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SELA

SE Louisiana 7 at Louisiana 24

UL
2022 · Week 1 · Sep 3, 2022 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadSELA aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreSELA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:31 · Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds SE LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the SELa 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Pregame prior+17.5Home team on offense+15.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Garbage-time factor+5.0Score differential+7.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. PUNT · Q2 12:41: Austin Dunlap punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for 83 yds for a TD, (Preston Stafford KICK) — UL win probability +5.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:49: Ben Wooldridge pass incomplete — UL win probability +5.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:04: Carlos Washington Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Mateo Rengifo KICK) — SELA win probability +8.2 pts (now 18%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  4. INT · Q4 10:57: Gage Larvadain pass intercepted — SELA win probability +5.5 pts (now 13%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:57: Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the SELa 34 — UL win probability +6.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 10SELA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:28SELA 4th & 8 at SELA 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:28SELA 4th & 6 at SELA 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:34UL 4th & 6 at SELA 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:41SELA 4th & 13 at SELA 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:44SELA 4th & 1 at UL 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−2.6
    36% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:49SELA 4th & 3 at UL 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:49SELA 4th & 3 at UL 18, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−0.6
    79% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−5.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:23UL 4th & 1 at SELA 7, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:23UL 4th & 1 at SELA 7, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.2%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:31UL 4th & 2 at UL 26, up 17
    Close callPunted · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:56SELA 4th & 1 at SELA 26, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:00UL 4th & 4 at UL 36, up 17
    Close callPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:29UL 4th & 14 at SELA 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.0%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−4.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:12SELA 4th & 16 at SELA 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:05UL 4th & 10 at UL 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:25UL 4th & 2 at SELA 34, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−1.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−1.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:19SELA 4th & 12 at SELA 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:58UL 4th & 3 at UL 44, up 10
    Close callPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:58UL 4th & 3 at SELA 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%−0.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:07SELA 4th & 6 at UL 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.8%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2SELA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:08UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:04SELA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:37UL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SELADrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2716% → 17%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
83.8%
Bauer Sharp run for a loss of 3 yards to the SELa 13Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+5
83.8%
Cephus Johnson III run for 5 yds to the SELa 18Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
83.8%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:28
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
83.5%
Austin Dunlap punt for 61 yds, downed at the LaLaf 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 4:2083% → 84%
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
83.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 5 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+2
83.4%
Chandler Fields run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-5
83.4%
LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Jax Harrington) to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q1 13:28
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+16
83.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Michael Jefferson for 16 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
82.9%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
82.8%
Chandler Fields run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+16
82.6%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Jacob Bernard for 16 yds Jacob Bernard fumbled, recovered by LaLaf for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
82.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 11 yds to the SELa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
82.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the SELa 28Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+28
84.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 28 yds for a TD, (Preston Stafford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3517% → 16%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
83.5%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+3
83.6%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 3 yds to the SELa 25Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+1
83.7%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Jessie Britt for 1 yd to the SELa 26Similar
Q1 7:28
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+6
83.6%
Austin Dunlap punt for 47 yds , Eric Garror returns for 6 yds to the LaLaf 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:5484% → 83%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
83.5%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 5 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
83.8%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+6
83.6%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Neal Johnson for 6 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
83.8%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+11
83.8%
Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the SELa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
83.9%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the SELa 38Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+6
83.9%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the SELa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
83.9%
Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the SELa 29Similar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+2
83.9%
Terrence Williams run for 2 yds to the SELa 27Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+14
83.8%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 14 yds to the SELa 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
83.9%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:28
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
83.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 4 yds to the SELa 9Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
83.8%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:34
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+36
82.8%
Preston Stafford 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:4617% → 12%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
