 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Chase Hayden run for 6 yds to the Chatt 48Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
Chase Hayden run for 3 yds to the Chatt 45Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Artur Sitkowski run for 3 yds to the Chatt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Chase Hayden run for 2 yds to the Chatt 40Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+12
99.9%
Chase Hayden run for 12 yds to the Chatt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Reggie Love III run for no gain to the Chatt 28Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
99.9%
Aidan Laughery run for 5 yds to the Chatt 23Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
Aidan Laughery run for 1 yd to the Chatt 22Similar
Q4 2:37
4TH & 4
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Aidan Laughery run for 3 yds to the Chatt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTCDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 12 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
100.0%
Gino Appleberry run for 3 yds to the Chatt 22Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
Gino Appleberry run for 5 yds to the Chatt 27Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Gino Appleberry run for 4 yds to the Chatt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Gino Appleberry run for no gain to the Chatt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:14
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Michael Marchese for 25 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q2 5:52
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Pat Bryant for 17 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)
+2.3
TD · Q3 4:56
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Isaiah Williams for 63 yds for a TD, (Caleb Griffin KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com