82.9%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Jessie Britt for 5 yds to the SELa 25Similar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
82.6%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Jessie Britt for 3 yds to the SELa 28Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
82.7%
Cephus Johnson III run for 8 yds to the SELa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
82.4%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to CJ Turner for 10 yds to the SELa 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
82.1%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Mannie Logan-Greene) to the SELa 41Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+5
82.6%
Cephus Johnson III run for 5 yds to the SELa 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
82.2%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 46
-3
82.5%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Carlos Washington Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the SELa 43Similar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 13
OWN 43
+83
88.4%
Austin Dunlap punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for 83 yds for a TD, (Preston Stafford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 6DOWNS
18 plays · 50 yds · 7:4712% → 12%
Q2 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
87.9%
Carlos Washington Jr. run for no gain to the SELa 32Similar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
88.1%
Cephus Johnson III run for 7 yds to the SELa 39Similar
Q2 12:36
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+13
87.8%
Carlos Washington Jr. run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
87.9%
WASHINGTON JR., Carlos rush up the middle for a gain of 5 yards to the UL43 (WISER, Marcus). PENALTY Before the snap, UL Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the UL48 to the UL43. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 5
OPP 43
+2
87.6%
Gage Larvadain run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 3
OPP 41
0
87.6%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+2
87.8%
Cephus Johnson III run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+3
87.9%
Carlos Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
87.7%
Cephus Johnson III run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
87.5%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for no gain to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+9
87.8%
Cephus Johnson III run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
87.4%
Jessie Britt run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-5
87.4%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Jessie Britt) to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+7
87.5%
Cephus Johnson III run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q2 10:44
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+1
87.6%
Carlos Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 3
OPP 18
0
87.6%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
4TH & 3
OPP 18
0
87.6%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7DOWNS
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2693% → 90%
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
93.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
93.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Chris Smith for 6 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q2 4:49
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+17
93.1%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Chris Smith for 17 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
93.6%
Terrence Williams run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+13
93.5%
Terrence Williams run for 13 yds to the SELa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
93.6%
Terrence Williams run for 11 yds to the SELa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
93.6%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 13 yds to the SELa 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
93.2%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the SELa 8Similar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 2
OPP 8
-1
93.0%
Chris Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELa 9Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+2
90.9%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the SELa 7Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
90.0%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the SELa 7Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
90.0%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the SELa 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:2491% → 90%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
90.9%
Jacob Kibodi run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
91.0%
Jacob Kibodi run for no gain to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OWN 26
0
90.6%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:31
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+57
90.1%
Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds SE LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (TEAM) to the SELa 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:359% → 8%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
91.0%
Carlos Washington Jr. run for 6 yds to the SELa 23Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+3
90.7%
Carlos Washington Jr. run for 3 yds to the SELa 26Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 1
OWN 26
0
90.8%
Carlos Washington Jr. run for no gain to the SELa 26Similar
Q3 11:56
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+6
91.9%
Austin Dunlap punt for 50 yds , Eric Garror returns for 6 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:5691% → 93%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
90.9%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-6
90.9%
Chandler Fields sacked by Jack Henderson for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+10
90.3%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Dalen Cambre for 10 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
93.1%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Darius Lewis at the SELa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 12TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 5:569% → 18%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
91.5%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+25
91.8%
Carlos Washington Jr. run for 25 yds to the SELa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
90.6%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nick Kovacs) to the SELa 39Similar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 18
OWN 39
+6
91.6%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Nick Kovacs for 6 yds to the SELa 45Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+4
91.1%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 4 yds to the SELa 49Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+13
90.8%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 13 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
90.0%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Brennan Lanclos) to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+1
90.6%
Carlos Washington Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+11
91.0%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 11 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+11
89.9%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Bauer Sharp for 11 yds to the LaLaf 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
89.2%
Jessie Britt run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
89.2%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+11
89.8%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 11 yds to the LaLaf 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
81.6%
Carlos Washington Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Mateo Rengifo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13MISSED FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:3586% → 86%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.6%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+24
85.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Dalen Cambre for 24 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
87.0%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 6 yds to the SELa 45Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+23
87.2%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 23 yds to the SELa 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
87.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 1 yd to the SELa 21Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-5
87.3%
Chandler Fields sacked by Brandon Barbee and Kaleb Proctor for a loss of 5 yards to the SELa 26Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 14
OPP 26
0
86.2%
Chandler Fields run for no gain to the SELa 26Similar
Q3 0:29
4TH & 14
OPP 26
+43
86.3%
Preston Stafford 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:1713% → 12%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
87.2%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:29
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+18
87.6%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to CJ Turner for 18 yds to the SELa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
85.4%
Jessie Britt run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-15
84.1%
JOHNSON III, Cephus pass to the right complete for 48 yards to TURNER, CJ caught at the UL15 and advanced to the UL0, TOUCHDOWN SLU, score nullified by penalty. PENALTY SLU Chop Block enforced 15 yards from the UL48 to the SLU37 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+5
87.6%
Cephus Johnson III run for 5 yds to the SELa 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 42
-4
87.7%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Carlos Washington Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the SELa 38Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 16
OWN 38
0
87.8%
Austin Dunlap punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for no gain to the LaLaf 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:0791% → 93%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
90.8%
Jacob Kibodi run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+5
90.5%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+8
89.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jacob Kibodi for 8 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.0%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
90.9%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
90.4%
Ben Wooldridge pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+5
92.6%
Rhys Byrns punt for 47 yds , Darius Lewis returns for 5 yds to the SELa 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
87.0%
Gage Larvadain pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:3294% → 93%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
94.0%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the SELa 34Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
93.7%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
93.1%
Chandler Fields pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:25
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+1
92.8%
Chris Smith run for 1 yd to the SELa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 2:0613% → 9%
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
87.5%
Gage Larvadain run for a loss of 8 yards to the SELa 25Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 18
OWN 25
+8
89.1%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Carlos Washington Jr. for 8 yds to the SELa 33Similar
Q4 10:25
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-2
89.4%
Cephus Johnson III sacked by Andre Jones and Kris Moncrief for a loss of 2 yards to the SELa 31Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
90.8%
Austin Dunlap punt for 46 yds, downed at the LaLaf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:2196% → 97%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
96.0%
Terrence Williams run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+10
96.2%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Neal Johnson for 10 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
96.2%
Terrence Williams run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-10
96.4%
WILLIAMS, Terrence rush up the middle for a gain of 2 yards to the UL46 (BUQUOI, Robert). PENALTY UL Holding on RUBIO, Carlos enforced 10 yards from the UL44 to the UL34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+9
95.8%
Ben Wooldridge pass complete to Jamal Bell for 9 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+1
96.2%
Ben Wooldridge run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 4:58
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+6
96.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 49 yds , Darius Lewis returns for 6 yds to the SELa 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-15
93.2%
Cephus Johnson III pass intercepted for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, Personal Foul (Zi'Yon Hill-Green) to the SELa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 21TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:0997% → 99%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
97.4%
Terrence Williams run for 12 yds to the SELa 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
97.4%
Terrence Williams run for 3 yds to the SELa 24Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+4
97.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for 4 yds to the SELa 20Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
98.3%
Dre'lyn Washington run for no gain to the SELa 20Similar
Q4 2:58
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+17
98.1%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Pearse Migl for 17 yds to the SELa 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.3%
Terrence Williams run for no gain to the SELa 3Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Chandler Fields pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 3 yds for a TD, (Preston Stafford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 22DOWNS
12 plays · 40 yds · 1:302% → 2%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
98.4%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, False Start (Brennan Lanclos) to the SELa 30Similar
Q4 1:37
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+5
98.5%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Gage Larvadain for 5 yds to the SELa 35Similar
Q4 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
98.4%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to CJ Turner for 18 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
98.4%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Anthony Spurlock for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+15
98.3%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Jacob Logan for 15 yds to the LaLaf 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
98.1%
SE LOUISIANA Penalty, Illegal Snap on SERAPIGLIA, Dom enforced (Dom Serapiglia III) to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q4 0:47
1ST & 15
OPP 34
0
98.2%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 15
OPP 34
0
98.3%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 15
OPP 34
+9
98.3%
Cephus Johnson III pass complete to Mannie Logan-Greene for 9 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 0:07
4TH & 6
OPP 25
0
98.4%
Cephus Johnson III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:04
Carlos Washington Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Mateo Rengifo KICK)
-8.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:57
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the SELa 34
+6.9
PUNT · Q2 12:41
Austin Dunlap punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for 83 yds for a TD, (Preston Stafford KICK)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com